Confabulation E
84.2
Current Fig
90.4
Last Fig
94.4
Best Fig
0.42 ± 0.239
α (ability)
20
Starts
5
Wins
25%
Win %
10
ITM (1-2-3)
SIRE: Good Magic  ·  DAM: Heart Stealer  ·  DAMSIRE: Speightstown
PAST PERFORMANCES
▸ How to read the decomposition columns
Each figure is decomposed in figure points: FIG ≈ 80 + H + J + T + C + N.
H horse ability · J jockey · T trainer · C class · N residual (how "on" that day) · RD race-day track effect (stripped from FIG).
E / M / L early/mid/late fps splits (pace shape). Distance, surface, post, weight, run-up, and track-condition are already subtracted from FIG — that's what makes figures comparable across conditions.
DATETRKRDISTSURFCOND POSFLDBL GIBBS E M L H J T C N RD ODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-24 MTH 3 8.0f dirt Fast 1.0 6 0.0 90 4.2 0.7 1.7 0.0 3.8 1.7 1.5 Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-07-03 PEN 7 8.318181818181818f dirt Fast 5.0 6 27.8 81 4.2 1.0 1.7 0.0 -6.1 -1.5 1.9 Julio Hernandez
2026-06-11 PEN 1 8.0f dirt Fast 1.0 5 0.0 88 4.2 -0.0 1.7 0.0 2.3 0.2 1.4 Kendry Rivera
2026-03-14 AQU 3 9.5f dirt Fast 6.0 6 14.8 88 4.2 1.1 2.6 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.86 Gokhan Kocakaya
2026-02-21 AQU 4 9.0f dirt Muddy (Sealed) 4.0 7 12.2 89 4.2 1.1 2.6 0.0 0.8 -2.8 6.1 Gokhan Kocakaya
2026-02-14 AQU 7 8.0f dirt Fast 8.0 8 18.2 88 4.2 1.1 2.6 0.0 -0.0 -3.7 19.3 Gokhan Kocakaya
2026-01-17 AQU 1 8.0f dirt Fast 1.0 6 0.0 94 4.2 0.9 3.2 0.0 6.1 -3.9 1.39 Christopher Elliott
2025-12-13 AQU 5 8.0f dirt Fast 2.0 10 6.0 89 2.9 0.9 3.2 0.0 2.4 -4.4 3.82 Christopher Elliott
2025-11-07 AQU 8 8.0f dirt Fast 9.0 9 25.5 80 2.9 0.7 3.2 0.0 -6.5 13.0 11.28 Luis Rivera, Jr.
2025-10-22 BAQ 1 8.0f dirt Fast 2.0 8 0.8 90 2.9 0.7 3.2 0.0 2.9 8.2 4.53 Luis Rivera, Jr.
2025-10-09 BAQ 4 9.0f dirt Fast 5.0 8 6.5 87 2.9 0.7 3.2 0.0 0.6 0.7 17.23 Luis Rivera, Jr.
2025-08-14 SAR 2 7.0f dirt Fast 6.0 6 10.8 82 2.9 1.9 3.5 0.0 -6.0 -1.6 2.55 Kendrick Carmouche
2025-08-03 SAR 3 6.5f dirt Fast 4.0 8 4.0 90 2.9 1.9 3.5 0.0 2.1 -0.5 9.0 Kendrick Carmouche
2025-01-23 AQU 5 9.0f dirt Fast 4.0 5 7.0 89 2.9 0.9 4.5 0.0 1.1 -4.1 4.5 Christopher Elliott
2024-12-28 AQU 6 8.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) 3.0 12 6.0 93 3.4 2.7 4.5 0.0 1.8 4.2 7.8 Joel Rosario
2024-11-29 AQU 9 8.0f dirt Fast 1.0 7 0.0 93 3.4 2.7 4.5 0.0 2.5 9.4 1.25 Joel Rosario
2024-11-07 AQU 5 8.0f dirt Fast 1.0 7 0.0 91 3.4 2.7 4.5 0.0 0.1 5.7 2.95 Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2024-10-17 BAQ 6 8.0f dirt Fast 3.0 8 5.0 89 3.4 2.1 3.5 0.0 0.3 3.3 1.6 Manuel Franco
2024-08-31 SAR 4 6.5f dirt Fast 2.0 6 0.2 93 3.4 2.1 7.8 0.0 0.1 -6.9 1.25 Manuel Franco
2024-07-31 SAR 9 8.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) 6.0 9 14.2 90 3.4 2.1 7.8 0.0 -3.3 1.5 10.1 Manuel Franco