Expect the Best P
91.3
Current Fig
93.7
Last Fig
97.0
Best Fig
1.125 ± 0.177
α (ability)
13
Starts
4
Wins
31%
Win %
10
ITM (1-2-3)
SIRE: Khozan  ·  DAM: Gulf Coast Gal  ·  DAMSIRE: Constitution
PAST PERFORMANCES
▸ How to read the decomposition columns
Each figure is decomposed in figure points: FIG ≈ 80 + H + J + T + C + N.
H horse ability · J jockey · T trainer · C class · N residual (how "on" that day) · RD race-day track effect (stripped from FIG).
E / M / L early/mid/late fps splits (pace shape). Distance, surface, post, weight, run-up, and track-condition are already subtracted from FIG — that's what makes figures comparable across conditions.
DATETRKRDISTSURFCOND POSFLDBL GIBBS E M L H J T C N RD ODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-25 CD 2 8.5f dirt Fast 2.0 9 1.5 94 11.3 1.0 2.1 0.0 -0.6 2.1 8.05 Ben Curtis
2026-05-01 OP 6 8.5f dirt Fast 2.0 7 0.5 96 11.3 2.7 2.1 0.0 0.2 4.8 0.9 Rafael Bejarano
2026-04-11 OP 11 8.0f dirt Fast 2.0 10 0.1 97 11.3 2.7 2.1 0.0 0.7 1.5 2.1 Rafael Bejarano
2026-03-06 OP 6 8.5f dirt Fast 1.0 7 0.0 96 11.3 2.7 2.1 0.0 0.4 -1.9 1.5 Rafael Bejarano
2026-02-16 OP 10 8.0f dirt Fast 3.0 9 1.5 96 11.3 1.4 2.1 0.0 1.5 0.4 7.6 Cristian Torres
2026-01-03 OP 6 8.0f dirt Fast 1.0 12 0.0 95 11.3 1.7 2.1 0.0 -0.4 -2.7 4.1 Luis Saez
2025-11-20 CD 3 8.0f dirt Muddy (Sealed) 1.0 7 0.0 97 8.3 1.7 3.1 0.0 3.9 -1.5 2.38 Luis Saez
2025-10-29 CD 8 9.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) 3.0 8 5.0 91 8.3 1.7 3.1 0.0 -2.2 -11.8 2.72 Luis Saez
2025-10-11 GP 10 7.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) 6.0 10 2.5 94 8.3 1.9 3.1 0.0 1.1 2.6 14.4 Leonel Reyes
2025-08-29 GP 8 7.0f dirt Fast 3.0 9 1.8 93 8.3 1.9 3.1 0.0 -0.7 7.1 27.4 Leonel Reyes
2025-06-06 GP 8 8.318181818181818f synthetic Fast 7.0 7 13.8 80 -3.2 1.4 3.1 0.0 -1.1 4.2 12.3 Emisael Jaramillo
2025-04-24 GP 7 7.0f dirt Fast 4.0 7 6.2 91 8.3 1.4 3.1 0.0 -1.5 -10.5 3.1 Emisael Jaramillo
2025-03-30 GP 1 6.5f dirt Fast 1.0 6 0.0 94 8.3 1.4 3.1 0.0 0.7 5.0 14.7 Emisael Jaramillo