Reasoned Analysis S
89.4
Current Fig
100.2
Last Fig
100.2
Best Fig
0.941 ± 0.362
α (ability)
8
Starts
3
Wins
38%
Win %
5
ITM (1-2-3)
SIRE: Upstart  ·  DAM: We Love Lucy  ·  DAMSIRE: Majesticperfection
PAST PERFORMANCES
▸ How to read the decomposition columns
Each figure is decomposed in figure points: FIG ≈ 80 + H + J + T + C + N.
H horse ability · J jockey · T trainer · C class · N residual (how "on" that day) · RD race-day track effect (stripped from FIG).
E / M / L early/mid/late fps splits (pace shape). Distance, surface, post, weight, run-up, and track-condition are already subtracted from FIG — that's what makes figures comparable across conditions.
DATETRKRDISTSURFCOND POSFLDBL GIBBS E M L H J T C N RD ODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-04 SAR 10 8.0f dirt Fast 3.0 9 2.5 100 9.4 2.1 7.8 0.0 0.9 -1.0 9.61 Dylan Davis
2025-04-17 AQU 7 8.0f dirt Fast 1.0 7 0.0 98 7.8 2.1 7.8 0.0 0.3 6.5 1.55 Dylan Davis
2025-03-09 AQU 8 6.5f dirt Fast 3.0 6 13.0 97 7.8 1.7 7.8 0.0 0.0 -5.0 3.05 Eric Cancel
2024-06-08 SAR 8 7.0f dirt Fast 4.0 11 8.5 95 5.1 1.7 7.8 0.0 0.3 5.3 34.5 Eric Cancel
2024-04-06 AQU 9 7.0f dirt Fast 1.0 10 0.0 95 5.1 1.7 7.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 15.5 Eric Cancel
2024-02-25 AQU 1 8.0f dirt Fast 1.0 6 0.0 94 5.1 1.7 7.8 0.0 -1.0 -11.5 3.85 Eric Cancel
2023-12-08 AQU 1 9.0f dirt Fast 5.0 6 6.8 90 1.2 2.1 7.8 0.0 -1.4 8.2 3.85 Manuel Franco
2023-10-01 BAQ 2 6.0f dirt Fast 4.0 12 6.8 90 1.2 2.1 7.8 0.0 -1.1 -0.7 17.0 Manuel Franco