Surprise Package S
84.1
Current Fig
84.9
Last Fig
89.9
Best Fig
0.406 ± 0.188
α (ability)
17
Starts
5
Wins
29%
Win %
8
ITM (1-2-3)
SIRE: Gift Box  ·  DAM: Merci Beaucoup  ·  DAMSIRE: Giant's Causeway
PAST PERFORMANCES
▸ How to read the decomposition columns
Each figure is decomposed in figure points: FIG ≈ 80 + H + J + T + C + N.
H horse ability · J jockey · T trainer · C class · N residual (how "on" that day) · RD race-day track effect (stripped from FIG).
E / M / L early/mid/late fps splits (pace shape). Distance, surface, post, weight, run-up, and track-condition are already subtracted from FIG — that's what makes figures comparable across conditions.
DATETRKRDISTSURFCOND POSFLDBL GIBBS E M L H J T C N RD ODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-10 MTH 4 8.0f dirt Fast 4.0 6 9.5 85 4.1 0.7 1.8 0.0 -1.7 2.5 3.0 Jefferson Skerrett
2026-05-25 MTH 4 8.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) 3.0 5 6.2 88 4.1 0.7 1.8 0.0 1.4 2.8 5.0 Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-05-01 TAM 8 8.181818181818182f dirt Fast 1.0 7 0.0 90 4.1 0.5 1.8 0.0 3.6 5.1 3.4 Hector Diaz, Jr.
2026-04-19 TAM 1 8.181818181818182f dirt Fast 1.0 7 0.0 89 4.1 0.5 1.8 0.0 2.8 2.2 6.5 Hector Diaz, Jr.
2026-03-28 TAM 1 8.5f dirt Fast 5.0 7 8.2 86 4.1 0.5 1.8 0.0 -0.2 4.4 11.2 Charlie Marquez
2026-03-15 TAM 2 8.181818181818182f dirt Fast 4.0 6 5.2 86 4.1 2.2 1.8 0.0 -1.6 2.6 3.5 Samuel Marin
2026-02-07 TAM 3 8.5f turf Firm 11.0 11 33.8 69 -6.8 1.1 1.8 0.0 -7.2 -4.0 30.8 Chris Landeros
2026-01-16 TAM 5 8.181818181818182f dirt Fast 1.0 8 0.0 87 4.1 1.1 1.8 0.0 -0.3 -0.3 17.2 Chris Landeros
2025-11-29 TAM 7 8.0f turf Firm 9.0 9 29.5 71 -0.7 2.2 1.8 0.0 -12.6 -5.3 4.5 Samuel Marin
2025-10-01 DEL 5 8.5f turf Good 8.0 10 10.5 82 -0.7 1.6 1.8 0.0 -1.2 0.8 12.3 Sonny Leon
2025-08-31 MTH 7 8.5f turf Firm 1.0 9 0.0 85 -0.7 2.2 1.8 0.0 1.7 -1.3 2.0 Samuel Marin
2025-08-09 MTH 1 8.5f turf Firm 2.0 9 1.8 85 -0.7 1.5 1.8 0.0 2.0 -4.0 4.4 Samy Camacho
2025-07-20 MTH 10 8.5f turf Good 1.0 11 0.0 86 -0.7 2.2 1.8 0.0 2.2 -3.5 10.4 Samuel Marin
2025-06-29 MTH 3 8.5f turf Firm 3.0 10 2.0 87 -0.7 2.2 1.8 0.0 4.0 0.6 43.5 Samuel Marin
2025-06-14 MTH 1 8.0f turf Firm 9.0 12 10.0 80 -0.7 2.1 1.8 0.0 -3.5 -5.8 17.1 Jorge Ruiz
2025-04-26 TAM 2 8.0f turf Firm 7.0 8 12.2 78 -0.7 1.0 1.8 0.0 -4.3 1.6 12.8 Israel Rodriguez
2025-02-27 GP 9 8.0f turf Firm 7.0 8 11.5 83 -0.7 1.2 1.8 0.0 0.8 5.7 37.5 Luca Panici