TRACKS · 2026-08-01
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R1 Five And D R2 Six Furl D R3 About Se T R4 Five Fur D R5 About Fi T R6 Seven Fu D R7 About On T R8 Five And D R9 Six Furl D
R1 Claiming
EVD 2026-08-01 Five And One Half Furlongs DIRT $15000 9 horses PACE FAST
Model's top 3
#1 PICK
3 A Lotta Shance ★ HIGH_CONF
37.8% win prob fair 8-5 M/L 5/2
#2 PICK
5 Heroic Act
21.1% win prob fair 7-2 M/L 8/1
#3 PICK
8 Chicanery
18.8% win prob fair 9-2 M/L 3/1
Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 7 ⚡ »» 96/94 Shot Gun Shack 2 100/84 The Big Ben 8 LP »»» 95/105 Chicanery 9 »» 114/85 Too Many Titos 5 LP 87/105 Heroic Act 6 LP 108/107 After Party 1 84/92 Crazy Red 3 97/93 A Lotta Shance 4 94/95 Blondate
On the lead: 7, 2 · race sets up for closers
3 A Lotta Shance ★ HIGH_CONF
3G L 118 lbs Post 3 J: Timothy Thornton T: Sam David, Jr. P
82.6
Proj Fig
37.8%
Model %
8-5
Fair
5/2
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-11 EVD 5.5f dirt Fast Claiming 78 89 85.9 74 5.0/9 3.2 3.2 Isaac Castillo
2026-06-13 EVD 5.5f dirt Fast Claiming 89 84 85.7 79 2.0/8 4.0 4.6 Isaac Castillo
2026-05-28 EVD 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Mdn_Clm_3yo 86 93 84.7 85 1.0/8 0.0 0.9 Timothy Thornton
2026-03-21 FG 6.0f dirt Fast MSW_3yo 97 nan 70.3 93 12.0/12 23.2 53.7 Erica Murray
2026-02-17 FG 6.0f dirt Fast MSW_3yo 95 nan 77.5 89 6.0/10 15.5 9.6 Erica Murray
5 Heroic Act
4C L 124 lbs Post 5 J: Harry Hernandez T: Jonas Gibson P
83.5
Proj Fig
21.1%
Model %
7-2
Fair
8/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-29 LAD 8.5f dirt Fast Claiming 82 90 82.1 87 2.0/4 7.5 0.1 Harry Hernandez
2026-05-26 LAD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm 84 83 90.5 105 1.0/6 0.0 0.1 Isaac Castillo
2025-11-13 CD 8.5f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm nan nan 84.5 78 6.0/9 17.5 4.91 Cristian Torres
2025-10-10 RP 8.5f dirt Fast MSW_unknown 87 100 93.5 nan 2.0/6 0.1 1.0 Ramon Vazquez
2025-08-23 ELP 7.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm 67 83 90.3 85 5.0/7 8.5 3.31 Tyler Gaffalione
8 Chicanery
3C L 121 lbs Post 8 J: C.J. McMahon T: W. Calhoun EP
85.4
Proj Fig
18.8%
Model %
9-2
Fair
3/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-09 EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_3yo 90 92 86.3 85 1.0/8 0.0 0.05 C.J. McMahon
2026-05-21 EVD 6.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Mdn_Clm_3yo 90 87 84.3 105 2.0/8 2.0 0.6 C.J. McMahon
2026-04-23 EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_3yo 91 84 86.1 78 2.0/8 1.5 0.9 C.J. McMahon
2026-02-21 FG 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_3yo 92 91 85.2 84 3.0/7 3.8 4.2 Mitchell Murrill
2025-11-28 FG 5.5f turf Firm MSW_2yo 95 91 78.5 91 7.0/11 13.8 7.7 Mitchell Murrill
6 After Party
3G L 121 lbs Post 6 J: Carlos Perez T: Juan Cano P
79.7
Proj Fig
7.6%
Model %
12-1
Fair
10/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-04-19 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 108 89 79.8 60 2.0/8 1.8 9.6 David Cohen
2026-04-10 OP 8.0f dirt Fast Claiming 73 80 71.4 96 11.0/11 31.0 9.0 David Cohen
2026-03-08 OP 6.0f dirt Muddy (Sealed) Claiming 100 90 81.0 65 9.0/9 20.2 8.9 Rafael Bejarano
2025-12-27 OP 8.0f dirt Fast Starter_Alw 77 88 89.3 88 4.0/11 6.8 7.7 Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-10-24 KEE 6.5f dirt Fast Starter_Alw 103 98 91.1 107 3.0/10 7.8 8.88 Tyler Gaffalione
4 Blondate ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH
4G L 121 lbs Post 4 J: Elio Barrera T: Russell Richard P
79.1
Proj Fig
6.7%
Model %
15-1
Fair
15/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-11 EVD 5.5f dirt Fast Claiming 80 nan 83.3 72 4.0/9 2.8 18.1 Thomas Pompell
2026-06-13 EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 54 nan 79.3 90 3.0/7 7.0 6.1 Thomas Pompell
2026-05-22 EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 81 90 79.9 94 4.0/7 4.2 19.1 Thomas Pompell
2026-04-22 EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 94 nan 82.3 62 2.0/9 3.8 13.3 Thomas Pompell
2026-03-19 FG 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 77 79 73.0 95 7.0/7 17.0 33.9 Hunter Rea
9 Too Many Titos
3C L 118 lbs Post 9 J: Colby Hernandez T: Jayde Gelner P
81.3
Proj Fig
3.4%
Model %
30-1
Fair
4/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-25 EVD 5.0f turf Firm Mdn_Clm_3yo 86 87 78.7 85 1.0/8 0.0 2.4 Colby Hernandez
2026-05-15 EVD 6.0f dirt Fast MSW_3yo 79 89 78.0 68 6.0/8 9.5 15.3 Colby Hernandez
2026-04-30 EVD 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) MSW_3yo 89 80 84.2 81 3.0/7 4.5 17.0 Colby Hernandez
2026-02-12 DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_3yo 102 82 84.0 70 3.0/6 3.0 2.0 Vicente Del-Cid
2026-01-30 DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_3yo 114 81 81.3 68 2.0/8 4.2 3.1 Vicente Del-Cid
7 Shot Gun Shack
4G L 121 lbs Post 7 J: Kevin Roman T: Kearney Segura E
78.9
Proj Fig
2.1%
Model %
50-1
Fair
20/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-13 EVD 5.5f dirt Fast Claiming 90 81 71.8 80 8.0/8 22.5 17.6 Kevin Roman
2026-05-22 EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 79 86 77.0 86 5.0/7 9.0 4.4 Kevin Roman
2026-03-07 FG 5.5f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_older 76 84 85.9 94 1.0/11 0.0 0.1 Axel Concepcion
2026-01-14 DED 5.0f dirt Fast MSW_older 73 96 82.9 92 2.0/6 5.2 0.5 Timothy Thornton
2025-12-18 FG 6.0f dirt Fast MSW_3yo 96 82 83.8 94 3.0/8 9.8 8.7 Axel Concepcion
1 Crazy Red
3G L 116 lbs Post 1 J: Juan Hernandez T: Jerry Tillis EP
77.6
Proj Fig
1.5%
Model %
50-1
Fair
9/2
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-16 EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Claiming — — 78.9 — 3.0/6 9.5 4.5 Carlos Perez
2026-06-11 EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Claiming 84 90 80.8 84 2.0/7 3.8 4.7 Carlos Perez
2026-03-26 GP 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 77 101 77.2 81 6.0/8 24.0 12.6 Jose Morelos
2026-02-19 GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Claiming 82 nan 79.9 76 5.0/8 6.2 27.4 Jose Morelos
2026-02-04 TAM 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 66 74 79.1 80 5.0/7 10.5 24.6 Cesar Gonzalez
2 The Big Ben
3G 121 lbs Post 2 J: Isaac Castillo T: Jerry Tillis, Jr. EP
74.0
Proj Fig
1.0%
Model %
99-1
Fair
20/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-16 EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Claiming — — 75.7 — 6.0/6 14.5 13.6 Juan Vargas
2025-11-16 GP 6.0f dirt Fast Starter_Alw 96 86 72.2 74 5.0/5 22.0 15.8 Yolber Torres
2025-10-02 DEL 5.5f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_2yo 99 88 81.8 80 1.0/7 0.0 8.6 Jose Vargas
2025-09-13 LRL 5.5f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_2yo 74 80 77.5 84 6.0/10 14.0 9.7 Fredy Peltroche
2025-09-06 CNL 5.5f turf Firm Mdn_Clm_2yo 100 86 80.7 63 2.0/7 5.5 2.1 Joseph Trejos