TRACKS · 2026-08-01
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R1 Five And D R2 Six Furl D R3 About Se T R4 Five Fur D R5 About Fi T R6 Seven Fu D R7 About On T R8 Five And D R9 Six Furl D
R6 Claiming
EVD 2026-08-01 Seven Furlongs DIRT $19000 9 horses PACE FAST
Model's top 3
#1 PICK
4 Motor City
24.4% win prob fair 3-1 M/L 2/1
#2 PICK
8 War Mule ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH
20.2% win prob fair 4-1 M/L 15/1
#3 PICK
6 Dixie Doctor
10.6% win prob fair 8-1 M/L 12/1
Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 22.8s par 23.2 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 3 90/88 The Monopoly Man 1 93/103 Outlaw Empire 8 LP ⚡ »» 99/113 War Mule 6 95/99 Dixie Doctor 7 » 95/89 Bergen 2 107/105 Pineapple Willy 4 96/102 Motor City 9 »» 93/106 Formulate 5 95/107 Guns
On the lead: 3, 1, 8 · race sets up for closers
4 Motor City
5G L 122 lbs Post 4 J: Harry Hernandez T: Brett Brinkman S
89.7
Proj Fig
24.4%
Model %
3-1
Fair
2/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-03 EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 96 81 89.6 69 4.0/6 3.8 9.3 Thomas Pompell
2026-05-08 EVD 7.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Claiming 82 nan 90.2 68 2.0/7 3.5 1.1 Thomas Pompell
2026-04-24 EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 91 82 89.0 102 4.0/10 14.0 12.3 Thomas Pompell
2026-04-03 EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 78 93 90.6 91 5.0/9 3.8 9.4 Thomas Pompell
2025-12-22 DED 5.0f dirt Wet Fast Allowance 75 96 90.4 86 4.0/8 1.5 4.2 Vicente Del-Cid
8 War Mule ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH
4G L 122 lbs Post 8 J: C.J. McMahon T: W. Calhoun P
85.1
Proj Fig
20.2%
Model %
4-1
Fair
15/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-11 EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 83 91 85.8 87 1.0/7 0.0 1.2 C.J. McMahon
2026-04-24 EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Allowance 84 92 82.7 68 7.0/8 13.2 7.1 C.J. McMahon
2026-03-15 HOU 5.0f turf Firm Allowance 91 nan 76.3 106 8.0/9 14.0 12.1 Jose Alvarez
2025-11-22 RP 6.5f dirt Fast Allowance 88 99 90.5 113 5.0/7 10.0 4.1 David Cabrera
2025-07-03 LS 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 99 96 89.1 87 2.0/7 2.2 3.9 David Cabrera
6 Dixie Doctor
4G L 117 lbs Post 6 J: Misael Alvarez T: Antonio Alberto P
85.4
Proj Fig
10.6%
Model %
8-1
Fair
12/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-05 EVD 8.0f dirt Fast Claiming 72 nan 86.8 94 3.0/8 0.5 4.0 Harry Hernandez
2026-05-08 EVD 7.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Claiming 83 75 86.8 73 3.0/7 6.2 29.5 Joel Dominguez
2026-04-16 EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 87 100 82.2 99 7.0/10 15.8 12.2 Kevin Roman
2026-01-29 FG 8.318181818181818f dirt Fast Claiming 96 84 87.0 84 3.0/8 8.8 2.3 Hunter Rea
2026-01-01 FG 8.318181818181818f dirt Fast Claiming 86 nan 88.7 90 1.0/6 0.0 4.0 Hunter Rea
1 Outlaw Empire ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH
3G L 119 lbs Post 1 J: Timothy Thornton T: W. Calhoun EP
86.2
Proj Fig
10.3%
Model %
9-1
Fair
15/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-27 LS 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 74 98 87.1 104 1.0/8 0.0 3.1 Jose Alvarez
2026-06-06 LS 6.5f dirt Good Allowance 89 62 86.7 67 5.0/5 17.8 4.4 Jose Alvarez
2026-03-06 FG 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_3yo 88 89 88.5 95 1.0/8 0.0 7.6 Brian Hernandez, Jr.
2026-02-12 FG 8.0f turf Firm Mdn_Clm_3yo 88 81 77.4 92 6.0/6 6.2 5.1 Brian Hernandez, Jr.
2026-01-04 FG 6.0f dirt Fast Maiden_other 93 98 84.5 96 7.0/8 13.5 6.7 Brian Hernandez, Jr.
9 Formulate ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH
4G L 119 lbs Post 9 J: Juan Vargas T: Emile Schwandt S
85.7
Proj Fig
8.3%
Model %
12-1
Fair
20/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-04 EVD 8.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Allowance 76 95 84.8 106 5.0/7 14.5 11.6 Juan Vargas
2025-06-01 GP 8.0f turf Firm Starter_Alw 91 81 80.3 66 6.0/7 6.2 8.4 Edwin Gonzalez
2025-05-09 GP 8.5f synthetic Fast Allowance 88 nan 89.2 78 3.0/5 6.2 4.1 Paco Lopez
2025-03-28 GP 8.0f dirt Fast Starter_Alw 82 91 92.8 87 1.0/7 0.0 1.8 Edwin Gonzalez
2024-11-02 GP 8.0f turf Good Stakes_ungraded 93 nan 83.6 87 8.0/10 10.2 7.0 Emisael Jaramillo
7 Bergen
5H L 122 lbs Post 7 J: Isaac Castillo T: Robertino Diodoro S
91.5
Proj Fig
7.8%
Model %
12-1
Fair
4/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-03-01 HOU 8.0f turf Firm Allowance 76 88 81.4 86 7.0/7 11.2 4.3 Floyd Wethey Jr.
2026-02-14 FG 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 95 nan 90.3 80 6.0/10 7.8 22.3 Isaac Castillo
2026-01-15 FG 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 91 80 94.1 83 4.0/9 3.8 8.4 Harry Hernandez
2025-11-30 CD 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 85 89 90.5 87 2.0/9 3.5 1.88 Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-11-08 AQU 6.0f turf Firm Alw_Opt_Clm 83 68 87.6 90 4.0/9 2.2 4.46 Manuel Franco
2 Pineapple Willy
3G L 116 lbs Post 2 J: Jansen Melancon T: Albert Journet, Jr. S
87.6
Proj Fig
7.6%
Model %
12-1
Fair
3/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-02 EVD 6.5f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 108 82 86.4 82 6.0/7 8.2 13.9 Alexis Batista
2026-06-05 EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 60 91 87.5 86 4.0/6 10.2 16.5 C.J. McMahon
2026-05-22 EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 84 89 88.6 105 1.0/7 0.0 0.6 Jansen Melancon
2026-04-17 EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_3yo 91 nan 90.2 62 1.0/12 0.0 2.8 Jansen Melancon
2025-12-03 DED 6.5f dirt Fast Mdn_Clm_2yo 90 88 80.8 82 5.0/8 7.2 0.3 Jansen Melancon
5 Guns
4G L 118 lbs Post 5 J: Casey Fusilier T: Allen Landry S
85.8
Proj Fig
6.0%
Model %
15-1
Fair
6/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-17 EVD 8.0f turf Firm Allowance — — 87.1 — 7.0/7 4.8 10.7 Casey Fusilier
2026-06-13 EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 95 84 86.3 57 1.0/7 0.0 2.5 Casey Fusilier
2026-04-03 EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 95 92 84.2 83 2.0/9 4.2 1.4 Joel Dominguez
2026-02-13 DED 8.0f dirt Fast Claiming 81 97 84.0 91 2.0/10 0.1 6.9 Joel Dominguez
2026-01-15 DED 8.0f dirt Fast Claiming 73 101 84.1 107 3.0/8 1.5 2.9 Joel Dominguez
3 The Monopoly Man
5H L 122 lbs Post 3 J: Elio Barrera T: Kearney Segura P
82.0
Proj Fig
4.9%
Model %
20-1
Fair
8/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-05-08 EVD 7.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Claiming 84 nan 77.6 76 7.0/7 25.0 5.2 Elio Barrera
2026-02-21 DED 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 83 80 84.3 87 1.0/9 0.0 2.5 Vicente Del-Cid
2026-01-21 DED 6.5f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Allowance 86 82 80.7 82 5.0/8 15.0 27.0 Carlos Perez
2025-11-14 DED 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 90 94 83.1 88 2.0/8 3.0 6.1 Elio Barrera
2025-10-23 DED 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 82 nan 78.4 79 6.0/10 9.0 1.8 Vicente Del-Cid