CNL 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

R1 One Mile T R2 Six And D R3 Six Furl T R4 Five And T R5 One Mile D R6 Seven Fu D R7 Seven Fu D R8 Five And T R9 One And T R10 One And T R11 One And T R12 One Mile T

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

3 Bravaro ★ HIGH_CONF

33.3% win prob fair 2-1 M/L 4/5

#2 PICK

1 Very Volatile ★ VALUE

31.2% win prob fair 2-1 M/L 20/1

#3 PICK

4 Mister Monday Nite ★ VALUE

26.4% win prob fair 3-1 M/L 15/1

Pace Projector LONE SPEED front favored 1st¼ 24.1s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 1 LS★ 95/100 Very Volatile 6 » 93/100 Pont Aven 3 C★ 99/119 Bravaro 4 97/88 Mister Monday Nite 7 »» 94/88 Six Speed 8 »» 121/83 Sabino Canyon 5 » 98/99 Exosome

On the lead: 1 · race sets up for front

3 Bravaro ★ HIGH_CONF

3C 122 lbs Post 3 J: Paco Lopez T: Saffie Joseph, Jr. P

96.0

Proj Fig

33.3%

Model %

2-1

Fair

4/5

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-03	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	99	98	95.2	75	4.0/9	9.5	0.88	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-04-04	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_G2	89	90	94.4	87	4.0/12	2.5	7.79	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-02-28	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_G2	84	95	95.8	119	4.0/9	11.0	9.9	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-01-31	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_G3	93	92	98.1	67	2.0/6	5.8	5.9	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-10-25	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	76	78	97.5	92	1.0/6	0.0	0.78	Dylan Davis

1 Very Volatile ★ VALUE

3G 118 lbs Post 1 J: Jevian Toledo T: Gary Capuano EP

93.6

Proj Fig

31.2%

Model %

2-1

Fair

20/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-21	LRL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	92	78	96.3	51	1.0/6	0.0	2.6	Yedsit Hazlewood
2025-12-27	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	83	nan	63.8	100	6.0/6	72.5	3.2	Yedsit Hazlewood
2025-11-29	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	90	94	90.6	95	1.0/9	0.0	2.4	Yedsit Hazlewood
2025-09-25	DEL	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn_Clm_2yo	96	84	87.4	87	6.0/7	5.8	0.7	Yedsit Hazlewood

4 Mister Monday Nite ★ VALUE

3G 118 lbs Post 4 J: Samuel Marin T: Jamie Ness P

93.6

Proj Fig

26.4%

Model %

3-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	97	93	96.2	88	1.0/6	0.0	5.2	Mychel Sanchez
2026-06-21	PRX	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	95	nan	94.0	84	1.0/8	0.0	1.9	Mychel Sanchez
2026-05-16	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	88	nan	91.5	83	6.0/10	12.0	13.2	Mychel Sanchez

6 Pont Aven

3C 122 lbs Post 6 J: Mychel Sanchez T: Michael Trombetta P

91.3

Proj Fig

5.5%

Model %

15-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11	CNL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	93	93	91.7	100	1.0/8	0.0	7.4	Mychel Sanchez
2026-03-29	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	85	nan	93.3	74	1.0/5	0.0	0.5	J.G. Torrealba
2026-03-08	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	MSW_3yo	72	93	96.4	98	1.0/5	0.0	5.4	J.G. Torrealba
2026-02-06	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	87	nan	88.5	74	3.0/6	6.5	2.4	J.G. Torrealba
2026-01-10	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	Mdn_Clm_3yo	94	89	88.0	90	2.0/10	9.8	2.3	Mychel Sanchez

8 Sabino Canyon

3C 122 lbs Post 8 J: John Velazquez T: Bob Baffert S

93.5

Proj Fig

2.2%

Model %

50-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	LRC	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	121	85	92.2	76	1.0/5	0.0	1.8	Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-05-22	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	70	80	94.4	83	4.0/6	6.2	5.6	Juan Hernandez
2026-03-20	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	82	95	86.7	73	6.0/6	12.8	5.3	Florent Geroux

7 Six Speed

3C 122 lbs Post 7 J: Manuel Franco T: George Weaver P

89.4

Proj Fig

0.9%

Model %

99-1

Fair

4/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_G1	68	90	85.7	71	8.0/9	35.8	12.69	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-05-02	CD	10.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_G1	94	95	87.5	88	13.0/18	17.2	38.7	Brian Hernandez, Jr.

5 Exosome

3C 118 lbs Post 5 J: Tyler Gaffalione T: Kelsey Danner S

90.7

Proj Fig

0.5%

Model %

99-1

Fair

12/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-03-28	OP	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_G1	77	nan	88.3	70	8.0/8	22.8	71.0	Adam Beschizza
2026-02-28	OP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	93	88	91.7	76	1.0/8	0.0	6.4	Francisco Arrieta
2026-02-07	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	85	87	89.2	94	5.0/9	11.2	2.65	Victor Carrasco
2026-01-17	FG	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_G3	98	84	90.9	87	6.0/10	5.2	68.1	Jareth Loveberry
2025-10-19	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW_2yo	66	76	90.0	99	1.0/10	0.0	18.07	Adam Beschizza