TRACKS · 2026-08-01
CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO
ALL CARDS ↗
R1 Five Fur T R2 Five And D R3 Five Fur T R4 Five Fur D R5 One And T R6 One Mile D R7 One Mile T R8 Six And D R9 Five Fur T R10 One And D R11 One And T
R10 Clement L. Hirsch S. Presented by Oak Tree Racing Association (Grade I)
DMR 2026-08-01 One And One Sixteenth Miles DIRT $400000 9 horses PACE FAST
Model's top 3
#1 PICK
1 Chasten ★ HIGH_CONF
57.9% win prob fair 3-5 M/L 4/1
#2 PICK
8 Seismic Beauty
18.6% win prob fair 9-2 M/L 5/2
#3 PICK
5 Majestic Oops
11.9% win prob fair 7-1 M/L 9/2
Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 24.1 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 8 ⚡ »»» 118/101 Seismic Beauty 6 ⚡ »» 94/100 Simply Joking 9 LP »» 94/105 Eunomia 4 89/89 Bank Shot 5 114/80 Majestic Oops 1 89/102 Chasten 7 » 95/94 A Thousand Miles 3 106/95 Om N Joy 2 102/101 Hey Jessie
On the lead: 8, 6 · race sets up for closers
1 Chasten ★ HIGH_CONF
4F 121 lbs Post 1 J: Florent Geroux T: Brad Cox S
102.5
Proj Fig
57.9%
Model %
3-5
Fair
4/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-13 DEL 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 87 72 102.8 61 1.0/7 0.0 0.5 Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-05-01 CD 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 66 85 99.4 102 5.0/10 6.5 12.86 Florent Geroux
2026-03-14 CNL 8.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 79 98 105.1 76 1.0/5 0.0 3.5 Cristian Torres
2026-01-10 FG 8.318181818181818f dirt Good Allowance 89 85 98.5 92 1.0/6 0.0 2.2 Florent Geroux
2025-06-26 CD 8.5f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Alw_Opt_Clm 81 86 95.5 83 7.0/7 7.5 1.9 Florent Geroux
8 Seismic Beauty
5M 123 lbs Post 8 J: Juan Hernandez T: Bob Baffert EP
100.5
Proj Fig
18.6%
Model %
9-2
Fair
5/2
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-05-30 SA 9.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 66 88 96.8 92 3.0/3 9.8 0.4 Juan Hernandez
2025-11-01 DMR 9.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 118 78 90.4 73 11.0/11 39.0 1.2 Juan Hernandez
2025-08-02 DMR 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 82 90 104.0 92 1.0/6 0.0 1.1 Juan Hernandez
2025-05-25 SA 9.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 77 nan 109.3 91 1.0/5 0.0 1.7 Antonio Fresu
2025-04-18 SA 8.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 86 99 103.2 101 1.0/5 0.0 1.1 Juan Hernandez
5 Majestic Oops
6M 123 lbs Post 5 J: Joel Rosario T: Philip D'Amato P
107.8
Proj Fig
11.9%
Model %
7-1
Fair
9/2
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-05-30 CD 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 107 85 104.4 78 3.0/7 3.2 3.63 Francisco Arrieta
2026-04-11 OP 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 89 85 102.8 80 3.0/9 8.2 7.0 Francisco Arrieta
2026-03-07 OP 8.5f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Stakes_G2 57 81 104.9 74 1.0/7 0.0 9.3 Francisco Arrieta
2026-02-13 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 91 96 102.9 77 1.0/6 0.0 2.0 Francisco Arrieta
2025-11-01 DMR 9.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 114 81 97.0 75 9.0/11 16.5 101.0 Umberto Rispoli
6 Simply Joking
4F 121 lbs Post 6 J: Emisael Jaramillo T: Michael McCarthy EP
100.3
Proj Fig
7.2%
Model %
12-1
Fair
5/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-05-30 SA 9.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 82 nan 98.2 97 2.0/3 3.8 1.9 Emisael Jaramillo
2026-04-19 SA 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G3 91 88 103.9 81 1.0/4 0.0 0.8 Emisael Jaramillo
2026-03-07 SA 8.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 94 97 96.4 100 4.0/5 14.5 11.6 Emisael Jaramillo
2025-12-28 SA 7.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 94 93 96.3 81 3.0/10 5.5 16.9 Kazushi Kimura
2025-11-30 DMR 8.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G3 86 93 96.0 100 2.0/8 6.5 4.8 Flavien Prat
3 Om N Joy
4F 123 lbs Post 3 J: Kent Desormeaux T: Aggie Ordonez S
100.8
Proj Fig
1.9%
Model %
50-1
Fair
6/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-05-30 SA 9.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 92 nan 99.5 95 1.0/3 0.0 8.6 Kent Desormeaux
2026-05-23 SA 8.0f turf Firm Stakes_ungraded 97 84 79.3 77 7.0/7 11.8 3.5 Kent Desormeaux
2026-04-11 OP 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 54 85 99.7 54 5.0/9 11.5 23.2 Kent Desormeaux
2026-03-07 SA 8.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G1 106 98 97.6 63 3.0/5 12.8 8.3 Kent Desormeaux
2025-10-18 KEE 7.0f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 99 nan 99.0 81 4.0/10 2.0 12.04 Kent Desormeaux
9 Eunomia
4F 121 lbs Post 9 J: Micah Husbands T: Saffie Joseph, Jr. P
101.7
Proj Fig
1.3%
Model %
50-1
Fair
5/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-05-09 BAQ 8.0f dirt Good Stakes_G2 94 82 97.5 105 6.0/7 11.5 2.14 Sahin Civaci
2026-04-17 KEE 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 85 nan 102.5 84 2.0/8 0.2 1.95 Flavien Prat
2026-03-14 CNL 8.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 78 77 103.4 83 1.0/7 0.0 0.8 Flavien Prat
2026-02-14 GP 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G3 84 nan 99.4 93 3.0/7 5.2 7.0 Edwin Gonzalez
2025-12-13 TAM 8.181818181818182f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 73 95 97.7 83 1.0/7 0.0 0.1 Daniel Centeno
4 Bank Shot
3F 117 lbs Post 4 J: Adrian Escobedo T: Ryan Hanson S
95.7
Proj Fig
1.1%
Model %
99-1
Fair
20/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-13 SA 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G3 89 88 93.4 86 3.0/6 6.5 7.5 Adrian Escobedo
2026-04-04 SA 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 78 76 88.4 89 3.0/6 15.8 17.2 Edwin Maldonado
2026-03-08 SA 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G3 84 72 94.6 39 2.0/7 1.8 22.9 Adrian Escobedo
2026-02-08 SA 8.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 75 95 94.0 89 3.0/4 4.5 28.0 Adrian Escobedo
2026-01-02 SA 8.0f dirt Fast MSW_3yo 88 nan 97.0 84 1.0/7 0.0 8.2 Adrian Escobedo
2 Hey Jessie
4F 121 lbs Post 2 J: Antonio Fresu T: Sean McCarthy C
89.7
Proj Fig
0.1%
Model %
99-1
Fair
20/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-12 SADH 10.0f turf Firm Stakes_ungraded 86 88 81.4 101 5.0/9 4.0 3.9 Emisael Jaramillo
2026-05-03 SADH 12.0f turf Firm Stakes_ungraded 70 92 82.9 76 1.0/5 0.0 2.5 Emisael Jaramillo
2026-03-15 SADH 10.0f turf Firm Stakes_G3 88 91 82.7 92 6.0/10 2.8 11.4 Mike Smith
2026-01-17 SA 9.0f turf Firm Stakes_ungraded 85 80 90.1 92 2.0/8 0.5 6.4 Mike Smith
2025-11-23 DMR 11.0f turf Good Stakes_G3 102 nan 88.6 82 8.0/9 4.5 15.3 Mike Smith
7 A Thousand Miles
4F 121 lbs Post 7 J: Edgar Payeras T: V Belvoir P
85.6
Proj Fig
0.1%
Model %
99-1
Fair
30/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-04 LRC 6.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G2 94 85 81.2 nan 6.0/7 28.0 41.0 Emisael Jaramillo
2026-05-25 SA 9.0f turf Firm Stakes_G1 95 85 86.7 74 8.0/8 7.5 48.0 Mike Smith
2026-04-25 SA 8.0f turf Firm Stakes_G3 93 93 88.3 89 5.0/9 1.8 28.8 Mike Smith
2026-03-15 SADH 10.0f turf Firm Stakes_G3 87 nan 82.9 94 8.0/10 3.2 37.9 Diego Herrera
2026-02-15 SUN 8.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 72 86 87.8 91 4.0/7 5.2 4.9 Glenn Corbett