DMR 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

R1 Five Fur T R2 Five And D R3 Five Fur T R4 Five Fur D R5 One And T R6 One Mile D R7 One Mile T R8 Six And D R9 Five Fur T R10 One And D R11 One And T

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

2 Duke Silver ★ HIGH_CONF

40.9% win prob fair 7-5 M/L 8/1

#2 PICK

1 San Saba

30.9% win prob fair 2-1 M/L 5/1

#3 PICK

10 Santarena

8.5% win prob fair 10-1 M/L 8/1

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 6 » 99/95 Ahrens 8 »» 83/112 Decisive Win 1 ⚡ 104/103 San Saba 3 94/102 General Graham 2 100/87 Duke Silver 5 107/103 Septembersixtyfour 7 » 97/105 See Through It 10 C★ »» 101/122 Santarena 4 101/107 Uncle Chilly 9 »» 100/102 Ghost of Midnight

On the lead: 6, 8, 1, 3 · race sets up for closers

2 Duke Silver ★ HIGH_CONF

3C L 118 lbs Post 2 J: Mike Smith T: Mark Glatt EP

98.4

Proj Fig

40.9%

Model %

7-5

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-07	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	79	93	100.9	86	1.0/9	0.0	1.7	Antonio Fresu
2026-04-04	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	100	84	95.7	86	4.0/7	1.0	1.7	Kazushi Kimura
2026-03-07	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	85	nan	100.8	76	3.0/9	5.8	10.3	Kazushi Kimura

1 San Saba

4C L 122 lbs Post 1 J: Juan Hernandez T: Bob Baffert E

97.6

Proj Fig

30.9%

Model %

2-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-01-25	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	83	94	97.3	103	1.0/7	0.0	1.2	Edwin Maldonado
2024-12-26	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	104	98	97.1	93	3.0/7	4.0	1.2	John Velazquez

10 Santarena

5G L 122 lbs Post 10 J: Julien Leparoux T: Mark Glatt P

97.8

Proj Fig

8.5%

Model %

10-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	101	99	97.9	122	2.0/6	0.8	3.4	Joel Rosario
2026-04-04	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	76	83	99.3	79	4.0/6	10.5	5.8	Antonio Fresu
2025-03-08	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	80	82	99.4	76	2.0/7	4.5	1.7	Antonio Fresu
2025-01-25	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_older	94	96	103.9	84	1.0/7	0.0	1.6	Diego Herrera
2024-12-27	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	88	81	99.1	89	2.0/5	2.2	1.4	Flavien Prat

9 Ghost of Midnight

8G L 124 lbs Post 9 J: Ricardo Gonzalez T: Sean Williams S

94.6

Proj Fig

7.2%

Model %

12-1

Fair

7/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-01	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	100	101	96.6	98	2.0/7	0.8	2.0	Geovanni Franco
2026-03-15	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	75	97	97.0	102	4.0/8	3.0	4.5	Ramon Vazquez
2026-02-07	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	96	90	94.2	60	9.0/10	7.0	23.1	Ramon Vazquez
2026-01-02	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	nan	nan	96.3	46	4.0/5	5.5	5.0	Ramon Vazquez
2025-11-01	DMR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	73	96	95.3	87	5.0/13	3.2	5.8	Diego Herrera

7 See Through It

9G L 124 lbs Post 7 J: Cesar Belmont T: Genaro Vallejo S

91.8

Proj Fig

5.8%

Model %

15-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-05	LRC	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	85	79	97.5	77	1.0/12	0.0	1.5	Kyle Frey
2026-06-21	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	95	100	99.8	88	1.0/5	0.0	0.5	Joel Rosario
2026-06-14	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	98	73	87.3	42	8.0/12	6.5	22.5	Tiago Pereira
2026-04-18	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	85	nan	90.8	81	5.0/7	9.0	4.5	Ramon Vazquez
2026-03-21	TUP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	84	96	95.9	105	7.0/9	4.2	1.4	Vicente Del-Cid

6 Ahrens

3C L 118 lbs Post 6 J: Joel Rosario T: John Sadler E

91.5

Proj Fig

3.1%

Model %

30-1

Fair

10/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-03-29	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Starter_Alw	99	91	77.6	85	7.0/7	14.2	6.6	Tiago Pereira
2026-02-20	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	74	nan	88.5	95	1.0/7	0.0	1.5	Tiago Pereira
2026-01-18	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	91	nan	78.0	89	9.0/11	9.0	40.3	Tiago Pereira

8 Decisive Win

3C L 118 lbs Post 8 J: Antonio Fresu T: Doug O'Neill E

92.7

Proj Fig

1.6%

Model %

50-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-15	SA	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	83	93	88.5	112	4.0/7	4.5	2.1	Antonio Fresu
2026-05-22	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	69	71	95.2	78	1.0/6	0.0	0.5	Antonio Fresu
2026-03-07	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	82	nan	97.3	93	4.0/9	7.0	3.3	Antonio Fresu

3 General Graham

3C L 118 lbs Post 3 J: Kyle Frey T: Tim McCanna EP

91.4

Proj Fig

1.1%

Model %

99-1

Fair

20/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-14	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	88	79	87.0	78	7.0/12	5.0	11.6	Kyle Frey
2026-04-08	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	73	84	94.8	74	1.0/8	0.0	1.74	Jose Ortiz
2026-03-16	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Maiden_other	94	89	95.6	102	1.0/9	0.0	1.7	Jose Ortiz

4 Uncle Chilly

5G L 124 lbs Post 4 J: Armando Ayuso T: Jeff Mullins S

93.4

Proj Fig

0.5%

Model %

99-1

Fair

4/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-23	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	101	92	91.7	nan	5.0/6	9.8	5.9	Joel Rosario
2026-04-25	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	83	92	94.7	80	1.0/8	0.0	1.2	Armando Ayuso
2026-03-20	SA	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	80	81	95.4	nan	1.0/10	0.0	1.5	Armando Ayuso
2026-02-06	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	84	88	94.1	106	1.0/5	0.0	0.5	Armando Ayuso
2025-12-29	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	88	93	91.9	94	2.0/7	0.5	5.8	Armando Ayuso

5 Septembersixtyfour

4G L 122 lbs Post 5 J: Kazushi Kimura T: Mike Puype P

87.6

Proj Fig

0.4%

Model %

99-1

Fair

12/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-25	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	107	87	85.5	80	3.0/7	1.5	1.8	Kazushi Kimura
2026-04-25	SADH	6.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	106	98	86.0	93	2.0/7	0.5	5.4	Kazushi Kimura
2025-10-25	SA	9.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_G2	90	91	88.1	103	4.0/5	3.2	11.0	Kazushi Kimura
2025-10-03	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	93	92	86.1	100	5.0/9	2.8	2.2	Kazushi Kimura
2025-08-14	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	84	nan	88.6	91	1.0/6	0.0	1.5	Kazushi Kimura