DMR 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

R1 Five Fur T R2 Five And D R3 Five Fur T R4 Five Fur D R5 One And T R6 One Mile D R7 One Mile T R8 Six And D R9 Five Fur T R10 One And D R11 One And T

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

4 D Day Sky ★ HIGH_CONF

40.3% win prob fair 3-2 M/L 3/1

#2 PICK

5 Big Reflections

14.6% win prob fair 6-1 M/L 4/1

#3 PICK

7 Trojan Mafia

13.1% win prob fair 7-1 M/L 6/1

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 3 91/97 Sunset Ride 8 »» 96/96 Millbo Baggins 1 ⚡ 97/98 Typhoon Tommy 7 » 91/93 Trojan Mafia 5 87/100 Big Reflections 4 97/100 D Day Sky 2 C★ 104/110 Audible Silence 9 »» 96/93 Noble Minded 6 87/100 Forza Azzurri

On the lead: 3, 8, 1 · race sets up for closers

4 D Day Sky ★ HIGH_CONF

5G L 125 lbs Post 4 J: Antonio Fresu T: Peter Eurton P

92.7

Proj Fig

40.3%

Model %

3-2

Fair

3/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-08	IND	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	91	nan	86.5	86	4.0/7	3.2	2.6	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2026-03-20	FG	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	93	91	87.9	96	4.0/7	1.5	7.0	James Graham
2026-01-31	FG	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	84	78	93.5	100	3.0/6	3.8	5.9	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2025-05-16	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	Claiming	77	94	88.0	92	2.0/6	3.0	5.0	Christopher Elliott
2025-03-15	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	97	83	87.9	72	4.0/7	9.0	4.1	Manuel Franco

5 Big Reflections

4G L 125 lbs Post 5 J: Tyler Baze T: Sean McCarthy S

86.1

Proj Fig

14.6%

Model %

6-1

Fair

4/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	87.2	—	5.0/9	10.5	16.9	Tyler Baze
2026-06-20	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	86	93	86.0	86	1.0/5	0.0	1.1	Julien Leparoux
2026-05-29	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	68	73	83.4	100	4.0/8	9.5	17.0	Tyler Baze

7 Trojan Mafia

3G L 120 lbs Post 7 J: Tiago Pereira T: Jeff Mullins S

85.0

Proj Fig

13.1%

Model %

7-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-23	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	91	nan	83.1	79	1.0/6	0.0	1.9	Tiago Pereira
2026-04-30	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	84	nan	82.5	85	5.0/8	10.2	1.9	Tiago Pereira
2026-02-07	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	84	80	86.4	93	4.0/7	5.5	11.3	Tiago Pereira

3 Sunset Ride

3G L 120 lbs Post 3 J: Ricardo Gonzalez T: Philip D'Amato EP

82.5

Proj Fig

11.8%

Model %

7-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	73	76	83.2	60	1.0/10	0.0	2.4	Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-05-29	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	79	83	76.6	97	8.0/8	15.8	11.7	Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-04-26	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	92	84	52.4	71	10.0/10	45.0	9.6	Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-04-02	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	85	nan	83.6	83	4.0/7	9.5	17.2	Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-06-15	SA	5.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	87	84	80.3	84	7.0/10	17.5	12.1	Ricardo Gonzalez

8 Millbo Baggins

4G L 125 lbs Post 8 J: Armando Ayuso T: Aggie Ordonez P

81.8

Proj Fig

8.5%

Model %

10-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	80	89	80.6	83	4.0/6	7.0	5.1	Armando Ayuso
2026-05-17	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	86	86	84.0	96	2.0/7	0.5	3.1	Armando Ayuso
2026-05-01	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	93	92	80.7	92	6.0/7	19.8	4.8	Kent Desormeaux
2026-04-05	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	89	85	84.6	94	6.0/9	1.5	14.9	Armando Ayuso
2026-02-28	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	96	87	80.7	83	1.0/5	0.0	0.9	Kent Desormeaux

1 Typhoon Tommy

4G L 125 lbs Post 1 J: Edgar Payeras T: Edwin Alvarez EP

81.6

Proj Fig

3.5%

Model %

25-1

Fair

12/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-19	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	82.1	—	6.0/11	5.8	20.4	Edgar Payeras
2026-05-17	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	97	93	82.8	98	3.0/7	3.2	2.6	Edgar Payeras
2026-04-18	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	93	95	82.6	91	2.0/8	3.8	11.6	Edgar Payeras
2026-04-05	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	84	92	83.4	90	7.0/9	2.2	30.9	Edgar Payeras
2026-03-08	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	89	62	81.2	32	5.0/10	8.8	12.7	Edgar Payeras

9 Noble Minded

4C L 125 lbs Post 9 J: Adrian Escobedo T: Ruben Gomez S

79.4

Proj Fig

3.2%

Model %

30-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	96	81	78.8	86	4.0/6	13.8	17.7	Alfredo Bautista
2024-12-07	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_2yo	78	77	86.1	75	1.0/5	0.0	7.3	Abel Lezcano
2024-11-23	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	79	87	85.7	93	5.0/6	15.8	26.4	Serafin Carmona
2024-10-20	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Maiden_other	95	90	82.4	79	7.0/9	13.8	39.2	Armando Aguilar

2 Audible Silence

5G 120 lbs Post 2 J: Alfredo Bautista T: V Brinkerhoff S

81.4

Proj Fig

2.5%

Model %

30-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-19	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	83.0	—	4.0/11	4.5	45.9	Alfredo Bautista
2026-06-27	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	104	83	81.3	78	5.0/6	7.0	18.6	Alfredo Bautista
2026-05-17	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	88	90	82.9	110	4.0/7	3.8	8.1	Alfredo Bautista
2026-04-18	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	95	91	80.9	93	5.0/8	10.0	23.5	Alfredo Bautista
2026-04-03	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	92	83	84.5	84	1.0/6	0.0	4.4	Alfredo Bautista

6 Forza Azzurri

3G L 120 lbs Post 6 J: Joel Rosario T: Peter Miller C

86.3

Proj Fig

2.4%

Model %

50-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-07	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Starter_Alw	85	75	75.3	94	9.0/9	19.8	24.6	Cesar Belmont
2026-04-09	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Starter_Alw	76	78	88.0	73	4.0/5	11.2	3.6	Samy Camacho
2026-03-06	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Starter_Alw	84	88	81.7	100	7.0/9	3.5	6.2	Mario Gutierrez
2026-01-22	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	87	nan	86.3	86	1.0/9	0.0	2.9	Mario Gutierrez
2025-11-23	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_2yo	72	94	84.6	95	7.0/9	15.0	7.6	Edwin Gonzalez