ELP 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

R1 One And D R2 One Mile D R3 Five And T R4 Six And D R5 One And T R6 Seven Fu D R7 One Mile T R8 Six Furl D R9 Five And T R10 Five And T

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

3 One More Time

24.9% win prob fair 3-1 M/L 9/2

#2 PICK

8 Sequoia Stars ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

16.8% win prob fair 5-1 M/L 15/1

#3 PICK

9 Equator ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

14.9% win prob fair 6-1 M/L 15/1

Pace Projector HONEST PACE 1st¼ 24.1s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 3 87/91 One More Time 7 LP » 76/102 Stellenbosch 5 82/91 Top Drawer 1 92/94 Ingleborough 8 »» 103/86 Sequoia Stars 2 103/95 Get Them Roses 6 94/99 Don's Winner 4 95/84 Max Is Him 9 LP »» 90/101 Equator

3 One More Time

4C L 124 lbs Post 3 J: Rafael Bejarano T: Bob Baffert P

95.2

Proj Fig

24.9%

Model %

3-1

Fair

9/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-22	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	72	72	95.5	74	3.0/6	6.0	8.7	Joel Rosario
2026-03-20	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	87	98	89.2	88	4.0/6	8.2	7.0	Juan Hernandez
2026-02-15	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	71	75	89.2	90	4.0/5	17.8	5.2	Florent Geroux
2025-06-14	SA	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	87	82	91.3	80	5.0/8	17.8	10.1	Drayden Van Dyke

8 Sequoia Stars ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

3C L 118 lbs Post 8 J: Edgar Morales T: J. Sweezey C

96.3

Proj Fig

16.8%

Model %

5-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-21	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	102	nan	96.3	68	3.0/11	2.8	12.98	Gabriel Saez
2026-06-06	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	90	75	96.9	84	2.0/9	1.0	6.19	Axel Concepcion
2026-05-09	CD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	103	91	93.9	86	4.0/9	7.2	19.91	Axel Concepcion

9 Equator ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

3C L 118 lbs Post 9 J: Alex Achard T: Eoin Harty C

95.8

Proj Fig

14.9%

Model %

6-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	CD	6.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW_3yo	85	94	97.3	101	5.0/8	3.8	18.66	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-06-05	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	—	—	88.4	—	4.0/10	6.0	11.82	Alex Achard
2025-08-11	ELP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	90	92	89.8	95	4.0/11	3.5	5.66	Walter Rodriguez
2025-07-13	ELP	5.5f	turf	Good	MSW_2yo	87	87	85.8	86	3.0/9	4.8	4.08	Walter Rodriguez

7 Stellenbosch

3C L 118 lbs Post 7 J: Francisco Arrieta T: Bob Baffert

98.3

Proj Fig

14.0%

Model %

6-1

Fair

5/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-14	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	76	92	97.3	102	2.0/10	3.5	3.38	Florent Geroux

6 Don's Winner

3C L 118 lbs Post 6 J: Ben Curtis T: Joe Sharp C

94.4

Proj Fig

11.8%

Model %

7-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-07	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	94	83	95.8	67	2.0/10	6.5	36.74	Luis Saez
2026-05-17	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	88	99	92.9	99	8.0/11	13.0	53.84	Jaime Torres

4 Max Is Him

3C L 118 lbs Post 4 J: Gerardo Corrales T: Dale Romans C

89.8

Proj Fig

5.8%

Model %

15-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-21	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	95	nan	92.6	84	4.0/11	2.8	21.41	Martin Garcia
2026-05-31	CD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	70	88	84.5	80	11.0/11	21.2	58.47	Martin Garcia

5 Top Drawer

3C L 118 lbs Post 5 J: Axel Concepcion T: Brad Cox

93.9

Proj Fig

5.5%

Model %

15-1

Fair

4/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-05	ELP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	82	nan	93.7	91	3.0/8	2.8	11.67	Axel Concepcion

1 Ingleborough

4G L 124 lbs Post 1 J: Martin Garcia T: Dale Romans S

93.3

Proj Fig

3.7%

Model %

25-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-17	CD	12.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	84	76	89.2	94	8.0/9	13.8	15.79	Martin Garcia
2026-05-02	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	85	nan	94.5	74	3.0/8	5.5	31.21	Martin Garcia
2026-03-25	TP	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_unknown	92	97	92.8	91	5.0/12	8.8	6.69	Luan Machado

2 Get Them Roses

3G L 118 lbs Post 2 J: Danny Sheehy T: Brendan Walsh S

94.6

Proj Fig

2.6%

Model %

30-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-02	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	73	87	91.0	95	8.0/8	14.2	14.37	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-03-21	FG	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	92	88	92.9	75	4.0/8	4.2	19.2	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2026-02-14	FG	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	103	nan	90.3	80	6.0/11	16.0	10.9	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-01-17	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	97	85	91.2	86	7.0/11	13.8	28.8	Ben Curtis