TRACKS · 2026-08-01
CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO
ALL CARDS ↗
R1 One And D R2 One Mile D R3 Five And T R4 Six And D R5 One And T R6 Seven Fu D R7 One Mile T R8 Six Furl D R9 Five And T R10 Five And T
R8 Allowance Optional Claiming
ELP 2026-08-01 Six Furlongs DIRT $104000 9 horses PACE FAST
Model's top 3
#1 PICK
5 Can't Hush This ★ VALUE
24.1% win prob fair 3-1 M/L 10/1
#2 PICK
6 Barksdale
21.8% win prob fair 7-2 M/L 10/1
#3 PICK
1 Risk It
16.2% win prob fair 5-1 M/L 8/1
Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 8 »»» 98/93 Change of Command 3 98/98 Big Boat 6 »» 95/98 Barksdale 5 91/96 Can't Hush This 7 » 96/98 Kalahari Dreams 9 »» 82/95 Pinfire 2 102/98 Keep It Easy 1 92/102 Risk It 4 C★ 100/110 Market Street
On the lead: 8, 3, 6 · race sets up for closers
5 Can't Hush This ★ VALUE
7G L 122 lbs Post 5 J: Gerardo Corrales T: Gregory Foley P
93.6
Proj Fig
24.1%
Model %
3-1
Fair
10/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-27 CD 7.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Alw_Opt_Clm 83 96 92.3 94 4.0/12 2.8 15.83 Adam Beschizza
2026-06-13 CD 7.5f dirt Fast Claiming 91 81 97.5 96 2.0/9 1.8 4.49 Adam Beschizza
2026-05-16 CD 7.0f dirt Muddy Alw_Opt_Clm 78 86 90.8 91 10.0/11 12.0 11.13 Adam Beschizza
2026-03-06 TP 8.0f synthetic Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 78 nan 91.8 83 3.0/9 6.2 5.33 Joseph Ramos
2026-01-21 TP 6.0f synthetic Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 89 83 92.9 78 4.0/7 5.2 3.01 Edgar Morales
6 Barksdale
5G L 122 lbs Post 6 J: Adam Beschizza T: Matt Shirer EP
90.6
Proj Fig
21.8%
Model %
7-2
Fair
10/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-06 CD 7.0f dirt Fast Claiming 84 74 91.7 65 2.0/8 0.5 5.04 Mario Gutierrez
2026-05-21 CD 6.5f dirt Fast Claiming 83 nan 91.9 78 5.0/10 6.5 1.76 Tyler Gaffalione
2026-04-29 CD 6.5f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Claiming 88 97 94.2 98 1.0/5 0.0 1.33 Tyler Gaffalione
2026-03-01 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 86 86 88.5 94 10.0/10 16.0 26.7 Walter De La Cruz
2025-10-18 BAQ 6.0f dirt Fast Starter_Alw 95 86 90.9 77 3.0/7 0.2 8.45 Manuel Franco
1 Risk It
5H L 122 lbs Post 1 J: Ben Curtis T: Steven Asmussen S
93.9
Proj Fig
16.2%
Model %
5-1
Fair
8/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-07-06 ELP 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 74 65 93.5 33 3.0/4 5.2 9.27 Keith Asmussen
2026-05-02 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 82 83 94.4 83 5.0/12 2.2 30.1 Keith Asmussen
2026-04-10 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Allowance 88 77 93.9 45 4.0/7 6.5 15.2 Erik Asmussen
2026-03-28 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Allowance 90 87 93.5 102 4.0/9 4.8 14.2 Keith Asmussen
2026-03-01 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Allowance 92 88 94.5 89 4.0/9 2.5 13.9 Erik Asmussen
3 Big Boat
4C L 122 lbs Post 3 J: Francisco Arrieta T: James DiVito EP
95.6
Proj Fig
8.5%
Model %
10-1
Fair
6/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2025-10-09 KEE 5.5f turf Good Allowance 94 nan 89.2 82 3.0/8 4.0 10.03 Jose Ortiz
2025-09-14 CD 6.0f dirt Good Alw_Opt_Clm 98 85 92.9 79 3.0/8 4.2 2.63 Orlando Mojica
2025-08-10 ELP 8.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 98 87 95.1 98 4.0/6 11.8 1.96 Orlando Mojica
2025-07-03 ELP 7.0f dirt Fast Allowance 78 83 98.1 98 1.0/11 0.0 17.69 Orlando Mojica
2025-04-11 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 87 86 93.9 76 2.0/6 2.8 1.1 Ramon Vazquez
7 Kalahari Dreams
4G L 122 lbs Post 7 J: Gabriel Saez T: Philip Bauer P
91.0
Proj Fig
8.1%
Model %
12-1
Fair
8/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-27 CD 7.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Alw_Opt_Clm 96 nan 90.3 89 8.0/12 5.2 13.85 Luis Saez
2026-05-16 CD 7.0f dirt Muddy Alw_Opt_Clm 67 74 91.6 84 6.0/11 6.8 12.04 Danny Sheehy
2026-04-18 KEE 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 82 99 90.4 93 3.0/4 11.8 4.1 Luis Saez
2025-12-19 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 80 94 98.3 98 3.0/8 5.2 2.4 Luis Saez
2025-11-08 CD 6.5f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 96 nan 99.6 76 2.0/8 2.2 2.66 Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2 Keep It Easy
4C L 122 lbs Post 2 J: Martin Garcia T: Dale Romans S
91.5
Proj Fig
8.0%
Model %
12-1
Fair
2/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-27 CD 7.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Alw_Opt_Clm 102 82 92.9 57 3.0/12 0.5 3.43 Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-05-16 CD 7.0f dirt Muddy Alw_Opt_Clm 68 82 93.2 75 4.0/11 3.2 7.19 Corey Lanerie
2026-03-04 TAM 8.5f turf Firm Alw_Opt_Clm 77 nan 88.3 92 6.0/10 8.8 4.6 Edwin Gonzalez
2025-11-24 MVR 6.0f dirt Fast Stakes_ungraded 74 92 91.7 nan 5.0/9 6.0 9.5 Corey Lanerie
2025-10-22 KEE 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 93 88 95.4 98 2.0/7 0.2 6.49 Corey Lanerie
4 Market Street
5H L 122 lbs Post 4 J: Cristian Torres T: Aaron Shorter S
93.2
Proj Fig
7.0%
Model %
12-1
Fair
9/2
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2025-09-20 CD 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 94 83 94.8 83 2.0/5 0.2 8.05 Joseph Bealmear
2025-08-02 ELP 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 64 72 93.5 56 7.0/10 6.2 16.52 Corey Lanerie
2025-06-26 CD 6.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Alw_Opt_Clm 91 93 93.1 86 4.0/10 3.5 14.85 Joseph Bealmear
2025-05-26 CD 6.0f dirt Fast Claiming 100 97 95.3 110 1.0/5 0.0 5.17 Joseph Bealmear
2025-05-01 OP 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm nan nan 94.1 85 3.0/10 1.5 37.4 Joseph Bealmear
8 Change of Command
5H L 122 lbs Post 8 J: Erik Asmussen T: Steven Asmussen EP
85.4
Proj Fig
3.3%
Model %
30-1
Fair
15/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2024-08-24 MTH 8.318181818181818f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 98 nan 87.8 88 7.0/7 20.0 2.5 Samuel Marin
2024-02-10 TAM 8.5f dirt Fast Stakes_G3 87 92 87.5 86 11.0/11 21.5 4.1 Tyler Gaffalione
2024-01-05 GP 8.5f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm nan nan 93.9 48 1.0/6 0.0 1.1 Jose Ortiz
2023-12-17 GP 7.0f dirt Good MSW_2yo 89 82 90.5 82 1.0/6 0.0 0.4 Jose Ortiz
2023-11-04 AQU 8.0f dirt Fast MSW_2yo 70 89 93.7 93 2.0/7 1.2 3.9 Luis Rivera, Jr.
9 Pinfire
6G L 122 lbs Post 9 J: Axel Concepcion T: Michael Tomlinson P
92.9
Proj Fig
3.0%
Model %
30-1
Fair
6/1
M/L
DATETRKDISTSURFCOND CLASS EP MP FIG LP POSBLODDSJOCKEY
2026-06-17 CD 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 82 nan 87.0 69 8.0/9 17.2 17.33 Jaime Torres
2026-05-23 CD 6.5f dirt Good Starter_Alw 71 80 95.3 95 4.0/6 1.8 2.05 Axel Concepcion
2025-11-15 CD 5.5f turf Firm Starter_Alw nan nan 80.1 92 11.0/12 12.8 5.16 Axel Concepcion
2025-10-15 KEE 7.0f dirt Fast Starter_Alw 60 92 98.6 90 1.0/4 0.0 0.73 Axel Concepcion
2025-08-02 ELP 6.0f dirt Fast Alw_Opt_Clm 75 87 98.7 76 1.0/10 0.0 3.15 Axel Concepcion