ELP 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

R1 One And D R2 One Mile D R3 Five And T R4 Six And D R5 One And T R6 Seven Fu D R7 One Mile T R8 Six Furl D R9 Five And T R10 Five And T

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

4 Unitas

19.5% win prob fair 4-1 M/L 8/1

#2 PICK

2 Awesome Connection ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

17.4% win prob fair 9-2 M/L 20/1

#3 PICK

5 Non Conforming

16.7% win prob fair 5-1 M/L 12/1

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 23.2s par 23.7 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 4 106/94 Unitas 5 95/117 Non Conforming 16 ⚡ »»» 99/101 Malevaje 11 ⚡ »» 99/113 Ring Curl 12 ⚡ »» 96/109 Makutu 9 » 83/111 Show of Force 15 »»» 103/74 Equilibrium 6 91/89 Clear the Beach 14 »» 92/109 Todo Men 10 »» 91/103 Rocky Joy 2 89/107 Awesome Connection 7 107/107 Sheriff Bart 8 99/108 Fuzzbuster 13 » 95/100 Sketch 1 C★ 107/124 Lucky Mischief 3 96/99 Coalmoon

On the lead: 4, 5, 16, 11, 12 · race sets up for closers

4 Unitas

4G L 123 lbs Post 4 J: Danny Sheehy T: Peter Eurton E

87.5

Proj Fig

19.5%

Model %

4-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	92	87	88.1	66	5.0/7	4.0	10.0	Danny Sheehy
2026-04-17	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	96	93	85.0	90	6.0/8	7.0	2.17	Flavien Prat
2026-03-01	FG	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	106	84	89.0	94	1.0/6	0.0	1.2	Ben Curtis
2026-01-24	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_older	94	91	87.6	94	5.0/6	8.8	2.2	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.

2 Awesome Connection ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

3G L 118 lbs Post 2 J: Luan Machado T: Christopher Davis P

88.4

Proj Fig

17.4%

Model %

9-2

Fair

20/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-10-26	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	87	93	91.4	94	4.0/7	11.8	8.27	Luis Saez
2025-10-05	KEE	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stakes_G2	78	70	87.4	94	6.0/12	3.2	18.44	Jose Ortiz
2025-09-07	KD	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	74	89	89.5	107	2.0/9	7.0	10.99	Jose Ortiz
2025-07-27	WO	6.0f	turf	Good	MSW_2yo	89	93	84.8	102	1.0/7	0.0	17.45	Jose Campos
2025-06-22	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_2yo	87	81	84.0	74	3.0/7	7.8	6.25	Jose Campos

5 Non Conforming

3C L 118 lbs Post 5 J: V R Carrasco T: Brian Lynch E

88.3

Proj Fig

16.7%

Model %

5-1

Fair

12/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	CD	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Alw_Opt_Clm	63	82	92.3	97	3.0/7	6.8	10.86	Luis Saez
2026-05-23	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	64	91	94.6	108	1.0/7	0.0	0.95	Luis Saez
2026-04-19	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	94	93	93.5	97	1.0/12	0.0	11.21	Luis Saez
2026-02-07	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	81	85	70.1	83	10.0/10	59.2	16.5	Mario Gutierrez
2025-11-19	CD	6.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	MSW_2yo	46	76	90.1	117	2.0/10	2.5	4.35	Mario Gutierrez

9 Show of Force

4G L 123 lbs Post 9 J: Edgar Morales T: Genaro Garcia EP

85.0

Proj Fig

10.5%

Model %

8-1

Fair

12/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-21	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	nan	nan	91.1	87	3.0/7	8.5	15.3	Edgar Morales
2026-05-10	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	81	87	97.5	100	1.0/7	0.0	7.31	Edgar Morales
2026-02-05	TP	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	80	84	86.4	83	5.0/7	6.0	3.3	Dylan Machado
2026-01-08	TP	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Allowance	83	82	86.5	81	3.0/12	7.8	10.03	Dylan Machado
2025-12-20	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Allowance	74	104	86.4	111	6.0/9	7.2	18.01	Carlos Barbosa

6 Clear the Beach

4G L 123 lbs Post 6 J: Axel Concepcion T: Kelsey Danner EP

88.4

Proj Fig

8.1%

Model %

12-1

Fair

9/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-12-18	TP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_3yo	90	77	90.9	69	1.0/11	0.0	1.98	Adam Beschizza
2025-10-22	KEE	8.0f	turf	Good	MSW_3yo	84	94	86.8	71	4.0/12	1.8	3.81	Adam Beschizza
2025-08-30	KD	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	91	80	88.6	89	2.0/12	2.2	5.39	Adam Beschizza

12 Makutu

4G L 123 lbs Post 12 J: Abel Cedillo T: Lindsay Schultz EP

83.2

Proj Fig

4.4%

Model %

20-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26	CD	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Starter_Alw	83	45	88.6	37	8.0/11	6.2	15.44	Abel Cedillo
2026-05-22	CD	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Starter_Alw	88	93	92.9	109	2.0/7	5.0	13.55	Abel Cedillo
2025-09-01	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_3yo	96	97	83.3	96	1.0/10	0.0	8.3	Diego Herrera
2025-08-08	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_3yo	72	nan	84.6	89	2.0/10	3.2	30.8	Diego Herrera
2025-06-15	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	66	78	80.5	91	7.0/9	15.8	88.0	Assael Espinoza

15 Equilibrium

4G L 123 lbs Post 15 J: V R Carrasco T: Ian Wilkes EP

87.4

Proj Fig

3.3%

Model %

30-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	102	84	88.9	62	5.0/12	4.2	9.57	Francisco Arrieta
2026-05-23	CD	6.0f	dirt	Good	Mdn_Clm	87	nan	89.5	74	1.0/10	0.0	10.96	Victor Carrasco

11 Ring Curl

3C L 118 lbs Post 11 J: William Antongeorgi III T: Troy Wismer EP

84.3

Proj Fig

3.2%

Model %

30-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-06	ELP	7.0f	dirt	Wet Fast	Allowance	82	92	85.2	88	6.0/9	10.8	39.44	William Antongeorgi III
2026-05-02	CD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	80	nan	85.4	85	6.0/10	13.2	30.66	William Antongeorgi III
2026-04-10	KEE	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	90	83	90.5	91	1.0/8	0.0	45.5	William Antongeorgi III
2026-01-02	OP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	99	88	80.4	76	9.0/11	24.0	24.6	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-12-05	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_2yo	86	90	80.5	113	9.0/11	12.8	8.25	Joseph Ramos

10 Rocky Joy

6H L 123 lbs Post 10 J: Gabriel Saez T: Jose Aranha EP

84.8

Proj Fig

3.1%

Model %

30-1

Fair

12/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-06	ELP	8.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	66	73	88.1	77	4.0/9	3.0	6.26	Gabriel Saez
2026-05-29	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	91	82	87.3	83	4.0/8	0.8	26.84	Gabriel Saez
2026-05-09	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	68	92	84.9	102	9.0/11	11.0	39.08	Gabriel Saez
2026-04-11	KEE	8.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	83	88	87.4	87	6.0/8	4.5	9.94	Luan Machado
2026-01-01	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	87	84	88.8	94	11.0/12	11.2	13.73	Alberto Burgos

8 Fuzzbuster

3C L 118 lbs Post 8 J: Mario Gutierrez T: V H Oliver P

84.8

Proj Fig

3.0%

Model %

30-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25	CD	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW_3yo	77	86	100.0	95	1.0/8	0.0	1.78	Mario Gutierrez
2026-06-05	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	—	—	91.0	—	2.0/10	2.0	1.88	Mario Gutierrez
2025-11-20	CD	8.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	MSW_2yo	95	83	97.8	81	3.0/11	2.0	4.21	Cristian Torres
2025-10-16	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	73	84	97.9	108	3.0/8	3.0	4.78	Luis Saez
2025-09-12	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	93	77	91.2	76	2.0/12	2.8	4.33	Declan Cannon

3 Coalmoon

4G L 123 lbs Post 3 J: Alberto Burgos T: Paulo Lobo C

87.0

Proj Fig

2.7%

Model %

30-1

Fair

10/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-14	CD	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	85	nan	88.1	84	7.0/7	18.5	1.83	Luan Machado
2026-04-15	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	90	89	94.8	74	2.0/6	4.8	8.93	Luan Machado
2026-03-21	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	96	85	94.2	73	4.0/10	4.5	2.01	Joel Rosario
2026-02-26	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	88	94	93.4	69	2.0/11	3.0	1.51	Luan Machado
2025-12-20	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Allowance	70	nan	93.3	99	2.0/9	0.1	4.72	Luan Machado

1 Lucky Mischief

4C L 123 lbs Post 1 J: Rafael Bejarano T: Rick Hiles S

88.9

Proj Fig

2.3%

Model %

50-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-06	ELP	8.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	85	92	88.6	83	3.0/9	3.0	2.48	Rafael Bejarano
2026-06-10	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	107	77	88.9	64	1.0/12	0.0	15.41	Rafael Bejarano
2026-05-22	CD	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Starter_Alw	78	102	90.3	106	3.0/7	9.8	4.63	Rafael Bejarano
2026-04-24	OP	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Claiming	68	71	83.0	67	7.0/7	23.0	15.5	Abel Cedillo
2026-03-08	OP	8.5f	dirt	Good	Claiming	62	84	91.1	124	4.0/8	5.2	5.0	Luis Saez

14 Todo Men

4G L 123 lbs Post 14 J: Dylan Machado T: Pavel Matejka P

87.3

Proj Fig

2.2%

Model %

50-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	90	84	88.2	74	2.0/12	0.2	4.74	Dylan Machado
2026-06-01	MNR	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	88	84	87.7	82	1.0/10	0.0	0.3	Dylan Machado
2026-05-20	PID	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_older	92	102	77.9	97	4.0/7	10.5	1.3	Israel Rodriguez
2026-03-25	TP	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_older	82	89	85.4	88	7.0/12	9.0	9.72	Dylan Machado
2026-02-28	TP	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	76	93	86.4	109	2.0/12	6.5	7.36	Dylan Machado

13 Sketch

5G L 123 lbs Post 13 J: Martin Garcia T: Conor Murphy P

90.4

Proj Fig

1.7%

Model %

50-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-13	CNL	5.5f	turf	Good	Allowance	68	93	82.4	100	11.0/11	11.2	7.5	Johan Rosado
2024-06-13	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	86	88	94.5	92	2.0/6	1.2	4.2	Tyler Gaffalione
2024-05-19	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	94	95	95.9	89	4.0/7	2.8	1.15	Flavien Prat
2024-05-01	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	82	85	94.2	93	5.0/12	3.0	8.41	Flavien Prat

7 Sheriff Bart

3C L 118 lbs Post 7 J: Jaime Torres T: William Mott P

90.5

Proj Fig

1.4%

Model %

50-1

Fair

4/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-21	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	101	84	77.9	50	7.0/7	26.5	16.54	Jaime Torres
2026-05-09	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	75	87	91.2	87	5.0/11	4.8	4.81	John Velazquez
2026-03-28	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	84	84	91.5	95	5.0/7	2.0	3.7	Junior Alvarado
2026-02-22	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	107	93	92.2	107	1.0/10	0.0	3.5	Junior Alvarado
2025-10-26	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	59	100	84.0	97	4.0/11	1.8	2.62	Tyler Gaffalione

16 Malevaje

4G L 123 lbs Post 16 J: J.J. Meza T: Paul Brown, Jr. EP

75.5

Proj Fig

0.5%

Model %

99-1

Fair

50/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	BTP	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn_Clm_older	87	77	80.1	84	1.0/5	0.0	5.7	J.J. Meza
2026-05-10	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	60	90	70.7	83	7.0/9	22.0	51.48	Antonio Bellardi, Jr.
2026-01-16	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	94	94	82.4	101	4.0/12	4.5	68.57	Julio Felix
2025-12-26	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	81	95	75.4	87	12.0/12	24.5	78.9	Xarel Forde
2025-10-22	IND	8.5f	turf	Good	Mdn_Clm_3yo	99	96	78.2	94	5.0/12	7.5	33.9	J.J. Meza