ELP 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

R1 One And D R2 One Mile D R3 Five And T R4 Six And D R5 One And T R6 Seven Fu D R7 One Mile T R8 Six Furl D R9 Five And T R10 Five And T

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

12 Fanshell Beach ★ HIGH_CONF

41.9% win prob fair 7-5 M/L 9/5

#2 PICK

6 Arctic Wolf

24.7% win prob fair 3-1 M/L 5/1

#3 PICK

4 Admiral's Order

20.1% win prob fair 4-1 M/L 8/1

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 21.9s par 22.4 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 10 »» 93/87 Hey Tuff Guy 2 90/102 Fortune King 13 »»» 110/90 Super Saiyajin 7 C★ » 114/118 Mr Gerson 8 Good to Be King 1 97/97 Tolstoy 14 »» 88/96 Red Sun 11 » 106/96 American Pope 12 » 102/55 Fanshell Beach 6 Arctic Wolf 4 83/81 Admiral's Order 15 »» 94/93 Issachar 5 82/66 Colucci 3 83/106 Crack On 9 94/95 Sargent Bilko

On the lead: 10, 2 · race sets up for closers

12 Fanshell Beach ★ HIGH_CONF

2F 117 lbs Post 12 J: Yedsit Hazlewood T: Wesley Ward

90.4

Proj Fig

41.9%

Model %

7-5

Fair

9/5

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-04-28	CD	4.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	102	98	94.2	55	1.0/6	0.0	1.44	John Velazquez

6 Arctic Wolf

2C 120 lbs Post 6 J: Martin Garcia T: Jack Sisterson

90.8

Proj Fig

24.7%

Model %

3-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-18	BAQ	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	—	—	94.4	—	1.0/9	0.0	2.32	Ricardo Santana, Jr.

4 Admiral's Order

2C 120 lbs Post 4 J: Luan Machado T: Ben Colebrook

86.5

Proj Fig

20.1%

Model %

4-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11	ELP	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW_unknown	83	87	92.4	81	1.0/8	0.0	5.26	Luan Machado

10 Hey Tuff Guy

2C 120 lbs Post 10 J: Mario Gutierrez T: Brian Lynch E

88.2

Proj Fig

4.2%

Model %

25-1

Fair

9/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	94	80	87.1	86	5.0/8	12.0	1.01	Mario Gutierrez
2026-05-25	CD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	89	92	96.0	86	1.0/8	0.0	0.69	Mario Gutierrez

9 Sargent Bilko

2C 120 lbs Post 9 J: Francisco Arrieta T: Eddie Kenneally C

87.2

Proj Fig

2.4%

Model %

50-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	92	90	86.7	94	4.0/8	11.8	3.83	Jose Ortiz
2026-04-25	CD	4.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	94	81	88.7	64	1.0/7	0.0	1.01	Jose Ortiz

11 American Pope

2C 120 lbs Post 11 J: Gerardo Corrales T: Paul McEntee S

82.4

Proj Fig

2.2%

Model %

50-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11	PRM	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	103	nan	85.7	86	6.0/10	7.2	17.6	Orlando Mojica, Jr.
2026-06-14	WO	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_2yo	99	82	83.5	80	1.0/8	0.0	5.45	Emma-Jayne Wilson
2026-05-17	WO	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_2yo	88	87	83.0	96	4.0/6	10.8	7.15	Joseph Bealmear
2026-04-29	CD	5.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Stakes_ungraded	98	83	84.3	54	3.0/3	1.8	7.3	Christopher Elliott
2026-04-16	KEE	4.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	106	70	78.8	64	5.0/8	7.8	23.68	Danny Sheehy

7 Mr Gerson

2C 120 lbs Post 7 J: Rafael Bejarano T: David Jacobson EP

84.6

Proj Fig

1.3%

Model %

99-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-13	IND	5.0f	turf	Good	MSW_2yo	114	87	82.5	94	1.0/7	0.0	4.1	Angel Serpa
2026-06-04	CD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	86	92	72.8	118	10.0/11	16.5	57.79	Agustin Gomez
2026-05-21	CD	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	91	72	72.8	77	10.0/10	18.5	29.65	Agustin Gomez
2026-04-16	KEE	4.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	93	95	74.4	84	3.0/8	7.2	36.1	Andres Calleja

15 Issachar

2G 118 lbs Post 15 J: William Antongeorgi III T: Thomas Vance

82.5

Proj Fig

1.1%

Model %

99-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-17	CD	4.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	94	93	87.1	93	1.0/7	0.0	1.05	Gerardo Corrales

1 Tolstoy

2C 120 lbs Post 1 J: Ben Curtis T: Brendan Walsh EP

81.8

Proj Fig

0.7%

Model %

99-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	74	94	82.6	97	6.0/8	13.0	12.01	Flavien Prat
2026-04-23	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	89	89	82.8	88	1.0/9	0.0	12.18	Flavien Prat

14 Red Sun

2G 118 lbs Post 14 J: William Antongeorgi III T: Hutch Holsapple S

83.0

Proj Fig

0.3%

Model %

99-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-24	CD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	82	84	83.0	96	1.0/8	0.0	64.2	William Antongeorgi III
2026-05-26	IND	5.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	88	86	71.4	52	6.0/7	20.5	17.2	Alex Achard

13 Super Saiyajin

2C 118 lbs Post 13 J: Santiago Gonzalez T: Sergio Donjuan EP

82.7

Proj Fig

0.3%

Model %

99-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11	ELP	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW_2yo	66	nan	82.1	90	6.0/8	14.2	5.41	Gerardo Corrales
2026-06-04	CD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	110	90	79.4	88	9.0/11	15.8	5.63	Gerardo Corrales
2026-04-29	CD	5.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Stakes_ungraded	83	94	85.8	85	2.0/3	1.8	5.56	Gerardo Corrales
2026-04-16	KEE	4.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	87	90	83.7	87	2.0/8	0.1	14.25	Gerardo Corrales
2026-04-03	KEE	4.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW_2yo	99	nan	86.5	83	4.0/6	3.5	24.46	Santiago Gonzalez

3 Crack On

2F 117 lbs Post 3 J: Danny Sheehy T: Jimmy Corrigan C

87.3

Proj Fig

0.2%

Model %

99-1

Fair

20/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10	ELP	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	80	91	83.4	106	1.0/12	0.0	8.4	Danny Sheehy
2026-06-19	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	83	nan	84.3	90	3.0/8	2.5	53.13	Danny Sheehy

8 Good to Be King

2C 120 lbs Post 8 J: Axel Concepcion T: George Arnold II P

85.5

Proj Fig

0.2%

Model %

99-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-18	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	—	—	84.7	—	4.0/10	5.0	17.09	Brian Hernandez, Jr.

2 Fortune King

2C 120 lbs Post 2 J: Santiago Gonzalez T: Sergio Donjuan EP

76.3

Proj Fig

0.2%

Model %

99-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	BTP	5.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW_unknown	81	nan	79.4	90	1.0/7	0.0	0.9	Orlando Mojica, Jr.
2026-06-13	IND	5.0f	turf	Good	MSW_unknown	90	79	74.4	48	3.0/7	7.2	3.8	Alexander Crispin
2026-05-25	CD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	71	96	82.7	102	5.0/8	12.2	54.99	Gerardo Corrales
2026-05-14	CD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	71	92	77.9	91	7.0/9	16.5	64.64	Danny Sheehy

5 Colucci

2C 120 lbs Post 5 J: Yuri Yaranga T: Gregory Viands

79.2

Proj Fig

0.1%

Model %

99-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-17	PID	4.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW_unknown	82	75	79.2	66	1.0/6	0.0	8.3	Yuri Yaranga