SAR 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

R1 One And T R2 Six Furl D R3 One Mile D R4 Six Furl D R5 Six Furl D R6 Six And D R7 One And D R8 Five And T R9 One And T R10 One And D R11 Five And T R12 One And T

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

5 Blamicker ★ HIGH_CONF

41.1% win prob fair 7-5 M/L 12/1

#2 PICK

1 Illmatic

29.8% win prob fair 5-2 M/L 9/2

#3 PICK

2 Joker On Fire

7.3% win prob fair 12-1 M/L 5/1

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 21.9s par 22.4 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 5 ⚡ » 92/100 Blamicker 1 111/93 Illmatic 6 »» 90/95 King Puck 2 95/101 Joker On Fire 4 91/99 Van Vollenhoven 8 »» 93/93 Diliello 3 96/94 Mozambique 9 C★ »» 86/113 Dakota Country 7 » 79/79 Rhyton

On the lead: 5, 1, 6 · race sets up for closers

5 Blamicker ★ HIGH_CONF

4C L 126 lbs Post 5 J: Kendrick Carmouche T: Chris Englehart E

86.0

Proj Fig

41.1%

Model %

7-5

Fair

12/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-29	FL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	92	92	89.7	94	1.0/6	0.0	0.12	Andre Worrie
2026-05-18	FL	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	89	90	91.2	100	1.0/5	0.0	0.16	Andre Worrie
2025-11-26	FL	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Allowance	84	75	93.0	67	2.0/6	0.8	0.29	Andre Worrie
2025-10-29	FL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	84	93	94.5	90	1.0/6	0.0	0.1	J. Rohena
2025-07-26	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	83	87	85.1	59	6.0/9	13.0	4.3	Andre Worrie

1 Illmatic

3C L 122 lbs Post 1 J: Flavien Prat T: Miguel Clement E

86.8

Proj Fig

29.8%

Model %

5-2

Fair

9/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	90	81	86.4	80	2.0/6	0.1	2.65	Jaime Rodriguez
2026-05-15	BAQ	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	111	nan	91.1	87	3.0/7	2.8	0.6	Jaime Rodriguez
2026-04-11	AQU	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	68	86	92.9	83	2.0/5	8.5	1.72	Manuel Franco
2026-02-28	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Good	MSW_3yo	80	83	95.4	71	1.0/8	0.0	9.28	Jaime Rodriguez
2025-07-16	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	nan	nan	83.4	93	6.0/9	7.2	6.8	Joel Rosario

2 Joker On Fire

4G L 126 lbs Post 2 J: Jose Lezcano T: Bruce Levine EP

90.2

Proj Fig

7.3%

Model %

12-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-09	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Starter_Alw	95	96	92.0	101	2.0/11	1.0	3.16	Jose Lezcano
2026-06-07	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	90.5	—	5.0/11	1.2	3.2	Jose Lezcano
2026-05-16	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	82	89	91.7	98	2.0/9	1.0	7.06	Jose Lezcano
2025-11-13	AQU	6.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_3yo	86	95	85.3	87	1.0/10	0.0	7.95	Javier Castellano
2025-03-21	AQU	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	82	85	82.8	92	4.0/5	10.5	2.0	Kendrick Carmouche

6 King Puck

5G L 126 lbs Post 6 J: Jose Ortiz T: Michael Maker EP

86.1

Proj Fig

7.3%

Model %

12-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	88.5	—	7.0/12	2.5	10.28	John Velazquez
2025-11-07	AQU	6.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	90	80	81.5	55	10.0/10	9.5	5.7	Joel Rosario
2025-10-10	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	76	82	82.6	71	7.0/7	5.5	2.17	Joel Rosario
2025-07-23	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	56	82	88.6	86	1.0/9	0.0	1.25	Joel Rosario
2025-06-19	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	86	90	87.0	95	2.0/6	0.5	2.1	Joel Rosario

7 Rhyton

4G L 126 lbs Post 7 J: Ricardo Santana, Jr. T: Miguel Clement S

87.1

Proj Fig

4.8%

Model %

20-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	88.6	—	2.0/12	1.5	7.04	Flavien Prat
2026-06-07	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	86.4	—	9.0/11	5.5	7.22	Jaime Rodriguez
2025-11-12	AQU	6.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_3yo	79	nan	87.2	79	1.0/10	0.0	4.58	Manuel Franco

3 Mozambique

4G L 126 lbs Post 3 J: Edgard Zayas T: Rudy Rodriguez S

87.8

Proj Fig

3.1%

Model %

30-1

Fair

10/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	88.7	—	3.0/12	1.5	42.42	Ruben Silvera
2026-06-07	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Good	Allowance	71	91	91.5	91	5.0/9	6.5	32.92	Ruben Silvera
2026-05-15	BAQ	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	96	nan	87.8	91	5.0/7	5.5	7.96	Ruben Silvera
2026-04-18	AQU	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	nan	nan	89.9	91	2.0/7	5.5	3.38	Ruben Silvera
2026-02-28	AQU	6.5f	dirt	Good	Allowance	70	78	90.7	94	2.0/9	0.5	5.2	Ruben Silvera

9 Dakota Country

5G L 126 lbs Post 9 J: Irad Ortiz, Jr. T: Robert Hess, Jr. S

89.0

Proj Fig

2.9%

Model %

30-1

Fair

8/5

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-11	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	82	nan	88.5	85	1.0/5	0.0	3.2	Kyle Frey
2026-05-01	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Starter_Alw	66	93	89.2	96	1.0/10	0.0	11.8	Kyle Frey
2026-03-07	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Starter_Alw	74	83	87.2	76	9.0/9	6.5	14.7	Tiago Pereira
2026-02-21	SA	6.5f	turf	Good	Claiming	55	93	92.8	113	2.0/12	0.1	40.0	Kyle Frey
2026-01-10	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	86	88	86.7	76	9.0/9	7.0	11.3	Kazushi Kimura

8 Diliello

3R L 122 lbs Post 8 J: Junior Alvarado T: Thomas Morley S

88.5

Proj Fig

2.3%

Model %

50-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	88.1	—	8.0/12	3.5	27.73	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2026-06-07	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	89.5	—	7.0/11	3.0	13.17	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-11-21	AQU	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	77	nan	86.5	83	1.0/9	0.0	2.59	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-10-23	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Maiden_other	92	nan	89.2	86	3.0/10	5.2	6.1	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-09-26	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	85	85	79.6	nan	4.0/8	19.2	3.85	Romero Maragh

4 Van Vollenhoven

5G L 126 lbs Post 4 J: Dylan Davis T: David Duggan EP

86.0

Proj Fig

1.5%

Model %

50-1

Fair

10/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	85.4	—	11.0/12	5.5	1.87	Jose Ortiz
2026-06-07	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	89.7	—	2.0/11	0.2	5.18	Javier Castellano
2026-01-03	AQU	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	91	85	86.6	72	6.0/9	7.8	8.36	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2025-12-07	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	90	nan	86.4	93	5.0/8	0.5	25.95	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2025-11-07	AQU	6.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	75	76	84.1	83	4.0/10	3.2	7.45	Luis Rivera, Jr.