SAR 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

R1 One And T R2 Six Furl D R3 One Mile D R4 Six Furl D R5 Six Furl D R6 Six And D R7 One And D R8 Five And T R9 One And T R10 One And D R11 Five And T R12 One And T

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

2 Music Box ★ HIGH_CONF

37.2% win prob fair 9-5 M/L 8/1

#2 PICK

3 Amicable Farce ★ VALUE

33.2% win prob fair 2-1 M/L 5/1

#3 PICK

5 Nonconsecutivetrms

23.0% win prob fair 7-2 M/L 5/2

Pace Projector HONEST PACE 1st¼ 23.7s par 23.7 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 3 102/82 Amicable Farce 5 LP 96/101 Nonconsecutivetrms 1 94/96 Prime Connection 4 71/89 Timeless Melody 8 »» Lose the Blues 9 »» Serenique 6 LP 93/99 Fancy n' Flight 7 » 111/82 Hedge Book 2 88/92 Music Box

2 Music Box ★ HIGH_CONF

3F L 121 lbs Post 2 J: Jaime Rodriguez T: Michael Trombetta S

91.7

Proj Fig

37.2%

Model %

9-5

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-05	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	82	73	90.8	39	2.0/10	0.2	9.2	Daniel Centeno
2026-05-14	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Good	MSW_unknown	88	90	90.8	92	2.0/3	0.1	1.1	Daniel Centeno

3 Amicable Farce ★ VALUE

3F L 121 lbs Post 3 J: Dylan Davis T: Chad Brown P

93.7

Proj Fig

33.2%

Model %

2-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-14	BAQ	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	82	86	91.1	82	2.0/6	0.5	3.29	Dylan Davis
2025-08-22	SAR	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	102	81	89.9	78	5.0/8	6.5	3.7	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

5 Nonconsecutivetrms

3F L 1 121 lbs Post 5 J: Jose Ortiz T: Brendan Walsh P

94.9

Proj Fig

23.0%

Model %

7-2

Fair

5/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04	SAR	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	93	nan	92.8	76	2.0/10	1.0	6.2	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-12-21	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	93	85	87.7	87	2.0/12	0.5	2.0	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-10-26	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	96	95	85.8	89	7.0/12	5.0	1.09	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-09-20	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	78	94	88.9	101	2.0/11	4.5	1.88	Brian Hernandez, Jr.
2025-08-03	ELP	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	68	68	88.1	56	3.0/12	1.0	5.78	Danny Sheehy

1 Prime Connection

3F L 121 lbs Post 1 J: Jose Lezcano T: Linda Rice S

88.7

Proj Fig

3.4%

Model %

30-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25	BAQ	9.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	94	nan	87.7	77	5.0/6	3.2	21.5	Jose Lezcano
2026-04-23	AQU	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	75	88	83.3	80	5.0/6	13.0	22.06	Jose Lezcano
2025-08-02	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	85	nan	82.7	96	9.0/10	17.5	28.75	Dylan Davis

7 Hedge Book

3F L 121 lbs Post 7 J: Flavien Prat T: Chad Brown S

88.2

Proj Fig

1.2%

Model %

99-1

Fair

3/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-11	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	111	87	78.7	62	5.0/12	4.5	9.37	Florent Geroux
2026-05-01	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	84	86	88.4	82	7.0/11	8.2	2.11	Flavien Prat
2026-03-27	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	101	nan	91.8	74	2.0/6	2.0	0.4	Samuel Marin
2026-01-25	GP	7.5f	turf	Good	MSW_3yo	103	95	87.3	77	3.0/10	2.0	3.5	Flavien Prat

4 Timeless Melody

3F L 121 lbs Post 4 J: Ricardo Santana, Jr. T: Philip Antonacci

90.7

Proj Fig

0.9%

Model %

99-1

Fair

10/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-09	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	71	90	87.1	89	4.0/10	3.0	11.0	Samy Camacho

6 Fancy n' Flight

3F 121 lbs Post 6 J: Irad Ortiz, Jr. T: Joseph Lee S

88.8

Proj Fig

0.8%

Model %

99-1

Fair

4/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-10-05	BAQ	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	90	96	85.1	99	2.0/11	2.8	86.15	Ruben Silvera
2025-08-31	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	93	nan	85.0	77	10.0/12	14.2	19.0	Dylan Davis

8 Lose the Blues

3F L 1 121 lbs Post 8 J: Luis Saez T: Todd Pletcher

88.2

Proj Fig

0.2%

Model %

99-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

No prior races on file

9 Serenique

3F L 1 121 lbs Post 9 J: Edgard Zayas T: H. James Bond

85.2

Proj Fig

0.2%

Model %

99-1

Fair

20/1

M/L

No prior races on file