CT 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 D R2 D R3 D R4 D R5 D R6 D R7 D R8 D

Purse $24,400. Six And One Half Furlongs. For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $5,000 Or Less Since August 1, 2025 Or Claiming Price $10,000. Three Year Olds, 121 Lbs.; Older, 126 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 2 Lbs. A Race Since June 1 Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Weight Allowances).

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	It's Sizzling Time	5% 20-1 / 10/1	6.1%	S	7th/1w	85 +1.2	88²-2	89⁵	86⁶	—	T+2.6rte→spr	—	✓+3.0
2	Thank Ya Pete ✓	5% 20-1 / 6/1	8.7%	EP	5th/1w	84 +1.0	88²-2	92²	90³	86⁴		9%
3	Oleg ✓	3% 30-1 / 12/1	4.8%	EP	8th/1w	83 -0.1	81⁸-9	87⁷	84⁸	—	▲cls	17%	1∠
4	Pay Zone ✓	32% 2-1 / 8/1	17.9%	E	2nd/1w	84 +0.6	86⁵-4	91³	91²	—	J+1.0	12%	★VALUE1∠
5	Tetched ✓	2% 50-1 / 15/1	3.6%	EP	3rd/2w	83 -0.7	85⁷-5	83⁹	85⁷	76⁵	rte→spr	—
6	Celtic Pride ✓	36% 9-5 / 9/5	30.8%	E	1st/3w	86 +3.0	91¹+1	93¹	93¹	95¹	L2▼cls	—	✓+3.4★PRIME3∠
7	Happy Jaunt ✓	2% 50-1 / 12/1	4.2%	P	9th/2w	84 +0.2	80⁹-10	84⁸	84⁸	93³		20%
8	Dance for Green ✓	14% 6-1 / 10/1	9.8%	EP	4th/4w	84 +1.1	87⁴-3	91³	89⁴	94²		28%	1∠
9	Nola Boss ✓	3% 30-1 / 5/2	14.3%	P	6th/3w	84 +0.5	86⁵-4	88⁶	88⁵	—	CLMT+0.2▲cls	26%	2∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 6 HOLDS »» 102/104 Celtic Pride 4 96/108 Pay Zone 5 » 106/86 Tetched 8 »»» 104/97 Dance for Green 2 102/98 Thank Ya Pete 9 »» 93/93 Nola Boss 1 95/93 It's Sizzling Time 3 C★ 98/113 Oleg 7 » 97/105 Happy Jaunt

On the lead: 6, 4 · race sets up for closers

6 Celtic Pride ★ PRIME

5G 122 lbs L E

35.7%

MODEL %

9-5

MODEL FAIR

-0.0

EDGE vs ML

9/5

M/L

Form

Proj Fig91 +1 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 92 vs par 90

Class86.4 +3.0 vs race +4.7 gap

MC28.0% fair 5-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced84.1 +0.1 vs today

Pace EP83.2 best 101.9

Pace LP86.1 best 103.8

Energy0.54

Connections

JockFredy Peltrocheκ 0.1was Luis Fuenmayor · +0.4

TrnAngel Rodriguezκ -0.06

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 2nd off layoff 13% -27% Angel Rodriguez: 2nd off layoff 10% -12%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	16	4	5	1	25%	95.4
2026	3	1	1	0	33%	93.1
2025	9	2	2	1	22%	91.3
CT	3	1	1	0	33%	91.3
Dirt	16	4	5	1	25%	95.4
Sprint	15	4	5	1	27%	95.4
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	87.0

WORKS 06-06 GP 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 69 05-29 GP 5 Furlongs 1:01.70 B 60 05-21 GP 4 Furlongs :48.58 B 61 05-13 GP 3 Furlongs :36.32 B 50

SIRESt Patrick'S Day 82 62%ile turf 4%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-13 166d·7.2×	CNL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	2	6	0.1		87	93	104	93	97	86	1.2	Luis Fuenmayor
2026-01-28 26d	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	1	6	0.0	F	81	79	93	93	95	86	6.5	Jose Lopez
2026-01-02 15d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	5	6	3.2		67	71	68	90	92	85	3.4	Jose Lopez
2025-12-18 12d	DED	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	4	6	5.8		89	nan	93	87	90	86	1.9	Jose Lopez
2025-12-06 23d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	1	8	0.0	F	102	88	90	88	91	86	0.9	Jose Lopez
2025-11-13 56d·2.4×	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	10	10	10.5	F	99	76	nan	84	80	87	15.4	Jose Lopez
2025-09-18 25d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	81	1	7	0.0		94	93	89	91	93	87	0.7	Jose Lopez
2025-08-24 16d	TIM	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	6	0.2	F	92	97	100	88	90	87	0.9	Jose Lopez
2025-08-08 6d	CT	4.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	82	2	9	2.8	F	94	79	48	86	81	87	0.9	Jose Lopez
2025-08-02	CT	4.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	4	6	2.8	F	84	101	101	85	82	87	3.2	Jose Lopez

4 Pay Zone ★ VALUE

6G 122 lbs L E

31.8%

MODEL %

2-1

MODEL FAIR

+20.7

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -4 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class84.0 +0.6 vs race +2.5 gap

MC11.4% fair 8-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced84.4 +0.4 vs today

Pace EP82.5 best 96.0

Pace LP89.1 best 107.9

Energy0.55

Connections

JockDenis Araujoκ 0.11was Luis Batista · +1.0

TrnAdam Kingκ -0.01

J×T8 · 12% win · 62% ITM

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	34	9	5	3	26%	94.0
2026	6	2	1	0	33%	90.8
2025	11	4	0	1	36%	91.8
CT	6	3	1	0	50%	90.8
Dirt	33	9	5	3	27%	94.0
Sprint	34	9	5	3	26%	94.0
Wet	4	1	0	0	25%	89.0

SIREMosler 82 68%ile turf 12%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-15 19d	MNR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	1	6	0.0		—	—	—	91	88	84	1.5	Luis Batista
2026-06-26 49d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	5	7	9.5		76	86	102	88	89	84	11.8	Denis Araujo
2026-05-08 42d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	7	7	15.8		84	100	102	86	78	86	9.3	Christian Hiraldo
2026-03-27 42d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Good	AOC	84	2	4	0.5	F	79	87	80	89	84	86	1.7	Arnaldo Bocachica
2026-02-13 30d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	1	6	0.0	S	84	80	108	91	89	85	0.2	Arnaldo Bocachica
2026-01-14 26d	MVR	6.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	AOC	86	7	7	16.8		96	84	81	83	80	87	6.8	Luis Rivera
2025-12-19 20d	MVR	6.0f	dirt	Muddy	Clm	85	1	5	0.0		80	81	77	89	92	87	3.2	Luis Rivera
2025-11-29 30d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	1	6	0.0		70	77	73	89	93	87	1.5	Arnaldo Bocachica
2025-10-30 19d	MVR	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	AOC	87	6	6	8.0	F	86	84	98	87	96	88	5.0	Luis Rivera
2025-10-11	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	87	5	11	4.2	F	95	91	79	89	94	88	4.6	Jevian Toledo

8 Dance for Green

5G 122 lbs L EP

13.9%

MODEL %

6-1

MODEL FAIR

+4.8

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 -3 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class84.5 +1.1 vs race +2.9 gap

MC12.3% fair 7-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced84.4 +0.4 vs today

Pace EP85.3 best 104.1

Pace LP86.6 best 97.4

Energy0.54

Connections

JockJeiron Barbosaκ 0.11was Jahnxander Raspaldo · +0.4

TrnDavid Waltersκ 0.14

J×T36 · 28% win · 56% ITM

Angles

Jeiron Barbosa / David Walters 33% +13%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	35	8	7	2	23%	96.6
2026	5	2	1	0	40%	90.8
2025	11	3	2	1	27%	89.3
CT	9	4	1	0	44%	90.8
Dirt	35	8	7	2	23%	96.6
Sprint	34	8	7	2	24%	96.6
Wet	5	0	1	0	0%	86.8

SIREIrish War Cry 83 80%ile turf 9%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26 29d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	4	7	8.5		96	89	91	89	90	85	14.1	Jahnxander Raspaldo
2026-05-28 42d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	84	1	7	0.0		80	85	94	90	88	84	2.6	Warren Ebow III
2026-04-16 57d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	2	6	3.2		77	96	80	86	80	84	3.5	Warren Ebow III
2026-02-18 47d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	83	1	6	0.0		85	nan	97	91	86	82	4.6	Moises Santaella
2026-01-02 30d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	8	10	14.8	F	104	82	90	82	74	84	9.1	Moises Santaella
2025-12-03 39d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	1	7	0.0		87	85	90	88	88	83	18.3	Juan Belisario
2025-10-25 17d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	1	6	0.0		82	90	98	89	90	82	10.6	Juan Belisario
2025-10-08 25d	CT	4.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	7	8	7.2	F	83	80	77	80	73	83	8.2	Juan Belisario
2025-09-13 37d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	6	8	11.0	S	86	nan	86	82	76	85	14.0	Alexander Crispin
2025-08-07	DEL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	3	7	1.5	S	94	90	92	83	84	84	3.3	Alexander Crispin

2 Thank Ya Pete

6G 122 lbs L EP

5.1%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-9.2

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -2 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 90 vs par 90

Class84.4 +1.0 vs race +3.1 gap

MC15.3% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced84.9 +0.9 vs today

Pace EP87.9 best 102.4

Pace LP85.6 best 97.6

Energy0.52

Connections

JockAlexis Rios-Conde, Jr.κ -0.03

TrnLeslie Cromerκ 0.17

J×T11 · 9% win · 36% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	45	7	6	8	16%	92.4
2026	6	2	2	1	33%	92.4
2025	19	4	2	5	21%	88.4
CT	33	6	6	7	18%	92.4
Dirt	35	6	6	8	17%	92.4
Sprint	43	7	6	8	16%	92.4
Wet	4	1	0	0	25%	92.4

WORKS ★05-07 CT 3 Furlongs :37.20 B 42

SIREKarakontie (Jpn) 84 82%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26 21d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	3	7	7.2		83	87	89	90	92	85	18.1	Alexis Rios-Conde, Jr.
2026-06-05 21d	CT	4.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	7	8	8.2	F	95	96	98	87	85	85	10.7	Warren Ebow III
2026-05-15 43d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	2	5	6.5		102	94	87	92	97	85	1.1	Warren Ebow III
2026-04-02 29d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	1	7	0.0		83	87	88	91	85	84	6.3	Warren Ebow III
2026-03-04 42d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Alw	85	1	8	0.0		100	86	82	92	93	83	5.2	Warren Ebow III
2026-01-21 46d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	2	8	0.2		90	91	84	91	82	83	14.3	Warren Ebow III
2025-12-06 42d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	1	6	0.0	S	100	95	85	87	84	82	4.3	Juan Belisario
2025-10-25 21d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	1	9	0.0		93	nan	83	88	91	81	3.8	Juan Belisario
2025-10-04 21d	CT	4.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	3	8	3.2	F	85	nan	91	86	89	81	20.2	J. Acosta
2025-09-13	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	3	10	5.5		88	76	69	85	80	81	3.5	Juan Belisario

1 It's Sizzling Time

8G 122 lbs L S

4.6%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.5

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -2 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class84.6 +1.2 vs race +3.2 gap

MC14.9% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced85.6 +1.6 vs today

Pace EP85.7 best 94.8

Pace LP74.9 best 92.9

Energy0.52

Connections

JockChristian Hiraldoκ 0.07was Raul Mena · -0.3

TrnV Smithκ 0.0was Valrie Smith · +2.6

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	47	6	7	5	13%	97.8
2026	5	0	0	0	0%	88.0
2025	9	1	1	1	11%	89.2
CT	3	0	0	1	0%	88.0
Dirt	45	6	7	5	13%	97.8
Sprint	29	4	5	5	14%	94.4
Wet	7	0	0	0	0%	92.9

WORKS 07-12 LRL Four Furlongs 52.00 b 26 06-09 LRL 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 28 03-11 LRL 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 49

SIRENot This Time 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-22 38d	DEL	8.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	85	5	6	7.0	S	—	—	—	86	84	85	7.7	Raul Mena
2026-06-14 51d	LRL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	4	6	6.8		95	76	56	87	79	85	13.8	Christian Maldonado
2026-04-24 14d	LRL	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	6	6	7.2	S	90	83	75	88	81	84	15.1	Jean Briceno
2026-04-10 13d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	5	5	12.2	S	95	89	82	85	77	85	5.4	Mychel Sanchez
2026-03-28 104d·3.2×	LRL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	4	7	4.0	F	85	69	53	88	85	84	22.4	Christian Maldonado
2025-12-14 10d	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	1	7	0.0	F	81	87	93	89	89	84	2.2	Christian Maldonado
2025-12-04 27d	CT	4.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	3	7	5.0	F	80	99	104	88	87	83	14.3	Christian Maldonado
2025-11-07 47d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	8	7.2		91	89	88	89	93	84	3.8	Mychel Sanchez
2025-09-21 32d	LRL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	6	7	11.2		81	71	66	86	85	84	13.7	Alberto Delgado
2025-08-20	PEN	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Sloppy	Clm	85	5	6	11.0	F	84	81	91	85	86	84	8.1	David Cora

3 Oleg

4G 122 lbs L EP

3.0%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.7

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig81 -9 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class83.3 -0.1 vs race -2.2 gap

MC2.4% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced81.4 -2.6 vs today

Pace EP82.4 best 98.3

Pace LP92.1 best 113.0

Energy0.54

Connections

JockAbnel Bocachicaκ 0.01

TrnTyler Shanleyκ -0.13

J×T6 · 17% win · 33% ITM

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	18	3	4	3	17%	92.4
2026	7	1	3	2	14%	87.2
2025	7	2	0	1	29%	88.0
CT	4	1	1	2	25%	84.2
Dirt	17	3	4	3	18%	92.4
Sprint	16	3	4	3	19%	92.4
Wet	2	1	1	0	50%	92.4

WORKS 06-19 CT 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 64 06-12 CT 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 64 05-29 CT 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 51

SIREBrethren 82 71%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-18 22d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Good	Clm	81	2	7	3.0	F	—	—	—	84	87	83	5.2	Abnel Bocachica
2026-06-26 53d·2.4×	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	3	9	1.5	F	59	107	113	84	85	83	3.9	J. Acosta
2026-05-04 21d	TDN	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	2	8	4.5		81	nan	79	87	95	84	12.8	Luis Rivera
2026-04-13 39d	MNR	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	7	1.5		98	100	105	86	87	84	4.7	Luis Rivera
2026-03-05 22d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	80	1	6	0.0	F	92	92	96	84	71	83	0.9	Arnaldo Bocachica
2026-02-11 25d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	3	8	3.0		89	95	103	83	72	84	1.9	Carlos Lopez
2026-01-17 20d	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	6	8	8.2	S	80	84	99	83	77	84	6.5	Gokhan Kocakaya
2025-12-28 28d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	5	8	17.8		94	85	69	84	74	86	6.3	Gokhan Kocakaya
2025-11-30 16d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Good	Clm	84	1	6	0.0		76	78	90	85	75	86	1.5	Gokhan Kocakaya
2025-11-14	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	3	9	4.2		96	93	90	88	80	85	1.7	Carlos Lopez

9 Nola Boss

4G 122 lbs L P

2.6%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-26.0

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -4 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class83.9 +0.5 vs race +2.6 gap

MC7.7% fair 12-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced82.6 -1.4 vs today

Pace EP83.1 best 93.2

Pace LP81.2 best 92.7

Energy0.53

Connections

JockMoises Santaellaκ 0.14was Fredy Peltroche · +0.4

TrnRonney Brownκ 0.02CLAIMEDwas Vanessa Peltroche · +0.2

J×T274 · 26% win · 59% ITM

Angles

Moises Santaella / Ronney Brown 26% -14% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	25	4	6	5	16%	92.3
2026	9	2	3	1	22%	92.3
2025	10	1	0	3	10%	88.8
CT	8	2	3	1	25%	92.3
Dirt	20	4	4	4	20%	92.3
Sprint	25	4	6	5	16%	92.3
Wet	2	0	1	0	0%	89.8

SIREHoly Boss 82 68%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-18 21d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Good	Clm	81	1	7	0.0	F	—	—	—	88	91	84	1.1	Fredy Peltroche
2026-06-27 21d	CT	4.5f	dirt	Good	Clm	82	2	10	0.8	F	69	nan	90	86	86	84	4.0	Fredy Peltroche
2026-06-06 28d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	3	10	6.0	F	93	nan	76	84	80	84	3.5	Maximo Chilo
2026-05-09 23d	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	85	10	10	6.2	S	88	75	76	77	70	84	8.6	Carlos Lopez
2026-04-16 14d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	5	6	14.0		85	85	75	81	68	85	4.6	Fredy Peltroche
2026-04-02 29d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	4	7	4.0		89	91	93	88	81	85	7.0	Fredy Peltroche
2026-03-04 28d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Alw	85	2	8	0.1		86	92	99	90	93	85	6.0	Fredy Peltroche
2026-02-04 13d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	2	10	3.5		100	84	83	87	83	84	8.5	Fredy Peltroche
2026-01-22 25d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	1	8	0.0	S	81	nan	61	92	84	84	1.1	Carlos Lopez
2025-12-28	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	8	8	25.0		85	nan	96	79	66	86	1.9	Sheldon Russell

5 Tetched

4G 115 lbs L EP

1.7%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.5

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -5 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class82.7 -0.7 vs race +1.9 gap

MC5.9% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.19

Faced80.8 -3.2 vs today

Pace EP84.9 best 105.8

Pace LP77.3 best 85.6

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJahnxander Raspaldoκ 0.08was Joe Stokes · +0.2

TrnTimothy Shanleyκ -0.03

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	24	5	6	5	21%	89.2
2026	6	2	0	2	33%	88.7
2025	16	3	5	3	19%	89.2
CT	4	2	1	0	50%	88.7
Dirt	23	5	6	5	22%	89.2
Sprint	6	1	1	1	17%	82.7
Wet	4	1	1	2	25%	89.2

WORKS 05-29 CT 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 49 04-17 CT 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 61

SIREGreat Notion 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10 29d	CT	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	83	6	10	8.5	F	83	72	70	85	90	83	23.6	Joe Stokes
2026-06-11 44d	CT	8.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	82	1	7	0.0	S	106	89	70	89	86	82	5.0	J. Acosta
2026-04-28 35d	TDN	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	1	8	0.0	S	80	91	86	86	86	81	3.4	Luis Rivera
2026-03-24 22d	MVR	8.0f	dirt	Good	Clm	80	4	6	1.5	S	88	79	79	87	94	81	1.6	Luis Batista
2026-03-02 12d	MVR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	3	7	4.8	S	82	82	75	85	86	81	2.6	Luis Rivera
2026-02-18 58d·2.1×	MVR	8.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	80	3	10	6.8	S	94	nan	82	86	84	81	2.9	Luis Rivera
2025-12-22 13d	MVR	8.0f	dirt	Wet Fast (Sealed)	Clm	80	2	6	2.0		63	87	88	89	109	80	3.4	Luis Rivera
2025-12-09 22d	MVR	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	1	10	0.0	S	86	87	74	86	88	80	5.7	Luis Rivera
2025-11-17 27d	MVR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	2	7	11.5	S	89	78	63	86	95	80	15.8	Luis Rivera
2025-10-21	MNR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	3	6	4.0	S	83	92	87	80	76	81	0.8	Deshawn Parker

7 Happy Jaunt

5G 119 lbs L P

1.7%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.0

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig80 -10 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class83.6 +0.2 vs race -3.4 gap

MC2.1% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced82.9 -1.1 vs today

Pace EP86.9 best 97.4

Pace LP87.2 best 104.6

Energy0.53

Connections

JockJose Diazκ -0.06

TrnTimothy Shanleyκ -0.03

J×T5 · 20% win · 80% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	24	4	4	2	17%	86.5
2026	6	2	2	0	33%	85.7
2025	9	0	1	2	0%	86.5
CT	3	1	2	0	33%	83.5
Dirt	10	2	2	1	20%	86.5
Sprint	15	3	4	0	20%	84.2
Wet	1	1	0	0	100%	83.5

WORKS 05-30 CT 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 62 05-02 CT 4 Furlongs :54.80 B 7 03-14 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:05.00 B 13

SIRECandy Ride (Arg) 85 91%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11 15d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Str Alw	84	1	6	0.0		88	92	98	84	90	82	22.6	Jose Diaz
2026-06-26 20d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	2	9	0.5	F	83	nan	105	82	86	82	2.5	Jose Diaz
2026-06-06 57d·2.9×	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	2	10	2.0	F	94	nan	68	83	84	81	26.8	Jose Diaz
2026-04-10 12d	LRL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	5	6	25.8		97	85	96	79	65	83	14.2	Angel Cruz
2026-03-29 71d·3.5×	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	6	7	16.0	F	93	87	92	78	61	85	3.1	Angel Cruz
2026-01-17 21d	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	1	8	1.2	S	79	79	97	86	83	84	2.0	Yedsit Hazlewood
2025-12-27 14d	LRL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	4	7	11.8		86	87	91	84	85	85	5.1	Angel Cruz
2025-12-13 20d	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	87	7	7	16.8	S	89	97	110	81	72	86	17.0	Angel Cruz
2025-11-23 37d	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Good	Str Alw	86	3	9	7.0		80	85	103	86	92	87	23.6	Angel Cruz
2025-10-17	LRL	8.5f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	86	4	12	1.8		79	73	62	83	81	86	35.1	Angel Cruz