CT 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 D R2 D R3 D R4 D R5 D R6 D R7 D R8 D

Purse $38,900. Seven Furlongs. For Accredited West Virginia-Bred Three Year Olds And Upward. Three Year Olds, 121 Lbs.; Older, 126 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1 Allowed 2 Lbs. A Race Since June 1 Allowed 4 Lbs. (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Weight Allowances).

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Runaldo ✓	52% 4-5 / 5/1	28.5%	P	4th/1w	88 +4.4	94²-1	98¹	98¹	82⁶	▲slo-close	33%	✓+3.4★PRIME1∠
2	Social Chic ✓	19% 9-2 / 8/1	12.8%	S	6th/1w	87 +3.2	89⁶-6	94⁶	94⁴	90³	▲slo-close	12%
3	Judgement Day ✓	4% 20-1 / 10/1	6.0%	EP	3rd/1w	86 +2.8	92⁴-3	95⁴	93⁵	92¹	L2	20%	3∠
4	Juba's Hat Trick ✓	8% 10-1 / 15/1	6.3%	P	5th/1w	86 +3.0	92⁴-3	95⁴	95³	85⁵	L2	24%	LS2∠
5	Paymengold ✓	1% 99-1 / 12/1	3.9%	EP	2nd/2w	83 -0.5	84⁸-11	90⁷	84⁸	92¹	L1J-1.5rte→spr	7%	⚠-1.42∠
6	Jubawithatwist ✓	11% 8-1 / 9/2	12.8%	P	7th/2w	90 +6.2	94²-1	97³	96²	89⁴		19%	1∠
7	Neverpopthecork ✓	2% 50-1 / 30/1	2.1%	C	8th/3w	84 +1.0	89⁶-6	90⁷	89⁷	—	J+0.5rte→spr	—
8	Teachintherelease ✓	4% 25-1 / 4/5	27.6%	E	1st/4w	89 +5.6	95¹+0	98¹	93⁵	73⁷	L1rte→spr▼cls	83%	2∠

Pace Projector LONE SPEED front favored 1st¼ 23.2s par 23.2 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 8 LS★ VULN ⚡ »»» 97/93 Teachintherelease 5 » 109/91 Paymengold 3 100/92 Judgement Day 1 C★ 100/109 Runaldo 4 92/105 Juba's Hat Trick 2 94/98 Social Chic 6 » 102/100 Jubawithatwist 7 »» 90/101 Neverpopthecork

On the lead: 8 · race sets up for front

1 Runaldo ★ PRIME

6G 126 lbs L P

51.7%

MODEL %

4-5

MODEL FAIR

+35.0

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 -1 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 96 vs par 95

Class87.9 +4.4 vs race +6.4 gap

MC21.0% fair 4-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced86.0 -0.6 vs today

Pace EP79.5 best 100.0

Pace LP85.2 best 109.5

Energy0.51

Connections

JockArnaldo Bocachicaκ 0.16

TrnJeff Runcoκ 0.21

J×T340 · 33% win · 64% ITM

Angles

Arnaldo Bocachica / Jeff Runco 32% -13%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	25	9	5	5	36%	98.3
2026	5	1	1	3	20%	98.3
2025	8	3	2	0	38%	94.4
CT	25	9	5	5	36%	98.3
Dirt	25	9	5	5	36%	98.3
Sprint	21	8	5	4	38%	98.3
Wet	3	1	0	0	33%	94.4

WORKS 05-29 CT 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 66 04-25 CT 3 Furlongs :35.80 B 50 04-04 CT 3 Furlongs :36.00 B 46

SIRECreative Cause 83 74%ile turf 11%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 20d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	1	6	0.0	S	74	89	91	98	108	87	0.9	Arnaldo Bocachica
2026-06-13 43d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	88	3	10	0.2		50	88	110	94	96	86	41.8	Jeiron Barbosa
2026-05-01 50d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	3	8	1.5		82	nan	84	96	98	86	2.6	Arnaldo Bocachica
2026-03-12 62d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Good	AOC	85	2	5	0.2		100	83	64	95	102	85	1.3	Arnaldo Bocachica
2026-01-09 55d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	3	7	3.8		90	94	93	95	91	85	1.4	Arnaldo Bocachica
2025-11-15 35d	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	4	10	11.2		96	90	95	90	93	86	7.7	Arnaldo Bocachica
2025-10-11 29d	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	4	10	17.8		98	nan	88	93	105	86	4.0	Arnaldo Bocachica
2025-09-12 21d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	84	1	6	0.0	S	82	78	79	90	99	85	0.6	Arnaldo Bocachica
2025-08-22 27d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	9	10	20.2	S	95	93	91	87	88	87	6.0	Arnaldo Bocachica
2025-07-26	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	1	7	0.0		105	90	90	91	96	87	0.8	Arnaldo Bocachica

2 Social Chic

8G 115 lbs L S

19.0%

MODEL %

9-2

MODEL FAIR

+7.9

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig89 -6 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class86.7 +3.2 vs race +2.2 gap

MC6.3% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced85.7 -0.9 vs today

Pace EP84.1 best 93.5

Pace LP81.2 best 97.5

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJahnxander Raspaldoκ 0.08

TrnJeff Runcoκ 0.21

J×T16 · 12% win · 81% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	40	11	14	6	28%	97.0
2026	6	1	2	2	17%	94.1
2025	7	1	1	2	14%	93.6
CT	40	11	14	6	28%	97.0
Dirt	40	11	14	6	28%	97.0
Sprint	38	11	13	6	29%	97.0
Wet	4	0	2	1	0%	94.9

WORKS 06-17 CT 3 Furlongs :35.00 B 53 04-01 CT 3 Furlongs :36.40 B 50 ◆Fiber Strong·89

SIREUpstart 84 88%ile turf 10%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 55d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	2	6	3.8	S	82	88	98	94	103	86	7.3	Jahnxander Raspaldo
2026-05-09 21d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	2	5	0.5	S	85	72	95	89	86	86	2.4	Warren Ebow III
2026-04-18 52d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	85	1	6	0.0		94	92	97	90	86	85	1.6	Warren Ebow III
2026-02-25 20d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	3	5	7.2		84	86	75	87	83	86	0.6	Arnaldo Bocachica
2026-02-05 33d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	86	5	8	4.2	S	89	86	45	87	84	86	7.0	Arnaldo Bocachica
2026-01-03 36d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	85	3	8	1.8		91	89	83	87	80	85	3.9	Carlos Lopez
2025-11-28 22d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	2	9	1.8		90	83	82	87	89	84	35.1	Carlos Lopez
2025-11-06 26d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	3	6	3.5		75	51	49	85	81	84	0.9	Juan Belisario
2025-10-11 50d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	9	9	10.8	S	94	nan	92	87	90	84	8.3	Arnaldo Bocachica
2025-08-22	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	7	10	18.0	S	102	85	56	88	90	86	13.7	Angel Cruz

6 Jubawithatwist

5G 122 lbs L P

10.6%

MODEL %

8-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.6

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 -1 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class89.7 +6.2 vs race +4.4 gap

MC19.7% fair 4-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced86.9 +0.3 vs today

Pace EP84.4 best 102.4

Pace LP85.5 best 99.6

Energy0.51

Connections

JockAntonio Lopezκ 0.07

TrnKristy Pettyκ -0.03

J×T84 · 19% win · 54% ITM

Angles

Antonio Lopez / Kristy Petty 20% -19%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	18	10	6	56%	99.4
2026	4	2	1	50%	96.9
2025	2	1	1	50%	92.8
CT	17	10	5	59%	99.4
Dirt	18	10	6	56%	99.4
Sprint	16	9	5	56%	97.3
Wet	4	2	2	50%	96.2

WORKS ★07-28 CT 3 Furlongs :35.40 B 48 06-03 CT 5 Furlongs 1:03.40 B 55 ★04-08 CT 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 B 82 03-31 CT 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 55 ★03-20 CT 3 Furlongs :35.20 B 56

SIREJuba 81 45%ile turf 13%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 21d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Muddy	Alw	87	2	5	1.2		78	84	100	96	109	90	2.6	Antonio Lopez
2026-06-13 28d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	88	4	10	1.5		102	79	82	93	94	90	2.8	Antonio Lopez
2026-05-16 15d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	1	7	0.0		82	nan	92	94	96	90	1.0	Antonio Lopez
2026-05-01 349d·12.0×	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	1	8	0.0		81	nan	84	97	99	90	1.5	Antonio Lopez
2025-05-17 29d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	2	6	0.5		92	92	nan	92	94	91	0.4	Gustavo Larrosa
2025-04-18 188d·6.5×	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	84	1	8	0.0		86	85	95	93	87	92	0.3	Gustavo Larrosa
2024-10-12 50d	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	84	2	10	0.8	S	87	98	93	99	112	90	0.1	Gustavo Larrosa
2024-08-23 34d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	4	7	5.0	F	93	nan	80	97	110	89	2.6	Gustavo Larrosa
2024-07-20 23d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	84	1	5	0.0	F	88	89	90	97	105	88	0.1	Gustavo Larrosa
2024-06-27	CT	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	84	1	6	0.0		76	74	78	99	110	88	0.4	Gustavo Larrosa

4 Juba's Hat Trick LONGSHOT

6G 122 lbs L P

8.5%

MODEL %

10-1

MODEL FAIR

+2.2

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -3 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class86.5 +3.0 vs race +5.8 gap

MC14.3% fair 6-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced85.9 -0.7 vs today

Pace EP85.2 best 92.2

Pace LP83.6 best 105.0

Energy0.51

Connections

JockReshawn Latchmanκ 0.05was Antonio Lopez · -0.1

TrnRonald Siglerκ 0.14

J×T17 · 24% win · 59% ITM

Angles

2nd off layoff 13% -27% Ronald Sigler: 2nd off layoff 12% -20%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	27	8	5	7	30%	94.9
2026	2	0	0	1	0%	94.9
2025	11	2	3	3	18%	94.3
CT	27	8	5	7	30%	94.9
Dirt	27	8	5	7	30%	94.9
Sprint	25	8	4	7	32%	94.9
Wet	6	4	0	1	67%	93.3

WORKS 07-28 CT 3 Furlongs :35.60 B 47 06-26 CT 3 Furlongs :36.60 B 41 ★06-03 CT 3 Furlongs :35.60 B 53 04-08 CT 5 Furlongs 1:02.20 B 68 03-31 CT 4 Furlongs :52.80 B 25 03-20 CT 3 Furlongs :38.00 B 30

SIREJuba 81 45%ile turf 13%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 63d·4.2×	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	3	6	5.8	S	88	84	81	95	101	87	7.0	Antonio Lopez
2026-05-01 202d·13.5×	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	6	8	7.2		84	88	90	93	91	87	5.7	Denis Araujo
2025-10-11 23d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	2	9	1.0	S	87	94	80	91	100	86	3.0	Antonio Lopez
2025-09-18 13d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	2	6	3.2		92	97	105	94	105	86	5.9	Antonio Lopez
2025-09-05 14d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	1	8	0.0		89	74	73	93	98	85	12.0	Antonio Lopez
2025-08-22 15d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	5	10	10.0	S	98	84	76	92	99	86	41.0	Antonio Lopez
2025-08-07 47d·3.1×	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	5	7	4.5		89	80	88	89	88	86	3.5	Antonio Lopez
2025-06-21 14d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	85	1	8	0.0		76	77	59	93	95	85	3.3	Antonio Lopez
2025-06-07 14d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	2	6	0.1		78	nan	64	92	98	85	2.8	Antonio Lopez
2025-05-24	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	3	8	2.2		89	79	100	89	88	84	5.1	Antonio Lopez

3 Judgement Day

5G 122 lbs L EP

4.3%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.8

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -3 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class86.3 +2.8 vs race +6.1 gap

MC14.5% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced85.5 -1.1 vs today

Pace EP87.4 best 99.9

Pace LP80.3 best 91.9

Energy0.52

Connections

JockLarry Reynoldsκ 0.05

TrnTimothy Gramsκ 0.11

J×T317 · 20% win · 52% ITM

Angles

Larry Reynolds / Timothy Grams 20% -34% Timothy Grams: 2nd off layoff 16% -56% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	27	6	3	7	22%	95.1
2026	4	0	0	2	0%	95.1
2025	12	2	1	3	17%	91.4
CT	27	6	3	7	22%	95.1
Dirt	27	6	3	7	22%	95.1
Sprint	25	6	3	6	24%	95.1
Wet	4	2	0	1	50%	88.5

WORKS 06-26 CT 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 68 06-06 CT 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 28 04-24 CT 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 37

SIREDivining Rod 82 67%ile turf 9%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 63d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	4	6	8.0	S	98	91	87	93	98	87	3.2	Larry Reynolds
2026-05-01 50d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	4	8	2.5		82	71	83	94	96	86	3.5	Larry Reynolds
2026-03-12 62d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Good	AOC	85	3	5	1.0		100	82	59	93	101	86	1.1	Larry Reynolds
2026-01-09 42d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	85	3	6	2.5		89	nan	81	95	97	85	1.5	Larry Reynolds
2025-11-28 15d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	9	9	0.0		91	86	92	88	90	84	6.3	Larry Reynolds
2025-11-13 33d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	4	6	6.8		92	nan	84	85	80	84	4.0	Larry Reynolds
2025-10-11 23d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	5	9	6.2	S	72	89	100	87	95	83	37.9	Larry Reynolds
2025-09-18 27d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	3	6	8.0		91	nan	102	90	100	83	28.1	Larry Reynolds
2025-08-22 21d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	8	10	18.8	S	92	83	90	86	90	84	34.5	Larry Reynolds
2025-08-01	CT	7.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Alw	86	3	6	5.2		80	nan	80	88	97	84	16.0	Larry Reynolds

8 Teachintherelease

6G 122 lbs L E

3.8%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-51.8

EDGE vs ML

4/5

M/L

Form

Proj Fig95 0 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 97 vs par 95

Class89.1 +5.6 vs race +5.9 gap

MC17.4% fair 9-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced87.0 +0.4 vs today

Pace EP85.9 best 97.0

Pace LP76.6 best 92.8

Energy0.52

Connections

JockCarlos Lopezκ 0.13

TrnStephen Murdockκ 0.13

J×T6 · 83% win · 83% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	29	13	9	1	45%	100.6
2026	0	0	0	0	—	—
2025	7	5	1	0	71%	100.6
CT	28	13	9	1	46%	100.6
Dirt	29	13	9	1	45%	100.6
Sprint	24	10	9	1	42%	97.9
Wet	6	2	2	1	33%	93.7

WORKS ★07-09 CT 5 Furlongs :59.80 B 94 ★07-01 CT 4 Furlongs :46.20 B 83 06-26 CT 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 61 06-13 CT 3 Furlongs :36.20 B 41

SIREWindsor Castle 78 19%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-12-20 35d	LRL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	4	5	18.5		97	85	50	93	95	91	5.1	Carlos Lopez
2025-11-15 35d	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	1	10	0.0		97	86	91	97	102	91	0.1	Carlos Lopez
2025-10-11 23d	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	1	10	0.0		88	86	92	101	119	89	0.2	Carlos Lopez
2025-09-18 27d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	1	6	0.0		87	nan	93	98	109	89	0.1	Carlos Lopez
2025-08-22 21d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	1	10	0.0	S	78	84	47	98	109	88	1.0	Carlos Lopez
2025-08-01 13d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Alw	86	1	6	0.0		nan	nan	91	94	102	88	1.0	Christian Maldonado
2025-07-19 245d·9.8×	CT	7.0f	dirt	Muddy	AOC	85	2	9	2.5	F	88	94	77	92	99	88	1.0	Christian Maldonado
2024-11-16 10d	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	1	9	0.0		95	93	90	95	104	87	2.3	Orlando Bocachica
2024-11-06 25d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	1	6	0.0		83	91	86	94	104	86	0.2	Arnaldo Bocachica
2024-10-12	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	2	10	1.0		96	86	84	93	104	85	2.5	Angel Cruz

7 Neverpopthecork

6G 122 lbs L C

1.5%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.7

EDGE vs ML

30/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig89 -6 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class84.5 +1.0 vs race +4.1 gap

MC5.4% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced84.8 -1.8 vs today

Pace EP81.0 best 90.3

Pace LP84.5 best 100.6

Energy0.51

Connections

JockDenis Araujoκ 0.11was Antonio Lopez · +0.5

TrnKristy Pettyκ -0.03

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	40	6	11	1	15%	94.9
2026	4	0	2	0	0%	89.6
2025	10	2	4	1	20%	94.9
CT	40	6	11	1	15%	94.9
Dirt	40	6	11	1	15%	94.9
Sprint	24	3	3	1	12%	90.2
Wet	5	0	1	0	0%	91.3

WORKS 06-26 CT 3 Furlongs :37.00 B 40 04-08 CT 4 Furlongs :50.80 B 41 03-31 CT 4 Furlongs :52.80 B 25 03-20 CT 3 Furlongs :36.20 B 48

SIREDenis Of Cork 79 21%ile turf 18%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-24 21d	CT	8.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	85	2	7	0.2	S	—	—	—	89	89	84	7.4	Antonio Lopez
2026-07-03 34d	CT	8.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	2	8	7.2		73	93	92	89	94	83	23.3	Antonio Lopez
2026-05-30 29d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	84	5	9	9.8		87	73	70	88	88	84	24.2	Antonio Lopez
2026-05-01 156d·5.4×	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	7	8	10.0		77	72	95	90	88	84	56.7	J. Acosta
2025-11-26 11d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Good	Alw	85	3	8	3.8		80	91	101	89	84	84	33.9	Antonio Lopez
2025-11-15 35d	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	7	10	22.5		90	88	80	87	84	86	81.5	Antonio Lopez
2025-10-11 51d	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	5	10	18.0		94	91	87	92	105	86	66.6	Antonio Lopez
2025-08-21 20d	CT	8.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	83	1	7	0.0	S	88	79	88	91	90	85	3.5	Antonio Lopez
2025-08-01 20d	CT	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	AOC	84	5	8	7.5	S	92	80	97	91	94	86	3.3	Antonio Lopez
2025-07-12	CT	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	85	1	7	0.0	S	86	84	105	93	99	85	2.6	Antonio Lopez

5 Paymengold

6G 122 lbs L EP

0.8%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.9

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -11 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class83.0 -0.5 vs race +1.3 gap

MC1.4% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced86.1 -0.5 vs today

Pace EP90.5 best 109.2

Pace LP81.9 best 91.4

Energy0.54

Connections

JockSunday Diaz, Jr.κ -0.01was Moises Santaella · -1.5

TrnDewayne Johnsonκ -0.1

J×T14 · 7% win · 14% ITM

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Dewayne Johnson: off layoff (60d+) 12% +90%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	31	6	5	2	19%	91.1
2026	5	1	0	0	20%	90.3
2025	8	0	1	0	0%	87.2
CT	30	6	5	2	20%	91.1
Dirt	31	6	5	2	19%	91.1
Sprint	21	4	4	0	19%	91.1
Wet	5	1	1	1	20%	89.2

WORKS 06-26 CT 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 45

SIREGolden Lad 82 72%ile turf 9%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-04-24 20d	CT	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	88	8	9	22.2	F	100	nan	84	84	86	85	54.4	Moises Santaella
2026-04-04 23d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	87	4	6	5.5		93	nan	73	88	90	85	24.5	Moises Santaella
2026-03-12 35d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Good	AOC	85	1	5	0.0		109	82	91	90	102	84	8.6	Moises Santaella
2026-02-05 27d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	86	7	8	6.5	S	91	91	80	84	82	84	14.3	Fredy Peltroche
2026-01-09 42d	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	85	4	6	6.5		92	nan	86	90	93	83	8.8	Fredy Peltroche
2025-11-28 13d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	6	9	9.2		77	87	96	82	81	84	22.3	Gerald Almodovar
2025-11-15 58d·2.1×	CT	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	9	10	30.2		96	84	55	80	79	85	119.1	Gerald Almodovar
2025-09-18 61d·2.2×	CT	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	84	4	6	2.8	S	72	84	97	86	90	84	8.3	Luis Batista
2025-07-19 28d	CT	7.0f	dirt	Muddy	AOC	85	6	9	11.0	F	74	93	112	82	90	85	22.0	Angel Cruz
2025-06-21	CT	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	85	6	8	8.5		78	62	70	86	86	85	5.7	Maximo Chilo