MTH 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 D R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D

Purse $100,000. Five And One Half Furlongs. (Turf) (Rail at 12 Feet) For Fillies And Mares ,three Years Old And Upward. By subscription of $100 each, which should accompany the nomination, $500 to pass the entry box and $1,000 to start. $2,000 supplemental nominations, which included all fees, were made at time of entry, Tuesday, July 28, 2026. The owner of the winner to receive $60,000, $20,000 to second, $10,000 to third, $5,000 to fourth, $3,000 to fifth and $2,000 to sixth through last. Three-Year-Olds: 122 Lbs.; Older: 125 Lbs. Non-winners of a stakes in 2026 allowed 2 Lbs.; $60,000 once in 2026, 4 Lbs.; $36,000 once in 2026, 6 Lbs. (Maiden, claiming or state bred allowance races not considered). The winning owner to receive a trophy. Closed Saturday, July 18, 2026 with 16 nominations. .

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Somnium	7% 12-1 / 8/1	7.3%	S	9th/1w	91 +1.5	91⁷-10	94⁶	92⁶	91⁴	J-1.3	24%	⚠-2.01∠
2	Summer's Comin ✓	1% 50-1 / 20/1	2.5%	P	4th/1w	92 +2.8	92⁶-9	87⁹	90⁹	80⁷	rte→spr▲cls	22%	1∠
3	Mopo	2% 50-1 / 7/2	9.5%	EP	5th/1w	90 +1.2	97²-4	97⁴	92⁶	89⁵	★gold	—
4	Les Reys	4% 25-1 / 3/1	11.5%	S	8th/1w	93 +3.5	94⁵-7	96⁵	95⁴	88⁶	L3J-2.2	0%	⚠-2.81∠
5	Sweet Brown Sugar	58% 3-5 / 6/1	29.1%	S	6th/1w	92 +2.6	96³-5	106¹	106¹	99¹	J-1.2	14%	⚠-1.3★PRIME2∠
6	Obstreperous ✓	5% 20-1 / 9/2	9.1%	P	7th/1w	92 +2.2	95⁴-6	98³	95⁴	—	L3J-1.4▼cls	—	⚠-1.42∠
7	Buttercream Babe	5% 20-1 / 5/1	8.5%	S	10th/2w	96 +6.2	90⁸-11	93⁷	90⁹	—	▼cls	—
8	Lucy McGee	4% 25-1 / 10/1	5.1%	EP	2nd/3w	91 +2.0	88⁹-13	92⁸	92⁶	—	L2T-5.0	—	⚠-4.51∠
9	Pandora's Gift	5% 20-1 / 8/1	6.3%	EP	3rd/4w	92 +2.8	99¹-2	105²	96³	95²	J-1.5	—	⚠-1.4
10	She's a Gamer ✓	10% 9-1 / 9/2	11.1%	EP	1st/4w	92 +3.2	81¹⁰-20	83¹⁰	99²	92³	D→T	—	3∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 21.9s par 22.4 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 10 HOLDS »»» 98/93 She's a Gamer 8 ⚡ »» 100/101 Lucy McGee 9 »»» 96/102 Pandora's Gift 2 92/86 Summer's Comin 3 95/104 Mopo 5 LP 95/112 Sweet Brown Sugar 6 107/96 Obstreperous 4 98/94 Les Reys 1 98/108 Somnium 7 LP » 89/109 Buttercream Babe

On the lead: 10, 8 · race sets up for closers

5 Sweet Brown Sugar ★ PRIME

5M 119 lbs S

58.4%

MODEL %

3-5

MODEL FAIR

+44.1

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig96 -5 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class91.9 +2.6 vs race +3.8 gap

MC16.0% fair 5-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.38

Faced91.7 -0.3 vs today

Pace EP84.2 best 95.1

Pace LP93.6 best 112.3

Energy0.52

Connections

JockChristopher Elliottκ 0.09was Dylan Davis · -1.2

TrnRob Atrasκ 0.33

J×T28 · 14% win · 46% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Christopher Elliott / Rob Atras 15% -50%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	18	8	6	2	44%	105.9
2026	4	0	3	1	0%	105.9
2025	3	1	2	0	33%	99.1
MTH	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	0	2	0	0%	105.9
Sprint	13	7	3	2	54%	105.9
Wet	3	2	1	0	67%	99.1

WORKS 07-27 BEL 4 Furlongs 50.81 B 40 06-12 BEL 4 Furlongs :49.25 B 54 04-12 BEL 4 Furlongs 50.21 B 42 04-04 BEL 4 Furlongs 50.54 B 44 03-12 BEL 4 Furlongs 49.00 B 61

SIRECollected 83 74%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28 42d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	2	7	2.5	S	95	103	103	106	110	91	2.16	Dylan Davis
2026-05-17 28d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	2	8	0.2		85	nan	100	96	98	90	14.44	Dylan Davis
2026-04-19 29d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	2	7	8.2		86	96	86	98	98	90	2.42	Kendrick Carmouche
2026-03-21 349d·8.3×	AQU	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	91	3	5	5.8	F	85	78	112	93	94	90	19.78	Reylu Gutierrez
2025-04-06 42d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Stk	93	2	5	1.8	F	82	90	106	99	110	91	4.6	Lane Luzzi
2025-02-23 17d	AQU	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	94	2	6	1.0	F	100	nan	78	96	97	90	10.9	Lane Luzzi
2025-02-06 108d·2.6×	AQU	6.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	AOC	91	1	4	0.0		72	86	96	97	98	88	4.5	Lane Luzzi
2024-10-21 12d	FL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	85	1	8	0.0		93	71	nan	92	95	87	0.2	Jeremias Flores
2024-10-09 45d	FL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	1	6	0.0	F	99	74	65	95	100	87	1.15	Jeremias Flores
2024-08-25	SAR	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	6	7	7.0	S	67	79	86	94	94	86	12.8	Jose Lezcano

10 She's a Gamer

4F 119 lbs EP

9.6%

MODEL %

9-1

MODEL FAIR

-8.6

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig81 -20 vs par

Needs +4~19% run that

Class92.5 +3.2 vs race -11.1 gap

MC0.1% fair 99-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced89.6 -2.4 vs today

Pace EP87.7 best 98.1

Pace LP81.2 best 93.5

Energy0.54

Connections

Jock—κ 0.0

TrnKelly Breenκ 0.25

Angles

First-time turf 10% -26% Kelly Breen: first-time turf 9% -47% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	13	4	4	1	31%	99.7
2026	7	3	3	1	43%	99.7
2025	5	1	1	0	20%	97.4
MTH	2	1	1	0	50%	97.5
Turf	2	0	0	0	0%	83.2
Sprint	13	4	4	1	31%	99.7
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 MTH 4 Furlongs :47.80 H 77 ★07-08 MTH 4 Furlongs :47.20 H 77 05-31 MTH 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 78 03-25 PMM 4 Furlongs :50.30 B 44

SIREGame Winner 84 82%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-12 29d	SAR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	3	7	1.5	F	90	nan	94	99	100	91	5.41	Joel Rosario
2026-06-13 34d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	1	7	0.0		94	91	74	98	98	91	0.7	Paco Lopez
2026-05-10 16d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	2	6	1.8	F	90	86	89	95	87	91	0.3	Paco Lopez
2026-04-24 14d	TAM	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	89	1	5	0.0	F	—	—	—	100	103	91	0.8	Samuel Marin
2026-04-10 33d	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	90	2	8	1.0	F	98	86	73	92	88	90	5.1	Paco Lopez
2026-03-08 57d	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	90	2	4	0.2	F	91	89	81	89	87	90	2.7	Pietro Moran
2026-01-10 76d·2.2×	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	1	6	0.0		90	97	109	96	85	90	0.9	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-10-26 140d·4.1×	GP	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	8	9	5.2	F	102	86	87	82	87	89	6.7	Edwin Gonzalez
2025-06-08 66d	GP	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	4	7	6.0	F	75	92	98	83	93	89	3.7	Edgard Zayas
2025-04-03	GP	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	85	1	8	0.0	F	104	93	100	90	87	88	1.1	Edwin Gonzalez

1 Somnium

4F 119 lbs S

7.3%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.8

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig91 -10 vs par

Needs +10~1% run that

Class90.8 +1.5 vs race +0.4 gap

MC4.6% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced89.6 -2.4 vs today

Pace EP87.8 best 97.7

Pace LP87.1 best 108.4

Energy0.49

Connections

JockJomar Torresκ 0.04was Jevian Toledo · -1.3

TrnElizabeth Merrymanκ 0.16

J×T17 · 24% win · 88% ITM

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	13	4	2	2	31%	94.0
2026	4	2	0	0	50%	93.7
2025	7	2	1	1	29%	94.0
MTH	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	11	4	2	1	36%	94.0
Sprint	13	4	2	2	31%	94.0
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

SIREStreet Boss 83 77%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-12 28d	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	1	7	0.0	F	96	88	87	92	95	90	2.1	Jevian Toledo
2026-05-15 13d	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	4	8	2.0	S	88	86	108	94	92	89	17.4	Jose Ortiz
2026-05-02 15d	PEN	5.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	86	1	10	0.0	S	95	92	108	87	72	89	0.8	Jomar Torres
2026-04-17 147d·5.2×	AQU	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	8	8	10.5	S	98	82	69	88	81	90	10.72	Manuel Franco
2025-11-21 41d	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	3	9	1.0	F	86	83	84	89	85	89	3.8	J.G. Torrealba
2025-10-11 23d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	G3	92	4	10	2.8		87	92	84	94	96	86	70.68	Katie Davis
2025-09-18 20d	PEN	5.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	86	1	8	0.0	F	63	91	108	88	83	85	0.7	Jomar Torres
2025-08-29 35d	PEN	5.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	78	1	5	0.0	S	82	89	94	90	80	86	0.1	Jomar Torres
2025-07-25 44d	CNL	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	6	7	6.0	S	89	79	72	85	74	86	1.6	Ben Curtis
2025-06-11	DEL	5.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	83	4	8	1.8	F	78	nan	91	87	85	86	1.8	Jevian Toledo

9 Pandora's Gift

5M 119 lbs EP

4.7%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.4

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig99 -2 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class92.1 +2.8 vs race +7.3 gap

MC28.4% fair 5-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced92.7 +0.7 vs today

Pace EP79.1 best 96.1

Pace LP89.7 best 101.8

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJose Gomezκ 0.06was Manuel Franco · -1.5

TrnMiguel Clementκ 0.57

Record

	Sts	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	2	1	0%	104.7
2026	3	0	1	0%	98.7
2025	3	1	0	0%	104.7
MTH	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	6	1	1	0%	104.7
Sprint	8	2	1	0%	104.7
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 BEL 4 Furlongs 49.60 B 57 07-18 BEL 4 Furlongs 50.25 B 49 07-09 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.01 B 47 06-18 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.61 B 50 ◆Emergency Nine·90 06-10 BEL 4 Furlongs :49.50 B 58 06-02 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.31 B 47

SIREChurchill (Ire) 83 78%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25 39d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	92	5	6	5.8		96	96	94	96	92	92	3.65	Manuel Franco
2026-05-17 25d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	3	8	3.0		77	90	102	99	94	92	3.5	Manuel Franco
2026-04-22 215d·4.1×	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	93	9	10	10.2		73	92	98	92	69	92	1.66	Flavien Prat
2025-09-19 106d·2.0×	PID	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	G2	90	11	12	8.5	F	76	88	93	96	97	93	3.7	Manuel Franco
2025-06-05 53d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	G2	97	5	9	1.5	F	70	87	90	102	102	99	3.15	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-04-13 182d·3.4×	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	G3	95	2	9	0.1	S	69	70	92	105	91	98	2.43	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2024-10-13 23d	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	G2	96	12	12	1.2	F	78	76	62	98	104	96	40.37	Adam Beschizza
2024-09-20	PID	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	G2	91	2	9	0.2	F	92	97	89	99	106	92	10.2	Ben Curtis

6 Obstreperous

5M 119 lbs P

4.7%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-13.5

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig95 -6 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class91.5 +2.2 vs race +3.2 gap

MC11.8% fair 7-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced91.2 -0.8 vs today

Pace EP91.5 best 106.7

Pace LP84.0 best 95.6

Energy0.51

Connections

JockJorge Vargas, Jr.κ 0.02was Jaime Rodriguez · -1.4

TrnMichael Simoneκ 0.11

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	20	6	3	4	30%	97.9
2026	2	1	0	0	50%	97.9
2025	9	2	1	2	22%	94.7
MTH	1	1	0	0	100%	97.9
Turf	13	5	1	3	38%	97.9
Sprint	19	6	3	4	32%	97.9
Wet	1	1	0	0	100%	85.2

WORKS 06-20 DEL 4 Furlongs :48.80 B G 63 05-16 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 54 ★04-25 TAM 4 Furlongs :46.60 B 94

SIRESky Mesa 83 74%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11 15d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	G2	96	4	5	2.8	F	—	—	—	95	102	90	20.5	Jaime Rodriguez
2026-06-26 243d·6.6×	MTH	5.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	87	1	7	0.0		86	82	84	98	90	91	1.2	Cipriano Gil
2025-10-26 45d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	7	8	6.8		98	92	96	88	89	90	12.57	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-09-11 25d	CNL	5.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	6	6	8.0		107	91	87	87	82	91	1.9	Paco Lopez
2025-08-17 63d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	1	5	0.0	S	103	76	81	95	93	90	1.55	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-06-15 29d	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	91	1	9	0.0	S	99	nan	84	91	90	91	2.32	Luis Saez
2025-05-17 27d	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	3	12	0.5		80	81	94	89	89	90	3.16	Florent Geroux
2025-04-20 37d	GP	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	2	12	0.2	F	85	93	77	90	96	89	11.3	Cipriano Gil
2025-03-14 40d	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	90	7	7	7.8	F	88	88	80	80	79	89	3.9	Luis Saez
2025-02-02	FG	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	89	4	10	2.5		82	103	111	88	79	88	9.5	Edgar Morales

7 Buttercream Babe

5M 123 lbs S

4.7%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-12.0

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -11 vs par

Needs +12~<1% run that

Class95.5 +6.2 vs race -5.0 gap

MC3.4% fair 30-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced92.2 +0.2 vs today

Pace EP82.4 best 88.7

Pace LP85.0 best 109.5

Energy0.50

Connections

Jock—κ 0.0

TrnGeorge Arnold IIκ 0.55

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	19	4	2	5	21%	93.4
2026	4	2	0	1	50%	93.4
2025	3	0	0	1	0%	92.9
MTH	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	18	4	2	5	22%	93.4
Sprint	9	3	0	2	33%	93.4
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	92.2

WORKS 07-25 KEE 3 Furlongs :35.80 B 53 07-17 KEE 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 31 ★04-26 KEE 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 42 04-21 KEE 4 Furlongs :53.80 B 18 03-20 PMM 4 Furlongs :46.95 B 62 03-11 PMM 3 Furlongs :38.95 B 32

SIRETwirling Candy 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28 22d	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	95	1	9	0.0		nan	nan	69	90	90	95	4.88	John Velazquez
2026-06-06 34d	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	G1	95	8	8	10.0		85	72	75	89	94	95	23.9	Luis Saez
2026-05-03 29d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	93	3	8	1.2	S	85	90	85	89	81	95	3.13	John Velazquez
2026-04-04 209d·4.4×	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	1	6	0.0		78	100	103	93	96	95	4.59	John Velazquez
2025-09-07 63d	KD	7.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	4	8	7.0	F	89	98	110	84	78	96	0.96	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-07-06 72d	ELP	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	3	8	1.0		100	94	69	93	100	96	1.5	Florent Geroux
2025-04-25 182d·3.8×	KEE	8.0f	turf	Yielding	Alw	92	7	12	5.5		71	98	94	92	80	97	6.2	Luis Saez
2024-10-25 48d	KEE	8.0f	turf	Firm	G2	95	3	12	1.2		79	75	85	92	88	96	8.92	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2024-09-07 36d	KD	6.5f	turf	Firm	G2	94	6	12	3.0	F	83	92	113	89	85	95	3.23	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2024-08-02	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	G2	93	3	8	0.5	S	85	94	93	90	86	94	5.3	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

4 Les Reys

5M 119 lbs S

3.8%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-21.2

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 -7 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class92.8 +3.5 vs race +1.3 gap

MC11.0% fair 8-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced91.9 -0.1 vs today

Pace EP84.3 best 97.7

Pace LP83.5 best 94.5

Energy0.50

Connections

JockLuis Rivera, Jr.κ 0.07was Flavien Prat · -2.2

TrnMiguel Clementκ 0.57

J×T4 · 0% win · 50% ITM

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	2	1	25%	96.2
2026	2	0	1	0%	95.5
2025	4	1	0	25%	91.7
MTH	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	6	1	1	17%	96.2
Sprint	4	1	1	25%	95.5
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 BEL 4 Furlongs 49.60 B 56 07-18 BEL 4 Furlongs 50.25 B 49 07-09 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.01 B 46 06-13 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 43 06-06 BEL 4 Furlongs :49.85 B 51 05-30 BEL 4 Furlongs 51.55 B 31

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25 41d	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	92	2	6	0.8		81	94	94	95	98	92	3.54	Flavien Prat
2026-05-15 188d·4.4×	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	5	8	2.2	S	89	89	91	96	91	92	5.4	Flavien Prat
2025-11-08 28d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	91	13	14	10.0	F	98	88	81	84	82	95	4.95	Rafael Hernandez
2025-10-11 43d	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	G3	90	1	8	0.0	S	85	82	80	88	87	96	4.15	Rafael Hernandez
2025-08-29 50d	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	94	6	8	3.0		82	88	81	92	89	97	5.5	Joel Rosario
2025-07-10 258d·6.0×	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	94	4	7	1.0	S	78	83	86	88	83	98	5.2	Joel Rosario
2024-10-25 42d	KEE	8.0f	turf	Firm	G2	95	5	12	2.8		98	84	68	91	87	96	2.11	Flavien Prat
2024-09-13	BAQ	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	1	9	0.0		80	91	111	96	89	91	6.3	Joel Rosario

8 Lucy McGee

4F 123 lbs EP

3.8%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.3

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -13 vs par

Needs +12~<1% run that

Class91.3 +2.0 vs race -3.1 gap

MC1.5% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced87.8 -4.2 vs today

Pace EP88.8 best 99.9

Pace LP86.4 best 101.1

Energy0.52

Connections

JockRuben Silveraκ 0.15was Mario Gutierrez · -0.2

TrnV H Oliverκ 0.0was Victoria Oliver · -5.0

Angles

2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	10	2	2	2	20%	92.5
2026	2	2	0	0	100%	92.2
2025	6	0	2	2	0%	92.5
MTH	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	8	2	2	2	25%	92.5
Sprint	10	2	2	2	20%	92.5
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 KEE 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 51 04-09 KEE 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 61 03-27 PAY 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 77 03-20 PAY 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 54 03-13 PAY 5 Furlongs 1:04.00 B 44 ◆Marcinkowski·84 ★03-06 PAY 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 75 ◆Marcinkowski·84

SIREPractical Joke 86 92%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10 85d·3.3×	ELP	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	91	1	10	0.0		—	—	—	92	91	90	9.18	Mario Gutierrez
2026-04-16 218d·8.4×	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	1	10	0.0		90	89	94	90	83	89	2.79	Luis Saez
2025-09-10 18d	KD	6.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	6	12	7.0	F	94	nan	78	86	82	90	8.02	Jaime Torres
2025-08-23 40d	ELP	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	4	10	4.5	F	89	88	101	87	80	90	2.18	Jaime Torres
2025-07-14 19d	ELP	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	2	11	1.0	F	100	81	91	89	88	90	2.26	Jaime Torres
2025-06-25 18d	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	3	11	0.5		98	nan	86	89	91	89	2.54	Sophie Doyle
2025-06-07 23d	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	2	10	0.5	F	86	82	83	87	82	88	5.44	Sophie Doyle
2025-05-15 297d·11.4×	CD	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	3	12	0.8	F	89	86	82	92	92	84	41.96	Sophie Doyle
2024-07-22 26d	ELP	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	6	7	14.2		86	67	69	82	75	89	8.19	Jaime Torres
2024-06-26	CD	4.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	6	11	6.0	F	81	nan	86	86	76	88	14.44	Jaime Torres

3 Mopo

4F 125 lbs EP

1.6%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-20.6

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig97 -4 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class90.5 +1.2 vs race +6.7 gap

MC17.0% fair 5-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced88.6 -3.4 vs today

Pace EP84.6 best 95.3

Pace LP82.0 best 103.7

Energy0.49

Connections

JockEdwin Gonzalezκ 0.2was Forest Boyce · +0.1

TrnPhillip Capuanoκ 0.16

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	12	3	7	25%	96.8
2026	3	2	1	67%	96.8
2025	9	1	6	11%	92.9
MTH	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	10	3	6	30%	96.8
Sprint	6	2	3	33%	96.8
Wet	1	0	1	0%	81.3

WORKS 07-26 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 51 05-31 LRL 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 66 ★04-28 LRL 3 Furlongs :36.00 B 57 04-22 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:02.40 B 64 ★04-12 LRL 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 71 ◆Matthew'S Ticket·89 ★04-07 LRL 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 73

SIREGreat Notion 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20 15d	LRL	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	90	1	7	0.0	S	95	nan	83	92	92	89	0.9	Forest Boyce
2026-06-05 34d	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	89	2	9	0.1	F	81	72	56	97	98	89	0.6	Forest Boyce
2026-05-02 168d·4.4×	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	87	1	6	0.0		80	72	85	97	96	88	1.9	Forest Boyce
2025-11-15 14d	LRL	9.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	89	5	10	7.0		93	95	88	88	88	89	2.4	Mychel Sanchez
2025-11-01 43d	LRL	8.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	88	2	7	2.5	F	88	97	104	91	84	88	3.0	Mychel Sanchez
2025-09-19 44d	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	88	2	8	1.0		89	93	94	93	85	88	1.7	Forest Boyce
2025-08-06 38d	CNL	8.5f	turf	Good	Alw	88	2	7	2.8	F	71	92	98	90	87	87	1.8	Jorge Ruiz
2025-06-29 44d	LRL	9.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	86	2	7	0.2		91	95	104	92	96	86	4.3	Tais Lyapustina
2025-05-16 21d	PIM	8.0f	turf	Good	MSW	84	1	12	0.0	S	89	102	96	93	80	84	5.3	Jose Ortiz
2025-04-25	LRL	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	83	2	10	3.0	F	97	88	80	88	87	82	33.5	Tais Lyapustina

2 Summer's Comin

5M 125 lbs P

1.4%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.4

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -9 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class92.1 +2.8 vs race -0.4 gap

MC6.3% fair 15-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced89.6 -2.4 vs today

Pace EP82.3 best 91.7

Pace LP77.5 best 86.4

Energy0.53

Connections

JockFrancisco Martinezκ 0.18

TrnMichael Diniκ 0.1

J×T60 · 22% win · 47% ITM

Angles

Francisco Martinez / Michael Dini 20% +2%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	34	9	7	2	26%	96.8
2026	7	2	3	0	29%	96.8
2025	9	3	2	0	33%	95.1
MTH	17	3	4	2	18%	96.3
Turf	13	3	2	0	23%	90.5
Sprint	21	6	4	2	29%	96.8
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★05-28 MTH 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 64 05-17 MTH 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 61

SIRESummer Front 83 77%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 21d	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	87	2	8	0.8	S	74	65	86	90	86	92	2.6	Francisco Martinez
2026-06-06 45d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	88	1	10	0.0		92	nan	79	96	93	92	2.0	Francisco Martinez
2026-04-22 26d	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	1	6	0.0	F	81	nan	69	97	101	91	2.9	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-03-27 20d	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	91	4	5	2.8	F	82	nan	84	95	94	91	2.9	Samuel Marin
2026-03-07 28d	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	5	7	7.0	F	89	65	60	94	95	92	21.7	Charlie Marquez
2026-02-07 31d	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	2	6	7.5		90	101	105	92	88	92	23.3	Charlie Marquez
2026-01-07 14d	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	2	6	2.8		66	96	89	96	96	91	9.3	Pablo Morales
2025-12-24 76d·2.9×	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	2	6	1.2	F	81	88	73	94	92	91	3.5	Samuel Marin
2025-10-09 26d	DEL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	1	7	0.0	F	79	nan	84	95	100	90	4.1	Francisco Martinez
2025-09-13	MTH	5.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	89	7	11	7.2		88	78	76	86	79	91	13.0	Sonny Leon