MTH 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 D R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D

Purse $18,000. One Mile. (plus Up To 40% Njb) For Three Year Olds And Upward. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, For Each $500 To $9,000 1 lb. (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Confabulation ✓	59% 3-5 / 7/2	33.5%	E	1st/1w	83 +1.5	88²-3	90⁵	90²	—	CLMT-0.4J+1.3	—	★PRIME
2	Rerally ✓	3% 30-1 / 6/1	7.7%	S	6th/1w	85 +3.1	85⁶-6	91³	87⁵	89²		19%	1∠
3	Denying ✓	2% 50-1 / 3/1	11.7%	S	9th/1w	86 +4.3	85⁶-6	92²	88⁴	86³	CLMT-3.6	—	⚠-3.1
4	Master of None	1% 99-1 / 10/1	4.5%	S	8th/1w	85 +3.6	87⁴-4	91³	85⁷	—		—
5	Fluff the Pillow	1% 50-1 / 15/1	3.3%	P	7th/1w	81 -0.1	80⁹-11	84⁹	83⁹	90¹	J-0.6▲cls	—	⚠-1.4
6	Amedeus Music	15% 6-1 / 4/1	14.7%	P	3rd/1w	84 +2.7	88²-3	94¹	93¹	83⁴	J-3.5	—	1∠
7	Surprise Package ✓	2% 50-1 / 8/1	5.6%	S	5th/2w	84 +2.3	86⁵-5	90⁵	85⁷	69⁶		—
8	Laughing Boy	11% 8-1 / 5/1	11.9%	P	2nd/3w	84 +2.4	90¹-1	90⁵	90²	70⁵		—
9	Cupid's Dude ✓	5% 15-1 / 8/1	7.1%	P	4th/3w	85 +3.7	84⁸-7	89⁸	86⁶	—	J-0.6	—	⚠-1.4

Pace Projector LONE SPEED front favored 1st¼ 24.1s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 1 LS★ ⚡ 99/94 Confabulation 8 »» 116/106 Laughing Boy 6 93/89 Amedeus Music 9 »» 103/99 Cupid's Dude 7 » 91/86 Surprise Package 2 100/96 Rerally 5 116/83 Fluff the Pillow 4 C★ 92/114 Master of None 3 96/95 Denying

On the lead: 1 · race sets up for front

1 Confabulation ★ PRIME

6G 125 lbs L E

59.1%

MODEL %

3-5

MODEL FAIR

+36.9

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -3 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class83.0 +1.5 vs race +4.5 gap

MC19.3% fair 4-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced84.6 +0.4 vs today

Pace EP82.1 best 99.1

Pace LP80.4 best 93.6

Energy0.56

Connections

JockEdwin Gonzalezκ 0.2was Luis Rivera, Jr. · +1.3

TrnWayne Pottsκ 0.13CLAIMEDwas Panagiotis Synnefias · -0.4

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	20	5	3	2	25%	94.4
2026	7	3	0	0	43%	94.4
2025	7	0	2	0	0%	90.3
MTH	1	1	0	0	100%	90.4
Dirt	20	5	3	2	25%	94.4
Route	17	5	2	2	29%	94.4
Wet	3	0	0	1	0%	92.6

WORKS 06-06 MTH 5 Furlongs 1:05.00 B 26 05-28 MTH 5 Furlongs 1:04.80 B 23 05-16 MTH 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 58 05-08 MTH 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 46 03-10 BEL 4 Furlongs 53.00 B 25

SIREGood Magic 85 90%ile turf 11%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-24 21d	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	1	6	0.0	S	—	—	—	90	95	82	1.5	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-07-03 22d	PEN	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Stk	86	5	6	27.8	F	84	nan	94	81	76	84	1.9	Julio Hernandez
2026-06-11 89d·4.0×	PEN	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	1	5	0.0	S	68	81	86	88	92	84	1.4	Kendry Rivera
2026-03-14 21d	AQU	9.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	6	6	14.8		88	nan	74	88	88	85	1.86	Gokhan Kocakaya
2026-02-21 7d	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	87	4	7	12.2		77	85	93	89	93	86	6.1	Gokhan Kocakaya
2026-02-14 28d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	88	8	8	18.2	F	99	87	56	88	88	87	19.3	Gokhan Kocakaya
2026-01-17 35d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	1	6	0.0		94	84	76	94	101	86	1.39	Christopher Elliott
2025-12-13 36d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	2	10	6.0		108	97	82	89	90	86	3.82	Christopher Elliott
2025-11-07 16d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	88	9	9	25.5	F	78	nan	62	80	84	88	11.28	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2025-10-22	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	2	8	0.8	F	87	92	89	90	100	87	4.53	Luis Rivera, Jr.

6 Amedeus Music

7G 116 lbs L P

14.7%

MODEL %

6-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.3

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -3 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 93 vs par 91

Class84.2 +2.7 vs race +3.8 gap

MC17.5% fair 9-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced84.4 +0.2 vs today

Pace EP84.4 best 93.2

Pace LP75.5 best 89.4

Energy0.53

Connections

JockChristian Maraghκ -0.12was Paco Lopez · -3.5

TrnWayne Pottsκ 0.13

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	43	8	8	2	19%	96.1
2026	7	1	1	0	14%	94.2
2025	9	1	1	2	11%	94.5
MTH	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	38	8	7	2	21%	96.1
Route	30	5	7	2	17%	96.1
Wet	6	1	2	0	17%	94.6

WORKS 07-22 MTH 4 Furlongs :50.80 B 45 ◆Problematica·92 05-31 MTH 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 B 70 05-13 PRX 5 Furlongs 1:02.52 B 59

SIREDialed In 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-23 17d	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Str Alw	86	2	5	4.0	S	84	77	81	93	93	83	4.4	Paco Lopez
2026-06-06 19d	PRX	9.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	5	6	17.0	S	93	84	89	93	88	84	5.6	Ruben Silvera
2026-05-18 27d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	1	7	0.0		86	66	49	94	100	84	0.9	Ruben Silvera
2026-04-21 22d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	5	8	5.8		81	nan	88	90	92	83	3.7	Paco Lopez
2026-03-30 27d	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	6	7	18.8	S	90	63	56	89	85	85	4.9	Andrew Wolfsont
2026-03-03 55d·2.0×	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	86	4	7	5.5	S	81	95	92	92	86	85	10.9	Andrew Wolfsont
2026-01-07 29d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	4	9	5.8		91	nan	82	91	82	85	4.6	Andrew Wolfsont
2025-12-09 22d	PRX	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	12	12	28.5	F	88	nan	76	82	80	87	4.5	Mychel Sanchez
2025-11-17 27d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	3	9	6.0		92	96	100	91	92	88	1.7	Abner Adorno
2025-10-21	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	4	8	4.8	S	64	87	98	94	104	88	2.2	Mychel Sanchez

8 Laughing Boy

8H 123 lbs L P

11.4%

MODEL %

8-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.3

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -1 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class83.9 +2.4 vs race +5.9 gap

MC10.4% fair 9-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced86.0 +1.8 vs today

Pace EP88.0 best 116.0

Pace LP83.8 best 105.7

Energy0.54

Connections

JockCarlos Rojasκ 0.15

TrnMichael Simmondsκ 0.02

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	51	6	7	7	12%	98.6
2026	8	1	2	0	12%	92.0
2025	10	0	0	3	0%	93.8
MTH	1	0	1	0	0%	90.5
Dirt	49	6	7	6	12%	98.6
Route	44	6	7	5	14%	98.6
Wet	11	0	4	0	0%	97.1

WORKS 07-25 BEL 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 68 06-06 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.63 B 41 05-30 BEL 4 Furlongs 50.82 B 38 05-05 BEL 4 Furlongs 47.98 B 68 04-11 BEL 4 Furlongs 48.75 B 62

SIREDistorted Humor 85 90%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10 7d	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	6	1.5	S	74	79	67	90	94	83	11.8	Carlos Rojas
2026-07-03 20d	SAR	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	87	7	7	14.0		116	90	87	88	87	84	24.0	Ruben Silvera
2026-06-13 28d	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	4	6	9.8	F	107	97	106	88	88	85	30.35	Reylu Gutierrez
2026-05-16 30d	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	8	10	12.5	F	81	79	91	88	83	86	23.89	Jose Lezcano
2026-04-16 35d	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	88	4	4	14.0	S	86	81	80	85	85	88	4.31	Jorge Vargas, Jr.
2026-03-12 20d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	87	5	6	5.8	F	101	nan	97	89	95	88	24.14	Jose Gomez
2026-02-20 49d	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	85	2	5	1.8	S	90	83	87	91	90	88	1.75	Jose Lezcano
2026-01-02 41d	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	1	7	0.0	S	99	82	67	92	90	88	1.18	Jose Lezcano
2025-11-22 21d	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	89	6	7	6.0		86	83	72	89	90	88	6.62	Jose Lezcano
2025-11-01	BAQ	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	88	4	7	0.8		83	88	97	90	88	88	10.26	Dylan Davis

9 Cupid's Dude

7G 123 lbs L P

5.4%

MODEL %

15-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.7

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -7 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class85.2 +3.7 vs race -1.5 gap

MC5.0% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.21

Faced85.3 +1.1 vs today

Pace EP85.7 best 102.8

Pace LP78.8 best 98.7

Energy0.53

Connections

JockJorge Vargas, Jr.κ 0.02was Angel Cruz · -0.6

TrnMichael Simoneκ 0.11

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	66	11	9	8	17%	93.8
2026	9	2	0	1	22%	93.1
2025	18	5	3	1	28%	93.8
MTH	10	3	2	1	30%	93.8
Dirt	38	8	7	2	21%	93.8
Route	62	11	9	8	18%	93.8
Wet	3	1	0	1	33%	93.8

WORKS ★04-22 TAM 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 75 ★03-22 TAM 3 Furlongs :36.00 B G 57 03-11 TAM 4 Furlongs :49.20 B G 65

SIRECupid 83 76%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-22 12d	DEL	8.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	86	3	8	1.8	S	—	—	—	86	87	85	9.3	Angel Cruz
2026-07-10 29d	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	5	6	11.2	S	81	75	48	85	85	86	1.8	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-06-11 26d	PEN	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	Clm	85	6	6	9.0		103	nan	77	85	79	88	5.0	Cipriano Gil
2026-05-16 20d	DEL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	87	6	7	11.8	S	77	75	99	82	70	89	3.6	Julio Hernandez
2026-04-26 18d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	1	8	0.0	F	91	88	76	85	85	89	1.9	Samuel Marin
2026-04-08 46d·2.3×	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	5	7	3.8		94	88	91	89	94	88	4.8	Paco Lopez
2026-02-21 20d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	5	6	7.0		89	94	103	90	92	88	4.9	Samy Camacho
2026-02-01 14d	TAM	8.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	7	7	11.8	F	94	89	80	87	91	88	3.4	Daniel Centeno
2026-01-18 22d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	88	1	7	0.0	S	86	82	76	93	94	88	2.8	Samy Camacho
2025-12-27	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	87	4	10	0.5	F	89	87	73	88	95	88	29.3	Sonny Leon

2 Rerally

7G 123 lbs L S

3.4%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-10.9

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -6 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class84.6 +3.1 vs race +0.6 gap

MC9.1% fair 10-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced83.8 -0.4 vs today

Pace EP81.4 best 99.6

Pace LP72.5 best 95.6

Energy0.54

Connections

JockJean Aguilarκ 0.03

TrnMiguel Penalozaκ 0.18

J×T52 · 19% win · 42% ITM

Angles

Jean Aguilar / Miguel Penaloza 21% +48%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	47	11	7	7	23%	93.1
2026	10	1	2	2	10%	90.6
2025	7	3	0	1	43%	93.1
MTH	7	2	1	2	29%	92.5
Dirt	44	11	7	7	25%	93.1
Route	42	10	7	5	24%	92.5
Wet	7	2	1	1	29%	91.1

SIRELord Nelson 83 80%ile turf 12%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-13 7d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	3	7	2.8		82	89	96	87	94	84	3.1	Jean Aguilar
2026-07-06 21d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	84	7	7	10.2		56	83	84	85	86	85	2.8	Dexter Haddock
2026-06-15 21d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	7	0.2		98	83	38	91	91	85	8.0	Dexter Haddock
2026-05-25 24d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	84	3	6	0.2	F	76	76	88	90	92	84	10.1	Dexter Haddock
2026-05-01 10d	PRX	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	1	10	0.0	F	100	85	34	88	88	83	5.4	Dexter Haddock
2026-04-21 22d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	6	8	9.0		89	nan	84	86	89	84	6.8	Dexter Haddock
2026-03-30 20d	PRX	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	2	9	4.0		nan	nan	46	85	80	83	5.9	Ruben Silvera
2026-03-10 28d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	7	12	16.5		91	nan	96	86	86	85	7.4	Andrew Wolfsont
2026-02-10 34d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	4	6	3.2		79	95	95	86	90	85	2.9	Andrew Wolfsont
2026-01-07	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	5	9	11.8		90	nan	79	86	77	86	21.7	Melvis Gonzalez

7 Surprise Package

4G 116 lbs L S

1.8%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-9.3

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -5 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class83.8 +2.3 vs race +2.1 gap

MC9.8% fair 9-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.19

Faced84.4 +0.2 vs today

Pace EP81.6 best 91.2

Pace LP80.1 best 86.1

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJefferson Skerrettκ 0.02

TrnKathleen O'Connellκ 0.17

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	17	5	1	2	29%	89.9
2026	8	3	0	1	38%	89.9
2025	9	2	1	1	22%	87.4
MTH	7	2	1	2	29%	87.9
Dirt	7	3	0	1	43%	89.9
Route	17	5	1	2	29%	89.9
Wet	1	0	0	1	0%	87.9

WORKS 06-12 MTH 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 59

SIREGift Box 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10 46d	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	4	6	9.5	S	70	58	68	85	87	85	3.0	Jefferson Skerrett
2026-05-25 24d	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Stk	88	3	5	6.2	S	88	78	83	88	95	85	5.0	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-05-01 12d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	1	7	0.0	S	91	87	81	90	99	84	3.4	Hector Diaz, Jr.
2026-04-19 22d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	1	7	0.0	S	88	77	86	89	94	82	6.5	Hector Diaz, Jr.
2026-03-28 13d	TAM	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	5	7	8.2		76	99	83	86	92	82	11.2	Charlie Marquez
2026-03-15 36d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	4	6	5.2	S	78	92	82	86	82	81	3.5	Samuel Marin
2026-02-07 22d	TAM	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	86	11	11	33.8	F	90	89	93	69	62	83	30.8	Chris Landeros
2026-01-16 48d·2.0×	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	1	8	0.0	S	96	94	108	87	86	81	17.2	Chris Landeros
2025-11-29 59d·2.5×	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	9	9	29.5		84	88	92	71	53	82	4.5	Samuel Marin
2025-10-01	DEL	8.5f	turf	Good	Clm	86	8	10	10.5	F	87	89	71	82	86	83	12.3	Sonny Leon

3 Denying

6G 125 lbs L S

1.6%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-23.4

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -6 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class85.8 +4.3 vs race -0.8 gap

MC9.3% fair 10-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.19

Faced83.4 -0.8 vs today

Pace EP84.6 best 96.1

Pace LP82.2 best 95.4

Energy0.51

Connections

JockCharlie Marquezκ 0.05was Angel Morales · +0.0

TrnDevon Doughertyκ -0.07CLAIMEDwas Juan Avila · -3.6

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	48	5	3	5	10%	91.7
2026	9	1	2	3	11%	91.7
2025	13	1	0	2	8%	90.4
MTH	16	3	2	2	19%	91.7
Dirt	21	3	2	4	14%	91.7
Route	46	5	3	5	11%	91.7
Wet	3	1	0	0	33%	87.7

WORKS 06-20 MTH 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 56 05-31 MTH 4 Furlongs :50.80 B 48 05-10 MTH 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 25

SIREBlack Stash 83 80%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10 14d	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	3	6	4.8	S	88	nan	84	88	91	86	2.4	Angel Morales
2026-06-26 20d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	1	6	0.0	S	86	92	90	91	95	86	1.9	Angel Morales
2026-06-06 36d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	6	1.0		82	72	84	92	90	86	0.6	Sonny Leon
2026-05-01 7d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	3	7	2.5	S	96	91	64	90	97	85	2.8	Sonny Leon
2026-04-24 20d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	82	4	10	3.5		84	94	95	83	77	85	1.9	Samuel Marin
2026-04-04 20d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	2	10	0.2		84	96	91	88	90	84	4.1	Sonny Leon
2026-03-15 23d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	5	8	13.0		99	80	104	86	81	85	5.5	Sonny Leon
2026-02-20 12d	TAM	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	6	7	9.5		78	90	82	88	93	85	12.8	Charlie Marquez
2026-02-08 115d·5.8×	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	3	5	0.5	S	61	89	89	92	89	84	9.1	Sonny Leon
2025-10-16	DEL	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	6	9	8.0	S	90	93	117	88	88	84	8.4	Samuel Marin

4 Master of None

6G 123 lbs L S

1.3%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.8

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 -4 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class85.1 +3.6 vs race +2.0 gap

MC16.8% fair 5-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced85.0 +0.8 vs today

Pace EP85.3 best 92.4

Pace LP85.7 best 113.9

Energy0.54

Connections

JockMelissa Iorioκ 0.1

TrnSilvino Ramirezκ 0.18

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	53	7	9	8	13%	92.3
2026	9	2	2	2	22%	91.0
2025	16	2	3	2	12%	89.9
MTH	1	0	0	1	0%	84.7
Dirt	45	7	8	8	16%	92.3
Route	47	7	8	6	15%	92.3
Wet	7	1	2	1	14%	89.3

WORKS 05-31 MTH 5 Furlongs 1:02.40 B 62 ★05-15 PRX 3 Furlongs :36.08 B 52 05-09 PRX 4 Furlongs :48.33 B 63 04-29 PRX 4 Furlongs :48.83 B 57

SIREMastery 82 68%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-25 11d	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	3	6	7.0	F	—	—	—	85	84	85	6.5	Melissa Iorio
2026-07-14 22d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	4	7	8.8		92	96	88	88	88	86	2.4	Paco Lopez
2026-06-22 14d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	9	0.5		85	96	114	90	97	86	4.6	Paco Lopez
2026-06-08 19d	PRX	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	5	7	13.2	F	90	74	81	86	86	87	12.7	Yedsit Hazlewood
2026-05-20 44d·2.0×	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	7	3.5		89	90	94	91	88	87	4.2	Mychel Sanchez
2026-04-06 7d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	1	5	0.0	S	87	89	68	90	93	86	6.5	Ajhari Williams
2026-03-30 30d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	3	10	1.2		82	91	nan	90	88	86	9.2	Jose Vargas
2026-02-28 42d	LRL	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	6	7	10.5	S	91	77	60	87	85	86	14.0	Darwin Rodriguez
2026-01-17 35d	LRL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	1	9	0.0		98	86	58	86	86	86	9.1	Darwin Rodriguez
2025-12-13	LRL	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	4	5	10.5	S	81	90	95	86	86	87	17.1	Pedro Pena

5 Fluff the Pillow

5G 123 lbs L P

1.3%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.0

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig80 -11 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class81.4 -0.1 vs race -1.1 gap

MC2.9% fair 30-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced82.4 -1.8 vs today

Pace EP86.7 best 116.2

Pace LP76.7 best 83.0

Energy0.55

Connections

JockDalila Riveraκ 0.08was Chantal Sutherland · -0.6

TrnJoann Bertoneκ 0.08

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	24	3	5	6	12%	95.4
2026	6	0	0	3	0%	83.7
2025	14	3	4	3	21%	86.3
MTH	3	0	0	3	0%	83.7
Dirt	24	3	5	6	12%	95.4
Route	23	3	5	6	13%	95.4
Wet	4	0	2	0	0%	94.2

WORKS 07-25 MTH 3 Furlongs :37.40 B 36 04-22 PRX 4 Furlongs :50.47 B 42 03-11 PRX 4 Furlongs :49.51 B 48

SIREMalibu Moon 84 84%ile turf 12%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 21d	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	3	6	3.8	F	116	90	64	83	85	81	2.3	Chantal Sutherland
2026-06-06 21d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	3	6	10.2		78	86	82	83	82	81	10.9	Chantal Sutherland
2026-05-16 15d	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	3	6	2.2		73	74	67	84	82	80	7.1	Chantal Sutherland
2026-05-01 32d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	9	10	9.2	F	93	77	83	80	80	80	29.0	Kendry Rivera
2026-03-30 12d	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	7	7	34.0	S	94	88	78	77	72	81	36.5	Abner Adorno
2026-03-18 85d·4.0×	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	5	6	29.8	S	92	93	84	77	77	82	36.8	Julio Correa
2025-12-23 22d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	7	10	10.0		83	80	82	80	79	84	3.6	Julio Correa
2025-12-01 13d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	3	6	0.5	S	84	82	91	83	88	84	6.4	Julio Correa
2025-11-18 20d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	7	5.8	F	95	90	69	81	86	83	1.6	Julio Correa
2025-10-29	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	11	4.8	F	75	92	90	82	88	83	15.3	Julio Correa