MTH 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 D R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D

MTH 2026-08-01 One Mile DIRT

strength

+2.3 salty

win par

fig to beat

SPEED DUEL

shape

closers favored

FAST

early pace

1st¼ 23.7s / par 24.1

TOP-HEAVY

field

figs 74.0–85.9

FIG CLUSTER

low edge

consider passing

Purse $16,000. One Mile And Seventy Yards. (plus Up To 40% Njb) For Three Year Olds Or Four Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won Three Races. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since June 1 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $7,500, For Each $500 To $6,500 1 lb.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Win Winnie Win ✓	7% 12-1 / 4/1	11.7%	S	7th/1w	83 +1.8	84³-3	85³	85³	—	▲cls	—
2	Vesparo ✓	7% 15-1 / 6/1	9.1%	S	6th/1w	84 +3.1	74⁹-13	76⁸	80⁷	90⁴	T→D	—	1∠
3	Son of a Slew	8% 12-1 / 7/2	12.8%	P	3rd/1w	84 +2.9	86¹-1	86²	86²	91²		22%	1∠
4	Thorsness	42% 7-5 / 5/2	29.5%	EP	2nd/1w	86 +5.1	85²-2	89¹	87¹	96¹	L1T+0.7J-1.2	21%	✓+2.6★PRIME3∠
5	Bean Machine ✓	7% 12-1 / 6/1	9.3%	C	4th/1w	83 +2.3	82⁴-5	83⁶	83⁵	—		—
6	Boys of Summer	15% 6-1 / 20/1	8.0%	S	5th/1w	82 +0.7	81⁵-6	83⁶	81⁶	—	CLMT-0.5	19%	⚠-2.8LS1∠
7	Awol	3% 30-1 / 8/1	6.2%	C	9th/2w	84 +3.0	80⁶-7	84⁵	80⁷	—		—	1∠
8	Duck Duck Goose ✓	8% 12-1 / 8/1	7.9%	EP	1st/4w	83 +1.6	77⁸-10	85³	84⁴	86⁵	CLMT-3.2	—	⚠-3.1
9	Foil ✓	4% 25-1 / 10/1	5.6%	S	8th/3w	81 +0.2	79⁷-8	72⁹	80⁷	91²	spr→rte	27%

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 8 HOLDS LP »»» 91/123 Duck Duck Goose 4 97/108 Thorsness 3 97/102 Son of a Slew 5 105/101 Bean Machine 6 98/101 Boys of Summer 2 99/100 Vesparo 1 95/108 Win Winnie Win 9 »» 101/90 Foil 7 » 93/113 Awol

On the lead: 8, 4 · race sets up for closers

4 Thorsness ★ PRIME

4G 123 lbs L EP

42.0%

MODEL %

7-5

MODEL FAIR

+13.4

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -2 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 87 vs par 87

Class86.1 +5.1 vs race -1.4 gap

MC19.2% fair 4-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced82.9 -0.4 vs today

Pace EP86.1 best 97.3

Pace LP86.4 best 107.8

Energy0.53

Connections

JockLuis Rivera, Jr.κ 0.07was Kendrick Carmouche · -1.2

TrnRichard Dutrow, Jr.κ 0.45was Jeremiah Englehart · +0.7

J×T14 · 21% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Richard Dutrow, Jr.: off layoff (60d+) 18% -7% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	11	2	3	2	18%	89.2
2026	6	2	2	1	33%	89.2
2025	5	0	1	1	0%	88.9
MTH	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	8	2	2	2	25%	89.2
Route	10	2	3	2	20%	89.2
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 BEL 4 Furlongs 50.28 B 48 07-15 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.01 B 45 07-09 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 46 06-27 BEL 4 Furlongs :49.25 B 57 06-12 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.22 B 42 06-06 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 49

SIREWar Of Will 84 84%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-23 21d	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	1	8	0.0		96	85	95	87	83	85	5.4	Kendrick Carmouche
2026-05-02 20d	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	6	1.5		97	99	106	85	84	84	6.57	Kendrick Carmouche
2026-04-12 42d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	2	6	4.5	S	83	85	83	88	93	83	1.06	Manuel Franco
2026-03-01 24d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Good	Mdn Clm	82	1	9	0.0		84	68	59	88	79	82	5.93	Manuel Franco
2026-02-05 21d	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	7	10	9.0	S	88	89	108	85	81	83	4.95	Eric Cancel
2026-01-15 20d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	83	3	6	4.2	F	99	97	93	89	92	82	5.54	Flavien Prat
2025-12-26 33d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	3	6	3.8		76	79	100	86	93	81	2.82	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-11-23 65d·2.7×	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	81	4	9	11.8		98	91	84	84	94	83	7.13	Kendrick Carmouche
2025-09-19 204d·8.5×	BAQ	8.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	85	5	11	4.8	F	74	71	67	86	94	85	6.18	Kendrick Carmouche
2025-02-27	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	83	2	8	0.2		71	82	78	89	94	83	2.3	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

6 Boys of Summer LONGSHOT

5G 123 lbs L S

14.6%

MODEL %

6-1

MODEL FAIR

+9.8

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig81 -6 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class81.7 +0.7 vs race -1.1 gap

MC9.6% fair 9-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.21

Faced83.4 +0.1 vs today

Pace EP83.7 best 98.5

Pace LP79.6 best 100.6

Energy0.55

Connections

JockJean Aguilarκ 0.03was Kendry Rivera · +0.3

TrnMiguel Penalozaκ 0.18CLAIMEDwas Juan Guerrero · -0.5

J×T52 · 19% win · 42% ITM

Angles

Jean Aguilar / Miguel Penaloza 21% +48%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	21	2	4	6	10%	92.1
2026	7	0	2	1	0%	85.4
2025	13	1	2	5	8%	92.1
MTH	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	20	2	4	5	10%	92.1
Route	19	2	4	6	11%	92.1
Wet	3	1	0	1	33%	88.4

WORKS ★06-28 PRX 4 Furlongs :51.02 B 38 06-22 PRX 4 Furlongs :50.17 B 47

SIREMendelssohn 83 80%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-21 45d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	3	7	11.2	S	—	—	—	81	86	82	3.4	Kendry Rivera
2026-06-06 25d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	4	5	31.2		89	98	101	76	69	84	25.5	Kendry Rivera
2026-05-12 21d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	5	7	14.5	S	89	79	76	81	82	86	4.3	Kendry Rivera
2026-04-21 27d	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	4	1.2	S	98	85	61	82	86	85	3.3	Kendry Rivera
2026-03-25 14d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	7	1.0		94	83	61	83	88	84	6.0	Kendry Rivera
2026-03-11 21d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	7	7	17.0	S	58	84	98	83	82	86	34.2	Yedsit Hazlewood
2026-02-18 57d·2.3×	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Str Alw	85	4	6	3.8	S	86	68	69	85	84	85	20.3	Kendry Rivera
2025-12-23 49d·2.0×	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	7	8	20.0	S	74	96	92	80	78	87	17.5	Jeriel Catala
2025-11-04 15d	PRX	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	4	7	6.0	F	86	95	90	86	90	86	18.0	Jeriel Catala
2025-10-20	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	8	11	10.8	F	70	86	90	82	82	87	6.5	Luis Ocasio

3 Son of a Slew

5G 123 lbs L P

7.5%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-14.7

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -1 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class83.9 +2.9 vs race +2.0 gap

MC31.0% fair 2-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced83.5 +0.2 vs today

Pace EP83.7 best 97.2

Pace LP85.6 best 101.9

Energy0.52

Connections

JockFrancisco Martinezκ 0.18

TrnMichael Diniκ 0.1

J×T60 · 22% win · 47% ITM

Angles

Francisco Martinez / Michael Dini 20% +2%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	22	2	3	2	9%	87.0
2026	7	1	2	1	14%	87.0
2025	11	1	1	1	9%	84.9
MTH	3	0	1	1	0%	87.0
Dirt	6	0	2	0	0%	87.0
Route	18	2	3	2	11%	85.7
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 MTH 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 40 04-25 TAM 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 44

SIREAwesome Slew 83 79%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 20d	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	2	7	0.8		90	nan	92	86	85	84	2.4	Francisco Martinez
2026-06-07 15d	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	3	6	0.5	F	73	70	102	85	88	83	16.9	Francisco Martinez
2026-05-23 24d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	4	5	6.2	S	92	88	82	87	82	83	9.7	Sonny Leon
2026-04-29 32d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	85	7	8	8.2		97	88	81	82	74	83	14.0	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-03-28 43d	TAM	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	83	7	12	5.0	F	78	nan	88	83	80	83	16.5	Samuel Marin
2026-02-13 28d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	83	1	10	0.0		95	nan	94	84	83	83	3.0	Samuel Marin
2026-01-16 42d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	2	8	7.8	S	54	95	103	85	83	83	8.0	Samuel Marin
2025-12-05 69d·2.5×	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	6	9	8.8		91	86	91	82	82	84	21.7	Marcos Meneses
2025-09-27 21d	GP	8.0f	turf	Good	Clm	84	9	10	13.0		103	81	82	78	80	84	9.0	Miguel Vasquez
2025-09-06	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	85	8	9	12.0	F	84	nan	88	79	82	85	9.5	Marcos Meneses

8 Duck Duck Goose

3C 120 lbs L EP

7.5%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.6

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig77 -10 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class82.6 +1.6 vs race -5.6 gap

MC1.1% fair 99-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced81.2 -2.1 vs today

Pace EP80.7 best 91.0

Pace LP91.1 best 122.5

Energy0.54

Connections

JockCharlie Marquezκ 0.05was Luis Rivera, Jr. · -0.2

TrnDevon Doughertyκ -0.07CLAIMEDwas Kelly Breen · -3.2

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	7	2	2	29%	84.6
2026	5	1	2	20%	84.6
2025	2	1	0	50%	80.7
MTH	3	1	2	33%	84.6
Dirt	7	2	2	29%	84.6
Route	4	2	2	50%	84.6
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-22 MTH 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 50 06-28 MTH 3 Furlongs :37.20 B 43 06-20 MTH 3 Furlongs :39.40 B 22 04-25 PMM 4 Furlongs :50.25 B 46 ★03-15 PMM 3 Furlongs :36.35 B 54 ◆Mentor·85

SIREJust Leo 89 97%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06 14d	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	3	7	4.8		76	nan	95	84	80	82	5.6	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-05-23 14d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	3	5	5.0	S	91	89	79	79	75	82	1.9	Paco Lopez
2026-05-09 43d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	1	5	0.0	S	69	89	122	85	81	81	3.2	Paco Lopez
2026-03-27 35d	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	5	7	13.0	F	83	84	88	78	80	81	9.1	Sonny Leon
2026-02-20 146d·4.2×	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	6	7	10.0	F	86	91	104	81	82	79	13.6	Sonny Leon
2025-09-27 14d	DEL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	75	1	10	0.0	S	80	86	84	81	72	72	13.3	Sonny Leon
2025-09-13	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	8	10	17.2	S	77	80	76	78	55	80	4.9	Horacio Karamanos

5 Bean Machine

5G 123 lbs L C

7.3%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.0

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig82 -5 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class83.3 +2.3 vs race -1.2 gap

MC13.9% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced82.6 -0.7 vs today

Pace EP81.0 best 105.4

Pace LP85.7 best 101.1

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJorge Vargas, Jr.κ 0.02was Kendry Rivera · +0.2

TrnPanagiotis Synnefiasκ 0.16

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	26	2	1	2	8%	87.8
2026	3	0	0	1	0%	82.8
2025	14	1	0	1	7%	84.9
MTH	11	1	0	1	9%	83.2
Dirt	5	0	0	1	0%	82.8
Route	24	2	1	2	8%	87.8
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	78.8

WORKS 06-21 MTH 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 59 06-14 MTH 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 70 05-12 MTH 4 Furlongs :51.20 B 34 05-03 MTH 3 Furlongs :38.40 B 28

SIRETwirling Candy 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17 20d	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	4	7	1.5	S	—	—	—	83	82	83	6.5	Kendry Rivera
2026-06-27 28d	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	3	7	3.8		89	nan	87	83	82	82	12.0	Kendry Rivera
2026-05-30 232d·11.6×	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	5	7	8.5	S	73	89	93	82	64	83	13.5	Charlie Marquez
2025-10-10 21d	MED	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	83	6	11	6.8	F	105	94	71	82	89	83	69.5	Adam Bowman
2025-09-19 12d	MED	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	85	6	6	9.0	S	62	91	93	81	79	84	43.6	Adam Bowman
2025-09-07 8d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	84	5	5	11.0	S	79	93	101	79	78	85	12.3	Adam Bowman
2025-08-30 15d	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	85	6	8	3.5	F	99	89	93	82	79	85	30.6	Adam Bowman
2025-08-15 6d	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	6	9	2.2	S	84	90	100	81	64	85	7.1	Melissa Iorio
2025-08-09 21d	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	88	7	7	8.8		100	92	93	83	84	85	39.8	Dexter Haddock
2025-07-19	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	89	12	13	8.0		85	95	94	83	89	85	81.9	Adam Bowman

1 Win Winnie Win

3C 122 lbs L S

7.0%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-13.0

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -3 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class82.8 +1.8 vs race +0.8 gap

MC10.2% fair 9-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.17

Faced82.7 -0.6 vs today

Pace EP81.4 best 95.5

Pace LP88.9 best 108.5

Energy0.53

Connections

JockEdwin Gonzalezκ 0.2

TrnJuan Avilaκ 0.29

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	13	2	2	15%	87.4
2026	10	2	1	20%	85.3
2025	3	0	1	0%	87.4
MTH	3	1	0	33%	85.3
Dirt	10	2	2	20%	87.4
Route	5	1	0	20%	85.3
Wet	1	0	0	0%	80.8

WORKS 06-20 MTH 4 Furlongs :48.20 B G 70 05-17 MTH 4 Furlongs :48.20 H G 72 04-04 TAM 3 Furlongs :38.40 B 27

SIREUpstart 84 88%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-24 27d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	1	4	0.0		—	—	—	85	88	82	1.8	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-06-27 34d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	5	7	11.0	F	82	nan	88	80	72	83	16.6	Charlie Marquez
2026-05-24 28d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	82	4	4	5.8		77	98	96	81	77	83	1.0	Paco Lopez
2026-04-26 14d	TAM	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	4	6	5.2		81	98	84	84	79	82	4.8	Cipriano Gil
2026-04-12 28d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	83	6	8	16.8	F	77	88	95	76	72	84	12.3	Cipriano Gil
2026-03-15 9d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	82	6	7	11.5	F	96	98	108	79	79	84	6.8	Cipriano Gil
2026-03-06 19d	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	5	6	6.0		83	82	110	84	82	83	10.7	Cipriano Gil
2026-02-15 28d	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	1	7	0.0	F	88	83	45	85	86	82	1.4	Samy Camacho
2026-01-18 9d	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	2	8	2.0	F	112	82	72	81	74	81	0.7	Daniel Centeno
2026-01-09	TAM	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	4	6	8.5	F	57	80	95	82	81	82	1.0	Daniel Centeno

2 Vesparo

6G 116 lbs L S

6.8%

MODEL %

15-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.5

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig74 -13 vs par

Needs +8~6% run that

Class84.1 +3.1 vs race -10.1 gap

MC2.1% fair 50-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.39

Faced84.1 +0.8 vs today

Pace EP83.2 best 99.3

Pace LP88.4 best 100.0

Energy0.51

Connections

JockJefferson Skerrettκ 0.02

TrnRory Hustonκ 0.05

Angles

Turf-to-dirt 14% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	24	1	2	4	4%	87.1
2026	6	0	0	0	0%	80.5
2025	7	0	1	0	0%	87.1
MTH	17	1	2	3	6%	87.1
Dirt	2	0	0	1	0%	76.1
Route	18	1	1	3	6%	87.1
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 05-31 MTH 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 62

SIREEnglish Channel 83 78%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-05 15d	MTH	8.5f	turf	Good	Clm	84	4	6	6.2	S	99	87	81	80	76	85	6.7	Jefferson Skerrett
2026-06-20 13d	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	84	5	7	3.0		—	—	—	76	72	83	18.3	Ramon Moya
2026-06-07 28d	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	5	6	6.2	F	77	79	89	80	83	83	12.4	Jomar Torres
2026-05-10 106d·3.9×	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	85	6	6	6.2	S	nan	nan	98	79	73	84	8.0	Jomar Torres
2026-01-24 15d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	9	10	8.2		82	94	100	78	70	86	38.8	Jose Ferrer
2026-01-09 35d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	86	9	10	14.5		84	nan	99	78	78	88	18.4	Jesus Castanon
2025-12-05 49d	TAM	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	9	10	10.0	F	82	nan	83	80	77	89	68.2	Jesus Castanon
2025-10-17 27d	MED	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	8	9	2.8		95	86	93	81	79	88	6.8	Samuel Marin
2025-09-20 6d	MED	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	88	8	10	7.2		85	56	38	82	80	89	14.8	Jomar Torres
2025-09-14	MTH	5.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	89	6	9	3.5	F	85	77	96	84	89	89	17.2	Madison Olver

9 Foil

4G 116 lbs L S

4.0%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.1

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig79 -8 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class81.2 +0.2 vs race -1.9 gap

MC5.5% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced80.1 -3.2 vs today

Pace EP86.5 best 100.7

Pace LP83.4 best 89.9

Energy0.53

Connections

JockNoel Hermanκ -0.17

TrnPompeyo Gomezκ 0.17

J×T11 · 27% win · 45% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	6	2	33%	83.3
2026	4	2	50%	83.3
2025	2	0	0%	76.6
MTH	3	1	33%	81.0
Dirt	6	2	33%	83.3
Route	1	0	0%	71.7
Wet	1	1	100%	81.0

WORKS 05-17 MTH 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 48 04-04 PRX 4 Furlongs :52.27 B 25 03-28 PRX 4 Furlongs :49.99 B 54 03-20 PRX 3 Furlongs :38.84 B 28

SIREStreet Sense 84 88%ile turf 13%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11 21d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	4	5	5.5		101	nan	81	80	77	81	3.0	Noel Herman
2026-06-20 27d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	5	7	9.5	S	90	92	89	80	74	80	24.2	Noel Herman
2026-05-24 41d	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	82	1	4	0.0		78	96	90	81	84	77	2.6	Noel Herman
2026-04-13 329d·12.2×	PRX	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	75	1	7	0.0	F	98	86	86	83	80	72	5.5	Noel Herman
2025-05-19 24d	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	75	4	7	18.8		86	92	81	72	63	75	3.8	Andy Hernandez
2025-04-25	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	85	11	11	17.0		96	94	78	77	60	83	11.8	Mychel Sanchez

7 Awol

5G 125 lbs L C

3.3%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.8

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig80 -7 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class84.0 +3.0 vs race -3.7 gap

MC7.4% fair 12-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.18

Faced81.3 -2.0 vs today

Pace EP82.7 best 92.9

Pace LP89.8 best 112.8

Energy0.52

Connections

JockEliseo Ruizκ 0.18

TrnWayne Pottsκ 0.13

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	23	2	4	3	9%	88.7
2026	9	2	1	2	22%	83.5
2025	9	0	2	1	0%	82.2
MTH	3	0	1	0	0%	83.5
Dirt	20	2	4	2	10%	88.7
Route	22	2	4	3	9%	88.7
Wet	4	1	0	0	25%	86.1

WORKS 04-10 OP 3 Furlongs :37.60 B 39 03-27 OP 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 26

SIREArrogate 87 96%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-16 16d	PRX	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	1	6	0.0		—	—	—	80	84	82	1.8	Eliseo Ruiz
2026-06-30 24d	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	3	6	3.5	S	93	87	92	80	79	81	0.7	Paco Lopez
2026-06-06 14d	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	2	7	3.0		71	nan	102	84	81	81	5.3	Reylu Gutierrez
2026-05-23 14d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	5	5	11.5	S	92	83	61	76	70	81	8.5	Chantal Sutherland
2026-05-09 15d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	4	5	6.5	S	74	94	110	82	75	81	2.7	Samuel Marin
2026-04-24 8d	OP	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	77	1	12	0.0		90	84	113	82	84	80	3.6	Amir Mendoza
2026-04-16 42d·2.6×	OP	8.5f	dirt	Good	Mdn Clm	79	4	9	5.2	S	96	91	96	83	83	79	3.9	Ramon Vazquez
2026-03-05 18d	OP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	81	3	10	14.0	F	99	84	84	82	80	80	10.3	Francisco Arrieta
2026-02-15 57d·3.6×	OP	8.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	80	6	9	4.0	F	73	79	85	81	81	80	5.5	Walter De La Cruz
2025-12-20	OP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	4	7	7.0	F	83	86	89	80	76	79	3.2	Walter De La Cruz