MTH 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

ALL CARDS ↗

R1 One And T R2 Six Furl D R3 One Mile D R4 Six Furl D R5 Five And T R6 One Mile D R7 Five And T R8 One Mile D

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

1 Hop to It ★ HIGH_CONF

79.2% win prob fair 2-5 M/L 9/5

#2 PICK

5 Molly the Great

9.7% win prob fair 9-1 M/L 8/1

#3 PICK

7 Balitea

4.7% win prob fair 20-1 M/L 5/1

Pace Projector HONEST PACE 1st¼ 23.7s par 23.7 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 7 »» 102/94 Balitea 5 » 91/105 Molly the Great 1 100/91 Hop to It 4 104/86 Katerina Ristova 6 LP » 76/106 Nina Lee 3 94/98 Love in the Hills 2 LP 94/108 Sweet Science

1 Hop to It ★ HIGH_CONF

5M L 125 lbs Post 1 J: Edwin Gonzalez T: Tim Woolley S

90.8

Proj Fig

79.2%

Model %

2-5

Fair

9/5

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25	PEN	8.318181818181818f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	74	nan	84.5	88	2.0/5	4.2	1.2	David Cora
2026-06-03	PEN	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	87	85	84.7	89	2.0/10	1.0	1.0	David Cora
2025-11-07	LRL	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	93	93	79.6	91	5.0/9	4.0	3.8	Jorge Ruiz
2025-10-05	LRL	8.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	100	93	84.2	67	2.0/9	0.2	10.6	Jorge Ruiz
2025-09-03	PEN	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_unknown	88	73	85.0	50	3.0/6	3.5	18.8	David Cora

5 Molly the Great

3F L 122 lbs Post 5 J: Chantal Sutherland T: Renaldo Richards P

83.2

Proj Fig

9.7%

Model %

9-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-04	DEL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	91	73	75.0	70	6.0/6	11.5	1.7	Angel Cruz
2026-04-10	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	87	87	76.0	104	5.0/8	7.8	2.0	Wesley Ho
2026-03-18	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	91	94	81.6	82	2.0/12	0.8	4.3	Wesley Ho

7 Balitea

4F L 125 lbs Post 7 J: Melissa Iorio T: Joseph Mazza S

80.5

Proj Fig

4.7%

Model %

20-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	—	—	77.7	—	3.0/9	9.0	36.0	Melissa Iorio
2026-06-14	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	73	83	76.6	93	6.0/8	7.8	49.7	Charlie Marquez
2026-06-07	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	84	86	73.4	78	9.0/9	10.8	60.7	Kendry Rivera
2026-01-28	TAM	9.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	98	84	64.6	86	9.0/9	32.0	57.5	Charlie Marquez
2025-12-10	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	102	90	62.7	94	11.0/12	32.2	49.1	Jorge Urdaneta

4 Katerina Ristova

4F L 123 lbs Post 4 J: Charlie Marquez T: Amira Chichakly S

77.0

Proj Fig

2.6%

Model %

30-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_older	—	—	71.6	—	8.0/9	16.2	20.3	Francisco Martinez
2026-05-01	BAQ	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_older	96	89	74.6	85	9.0/10	14.2	85.79	Luis Pena
2026-03-21	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	78	92	71.1	86	5.0/6	12.8	32.41	Heman Harkie
2026-02-11	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	104	84	70.5	65	6.0/8	32.8	70.81	Gokhan Kocakaya
2026-01-02	AQU	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	73	77	69.5	82	6.0/6	24.0	56.44	Jorge Panaijo

2 Sweet Science

4F L 125 lbs Post 2 J: Francisco Martinez T: Michael Dini C

73.5

Proj Fig

1.7%

Model %

50-1

Fair

5/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	—	—	71.5	—	7.0/7	28.2	14.1	Jorge Vargas, Jr.
2025-12-27	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	94	82	74.1	81	11.0/11	11.8	48.3	Micah Husbands
2025-06-07	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	65	93	77.1	108	5.0/9	9.5	4.0	Edgard Zayas

6 Nina Lee

3F L 122 lbs Post 6 J: Luis Rivera, Jr. T: Rob Atras C

80.3

Proj Fig

1.3%

Model %

50-1

Fair

7/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	—	—	76.4	—	4.0/9	11.5	5.6	Reylu Gutierrez
2026-06-25	BAQ	8.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	76	84	72.9	106	8.0/8	15.2	6.79	Jaime Rodriguez

3 Love in the Hills

4F L 123 lbs Post 3 J: Joezer Rangel T: Cesareo Marquez C

78.7

Proj Fig

0.7%

Model %

99-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	84	85	69.6	98	4.0/6	10.0	6.6	Luis Ocasio
2026-06-27	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	94	82	78.0	76	3.0/6	3.5	62.4	Luis Ocasio
2026-05-16	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm	67	67	70.1	95	3.0/4	17.0	9.9	Jorge Gonzalez
2025-07-12	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm	89	nan	73.0	94	7.0/7	16.0	24.4	Luis Ocasio