MTH 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

ALL CARDS ↗

R1 One And T R2 Six Furl D R3 One Mile D R4 Six Furl D R5 Five And T R6 One Mile D R7 Five And T R8 One Mile D

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

1 One Fine Wine ★ HIGH_CONF

33.6% win prob fair 2-1 M/L 2/1

#2 PICK

10 She's a Bombshell ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

18.0% win prob fair 9-2 M/L 20/1

#3 PICK

5 Postino's Prophecy

12.4% win prob fair 7-1 M/L 8/1

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 21.9s par 22.4 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 4 LP 93/106 Lidia Rose 6 » 95/96 Air Masque 11 »»» 98/101 Slick Merlin 1 LP ⚡ 94/107 One Fine Wine 7 »» 92/85 Starview Twinkle 10 »»» 96/95 She's a Bombshell 2 LP 97/108 Life Raft 9 LP » 89/105 Golden Ring 3 96/93 Point to That Star 8 » 103/97 Eazy Whirled 5 97/104 Postino's Prophecy

On the lead: 4, 6, 11, 1 · race sets up for closers

1 One Fine Wine ★ HIGH_CONF

5M L 125 lbs Post 1 J: Edwin Gonzalez T: Patrick McBurney P

84.7

Proj Fig

33.6%

Model %

2-1

Fair

2/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	94	nan	85.3	80	1.0/5	0.0	1.5	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-06-20	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	83.5	—	2.0/10	0.2	3.2	Sonny Leon
2026-05-31	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	82	84	80.5	103	6.0/8	16.5	3.3	Paco Lopez
2026-05-10	MTH	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	92	88	84.9	90	2.0/9	4.8	5.1	Paco Lopez
2026-04-24	TAM	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	83.4	—	4.0/5	16.8	19.6	Israel Rodriguez

10 She's a Bombshell ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

4F L 116 lbs Post 10 J: Christian Maragh T: Anthony Margotta, Jr. EP

76.5

Proj Fig

18.0%

Model %

9-2

Fair

20/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-24	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	80.7	—	5.0/6	9.2	6.3	Chantal Sutherland
2026-05-31	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	93	89	75.9	82	8.0/8	9.8	13.1	Chantal Sutherland
2025-12-27	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	96	91	81.1	84	8.0/9	7.0	15.7	Paul Luna
2025-12-12	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	86	80	81.7	87	5.0/6	14.0	18.9	Raul Mena
2025-09-25	BAQ	6.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Starter_Alw	71	96	80.9	94	8.0/8	17.5	20.83	John Velazquez

5 Postino's Prophecy

7M L 123 lbs Post 5 J: Chantal Sutherland T: Holly Harris S

83.4

Proj Fig

12.4%

Model %

7-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	69	77	81.2	95	2.0/7	0.2	16.7	Chantal Sutherland
2026-06-27	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	91	89	81.4	54	8.0/8	12.2	38.7	Jorge Gonzalez
2026-06-14	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	97	83	81.1	74	6.0/7	3.8	28.7	Jomar Torres
2026-05-31	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	81	87	82.0	90	5.0/8	4.2	38.4	Jorge Gonzalez
2025-10-10	MED	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	84	113	79.5	104	7.0/8	8.0	25.7	Jorge Gonzalez

11 Slick Merlin

3F L 120 lbs Post 11 J: Chantal Sutherland T: Chuck Spina EP

82.9

Proj Fig

8.8%

Model %

10-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-19	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	75.7	—	6.0/9	13.0	25.4	Charlie Marquez
2026-06-20	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	78.6	—	4.0/10	6.8	5.0	Charlie Marquez
2026-05-10	MTH	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	98	nan	76.9	101	6.0/9	15.8	7.3	Samuel Marin
2025-09-27	DEL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	88	96	58.2	88	9.0/9	52.5	14.4	Julio Hernandez
2025-08-17	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	85	82	75.1	87	5.0/6	31.8	5.5	Paco Lopez

4 Lidia Rose

3F L 120 lbs Post 4 J: Ramon Moya T: Rory Huston EP

81.5

Proj Fig

7.6%

Model %

12-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	79.4	—	3.0/10	6.0	12.1	Ramon Moya
2026-05-31	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	91	89	80.6	76	4.0/8	10.0	35.2	Ramon Moya
2026-05-10	MTH	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	67	89	71.6	106	8.0/9	25.2	9.0	Jomar Torres
2025-09-19	MED	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	93	91	78.4	52	1.0/8	0.0	14.5	Jomar Torres

3 Point to That Star

4F L 125 lbs Post 3 J: Luis Rivera, Jr. T: Jose Delgado P

79.9

Proj Fig

5.0%

Model %

20-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26	MTH	5.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_older	96	98	77.1	92	1.0/7	0.0	8.6	Kendry Rivera
2026-05-23	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_older	61	83	69.2	84	6.0/8	13.8	6.9	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-03-26	TP	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	75	87	76.5	93	2.0/11	1.2	6.14	Walter Rodriguez
2026-03-05	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	87	85	73.3	89	3.0/6	8.2	4.06	Walter Rodriguez
2026-02-13	TP	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	86	101	71.5	86	3.0/12	1.5	1.94	Walter Rodriguez

9 Golden Ring

5M L 123 lbs Post 9 J: Jorge Vargas, Jr. T: Sergio Rabadan P

83.0

Proj Fig

4.5%

Model %

20-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	79	89	81.9	92	7.0/8	9.0	27.1	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-05-10	MTH	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Allowance	81	89	70.2	102	7.0/9	21.8	32.6	Jose Gomez
2025-09-26	MED	8.5f	turf	Good	Alw_Opt_Clm	84	96	77.9	105	8.0/10	10.5	6.4	Jorge Vargas, Jr.
2025-08-24	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	73	92	81.9	103	3.0/11	3.2	4.2	Jorge Vargas, Jr.
2025-08-02	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	83.0	—	2.0/12	1.5	17.1	Jorge Vargas, Jr.

8 Eazy Whirled

4F L 123 lbs Post 8 J: Charlie Marquez T: Sergio Rabadan S

85.5

Proj Fig

3.7%

Model %

25-1

Fair

7/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	65	94	86.7	97	3.0/8	1.2	10.2	Jomar Torres
2026-05-31	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	80	77	81.7	16	3.0/8	8.5	11.2	Charlie Marquez
2026-04-19	TAM	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	100	94	85.4	93	3.0/10	1.0	2.5	Sonny Leon
2026-04-08	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	86	85	82.4	74	3.0/8	4.2	1.6	Sonny Leon
2025-10-11	MED	8.0f	turf	Good	Claiming	103	97	81.5	96	3.0/9	1.8	24.5	Lane Luzzi

6 Air Masque

5M L 123 lbs Post 6 J: Melissa Iorio T: Benjamin Perkins, Jr. EP

78.3

Proj Fig

3.1%

Model %

30-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	74.0	—	6.0/10	11.0	5.8	Jose Gomez
2025-10-10	MED	5.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	67	88	76.9	96	5.0/11	4.2	1.9	Christian Maragh
2025-08-23	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	89	83	81.5	85	1.0/6	0.0	0.1	Melissa Iorio
2025-07-30	CNL	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	92	93	78.0	94	3.0/10	3.0	7.5	Christian Maragh
2025-07-11	MTH	8.0f	turf	Good	MSW_older	88	89	79.7	89	2.0/8	2.0	1.7	Melissa Iorio

7 Starview Twinkle

6M L 123 lbs Post 7 J: Jose Ferrer T: Joseph Mazza EP

85.7

Proj Fig

2.5%

Model %

30-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-24	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	74.8	—	6.0/6	15.5	23.7	Jose Ferrer
2026-07-10	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	81	nan	76.9	80	3.0/5	9.5	3.1	Jose Ferrer
2026-06-26	MTH	5.0f	turf	Firm	Starter_Alw	91	76	83.4	65	4.0/7	11.2	18.7	Christian Maragh
2025-09-19	MED	8.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	83	72	81.0	85	4.0/8	1.8	16.2	Christian Maragh
2025-08-24	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	92	81	82.9	76	6.0/10	5.2	69.9	Christian Maragh

2 Life Raft

3F L 120 lbs Post 2 J: Dalila Rivera T: Joann Bertone P

78.2

Proj Fig

0.8%

Model %

99-1

Fair

30/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-12	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	—	—	73.2	—	6.0/7	11.0	45.9	Kendry Rivera
2026-06-26	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	88	nan	69.7	76	10.0/12	20.2	107.9	Kendry Rivera
2026-05-23	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	95	80	66.4	82	7.0/8	21.0	28.9	Kendry Rivera
2026-05-09	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast (Sealed)	MSW_3yo	88	101	65.8	108	6.0/6	32.2	30.6	Felix Vasquez, Jr.
2025-09-19	MED	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_2yo	97	86	78.2	90	3.0/8	1.0	21.6	Charlie Marquez