MTH 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

ALL CARDS ↗

R1 One And T R2 Six Furl D R3 One Mile D R4 Six Furl D R5 Five And T R6 One Mile D R7 Five And T R8 One Mile D

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

4 Thorsness ★ HIGH_CONF

42.0% win prob fair 7-5 M/L 5/2

#2 PICK

6 Boys of Summer ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

14.6% win prob fair 6-1 M/L 20/1

#3 PICK

3 Son of a Slew

7.5% win prob fair 12-1 M/L 7/2

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 8 LP »»» 91/123 Duck Duck Goose 4 97/108 Thorsness 3 97/102 Son of a Slew 5 105/101 Bean Machine 6 98/101 Boys of Summer 2 99/100 Vesparo 1 95/108 Win Winnie Win 9 »» 101/90 Foil 7 » 93/113 Awol

On the lead: 8, 4 · race sets up for closers

4 Thorsness ★ HIGH_CONF

4G L 123 lbs Post 4 J: Luis Rivera, Jr. T: Richard Dutrow, Jr. EP

84.7

Proj Fig

42.0%

Model %

7-5

Fair

5/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-23	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	96	85	87.4	95	1.0/8	0.0	5.4	Kendrick Carmouche
2026-05-02	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	97	99	85.1	106	2.0/6	1.5	6.57	Kendrick Carmouche
2026-04-12	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	83	85	88.1	83	2.0/6	4.5	1.06	Manuel Franco
2026-03-01	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Good	Mdn_Clm_older	84	68	88.1	59	1.0/9	0.0	5.93	Manuel Franco
2026-02-05	AQU	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	88	89	84.8	108	7.0/10	9.0	4.95	Eric Cancel

6 Boys of Summer ★ LONGSHOT_WATCH

5G L 123 lbs Post 6 J: Jean Aguilar T: Miguel Penaloza S

80.6

Proj Fig

14.6%

Model %

6-1

Fair

20/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-21	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	80.9	—	3.0/7	11.2	3.4	Kendry Rivera
2026-06-06	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	89	98	75.9	101	4.0/5	31.2	25.5	Kendry Rivera
2026-05-12	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	89	79	80.9	76	5.0/7	14.5	4.3	Kendry Rivera
2026-04-21	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	98	85	82.1	61	2.0/4	1.2	3.3	Kendry Rivera
2026-03-25	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	94	83	82.6	61	2.0/7	1.0	6.0	Kendry Rivera

3 Son of a Slew

5G L 123 lbs Post 3 J: Francisco Martinez T: Michael Dini P

85.9

Proj Fig

7.5%

Model %

12-1

Fair

7/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	90	nan	85.7	92	2.0/7	0.8	2.4	Francisco Martinez
2026-06-07	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	73	70	85.1	102	3.0/6	0.5	16.9	Francisco Martinez
2026-05-23	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	92	88	87.0	82	4.0/5	6.2	9.7	Sonny Leon
2026-04-29	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	97	88	81.5	81	7.0/8	8.2	14.0	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-03-28	TAM	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	78	nan	83.1	88	7.0/12	5.0	16.5	Samuel Marin

8 Duck Duck Goose

3C L 120 lbs Post 8 J: Charlie Marquez T: Devon Dougherty EP

77.0

Proj Fig

7.5%

Model %

12-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	76	nan	83.5	95	3.0/7	4.8	5.6	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-05-23	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	91	89	79.4	79	3.0/5	5.0	1.9	Paco Lopez
2026-05-09	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	69	89	84.6	122	1.0/5	0.0	3.2	Paco Lopez
2026-03-27	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	83	84	78.4	88	5.0/7	13.0	9.1	Sonny Leon
2026-02-20	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	86	91	81.4	104	6.0/7	10.0	13.6	Sonny Leon

5 Bean Machine

5G L 123 lbs Post 5 J: Jorge Vargas, Jr. T: Panagiotis Synnefias C

82.1

Proj Fig

7.3%

Model %

12-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	82.8	—	4.0/7	1.5	6.5	Kendry Rivera
2026-06-27	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	89	nan	82.7	87	3.0/7	3.8	12.0	Kendry Rivera
2026-05-30	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	73	89	82.2	93	5.0/7	8.5	13.5	Charlie Marquez
2025-10-10	MED	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	105	94	82.0	71	6.0/11	6.8	69.5	Adam Bowman
2025-09-19	MED	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	62	91	80.9	93	6.0/6	9.0	43.6	Adam Bowman

1 Win Winnie Win

3C L 122 lbs Post 1 J: Edwin Gonzalez T: Juan Avila S

83.6

Proj Fig

7.0%

Model %

12-1

Fair

4/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-24	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	85.3	—	1.0/4	0.0	1.8	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-06-27	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	82	nan	79.5	88	5.0/7	11.0	16.6	Charlie Marquez
2026-05-24	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Claiming	77	98	80.8	96	4.0/4	5.8	1.0	Paco Lopez
2026-04-26	TAM	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	81	98	83.9	84	4.0/6	5.2	4.8	Cipriano Gil
2026-04-12	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	77	88	75.6	95	6.0/8	16.8	12.3	Cipriano Gil

2 Vesparo

6G L 116 lbs Post 2 J: Jefferson Skerrett T: Rory Huston S

74.0

Proj Fig

6.8%

Model %

15-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-05	MTH	8.5f	turf	Good	Claiming	99	87	80.5	81	4.0/6	6.2	6.7	Jefferson Skerrett
2026-06-20	MTH	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	—	—	76.3	—	5.0/7	3.0	18.3	Ramon Moya
2026-06-07	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	77	79	79.9	89	5.0/6	6.2	12.4	Jomar Torres
2026-05-10	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	Claiming	nan	nan	79.4	98	6.0/6	6.2	8.0	Jomar Torres
2026-01-24	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	82	94	78.0	100	9.0/10	8.2	38.8	Jose Ferrer

9 Foil

4G L 116 lbs Post 9 J: Noel Herman T: Pompeyo Gomez S

79.3

Proj Fig

4.0%

Model %

25-1

Fair

10/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	101	nan	79.8	81	4.0/5	5.5	3.0	Noel Herman
2026-06-20	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	90	92	80.3	89	5.0/7	9.5	24.2	Noel Herman
2026-05-24	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Claiming	78	96	81.0	90	1.0/4	0.0	2.6	Noel Herman
2026-04-13	PRX	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	98	86	83.3	86	1.0/7	0.0	5.5	Noel Herman
2025-05-19	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	86	92	71.7	81	4.0/7	18.8	3.8	Andy Hernandez

7 Awol

5G L 125 lbs Post 7 J: Eliseo Ruiz T: Wayne Potts C

80.3

Proj Fig

3.3%

Model %

30-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-16	PRX	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	80.1	—	1.0/6	0.0	1.8	Eliseo Ruiz
2026-06-30	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	93	87	80.5	92	3.0/6	3.5	0.7	Paco Lopez
2026-06-06	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	71	nan	83.5	102	2.0/7	3.0	5.3	Reylu Gutierrez
2026-05-23	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	92	83	75.9	61	5.0/5	11.5	8.5	Chantal Sutherland
2026-05-09	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	74	94	81.7	110	4.0/5	6.5	2.7	Samuel Marin