MTH 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

ALL CARDS ↗

R1 One And T R2 Six Furl D R3 One Mile D R4 Six Furl D R5 Five And T R6 One Mile D R7 Five And T R8 One Mile D

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

5 Sweet Brown Sugar ★ HIGH_CONF

58.4% win prob fair 3-5 M/L 6/1

#2 PICK

10 She's a Gamer

9.6% win prob fair 9-1 M/L 9/2

#3 PICK

1 Somnium

7.3% win prob fair 12-1 M/L 8/1

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 21.9s par 22.4 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 10 »»» 98/93 She's a Gamer 8 ⚡ »» 100/101 Lucy McGee 9 »»» 96/102 Pandora's Gift 2 92/86 Summer's Comin 3 95/104 Mopo 5 LP 95/112 Sweet Brown Sugar 6 107/96 Obstreperous 4 98/94 Les Reys 1 98/108 Somnium 7 LP » 89/109 Buttercream Babe

On the lead: 10, 8 · race sets up for closers

5 Sweet Brown Sugar ★ HIGH_CONF

5M 119 lbs Post 5 J: Christopher Elliott T: Rob Atras S

95.7

Proj Fig

58.4%

Model %

3-5

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	95	103	105.9	103	2.0/7	2.5	2.16	Dylan Davis
2026-05-17	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	85	nan	96.1	100	2.0/8	0.2	14.44	Dylan Davis
2026-04-19	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	86	96	97.6	86	2.0/7	8.2	2.42	Kendrick Carmouche
2026-03-21	AQU	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	85	78	92.7	112	3.0/5	5.8	19.78	Reylu Gutierrez
2025-04-06	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Stakes_ungraded	82	90	99.1	106	2.0/5	1.8	4.6	Lane Luzzi

10 She's a Gamer

4F 119 lbs Post 10 J: — T: Kelly Breen EP

81.4

Proj Fig

9.6%

Model %

9-1

Fair

9/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-12	SAR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	90	nan	98.7	94	3.0/7	1.5	5.41	Joel Rosario
2026-06-13	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	94	91	97.5	74	1.0/7	0.0	0.7	Paco Lopez
2026-05-10	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	90	86	94.6	89	2.0/6	1.8	0.3	Paco Lopez
2026-04-24	TAM	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	99.7	—	1.0/5	0.0	0.8	Samuel Marin
2026-04-10	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Starter_Alw	98	86	92.1	73	2.0/8	1.0	5.1	Paco Lopez

1 Somnium

4F 119 lbs Post 1 J: Jomar Torres T: Elizabeth Merryman S

91.2

Proj Fig

7.3%

Model %

12-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-12	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	96	88	92.0	87	1.0/7	0.0	2.1	Jevian Toledo
2026-05-15	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	88	86	93.7	108	4.0/8	2.0	17.4	Jose Ortiz
2026-05-02	PEN	5.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	95	92	87.0	108	1.0/10	0.0	0.8	Jomar Torres
2026-04-17	AQU	6.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	98	82	87.6	69	8.0/8	10.5	10.72	Manuel Franco
2025-11-21	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	86	83	88.6	84	3.0/9	1.0	3.8	J.G. Torrealba

9 Pandora's Gift

5M 119 lbs Post 9 J: Jose Gomez T: Miguel Clement EP

99.4

Proj Fig

4.7%

Model %

20-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	96	96	95.7	94	5.0/6	5.8	3.65	Manuel Franco
2026-05-17	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	77	90	98.7	102	3.0/8	3.0	3.5	Manuel Franco
2026-04-22	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	73	92	92.1	98	9.0/10	10.2	1.66	Flavien Prat
2025-09-19	PID	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	Stakes_G2	76	88	96.5	93	11.0/12	8.5	3.7	Manuel Franco
2025-06-05	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stakes_G2	70	87	102.3	90	5.0/9	1.5	3.15	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

6 Obstreperous

5M 119 lbs Post 6 J: Jorge Vargas, Jr. T: Michael Simone P

94.7

Proj Fig

4.7%

Model %

20-1

Fair

9/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stakes_G2	—	—	95.4	—	4.0/5	2.8	20.5	Jaime Rodriguez
2026-06-26	MTH	5.0f	turf	Firm	Starter_Alw	86	82	97.9	84	1.0/7	0.0	1.2	Cipriano Gil
2025-10-26	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	98	92	88.4	96	7.0/8	6.8	12.57	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-09-11	CNL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	107	91	86.7	87	6.0/6	8.0	1.9	Paco Lopez
2025-08-17	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	103	76	94.7	81	1.0/5	0.0	1.55	Ricardo Santana, Jr.

7 Buttercream Babe

5M 123 lbs Post 7 J: — T: George Arnold II S

90.5

Proj Fig

4.7%

Model %

20-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28	CD	5.5f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	nan	nan	90.1	69	1.0/9	0.0	4.88	John Velazquez
2026-06-06	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_G1	85	72	88.9	75	8.0/8	10.0	23.9	Luis Saez
2026-05-03	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	85	90	89.1	85	3.0/8	1.2	3.13	John Velazquez
2026-04-04	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	78	100	93.4	103	1.0/6	0.0	4.59	John Velazquez
2025-09-07	KD	7.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	89	98	84.4	110	4.0/8	7.0	0.96	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

4 Les Reys

5M 119 lbs Post 4 J: Luis Rivera, Jr. T: Miguel Clement S

94.1

Proj Fig

3.8%

Model %

25-1

Fair

3/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25	BAQ	6.0f	turf	Firm	Alw_Opt_Clm	81	94	95.0	94	2.0/6	0.8	3.54	Flavien Prat
2026-05-15	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	89	89	95.5	91	5.0/8	2.2	5.4	Flavien Prat
2025-11-08	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stakes_G3	98	88	84.3	81	13.0/14	10.0	4.95	Rafael Hernandez
2025-10-11	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stakes_G3	85	82	87.9	80	1.0/8	0.0	4.15	Rafael Hernandez
2025-08-29	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	82	88	91.7	81	6.0/8	3.0	5.5	Joel Rosario

8 Lucy McGee

4F 123 lbs Post 8 J: Ruben Silvera T: V H Oliver EP

88.2

Proj Fig

3.8%

Model %

25-1

Fair

10/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10	ELP	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	—	—	92.2	—	1.0/10	0.0	9.18	Mario Gutierrez
2026-04-16	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_older	90	89	89.9	94	1.0/10	0.0	2.79	Luis Saez
2025-09-10	KD	6.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	94	nan	86.0	78	6.0/12	7.0	8.02	Jaime Torres
2025-08-23	ELP	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	89	88	87.4	101	4.0/10	4.5	2.18	Jaime Torres
2025-07-14	ELP	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	100	81	89.2	91	2.0/11	1.0	2.26	Jaime Torres

3 Mopo

4F 125 lbs Post 3 J: Edwin Gonzalez T: Phillip Capuano EP

97.2

Proj Fig

1.6%

Model %

50-1

Fair

7/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20	LRL	6.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	95	nan	92.0	83	1.0/7	0.0	0.9	Forest Boyce
2026-06-05	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	81	72	96.8	56	2.0/9	0.1	0.6	Forest Boyce
2026-05-02	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	80	72	96.8	85	1.0/6	0.0	1.9	Forest Boyce
2025-11-15	LRL	9.0f	turf	Firm	Allowance	93	95	88.5	88	5.0/10	7.0	2.4	Mychel Sanchez
2025-11-01	LRL	8.5f	turf	Firm	Allowance	88	97	90.7	104	2.0/7	2.5	3.0	Mychel Sanchez

2 Summer's Comin

5M 125 lbs Post 2 J: Francisco Martinez T: Michael Dini P

91.7

Proj Fig

1.4%

Model %

50-1

Fair

20/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stakes_ungraded	74	65	90.5	86	2.0/8	0.8	2.6	Francisco Martinez
2026-06-06	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	92	nan	96.3	79	1.0/10	0.0	2.0	Francisco Martinez
2026-04-22	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	81	nan	96.8	69	1.0/6	0.0	2.9	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-03-27	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw_Opt_Clm	82	nan	94.8	84	4.0/5	2.8	2.9	Samuel Marin
2026-03-07	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	89	65	94.1	60	5.0/7	7.0	21.7	Charlie Marquez