MTH 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

ALL CARDS ↗

R1 One And T R2 Six Furl D R3 One Mile D R4 Six Furl D R5 Five And T R6 One Mile D R7 Five And T R8 One Mile D

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

2 Mystical Merlin ★ HIGH_CONF

35.8% win prob fair 9-5 M/L 9/2

#2 PICK

1 Troublemeister

35.0% win prob fair 9-5 M/L 3/1

#3 PICK

6 J J Pacheco

8.4% win prob fair 10-1 M/L 6/1

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 2 ⚡ 99/87 Mystical Merlin 1 LP 94/104 Troublemeister 3 91/101 It'salljustadream 6 » 96/96 J J Pacheco 7 »» Stem Cell 5 LP » 101/104 Royal Merit 4 LP 90/102 U Dirty Dog

On the lead: 2, 1, 3 · race sets up for closers

2 Mystical Merlin ★ HIGH_CONF

4G L 125 lbs Post 2 J: Jose Ferrer T: Chuck Spina EP

87.0

Proj Fig

35.8%

Model %

9-5

Fair

9/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	97	87	83.6	84	7.0/11	8.5	3.2	Jorge Vargas, Jr.
2026-05-17	MTH	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	94	71	81.3	87	7.0/8	9.0	0.6	Jorge Vargas, Jr.
2025-12-26	OP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	99	76	91.0	51	5.0/7	27.5	35.3	Fernando Jara
2025-10-08	DEL	5.5f	dirt	Good	MSW_unknown	71	77	90.1	78	3.0/6	4.2	1.1	Jorge Vargas, Jr.
2025-08-31	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_unknown	73	nan	92.5	67	2.0/7	0.2	4.7	Jorge Vargas, Jr.

1 Troublemeister

5H L 125 lbs Post 1 J: Jose Gomez T: Teresa Pompay P

88.8

Proj Fig

35.0%

Model %

9-5

Fair

3/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2024-03-30	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	94	78	85.9	84	8.0/11	29.5	17.5	Jorge Ruiz
2024-03-06	GP	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Maiden_other	90	92	92.4	63	4.0/8	4.0	8.2	David Egan
2024-02-17	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	79	97	92.8	104	4.0/11	6.8	27.6	David Egan
2024-02-02	GP	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	80	90	86.9	95	6.0/8	6.2	10.8	Oisin Murphy

6 J J Pacheco

3G L 122 lbs Post 6 J: Charlie Marquez T: Cesar Alcala P

88.4

Proj Fig

8.4%

Model %

10-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-28	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	93	82	85.1	76	3.0/11	5.0	26.9	Melissa Iorio
2026-05-17	MTH	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	93	88	85.3	96	3.0/8	4.0	19.8	Jorge Gonzalez
2025-12-19	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	Mdn_Clm_2yo	96	83	87.0	70	6.0/7	15.0	8.3	Angel Cruz
2025-11-29	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_2yo	95	82	85.4	95	7.0/9	11.0	32.7	Kevin Gomez
2025-11-09	LRL	8.5f	turf	Good	MSW_2yo	95	72	83.4	53	9.0/11	8.5	16.1	Kevin Gomez

5 Royal Merit

3G L 122 lbs Post 5 J: Edwin Gonzalez T: Michael Dini P

91.1

Proj Fig

8.3%

Model %

12-1

Fair

5/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10	MTH	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	79	84	85.8	55	4.0/6	6.5	2.3	Francisco Martinez
2026-06-14	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_3yo	78	90	81.7	96	5.0/7	5.5	7.1	Sonny Leon
2026-05-31	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	96	100	89.1	104	2.0/6	0.2	1.8	Paco Lopez
2026-05-10	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	101	80	87.0	45	2.0/8	11.2	7.6	Sonny Leon
2026-04-24	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	95	86	89.2	77	3.0/8	3.5	3.4	Israel Rodriguez

3 It'salljustadream

3G L 122 lbs Post 3 J: Ramon Moya T: Rory Huston EP

82.9

Proj Fig

8.3%

Model %

10-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-19	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	—	—	82.1	—	3.0/7	3.5	25.3	Ramon Moya
2026-06-28	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_3yo	89	89	77.1	97	9.0/11	14.2	41.4	Ramon Moya
2026-06-14	MTH	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn_Clm_3yo	81	89	68.2	94	7.0/7	25.2	22.6	Ramon Moya
2026-05-24	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW_3yo	78	94	80.3	98	3.0/6	5.5	19.0	Ramon Moya
2026-05-10	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_3yo	91	92	75.6	72	8.0/8	28.2	10.0	Jorge Vargas, Jr.

4 U Dirty Dog

4G L 116 lbs Post 4 J: Christian Maragh T: Chuck Spina C

85.3

Proj Fig

3.2%

Model %

30-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-19	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn_Clm_older	—	—	82.1	—	5.0/7	6.8	6.4	Charlie Marquez
2026-06-28	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_older	90	84	83.2	85	4.0/11	6.8	11.1	Charlie Marquez
2026-06-07	MTH	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW_older	90	90	81.2	82	7.0/8	22.2	14.8	Charlie Marquez
2026-05-17	MTH	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW_older	83	86	84.7	93	2.0/8	2.2	6.9	Charlie Marquez
2025-10-17	MED	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW_3yo	72	93	80.2	102	4.0/9	1.5	8.8	Sonny Leon

7 Stem Cell

3C L 1 122 lbs Post 7 J: Carlos Rojas T: V Barboza, Jr.

84.6

Proj Fig

1.0%

Model %

99-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

No prior races on file