MTH 2026-08-01 — Intermediate

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

ALL CARDS ↗

R1 One And T R2 Six Furl D R3 One Mile D R4 Six Furl D R5 Five And T R6 One Mile D R7 Five And T R8 One Mile D

Model's top 3

#1 PICK

1 Confabulation ★ HIGH_CONF

59.1% win prob fair 3-5 M/L 7/2

#2 PICK

6 Amedeus Music

14.7% win prob fair 6-1 M/L 4/1

#3 PICK

8 Laughing Boy

11.4% win prob fair 8-1 M/L 5/1

Pace Projector LONE SPEED front favored 1st¼ 24.1s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 1 LS★ ⚡ 99/94 Confabulation 8 »» 116/106 Laughing Boy 6 93/89 Amedeus Music 9 »» 103/99 Cupid's Dude 7 » 91/86 Surprise Package 2 100/96 Rerally 5 116/83 Fluff the Pillow 4 C★ 92/114 Master of None 3 96/95 Denying

On the lead: 1 · race sets up for front

1 Confabulation ★ HIGH_CONF

6G L 125 lbs Post 1 J: Edwin Gonzalez T: Wayne Potts E

87.5

Proj Fig

59.1%

Model %

3-5

Fair

7/2

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-24	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	—	—	90.4	—	1.0/6	0.0	1.5	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-07-03	PEN	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Stakes_ungraded	84	nan	80.9	94	5.0/6	27.8	1.9	Julio Hernandez
2026-06-11	PEN	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	68	81	88.2	86	1.0/5	0.0	1.4	Kendry Rivera
2026-03-14	AQU	9.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	88	nan	88.4	74	6.0/6	14.8	1.86	Gokhan Kocakaya
2026-02-21	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Claiming	77	85	88.8	93	4.0/7	12.2	6.1	Gokhan Kocakaya

6 Amedeus Music

7G L 116 lbs Post 6 J: Christian Maragh T: Wayne Potts P

88.0

Proj Fig

14.7%

Model %

6-1

Fair

4/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-23	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Starter_Alw	84	77	93.2	81	2.0/5	4.0	4.4	Paco Lopez
2026-06-06	PRX	9.5f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	93	84	92.6	89	5.0/6	17.0	5.6	Ruben Silvera
2026-05-18	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	86	66	94.2	49	1.0/7	0.0	0.9	Ruben Silvera
2026-04-21	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	81	nan	90.5	88	5.0/8	5.8	3.7	Paco Lopez
2026-03-30	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	90	63	89.0	56	6.0/7	18.8	4.9	Andrew Wolfsont

8 Laughing Boy

8H L 123 lbs Post 8 J: Carlos Rojas T: Michael Simmonds P

89.8

Proj Fig

11.4%

Model %

8-1

Fair

5/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	74	79	90.5	67	2.0/6	1.5	11.8	Carlos Rojas
2026-07-03	SAR	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	116	90	88.5	87	7.0/7	14.0	24.0	Ruben Silvera
2026-06-13	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	107	97	87.8	106	4.0/6	9.8	30.35	Reylu Gutierrez
2026-05-16	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	81	79	88.1	91	8.0/10	12.5	23.89	Jose Lezcano
2026-04-16	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	86	81	85.0	80	4.0/4	14.0	4.31	Jorge Vargas, Jr.

9 Cupid's Dude

7G L 123 lbs Post 9 J: Jorge Vargas, Jr. T: Michael Simone P

83.7

Proj Fig

5.4%

Model %

15-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-22	DEL	8.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Claiming	—	—	86.3	—	3.0/8	1.8	9.3	Angel Cruz
2026-07-10	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	81	75	84.7	48	5.0/6	11.2	1.8	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-06-11	PEN	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	Claiming	103	nan	85.0	77	6.0/6	9.0	5.0	Cipriano Gil
2026-05-16	DEL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	77	75	82.2	99	6.0/7	11.8	3.6	Julio Hernandez
2026-04-26	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	91	88	84.8	76	1.0/8	0.0	1.9	Samuel Marin

2 Rerally

7G L 123 lbs Post 2 J: Jean Aguilar T: Miguel Penaloza S

85.2

Proj Fig

3.4%

Model %

30-1

Fair

6/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-13	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	82	89	87.0	96	3.0/7	2.8	3.1	Jean Aguilar
2026-07-06	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Claiming	56	83	85.1	84	7.0/7	10.2	2.8	Dexter Haddock
2026-06-15	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	98	83	90.6	38	2.0/7	0.2	8.0	Dexter Haddock
2026-05-25	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Claiming	76	76	90.1	88	3.0/6	0.2	10.1	Dexter Haddock
2026-05-01	PRX	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	100	85	87.6	34	1.0/10	0.0	5.4	Dexter Haddock

7 Surprise Package

4G L 116 lbs Post 7 J: Jefferson Skerrett T: Kathleen O'Connell S

85.9

Proj Fig

1.8%

Model %

50-1

Fair

8/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	70	58	84.9	68	4.0/6	9.5	3.0	Jefferson Skerrett
2026-05-25	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Stakes_ungraded	88	78	87.9	83	3.0/5	6.2	5.0	Luis Rivera, Jr.
2026-05-01	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	91	87	89.9	81	1.0/7	0.0	3.4	Hector Diaz, Jr.
2026-04-19	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	88	77	89.2	86	1.0/7	0.0	6.5	Hector Diaz, Jr.
2026-03-28	TAM	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	76	99	86.1	83	5.0/7	8.2	11.2	Charlie Marquez

3 Denying

6G L 125 lbs Post 3 J: Charlie Marquez T: Devon Dougherty S

85.0

Proj Fig

1.6%

Model %

50-1

Fair

3/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10	MTH	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	88	nan	88.1	84	3.0/6	4.8	2.4	Angel Morales
2026-06-26	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	86	92	91.4	90	1.0/6	0.0	1.9	Angel Morales
2026-06-06	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	82	72	91.7	84	2.0/6	1.0	0.6	Sonny Leon
2026-05-01	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	96	91	90.5	64	3.0/7	2.5	2.8	Sonny Leon
2026-04-24	TAM	8.0f	turf	Firm	Claiming	84	94	83.2	95	4.0/10	3.5	1.9	Samuel Marin

4 Master of None

6G L 123 lbs Post 4 J: Melissa Iorio T: Silvino Ramirez S

87.1

Proj Fig

1.3%

Model %

99-1

Fair

10/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-25	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	—	—	84.7	—	3.0/6	7.0	6.5	Melissa Iorio
2026-07-14	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	92	96	88.1	88	4.0/7	8.8	2.4	Paco Lopez
2026-06-22	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	85	96	89.6	114	2.0/9	0.5	4.6	Paco Lopez
2026-06-08	PRX	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Starter_Alw	90	74	86.2	81	5.0/7	13.2	12.7	Yedsit Hazlewood
2026-05-20	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	89	90	91.0	94	2.0/7	3.5	4.2	Mychel Sanchez

5 Fluff the Pillow

5G L 123 lbs Post 5 J: Dalila Rivera T: Joann Bertone P

80.3

Proj Fig

1.3%

Model %

50-1

Fair

15/1

M/L

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	CLASS	EP	MP	FIG	LP	POS	BL	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	116	90	83.1	64	3.0/6	3.8	2.3	Chantal Sutherland
2026-06-06	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	78	86	83.3	82	3.0/6	10.2	10.9	Chantal Sutherland
2026-05-16	MTH	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	73	74	83.7	67	3.0/6	2.2	7.1	Chantal Sutherland
2026-05-01	PRX	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	93	77	80.0	83	9.0/10	9.2	29.0	Kendry Rivera
2026-03-30	PRX	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Claiming	94	88	76.9	78	7.0/7	34.0	36.5	Abner Adorno