TRACKS · 2026-08-01
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CT · 2026-08-01
Today's $100 plan
The model found 6 races out of 8 where it sees a clear edge over the market. Everywhere else the model and the track agree — no reason to bet.
6
Plays
$100
Wagered
+$210
Expected profit
Race 1 · Six And One Half Furlongs · Dirt $9 to win
7 Full Proof
Our model gives this horse a 39% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 17% — a 22-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Brittany Scampton Trainer Christine Clagett Morning line 5/1 If it wins $45
Race 2 · Four And One Half Furlongs · Dirt $16 to win
7 Captured in Time
Our model gives this horse a 63% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 33% — a 30-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Angel Cruz Trainer Michelle Wilson Morning line 2/1 If it wins $32
Race 4 · Four And One Half Furlongs · Dirt $33 to win
4 Witty Girl
Our model gives this horse a 97% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 25% — a 72-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Jacqueline Davis Trainer Joey Martinez Morning line 3/1 If it wins $99
Race 6 · Four And One Half Furlongs · Dirt $10 to win
7 She's Rambo
Our model gives this horse a 39% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 14% — a 24-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Christian Hiraldo Trainer Jean Adorno Morning line 6/1 If it wins $60
Race 7 · Seven Furlongs · Dirt $15 to win
1 Runaldo
Our model gives this horse a 52% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 17% — a 35-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Arnaldo Bocachica Trainer Jeff Runco Morning line 5/1 If it wins $75
Race 8 · Six And One Half Furlongs · Dirt $17 to win
5 Beau Dutton
Our model gives this horse a 56% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 17% — a 40-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Sunday Diaz, Jr. Trainer Cynthia McKee Morning line 5/1 If it wins $85
Skipped 2 races with no meaningful edge.
Plan generated by a Bayesian speed-figure model. Probabilities are estimates. Sizes use fractional Kelly on morning-line odds, scaled to the $100 budget. Gamble responsibly.