TRACKS · 2026-08-01
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GP · 2026-08-01
Today's $100 plan
The model found 8 races out of 9 where it sees a clear edge over the market. Everywhere else the model and the track agree — no reason to bet.
8
Plays
$100
Wagered
+$290
Expected profit
Race 1 · One Mile · All Weather Track $13 to win
5 Tinkatwo
Our model gives this horse a 57% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 11% — a 46-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Yolber Torres Trainer Michael Yates Morning line 8/1 If it wins $104
Race 2 · Five Furlongs · Turf $23 to win
4 King Cousin B
Our model gives this horse a 94% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 29% — a 66-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Leonel Reyes Trainer Bernardo Lopez Morning line 5/2 If it wins $58
Race 3 · Five And One Half Furlongs · All Weather Track $6 to win
4 Rodhan
Our model gives this horse a 55% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 42% — a 13-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Pedro Pena Trainer Ronald Coy Morning line 7/5 If it wins $8
Race 4 · One Mile · Turf $17 to win
6 Flying Liam
Our model gives this horse a 69% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 14% — a 54-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Miguel Vasquez Trainer Nolan Ramsey Morning line 6/1 If it wins $102
Race 5 · One Mile · All Weather Track $8 to win
1 Pocket Pair
Our model gives this horse a 41% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 17% — a 24-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Pedro Pena Trainer Carlos David Morning line 5/1 If it wins $40
Race 6 · Five And One Half Furlongs · All Weather Track $8 to win
4 Chloe's Toy
Our model gives this horse a 55% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 36% — a 20-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Miguel Vasquez Trainer Sebastian Pulgarin Morning line 9/5 If it wins $14
Race 7 · Five Furlongs · Turf $14 to win
7 Neodera
Our model gives this horse a 57% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 8% — a 49-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Edgar Perez Trainer Michael Lerman Morning line 12/1 If it wins $168
Race 9 · One Mile · Turf $11 to win
6 Serrania
Our model gives this horse a 58% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 29% — a 30-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Samuel Camacho, Jr. Trainer Fausto Gutierrez Morning line 5/2 If it wins $28
Skipped 1 race with no meaningful edge.
Plan generated by a Bayesian speed-figure model. Probabilities are estimates. Sizes use fractional Kelly on morning-line odds, scaled to the $100 budget. Gamble responsibly.