TRACKS · 2026-08-01
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ELP · 2026-08-01
Today's $100 plan
The model found 6 races out of 10 where it sees a clear edge over the market. Everywhere else the model and the track agree — no reason to bet.
6
Plays
$100
Wagered
+$219
Expected profit
Race 2 · One Mile · Dirt $11 to win
Our model gives this horse a 43% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 29% — a 15-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Race 4 · Six And One Half Furlongs · Dirt $11 to win
Our model gives this horse a 28% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 9% — a 18-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off: medium-confidence pick at generous odds (+29% return in backtest).
Race 5 · One And One Sixteenth Miles · Turf $29 to win
Our model gives this horse a 65% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 22% — a 43-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Race 6 · Seven Furlongs · Dirt $30 to win
11 Ditlihi
Our model gives this horse a 64% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 14% — a 50-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Race 8 · Six Furlongs · Dirt $9 to win
Our model gives this horse a 24% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 9% — a 15-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off: medium-confidence pick at generous odds (+29% return in backtest).
Race 10 · Five And One Half Furlongs · Turf $10 to win
8 Cloe
Our model gives this horse a 28% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 11% — a 17-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off: medium-confidence pick at generous odds (+29% return in backtest).
Skipped 4 races with no meaningful edge.