TRACKS · 2026-08-01
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WO · 2026-08-01
Today's $100 plan
The model found 7 races out of 10 where it sees a clear edge over the market. Everywhere else the model and the track agree — no reason to bet.
7
Plays
$100
Wagered
+$205
Expected profit
Race 1 · Five And One Half Furlongs · All Weather Track $7 to win
2 Complex Secret
Our model gives this horse a 46% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 33% — a 13-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Sahin Civaci Trainer Michael Mattine Morning line 2/1 If it wins $14
Race 2 · Six Furlongs · All Weather Track $9 to win
5 Skydigger
Our model gives this horse a 40% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 18% — a 22-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Romero Maragh Trainer Robert Tiller Morning line 9/2 If it wins $40
Race 4 · Five And One Half Furlongs · All Weather Track $32 to win
3 Road to Glory
Our model gives this horse a 93% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 36% — a 58-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Emma-Jayne Wilson Trainer John Charalambous Morning line 9/5 If it wins $58
Race 5 · Five Furlongs · Inner turf $13 to win
5 Rule the Waves
Our model gives this horse a 41% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 8% — a 33-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Eswan Flores Trainer Shelley Fitzgerald Morning line 12/1 If it wins $156
Race 6 · Five And One Half Furlongs · All Weather Track $23 to win
11 Sweet Bordeaux
Our model gives this horse a 71% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 17% — a 54-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Pietro Moran Trainer Stuart Simon Morning line 5/1 If it wins $115
Race 9 · One And One Sixteenth Miles · All Weather Track $6 to win
9 Paramount Prince
Our model gives this horse a 37% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 25% — a 12-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Fraser Aebly Trainer Mark Casse Morning line 3/1 If it wins $18
Race 10 · Five And One Half Furlongs · All Weather Track $10 to win
5 Little Lola
Our model gives this horse a 52% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 33% — a 18-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Fraser Aebly Trainer Todd Kettleson Morning line 2/1 If it wins $20
Skipped 3 races with no meaningful edge.
Plan generated by a Bayesian speed-figure model. Probabilities are estimates. Sizes use fractional Kelly on morning-line odds, scaled to the $100 budget. Gamble responsibly.