TRACKS · 2026-08-01
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EMD · 2026-08-01
Today's $100 plan
The model found 7 races out of 8 where it sees a clear edge over the market. Everywhere else the model and the track agree — no reason to bet.
7
Plays
$100
Wagered
+$140
Expected profit
Race 1 · Six Furlongs · Dirt $9 to win
4 Savita
Our model gives this horse a 35% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 17% — a 18-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Alex Cruz Trainer Alan Bozell Morning line 5/1 If it wins $45
Race 2 · Five And One Half Furlongs · Dirt $13 to win
5 Gentlemen's Club
Our model gives this horse a 51% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 29% — a 23-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Adrian Castellanos Trainer Francisco Rodriguez Morning line 5/2 If it wins $32
Race 3 · One Mile · Dirt $6 to win
1 Lucky Code
Our model gives this horse a 34% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 22% — a 12-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Blake Nunnally Trainer Scott Freeman Morning line 7/2 If it wins $21
Race 4 · Five Furlongs · Dirt $12 to win
4 Saint Indie
Our model gives this horse a 53% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 33% — a 20-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Blake Nunnally Trainer Howard Gibson Morning line 2/1 If it wins $24
Race 5 · Five And One Half Furlongs · Dirt $23 to win
5 Kraken Up
Our model gives this horse a 71% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 29% — a 42-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Kevin Krigger Trainer Blaine Wright Morning line 5/2 If it wins $58
Race 6 · Six Furlongs · Dirt $13 to win
1 Eddiecoyle
Our model gives this horse a 47% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 20% — a 27-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Kevin Krigger Trainer Tim McCanna Morning line 4/1 If it wins $52
Race 7 · One Mile · Dirt $24 to win
3 Cap It Daddy
Our model gives this horse a 68% chance to win. The track's morning line implies only 20% — a 48-point gap in our favor. This is the kind of spot that has historically paid off:
Jockey Silvio Amador Trainer Elodio Madrigal Morning line 4/1 If it wins $96
Skipped 1 race with no meaningful edge.
Plan generated by a Bayesian speed-figure model. Probabilities are estimates. Sizes use fractional Kelly on morning-line odds, scaled to the $100 budget. Gamble responsibly.