ELP 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 D R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 T R10 T

Purse $40,000. Six And One Half Furlongs. (Includes $8,000 – KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). For Maidens, Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 119 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Claiming Price $50,000.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Symbol	7% 12-1 / 12/1	6.5%	P	6th/1w	78 -3.4	91⁶-1	92⁶	86⁷	84⁶	rte→spr	16%	1∠
2	Flume's Vino	0% 99-1 / 20/1	2.5%		8th/1w	—	84⁹-8	—	—	—		11%	3∠
3	Hitchcock	4% 25-1 / 3/1	13.8%	S	10th/1w	86 +3.9	95²+3	95²	88⁴	77⁸	L1T→D	25%	2∠
4	Centerline	0% 99-1 / 20/1	2.5%	S	7th/1w	80 -1.6	79¹⁰-13	80⁹	67⁹	85⁵	L1T-4.3rte→spr	20%	⚠-4.54∠
5	Stoic Sage	6% 15-1 / 10/1	6.9%	P	4th/1w	83 +1.0	88⁸-4	87⁸	87⁵	96¹	J+0.5▲cls	—	✓+1.6
6	Himothy	11% 8-1 / 8/1	9.7%	EP	2nd/2w	88 +6.4	93⁵+1	94⁴	85⁸	80⁷	L1T→D▼cls	—	⚠-1.64∠
7	Silver Sniper	17% 5-1 / 9/2	15.6%	EP	1st/3w	87 +4.9	97¹+5	95²	95¹	93²	L3★gold▲slo-close	27%	✓+2.82∠
8	Hyperlink	28% 5-2 / 10/1	15.4%	S	9th/2w	84 +2.3	94³+2	93⁵	92²	88⁴	★goldrte→spr▲cls	14%	✓+1.1★VALUE1∠
9	Interrogator	24% 3-1 / 4/1	19.3%	P	3rd/3w	87 +5.2	90⁷-2	91⁷	91³	91³	J-0.6rte→spr	16%	2∠
10	City of Life	2% 30-1 / 6/1	7.9%	P	5th/3w	85 +3.2	94³+2	96¹	87⁵	77⁸		16%	2∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 7 HOLDS LP »» 88/116 Silver Sniper 6 ⚡ » 94/105 Himothy 9 »» 91/92 Interrogator 5 104/96 Stoic Sage 10 »» 94/101 City of Life 1 85/83 Symbol 4 86/91 Centerline 2 Flume's Vino 8 » 99/88 Hyperlink 3 104/97 Hitchcock

On the lead: 7, 6 · race sets up for closers

8 Hyperlink ★ VALUE

3G 119 lbs L S

27.6%

MODEL %

5-2

MODEL FAIR

+18.5

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 +2 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class84.1 +2.3 vs race +10.3 gap

MC10.7% fair 8-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced85.5 +0.5 vs today

Pace EP87.4 best 99.1

Pace LP81.2 best 87.5

Energy0.53

Connections

JockBen Curtisκ 0.11was Brian Hernandez, Jr. · -0.1

TrnSteven Asmussenκ 0.33

J×T22 · 14% win · 41% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	3	0%	93.3
2026	3	2	0%	93.3
2025	2	1	0%	89.2
ELP	1	1	0%	89.2
Dirt	5	3	0%	93.3
Sprint	3	2	0%	93.3
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-22 ELP 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 41 07-13 ELP 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 B 62 07-04 ELP 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 38 ★06-25 ELP 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 B 70 ◆Machado·90 04-19 KEE 3 Furlongs :37.60 B 36 04-11 KEE 4 Furlongs :51.60 B 28

SIREIndependence Hall 85 90%ile turf 8%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06 18d	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	3	9	5.0		89	81	88	92	94	83	6.54	Brian Hernandez, Jr.
2026-05-19 25d	IND	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	MSW	83	6	8	12.8	F	99	78	76	88	91	87	4.1	Keith Asmussen
2026-04-24 256d·4.3×	KEE	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	86	3	6	6.0		84	80	82	93	86	87	4.11	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-08-11 60d	ELP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	3	11	3.5	F	90	79	81	89	82	82	30.43	Erik Asmussen
2025-06-12	CD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	6	8	14.8		98	nan	83	89	77	88	12.4	Florent Geroux

9 Interrogator THIN DATA

3C 119 lbs L P

24.0%

MODEL %

3-1

MODEL FAIR

+4.0

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -2 vs par

Needs +3~25% run that

Class87.0 +5.2 vs race +3.4 gap

MC6.2% fair 15-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.38

Faced87.4 +2.4 vs today

Pace EP84.4 best 91.0

Pace LP76.7 best 91.7

Energy0.53

Connections

JockErik Asmussenκ 0.07was Luan Machado · -0.6

TrnSteven Asmussenκ 0.33

J×T1422 · 16% win · 46% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Erik Asmussen / Steven Asmussen 17% -21%

Record

	Sts	Win%	Fig
Life	3	0%	91.3
2026	3	0%	91.3
2025	0	—	—
ELP	1	0%	91.2
Dirt	3	0%	91.3
Sprint	2	0%	91.3
Wet	1	0%	91.2

WORKS 07-22 ELP 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 23 07-08 ARP 13.34 bg ★06-30 ELP 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 B 90 ◆Imperial Gun·100 06-20 ELP 5 Furlongs 1:02.80 B 47 04-20 CD 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 B 60 04-03 SUN 220 Yards :12.39 H G

SIREOmaha Beach 86 94%ile turf 16%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11 41d	ELP	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW	86	6	6	4.8		89	78	92	91	92	85	22.68	Luan Machado
2026-05-31 29d	CD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	5	11	5.8	F	91	57	42	91	96	80	69.03	Keith Asmussen
2026-05-02	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	12	12	29.0	F	86	88	86	84	75	88	6.08	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

7 Silver Sniper

3G 119 lbs L EP

17.0%

MODEL %

5-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.2

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig97 +5 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 92 vs par 92

Class86.7 +4.9 vs race +10.2 gap

MC21.1% fair 7-2

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced85.7 +0.7 vs today

Pace EP79.0 best 88.1

Pace LP90.2 best 115.9

Energy0.54

Connections

JockFrancisco Arrietaκ 0.25

TrnEric Fosterκ 0.21

J×T11 · 27% win · 73% ITM

Angles

3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	9	2	1	0%	95.3
2026	6	1	1	0%	95.3
2025	3	1	0	0%	90.1
ELP	1	1	0	0%	95.3
Dirt	4	2	0	0%	95.3
Sprint	3	1	0	0%	95.3
Wet	1	0	0	0%	87.4

WORKS 07-23 ELP 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 64 05-01 KEE 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 48

SIRESilver State 85 88%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 13d	ELP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	84	2	8	0.8	S	84	82	101	95	93	87	3.67	Francisco Arrieta
2026-06-21 92d·2.7×	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	86	5	11	5.5	F	88	86	90	95	93	87	16.54	Francisco Arrieta
2026-03-21 21d	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	87	6	9	8.0		72	101	79	87	84	87	5.54	Fernando De La Cruz
2026-02-28 14d	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	87	3	9	4.2		66	105	116	90	83	86	8.68	Fernando De La Cruz
2026-02-14 42d	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	85	4	12	2.8		82	88	95	90	88	85	8.86	Fernando De La Cruz
2026-01-03 34d	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	88	5	12	8.5		84	84	95	86	79	84	27.51	Fernando De La Cruz
2025-11-30 87d·2.6×	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	2	11	1.8		98	81	73	90	80	81	3.03	Jose Ortiz
2025-09-04 21d	KD	7.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	6	11	12.5	F	100	86	74	79	72	79	6.06	Jose Ortiz
2025-08-14	SAR	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW	87	4	4	25.8	F	59	90	119	87	76	87	3.3	Jose Ortiz

6 Himothy

3G 119 lbs L EP

10.8%

MODEL %

8-1

MODEL FAIR

-0.3

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig93 +1 vs par

Needs +6~11% run that

Class88.2 +6.4 vs race +4.4 gap

MC7.9% fair 12-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.39

Faced87.8 +2.8 vs today

Pace EP83.4 best 94.0

Pace LP86.7 best 105.4

Energy0.54

Connections

JockYedsit Hazlewoodκ 0.24was Rafael Bejarano · -0.3

TrnRon Moquettκ 0.21

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Turf-to-dirt 14% -27% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Ron Moquett: off layoff (60d+) 11% -42%

Record

	Sts	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	0%	93.9
2026	3	0	0%	88.1
2025	2	1	0%	93.9
ELP	0	0	—	—
Dirt	3	1	0%	93.9
Sprint	5	1	0%	93.9
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 11-01 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 46.2 nan 10-18 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 48 nan 07-13 CD Four Furlongs 46.80 b 78 06-26 CD 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 43 06-26 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 50 nan 06-21 CD 4 Furlongs :53.60 B 5

SIREYaupon 88 97%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-07 22d	CD	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	8	10	6.0		87	91	73	85	86	88	13.51	Rafael Bejarano
2026-04-15 31d	KEE	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	6	8	3.8	F	94	94	105	85	80	86	16.61	Flavien Prat
2026-03-15 92d·2.6×	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	6	7	11.8	F	76	99	90	88	85	88	4.1	Ramon Vazquez
2025-12-13 36d	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	9	11	11.8	F	83	90	97	86	74	92	0.6	Luis Saez
2025-11-07	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	87	2	6	2.5		86	86	88	94	87	88	0.83	Luis Saez

1 Symbol THIN DATA

3C 119 lbs L P

6.9%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-0.8

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig91 -1 vs par

Needs +3~25% run that

Class78.4 -3.4 vs race +12.4 gap

MC8.1% fair 12-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.39

Faced86.3 +1.3 vs today

Pace EP81.4 best 85.4

Pace LP80.5 best 83.1

Energy0.53

Connections

JockCristian Torresκ 0.14

TrnThomas Drury, Jr.κ 0.6

J×T19 · 16% win · 26% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	Win%	Fig
Life	2	0%	91.6
2026	2	0%	91.6
2025	0	—	—
ELP	0	—	—
Dirt	2	0%	91.6
Sprint	1	0%	91.6
Wet	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 CD 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 47 07-19 CD 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 64 07-05 CD 4 Furlongs :51.20 B 34 ◆Bold Lucy·90 07-05 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 51.2 nan 06-30 CD 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 65 05-29 CD 4 Furlongs :47.60 B G 68

SIRESilver State 85 88%ile turf 12%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-04 53d	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	84	9	11	23.0	F	85	nan	83	86	81	80	9.95	Cristian Torres
2026-04-12	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	4	7	20.2	F	nan	nan	80	92	93	88	19.43	John Velazquez

5 Stoic Sage

3C 119 lbs L P

6.2%

MODEL %

15-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.9

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -4 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class82.8 +1.0 vs race +5.5 gap

MC3.9% fair 25-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.36

Faced81.6 -3.4 vs today

Pace EP83.7 best 103.5

Pace LP85.5 best 95.8

Energy0.54

Connections

JockJaime Torresκ 0.14was James Graham · +0.5

TrnChris Richardκ 0.1

Record

	Sts	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	2	0%	91.0
2026	5	2	0%	91.0
2025	0	0	—	—
ELP	0	0	—	—
Dirt	4	1	0%	90.7
Sprint	1	0	0%	86.8
Wet	1	0	0%	85.2

WORKS 04-24 KEE 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 44

SIRECode Of Honor 84 88%ile turf 16%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-14 26d	IND	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	83	5	7	5.8		102	85	90	87	89	83	18.2	James Graham
2026-06-18 25d	CD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	2	8	5.2	F	70	92	96	91	100	82	13.49	Edgar Morales
2026-05-24 42d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	81	5	9	5.2	F	61	100	89	85	73	80	50.09	Francisco Arrieta
2026-04-12 53d	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	11	12	30.2	F	93	nan	80	82	65	84	11.6	Irving Moncada
2026-02-18	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	81	2	10	2.8		104	93	88	91	78	81	5.61	Antioco Murgia

3 Hitchcock

4G 124 lbs L S

4.2%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-20.8

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig95 +3 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class85.7 +3.9 vs race +9.0 gap

MC20.8% fair 4-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.33

Faced86.1 +1.1 vs today

Pace EP82.8 best 104.1

Pace LP83.4 best 97.4

Energy0.52

Connections

JockDanny Sheehyκ 0.12was Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. · -0.1

TrnPeter Eurtonκ 0.57

J×T12 · 25% win · 42% ITM

Angles

Peter Eurton: off layoff (60d+) 15% -26% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	6	1	2	0%	95.1
2026	2	0	1	0%	88.8
2025	3	1	0	0%	92.9
ELP	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	4	1	1	0%	95.1
Sprint	6	1	2	0%	95.1
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 TTC 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 47 ◆Lay Down The Law·83 07-19 TTC 4 Furlongs :52.60 B 19 ★07-13 TTC 5 Furlongs 1:01.20 B 76 ★07-06 TTC 5 Furlongs 1:03.20 B 46 06-30 TTC 4 Furlongs :47.40 B 88 ◆Lay Down The Law·83 ★06-21 TTC 5 Furlongs 1:02.80 B 64 ◆Lay Down The Law·83

SIREQuality Road 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-01-30 28d	FG	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	5	9	4.0		74	72	81	88	89	88	5.7	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2026-01-02 91d	FG	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	3	8	1.5	F	104	99	97	89	90	88	1.3	Jose Ortiz
2025-10-03 20d	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	87	8	11	9.2	F	98	83	89	88	72	89	4.38	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-09-13 182d·2.0×	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	5	12	3.5		82	88	88	93	88	88	5.13	Mario Gutierrez
2025-03-15 184d·2.0×	CNL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	2	8	6.2	F	65	75	72	93	95	92	0.7	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2024-09-12	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	3	12	1.5	F	88	82	82	95	87	88	13.03	Luis Saez

10 City of Life

4G 124 lbs L P

2.5%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-11.8

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 +2 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 92 vs par 92

Class85.0 +3.2 vs race +9.0 gap

MC19.5% fair 4-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.41

Faced86.7 +1.7 vs today

Pace EP81.8 best 94.4

Pace LP83.0 best 100.6

Energy0.54

Connections

JockWilliam Antongeorgi IIIκ 0.06

TrnTroy Wismerκ 0.32

J×T25 · 16% win · 36% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% William Antongeorgi III / Troy Wismer 15% +192%

Record

	Sts	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	11	2	2	0%	96.5
2026	5	1	1	0%	96.5
2025	6	1	1	0%	93.4
ELP	1	0	0	0%	87.4
Dirt	4	2	1	0%	96.5
Sprint	8	2	2	0%	96.5
Wet	1	0	1	0%	92.2

SIRECity Of Light 86 93%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-11 48d	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	86	6	8	13.2		94	78	60	87	76	86	11.68	William Antongeorgi III
2026-04-24 30d	KEE	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	86	2	6	1.5		71	nan	89	96	92	86	1.31	William Antongeorgi III
2026-03-25 40d	TP	6.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	86	4	12	8.5	F	88	98	101	92	88	85	5.49	Yarmarie Correa
2026-02-13 28d	TP	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	87	6	9	5.8	F	79	76	87	90	80	85	9.85	Gabriel Saez
2026-01-16 29d	TP	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	88	3	8	2.8	F	82	91	87	92	86	82	20.43	Yarmarie Correa
2025-12-18 25d	TP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	85	11	11	19.5	F	98	71	43	83	77	84	31.32	Joseph Ramos
2025-11-23 25d	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	84	2	10	7.5		96	89	85	93	92	84	17.56	Samuel Camacho, Jr.
2025-10-29 33d	CD	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	82	3	10	1.5	S	99	nan	75	92	74	82	30.2	Samuel Camacho, Jr.
2025-09-26 19d	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	84	7	8	10.8		89	101	97	87	85	81	47.07	Nik Juarez
2025-09-07	KD	6.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	12	12	17.2	F	79	90	107	81	74	85	10.23	Lanfranco Dettori

4 Centerline

3G 119 lbs L S

0.5%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.3

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig79 -13 vs par

Needs +19~<1% run that

Class80.2 -1.6 vs race -1.5 gap

MC0.5% fair 99-1

ConfWIDE σα 0.67

Faced86.3 +1.3 vs today

Pace EP81.1 best 86.1

Pace LP78.1 best 90.6

Energy0.56

Connections

JockAlex Achardκ 0.14was Cristian Torres · -0.0

TrnJohn Ennisκ 0.26was Brad Cox · -4.3

J×T51 · 20% win · 45% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Alex Achard / John Ennis 10% -40% John Ennis: off layoff (60d+) 10% -43%

Record

	Sts	Win%	Fig
Life	2	0%	79.9
2026	1	0%	66.7
2025	1	0%	79.9
ELP	0	—	—
Dirt	2	0%	79.9
Sprint	1	0%	79.9
Wet	0	—	—

WORKS 07-23 TTC 3 Furlongs :37.20 B 42 07-14 TTC 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 48 07-07 TTC 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 24 06-26 TTC 3 Furlongs :38.00 B 38 ★06-04 TTC 4 Furlongs :46.80 B 81 05-28 TTC 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 67

SIREVolatile 85 91%ile turf 13%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-04-10 160d	OP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	8	8	54.8	F	79	82	91	67	44	80	5.3	Cristian Torres
2025-11-01	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	8	9	19.2	F	86	72	60	80	73	88	22.17	Luan Machado

2 Flume's Vino

3G 119 lbs L

0.4%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.4

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -8 vs par

MC1.1% fair 99-1

ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285

⚠ No history — ML-anchored

Connections

JockEdgar Moralesκ 0.15

TrnJohn Ennisκ 0.26

J×T145 · 11% win · 36% ITM

Angles

Edgar Morales / John Ennis 11% -28% Debut 11% -25% John Ennis: debut 6% -38%

Record

	Win%	Fig
Life	—	—
2026	—	—
2025	—	—
ELP	—	—
Dirt	—	—
Sprint	—	—
Wet	—	—

WORKS 07-23 TTC 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 67 07-14 TTC 4 Furlongs :52.80 B 19 07-07 TTC 5 Furlongs 1:03.60 B G 43 06-26 TTC 5 Furlongs 1:03.60 B G 52 06-20 TTC 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 70 06-13 TTC 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 48

SIREVino Rosso 84 86%ile 1st-out 12% (201) turf 11%

No prior races in database