EVD 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 D R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 D

EVD 2026-08-01 Five And One Half Furlongs DIRT

strength

+1.0 fair

win par

fig to beat

SPEED DUEL

shape

closers favored

FAST

early pace

1st¼ 22.2s / par 22.6

TOP-HEAVY

field

figs 74.0–85.4

FIG CLUSTER

low edge

consider passing

Purse $15,000. Five And One Half Furlongs. (Includes $3,800 – Other Sources) (Plus $4,000 – ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 121 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Claiming Price $10,000. Louisiana Bred Claiming Price $12,500.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Crazy Red ✓	2% 50-1 / 9/2	9.1%	EP	7th/1w	81 +0.2	78⁸-8	81⁹	79⁶	—	L3★goldJ+2.0	—	✓+2.12∠
2	The Big Ben	1% 99-1 / 20/1	2.7%	EP	2nd/1w	78 -2.3	74⁹-12	82⁸	76⁸	—	L2	—	1∠
3	A Lotta Shance ✓	38% 8-5 / 5/2	28.5%	P	8th/1w	83 +2.5	83³-3	86³	86¹	76⁶	★goldJ-1.4	29%	★PRIME2∠
4	Blondate	7% 15-1 / 15/1	5.6%	P	9th/1w	82 +1.6	79⁶-7	83⁷	83³	76⁶		—	LS1∠
5	Heroic Act	21% 7-2 / 8/1	13.7%	P	5th/1w	80 -0.1	84²-2	90²	82⁴	85³	L3★goldrte→spr	20%	✓+5.11∠
6	After Party	8% 12-1 / 10/1	7.3%	P	6th/1w	84 +3.9	80⁵-6	93¹	80⁵	84⁵	L1T-1.1J+0.7▼cls	8%	⚠-1.04∠
7	Shot Gun Shack	2% 50-1 / 20/1	3.1%	E	1st/3w	80 -0.0	79⁶-7	86³	72⁹	85³	L3★gold	0%	2∠
8	Chicanery ✓	19% 9-2 / 3/1	19.3%	EP	3rd/4w	81 +1.0	85¹-1	86³	86¹	87¹	★gold▲cls	21%	✓+2.81∠
9	Too Many Titos ✓	3% 30-1 / 4/1	10.7%	P	4th/3w	82 +1.5	81⁴-5	84⁶	79⁶	86²	★goldT→D▲cls	25%	2∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 7 HOLDS ⚡ »» 96/94 Shot Gun Shack 2 100/84 The Big Ben 8 LP »»» 95/105 Chicanery 9 »» 114/85 Too Many Titos 5 LP 87/105 Heroic Act 6 LP 108/107 After Party 1 84/92 Crazy Red 3 97/93 A Lotta Shance 4 94/95 Blondate

On the lead: 7, 2 · race sets up for closers

3 A Lotta Shance ★ PRIME

3G 118 lbs L P

37.8%

MODEL %

8-5

MODEL FAIR

+9.2

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig83 -3 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class82.9 +2.5 vs race -0.3 gap

MC13.7% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced81.9 +0.5 vs today

Pace EP85.5 best 96.6

Pace LP82.4 best 92.6

Energy0.55

Connections

JockTimothy Thorntonκ -0.01was Isaac Castillo · -1.4

TrnSam David, Jr.κ 0.09

J×T42 · 29% win · 57% ITM

Angles

Timothy Thornton / Sam David, Jr. 27% -12% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	1	20%	85.9
2026	5	1	1	20%	85.9
2025	0	0	0	—	—
EVD	3	1	1	33%	85.9
Dirt	5	1	1	20%	85.9
Sprint	5	1	1	20%	85.9
Wet	1	1	0	100%	84.7

WORKS 05-15 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:02.20 B G 70

SIREShancelot 86 93%ile turf 14%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11 28d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	5	9	3.2		78	89	74	86	84	82	3.2	Isaac Castillo
2026-06-13 16d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	8	4.0	F	89	84	79	86	89	80	4.6	Isaac Castillo
2026-05-28 68d·2.1×	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	78	1	8	0.0	F	86	93	85	85	83	78	0.9	Timothy Thornton
2026-03-21 32d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	12	12	23.2	F	97	nan	93	70	58	77	53.7	Erica Murray
2026-02-17	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	83	6	10	15.5	F	95	nan	89	78	75	84	9.6	Erica Murray

5 Heroic Act

4C 124 lbs L P

21.1%

MODEL %

7-2

MODEL FAIR

+10.0

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -2 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 86 vs par 86

Class80.3 -0.1 vs race +3.2 gap

MC22.8% fair 7-2

ConfNORMAL σα 0.33

Faced81.1 -0.3 vs today

Pace EP80.0 best 86.9

Pace LP84.9 best 104.6

Energy0.53

Connections

JockHarry Hernandezκ 0.1

TrnJonas Gibsonκ -0.08

J×T15 · 20% win · 73% ITM

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	2	20%	93.5
2026	2	1	1	50%	90.5
2025	3	0	1	0%	93.5
EVD	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	5	1	2	20%	93.5
Sprint	2	1	0	50%	90.5
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-21 LAD 4 Furlongs :50.30 B 46 06-19 LAD 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 64 ★06-09 LAD 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 72 ★05-19 LAD 5 Furlongs 1:00.10 B 87 04-29 LS 4 Furlongs :47.61 B 71 04-15 LS 4 Furlongs :52.28 B 36

SIRECurlin 87 96%ile turf 14%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-29 34d	LAD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	2	4	7.5		82	90	87	82	72	81	0.1	Harry Hernandez
2026-05-26 194d·4.0×	LAD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	1	6	0.0	S	84	83	105	90	92	81	0.1	Isaac Castillo
2025-11-13 34d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	84	6	9	17.5		nan	nan	78	84	82	84	4.91	Cristian Torres
2025-10-10 48d	RP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	81	2	6	0.1		87	100	nan	94	101	81	1.0	Ramon Vazquez
2025-08-23	ELP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	84	5	7	8.5	F	67	83	85	90	92	82	3.31	Tyler Gaffalione

8 Chicanery

3C 121 lbs L EP

18.8%

MODEL %

9-2

MODEL FAIR

-6.2

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -1 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 86 vs par 86

Class81.4 +1.0 vs race +4.0 gap

MC23.0% fair 7-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced78.7 -2.7 vs today

Pace EP87.3 best 95.2

Pace LP85.5 best 105.0

Energy0.54

Connections

JockC.J. McMahonκ 0.02

TrnW. Calhounκ 0.29

J×T140 · 21% win · 47% ITM

Angles

C.J. McMahon / W. Calhoun 20% -18%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	6	1	2	1	17%	86.3
2026	4	1	2	1	25%	86.3
2025	2	0	0	0	0%	85.5
EVD	3	1	2	0	33%	86.3
Dirt	5	1	2	1	20%	86.3
Sprint	6	1	2	1	17%	86.3
Wet	1	0	1	0	0%	84.3

WORKS 06-30 CCT 4 Furlongs :51.37 B 06-23 CCT 4 Furlongs :51.76 B 04-07 CCT 4 Furlongs :51.73 B 03-24 CCT 4 Furlongs :51.50 B 03-13 FG 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 41

SIREMaximus Mischief 84 84%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-09 49d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	1	8	0.0	S	90	92	85	86	81	82	0.05	C.J. McMahon
2026-05-21 28d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	77	2	8	2.0	F	90	87	105	84	84	82	0.6	C.J. McMahon
2026-04-23 61d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	2	8	1.5	F	91	84	78	86	80	82	0.9	C.J. McMahon
2026-02-21 85d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	3	7	3.8	F	92	91	84	85	83	82	4.2	Mitchell Murrill
2025-11-28 62d	FG	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	7	11	13.8	F	95	91	91	78	79	84	7.7	Mitchell Murrill
2025-09-27	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	84	6	12	3.8	F	95	86	80	86	76	85	9.81	Gabriel Saez

6 After Party

3G 121 lbs L P

7.6%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.5

EDGE vs ML

10/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig80 -6 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class84.3 +3.9 vs race -4.6 gap

MC5.3% fair 20-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.33

Faced85.2 +3.8 vs today

Pace EP87.7 best 108.1

Pace LP82.0 best 106.6

Energy0.56

Connections

JockCarlos Perezκ 0.04was David Cohen · +0.7

TrnJuan Canoκ 0.12was Mertkan Kantarmaci · -1.1

J×T36 · 8% win · 36% ITM

Angles

Juan Cano: off layoff (60d+) 20% +17% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Carlos Perez / Juan Cano 7% -76%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	1	1	12%	92.8
2026	3	0	1	0	0%	81.0
2025	5	1	0	1	20%	92.8
EVD	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	6	1	1	1	17%	92.8
Sprint	6	1	1	1	17%	92.8
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	81.0

WORKS ★07-25 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 72 07-16 EVD Five Furlongs 1:02.40 b 74 ★07-03 EVD 4 Furlongs :47.60 B 77 06-19 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 56 06-02 CDT 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 42 05-15 CDT 3 Furlongs :38.20 B 36

SIREFrosted 84 83%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-04-19 9d	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	8	1.8	F	108	89	60	80	78	83	9.6	David Cohen
2026-04-10 33d	OP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	11	11	31.0		73	80	96	71	59	84	9.0	David Cohen
2026-03-08 71d	OP	6.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	86	9	9	20.2	F	100	90	65	81	76	86	8.9	Rafael Bejarano
2025-12-27 64d	OP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	85	4	11	6.8		77	88	88	89	83	84	7.7	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-10-24 41d	KEE	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	88	3	10	7.8	F	103	98	107	91	88	82	8.88	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-09-13 6d	GP	6.5f	dirt	Good	Mdn Clm	82	1	8	0.0	F	76	94	102	93	94	80	4.5	Miguel Vasquez
2025-09-07 79d	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	6	9	6.5	F	81	80	91	85	78	79	11.7	Miguel Vasquez
2025-06-20	GP	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	8	10	11.8	F	nan	nan	38	76	64	76	9.6	Edwin Gonzalez

4 Blondate LONGSHOT

4G 121 lbs L P

6.7%

MODEL %

15-1

MODEL FAIR

+0.5

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig79 -7 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class82.0 +1.6 vs race -2.9 gap

MC11.0% fair 8-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced81.0 -0.4 vs today

Pace EP78.2 best 93.7

Pace LP81.6 best 94.9

Energy0.55

Connections

JockElio Barreraκ 0.12was Thomas Pompell · +0.0

TrnRussell Richardκ -0.19

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	22	1	3	3	5%	83.3
2026	7	0	2	1	0%	83.3
2025	12	1	1	1	8%	81.9
EVD	4	0	1	1	0%	83.3
Dirt	19	1	3	3	5%	83.3
Sprint	21	1	3	3	5%	83.3
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	77.2

SIREStar Guitar 81 51%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-11 28d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	4	9	2.8		80	nan	72	83	84	81	18.1	Thomas Pompell
2026-06-13 22d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	3	7	7.0	F	54	nan	90	79	84	81	6.1	Thomas Pompell
2026-05-22 30d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	4	7	4.2	F	81	90	94	80	80	80	19.1	Thomas Pompell
2026-04-22 34d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	2	9	3.8	F	94	nan	62	82	84	79	13.3	Thomas Pompell
2026-03-19 13d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	7	7	17.0	F	77	79	95	73	73	80	33.9	Hunter Rea
2026-03-06 42d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	2	7	0.5	F	82	89	82	81	85	79	63.6	Hunter Rea
2026-01-23 24d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	76	4	10	2.2		83	69	81	77	74	78	13.9	Jonuelle Pena
2025-12-30 17d	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	5	9	11.0		91	88	81	76	74	78	38.5	Jonuelle Pena
2025-12-13 95d·3.4×	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	7	7	9.5	F	93	83	100	76	77	77	38.4	Jonuelle Pena
2025-09-09	LAD	5.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	79	5	6	2.0	S	77	nan	99	72	67	76	11.0	Filemon Rodriguez

9 Too Many Titos

3C 118 lbs L P

3.4%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-16.6

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig81 -5 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class81.9 +1.5 vs race -0.6 gap

MC9.4% fair 10-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced79.2 -2.2 vs today

Pace EP88.7 best 113.6

Pace LP76.4 best 84.6

Energy0.55

Connections

JockColby Hernandezκ 0.02

TrnJayde Gelnerκ 0.1

J×T8 · 25% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Turf-to-dirt 14% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	6	1	1	2	17%	84.2
2026	5	1	1	2	20%	84.2
2025	1	0	0	0	0%	78.6
EVD	3	1	0	1	33%	84.2
Dirt	5	0	1	2	0%	84.2
Sprint	6	1	1	2	17%	84.2
Wet	1	0	0	1	0%	84.2

WORKS 07-22 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 53 06-09 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 61 04-23 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 59 04-11 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 70 03-31 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 63

SIRECloud Computing 81 55%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25 41d	EVD	5.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	75	1	8	0.0		86	87	85	79	73	81	2.4	Colby Hernandez
2026-05-15 15d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	82	6	8	9.5		79	89	68	78	68	82	15.3	Colby Hernandez
2026-04-30 77d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW	81	3	7	4.5	S	89	80	81	84	84	81	17.0	Colby Hernandez
2026-02-12 13d	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	3	6	3.0		102	82	70	84	82	80	2.0	Vicente Del-Cid
2026-01-30 48d	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	2	8	4.2		114	81	68	81	77	80	3.1	Vicente Del-Cid
2025-12-13	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	79	5	6	8.2		94	75	42	79	70	81	9.4	Elio Barrera

7 Shot Gun Shack

4G 121 lbs L E

2.1%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.7

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig79 -7 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class80.4 -0.0 vs race -1.5 gap

MC9.6% fair 9-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.31

Faced81.1 -0.3 vs today

Pace EP81.6 best 95.7

Pace LP85.6 best 94.0

Energy0.56

Connections

JockKevin Romanκ 0.01

TrnKearney Seguraκ 0.02

J×T7 · 0% win · 43% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	2	1	12%	89.1
2026	4	1	1	0	25%	85.9
2025	4	0	1	1	0%	89.1
EVD	2	0	0	0	0%	77.0
Dirt	8	1	2	1	12%	89.1
Sprint	8	1	2	1	12%	89.1
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 62 07-04 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 57 ★05-12 EVD 4 Furlongs :47.40 B 85 04-18 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 71 04-04 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 61 ★03-24 EVD 3 Furlongs :35.00 B 64

SIREMr. Money 82 72%ile turf 8%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-13 22d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	8	8	22.5	F	90	81	80	72	66	82	17.6	Kevin Roman
2026-05-22 76d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	5	7	9.0	F	79	86	86	77	74	83	4.4	Kevin Roman
2026-03-07 52d	FG	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	1	11	0.0	F	76	84	94	86	93	83	0.1	Axel Concepcion
2026-01-14 27d	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	82	2	6	5.2	F	73	96	92	83	81	83	0.5	Timothy Thornton
2025-12-18 27d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	83	3	8	9.8	F	96	82	94	84	89	83	8.7	Axel Concepcion
2025-11-21 55d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	83	4	12	8.0	F	78	87	97	86	86	83	4.5	Axel Concepcion
2025-09-27 189d·3.6×	CD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	6	6	19.5		103	nan	76	77	67	89	3.49	Luan Machado
2025-03-22	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	2	12	0.5	F	87	84	93	89	91	85	3.0	Tyler Gaffalione

1 Crazy Red

3G 116 lbs L EP

1.5%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-16.7

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig78 -8 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class80.6 +0.2 vs race -3.0 gap

MC4.2% fair 25-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced81.2 -0.2 vs today

Pace EP79.0 best 84.4

Pace LP81.8 best 92.4

Energy0.55

Connections

JockJuan Hernandezκ 0.24was Carlos Perez · +2.0

TrnJerry Tillisκ -0.16

Angles

3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	7	1	1	1	14%	80.8
2026	5	0	1	1	0%	80.8
2025	2	1	0	0	50%	78.7
EVD	4	1	1	1	25%	80.8
Dirt	6	1	1	1	17%	80.8
Sprint	7	1	1	1	14%	80.8
Wet	1	1	0	0	100%	78.7

WORKS 05-26 CCT 3 Furlongs :38.71 B 03-21 GP 4 Furlongs :52.20 B 14

SIREMitole 84 86%ile turf 12%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-16 35d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	3	6	9.5	F	—	—	—	79	73	81	4.5	Carlos Perez
2026-06-11 77d·2.2×	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	2	7	3.8	F	84	90	84	81	79	81	4.7	Carlos Perez
2026-03-26 35d	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	6	8	24.0		77	101	81	77	69	83	12.6	Jose Morelos
2026-02-19 15d	GP	5.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	82	5	8	6.2	F	82	nan	76	80	78	82	27.4	Jose Morelos
2026-02-04 235d·6.7×	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	5	7	10.5	F	66	74	80	79	78	82	24.6	Cesar Gonzalez
2025-06-14 30d	EVD	4.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW	80	1	9	0.0	S	83	90	92	79	74	76	8.0	Carlos Perez
2025-05-15	EVD	4.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	80	6	8	12.0	S	87	90	91	68	47	80	8.7	Jhair Galvan

2 The Big Ben

3G 121 lbs EP

1.0%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.8

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig74 -12 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class78.1 -2.3 vs race -4.1 gap

MC1.0% fair 99-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.39

Faced80.0 -1.4 vs today

Pace EP85.3 best 99.6

Pace LP76.9 best 84.2

Energy0.55

Connections

JockIsaac Castilloκ 0.13was Juan Vargas · -0.0

TrnJerry Tillis, Jr.κ -0.11

Angles

2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	7	1	1	14%	81.8
2026	1	0	0	0%	75.7
2025	6	1	1	17%	81.8
EVD	1	0	0	0%	75.7
Dirt	5	1	0	20%	81.8
Sprint	6	1	1	17%	81.8
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 06-06 EVD 4 Furlongs :51.40 B 48 05-26 CCT 3 Furlongs :37.64 B

SIREJimmy Creed 83 77%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-16 242d·9.7×	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	6	6	14.5	F	—	—	—	76	66	79	13.6	Juan Vargas
2025-11-16 45d	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	5	5	22.0	F	96	86	74	72	50	79	15.8	Yolber Torres
2025-10-02 19d	DEL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	1	7	0.0		99	88	80	82	74	77	8.6	Jose Vargas
2025-09-13 7d	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	6	10	14.0	S	74	80	84	78	60	79	9.7	Fredy Peltroche
2025-09-06 10d	CNL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	77	2	7	5.5		100	86	63	81	75	77	2.1	Joseph Trejos
2025-08-27 25d	CNL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	82	6	7	18.2	F	73	81	73	74	60	79	47.6	Ubardo Casique
2025-08-02	CNL	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn	82	7	12	11.5	S	88	81	84	78	68	82	43.0	Joseph Trejos