▸ How to read a horse block
MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line.
FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σα.
CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record.
RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there.
FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.
R3
CLAIMING
EVD
2026-08-01
About Seven And One Half Furlongs
TURF
SPEED DUEL
shape
closers favored
FAST
early pace
1st¼ 23.2s / par 23.7
TOP-HEAVY
field
figs 74.4–83.3
Purse $22,500. About Seven And One Half Furlongs. (Turf) (Rail at 20 Feet) (Includes $13,900 – Other Sources) (Includes $2,500 – LAVPF - Louisiana Video Poker Fund). (includes Up To $1,100 Ltbasbf) For Accredited La Bred Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won Four Races Or Which Have Not Won Two Races Since November 1, 2025. Three Year Olds, 121 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1, 2026 Allowed 2 Lbs. A Race Since June 1, 2026 Allowed 4 Lbs. Claiming Price $15,000, if for $12,500, allowed 2 Lbs. (Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). .
| TODAY'S CONTENDERS |
WIN% · FAIR / ML |
QIK% |
STY |
P1C |
CLASS |
PROJ |
COND |
LAST |
SUS |
J×T |
|
| 1 |
Corporal Paul ✓ |
13% 7-1 / 4/1 |
14.6% |
E |
2nd/1w |
83 +2.1 |
831-6 |
891 |
855 |
863 |
L1▲cls |
18% |
⚠-2.24∠ |
| 2 |
Inchhighatahundred ✓ |
1% 99-1 / 2/1 |
16.4% |
P |
5th/1w |
85 +3.3 |
805-9 |
844 |
816 |
863 |
D→Trte→spr |
17% |
5∠ |
| 3 |
Cajun Ami ✓ |
36% 9-5 / 6/1 |
21.4% |
C |
7th/1w |
86 +4.3 |
814-8 |
825 |
892 |
807 |
J+1.2D→T |
— |
★VALUE3∠ |
| 4 |
Tonteria |
9% 10-1 / 7/2 |
14.3% |
S |
3rd/1w |
81 -0.4 |
831-6 |
883 |
874 |
825 |
L3KEY |
20% |
1∠ |
| 5 |
Titanium Deal ✓ |
1% 99-1 / 5/1 |
8.4% |
EP |
4th/3w |
82 +0.9 |
766-13 |
891 |
687 |
961 |
rte→spr▼cls |
5% |
1∠ |
| 6 |
Our Determination ✓ |
2% 50-1 / 12/1 |
4.3% |
S |
6th/2w |
81 -0.1 |
747-15 |
726 |
883 |
816 |
D→T |
0% |
4∠ |
| 7 |
Coattails ✓ |
38% 8-5 / 8/1 |
20.5% |
E |
1st/4w |
83 +2.1 |
831-6 |
— |
911 |
912 |
D→T |
18% |
✓+3.4★PRIME4∠ |
Pace Projector
SPEED DUEL
closers favored
1st¼ 23.2s par 23.7
EP/LP
ON PACE
STALKERS
MIDPACK
CLOSERS
▾ rail
7
HOLDS
⚡
»»»
106/102
Coattails
1
⚡
96/91
Corporal Paul
4
93/104
Tonteria
5
LP
»»
91/107
Titanium Deal
2
LP
101/107
Inchhighatahundred
6
»
88/100
Our Determination
3
99/83
Cajun Ami
Form
Proj Fig83
-6 vs par
Needs
fits levelbase 90 vs par 89
Class83.4
+2.1 vs race
-0.1 gap
MC18.5%
fair 9-2
ConfTIGHT
σα 0.22
Faced82.9
-0.5 vs today
Pace EP87.7
best 105.6
Pace LP82.2
best 101.7
Energy0.55
≠ Cross-surface α
Connections
JockCasey Fusilierκ 0.07
TrnPaul Duhonκ 0.11
J×T40 · 18% win · 42% ITM
Angles
Casey Fusilier / Paul Duhon
21%
-11%
First-time turf
10%
-26%
Dirt-to-turf
9%
-26%
Paul Duhon: first-time turf
4%
-41%
Record
| Sts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Win% | Fig |
| Life |
15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20% | 91.3 |
| 2026 |
6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17% | 91.3 |
| 2025 |
5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20% | 83.4 |
| EVD |
9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22% | 91.3 |
| Turf |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — |
| Sprint |
15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20% | 91.3 |
| Wet |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.3 |
WORKS
03-31
EVD
4 Furlongs :50.00 B
58
SIREOne Liner
79
26%ile
| DATE | TRK |
DIST | SURF |
COND |
TYPE |
STR |
POS |
FLD | BL |
PC |
EP |
MP |
LP |
GIBBS |
PAR |
CLS |
ODDS |
JOCKEY |
| 2026-07-10 22d |
EVD |
6.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
85 |
3 |
8 |
2.5 |
F |
81 |
84 |
102 |
91 |
103 |
83 |
1.3 |
Casey Fusilier |
| 2026-06-18 41d |
EVD |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
81 |
1 |
7 |
0.0 |
F |
106 |
84 |
88 |
90 |
103 |
82 |
2.9 |
Casey Fusilier |
| 2026-05-08 20d |
EVD |
7.0f |
dirt |
Sloppy (Sealed) |
Clm |
82 |
3 |
11 |
5.0 |
F |
82 |
nan |
72 |
87 |
88 |
82 |
4.6 |
Casey Fusilier |
| 2026-04-18 51d·2.3× |
EVD |
6.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
83 |
3 |
9 |
2.5 |
F |
88 |
nan |
67 |
88 |
88 |
81 |
5.7 |
Casey Fusilier |
| 2026-02-26 21d |
FG |
6.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
84 |
4 |
7 |
8.8 |
F |
106 |
nan |
88 |
82 |
77 |
81 |
23.0 |
Timothy Thornton |
| 2026-02-05 244d·11.1× |
DED |
5.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
84 |
6 |
10 |
6.0 |
F |
nan |
nan |
73 |
86 |
89 |
80 |
17.7 |
Alex Birzer |
| 2025-06-06 20d |
EVD |
6.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
80 |
1 |
11 |
0.0 |
F |
93 |
nan |
83 |
83 |
88 |
79 |
2.5 |
Casey Fusilier |
| 2025-05-17 21d |
EVD |
6.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
80 |
6 |
8 |
18.8 |
F |
78 |
94 |
116 |
76 |
66 |
80 |
3.9 |
Carlos Perez |
| 2025-04-26 84d·3.8× |
EVD |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
81 |
5 |
8 |
19.8 |
F |
91 |
93 |
96 |
81 |
84 |
82 |
4.0 |
Casey Fusilier |
| 2025-02-01 |
DED |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Stk |
88 |
8 |
8 |
18.8 |
F |
82 |
85 |
95 |
76 |
70 |
83 |
86.5 |
Juan Vargas |
Form
Proj Fig81
-8 vs par
Needs
+2~31% run that
Class85.6
+4.3 vs race
-4.9 gap
MC13.2%
fair 7-1
ConfNORMAL
σα 0.35
Faced84.8
+1.4 vs today
Pace EP80.1
best 99.4
Pace LP76.7
best 83.1
Energy0.52
Connections
JockIsaac Castilloκ 0.13was Javier Hernandez · +1.2
TrnEduardo Ramirezκ 0.24
Angles
Eduardo Ramirez: first-time turf
11%
-12%
First-time turf
10%
-26%
Dirt-to-turf
9%
-26%
Record
| Sts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Win% | Fig |
| Life |
32 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16% | 94.7 |
| 2026 |
5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0% | 89.1 |
| 2025 |
12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17% | 94.7 |
| EVD |
15 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7% | 94.7 |
| Turf |
3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 82.1 |
| Sprint |
19 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21% | 94.7 |
| Wet |
4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 88.2 |
WORKS
07-24
EVD
4 Furlongs :50.60 B
53
07-17
EVD
4 Furlongs :51.60 B
43
07-10
EVD
5 Furlongs 1:03.80 B
56
04-16
EVD
4 Furlongs :49.20 B
65
04-09
EVD
4 Furlongs :49.80 B
61
04-01
EVD
5 Furlongs 1:03.40 B
67
SIRECongrats
82
59%ile
| DATE | TRK |
DIST | SURF |
COND |
TYPE |
STR |
POS |
FLD | BL |
PC |
EP |
MP |
LP |
GIBBS |
PAR |
CLS |
ODDS |
JOCKEY |
| 2026-06-11 28d |
EVD |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Str Alw |
85 |
5 |
7 |
4.2 |
F |
78 |
84 |
83 |
89 |
94 |
85 |
5.2 |
Javier Hernandez |
| 2026-05-14 20d |
EVD |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
84 |
2 |
8 |
1.8 |
|
99 |
83 |
67 |
85 |
90 |
85 |
3.4 |
Javier Hernandez |
| 2026-04-24 76d·3.5× |
EVD |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
AOC |
86 |
3 |
10 |
12.8 |
|
74 |
72 |
73 |
88 |
96 |
87 |
26.9 |
C.J. McMahon |
| 2026-02-07 22d |
DED |
8.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Stk |
84 |
3 |
8 |
3.8 |
|
57 |
86 |
71 |
89 |
94 |
86 |
4.3 |
Juan Vargas |
| 2026-01-16 17d |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Str Alw |
85 |
3 |
5 |
4.2 |
|
92 |
nan |
80 |
87 |
91 |
86 |
1.5 |
Timothy Thornton |
| 2025-12-30 39d |
DED |
7.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
83 |
1 |
7 |
0.0 |
F |
83 |
nan |
74 |
91 |
100 |
86 |
1.3 |
Kevin Roman |
| 2025-11-21 21d |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
85 |
3 |
7 |
3.5 |
S |
98 |
82 |
65 |
90 |
95 |
86 |
3.1 |
Vicente Del-Cid |
| 2025-10-31 9d |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Str Alw |
84 |
2 |
8 |
2.5 |
|
91 |
82 |
77 |
91 |
95 |
85 |
3.0 |
Timothy Thornton |
| 2025-10-22 60d·2.7× |
DED |
7.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
82 |
1 |
10 |
0.0 |
|
99 |
87 |
71 |
90 |
92 |
84 |
6.9 |
Timothy Thornton |
| 2025-08-23 |
EVD |
7.5f |
turf |
Firm |
Clm |
85 |
9 |
10 |
10.5 |
|
81 |
88 |
97 |
82 |
90 |
85 |
22.6 |
Jansen Melancon |
Form
Proj Fig83
-6 vs par
Needs
+13~<1% run that
Class83.4
+2.1 vs race
-0.1 gap
MC22.1%
fair 7-2
ConfNORMAL
σα 0.35
Faced84.6
+1.2 vs today
Pace EP80.7
best 96.4
Pace LP85.6
best 91.2
Energy0.54
Connections
JockHarry Hernandezκ 0.1
TrnShane Wilsonκ 0.06
J×T77 · 18% win · 43% ITM
Angles
Harry Hernandez / Shane Wilson
18%
-27%
Shane Wilson: off layoff (60d+)
14%
-41%
1st off layoff (60d+)
13%
-26%
Class riser (purse +40%)
9%
-30%
Record
| Sts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Win% | Fig |
| Life |
17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18% | 88.7 |
| 2026 |
6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33% | 88.7 |
| 2025 |
9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11% | 86.1 |
| EVD |
8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12% | 86.1 |
| Turf |
5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 40% | 88.7 |
| Sprint |
8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 38% | 88.7 |
| Wet |
3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 83.2 |
WORKS
07-25
EVD
4 Furlongs :51.60 B
38
07-17
EVD
4 Furlongs :51.00 B
49
06-19
LAD
4 Furlongs :49.20 B
55
SIREAstrology
80
31%ile
| DATE | TRK |
DIST | SURF |
COND |
TYPE |
STR |
POS |
FLD | BL |
PC |
EP |
MP |
LP |
GIBBS |
PAR |
CLS |
ODDS |
JOCKEY |
| 2026-06-01 25d |
LAD |
7.5f |
turf |
Firm |
Clm |
80 |
1 |
8 |
0.0 |
|
83 |
97 |
90 |
85 |
88 |
83 |
1.1 |
Harry Hernandez |
| 2026-05-07 33d |
EVD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
85 |
10 |
10 |
26.2 |
|
83 |
80 |
91 |
69 |
51 |
84 |
8.1 |
Isaac Castillo |
| 2026-04-04 23d |
EVD |
8.0f |
dirt |
Sloppy (Sealed) |
Alw |
86 |
5 |
5 |
34.2 |
|
70 |
85 |
90 |
73 |
66 |
86 |
13.5 |
Harry Hernandez |
| 2026-03-12 48d |
FG |
8.318181818181818f |
dirt |
Fast |
AOC |
86 |
3 |
9 |
2.2 |
|
73 |
80 |
88 |
83 |
88 |
85 |
2.8 |
Jose Ortiz |
| 2026-01-23 13d |
FG |
7.5f |
turf |
Firm |
Clm |
85 |
1 |
10 |
0.0 |
S |
96 |
88 |
86 |
89 |
96 |
84 |
6.7 |
Paco Lopez |
| 2026-01-10 19d |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
84 |
6 |
9 |
8.2 |
|
91 |
88 |
98 |
82 |
84 |
84 |
5.8 |
Vicente Del-Cid |
| 2025-12-22 60d·2.4× |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Wet Fast |
Alw |
83 |
4 |
9 |
4.2 |
|
nan |
nan |
59 |
82 |
85 |
84 |
6.7 |
Isaac Castillo |
| 2025-10-23 55d·2.2× |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
84 |
2 |
5 |
0.5 |
F |
93 |
86 |
106 |
84 |
86 |
82 |
11.6 |
Jose Rodriguez |
| 2025-08-29 21d |
EVD |
8.0f |
dirt |
Sloppy (Sealed) |
Clm |
82 |
2 |
7 |
4.8 |
S |
77 |
76 |
103 |
83 |
85 |
82 |
4.8 |
Jose Rodriguez |
| 2025-08-08 |
EVD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
Clm |
82 |
4 |
10 |
1.8 |
|
77 |
78 |
96 |
78 |
79 |
81 |
34.3 |
Jose Rodriguez |
Form
Proj Fig83
-6 vs par
Needs
+10~1% run that
Class80.9
-0.4 vs race
+2.1 gap
MC22.9%
fair 7-2
ConfTIGHT
σα 0.27
Faced82.2
-1.2 vs today
Pace EP80.8
best 93.2
Pace LP86.2
best 104.1
Energy0.52
Connections
JockJuan Vargasκ 0.14
TrnAndy Rogersκ -0.02
J×T5 · 20% win · 40% ITM
Angles
3rd off layoff
14%
-22%
Record
| Sts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Win% | Fig |
| Life |
34 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12% | 87.5 |
| 2026 |
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33% | 87.0 |
| 2025 |
22 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9% | 87.5 |
| EVD |
6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 87.5 |
| Turf |
21 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14% | 87.5 |
| Sprint |
9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11% | 87.5 |
| Wet |
2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 81.1 |
WORKS
★05-26
CCT
6 Furlongs 1:18.58 B
05-12
CCT
4 Furlongs :54.02 B
04-28
CCT
4 Furlongs :54.07 B
04-14
CCT
4 Furlongs :50.42 B
03-31
CCT
4 Furlongs :50.42 B
03-17
CCT
4 Furlongs :51.90 B
SIREPalace
81
53%ile
| DATE | TRK |
DIST | SURF |
COND |
TYPE |
STR |
POS |
FLD | BL |
PC |
EP |
MP |
LP |
GIBBS |
PAR |
CLS |
ODDS |
JOCKEY |
| 2026-06-26 17d |
EVD |
7.5f |
turf |
Firm |
Clm |
83 |
3 |
10 |
5.2 |
S |
80 |
93 |
85 |
87 |
83 |
80 |
12.0 |
Juan Vargas |
| 2026-06-09 138d·8.1× |
LAD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
Clm |
80 |
1 |
5 |
0.0 |
|
84 |
83 |
104 |
83 |
85 |
79 |
2.6 |
Juan Vargas |
| 2026-01-22 23d |
FG |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
82 |
9 |
9 |
34.0 |
|
93 |
81 |
98 |
66 |
56 |
81 |
13.0 |
Paco Lopez |
| 2025-12-30 8d |
DED |
7.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
83 |
6 |
7 |
16.2 |
F |
76 |
91 |
83 |
78 |
84 |
82 |
14.3 |
Paco Lopez |
| 2025-12-22 9d |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Wet Fast |
Alw |
83 |
8 |
9 |
13.5 |
|
74 |
86 |
80 |
73 |
77 |
83 |
20.1 |
Timothy Thornton |
| 2025-12-13 22d |
FG |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
84 |
9 |
11 |
10.5 |
|
84 |
95 |
98 |
84 |
91 |
83 |
48.5 |
Emanuel Nieves |
| 2025-11-21 8d |
FG |
6.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
83 |
5 |
6 |
10.0 |
F |
71 |
94 |
100 |
74 |
68 |
83 |
14.4 |
Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. |
| 2025-11-13 12d |
DED |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
83 |
8 |
9 |
8.5 |
|
93 |
91 |
92 |
75 |
73 |
83 |
43.5 |
Paulina Ramirez |
| 2025-11-01 22d |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast (Sealed) |
Clm |
82 |
7 |
9 |
13.0 |
|
87 |
85 |
99 |
79 |
86 |
85 |
11.3 |
Carlos Perez |
| 2025-10-10 |
DED |
7.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
82 |
4 |
10 |
4.0 |
|
103 |
89 |
67 |
79 |
86 |
85 |
8.8 |
Carlos Perez |
Form
Proj Fig74
-15 vs par
Needs
+3~25% run that
Class81.2
-0.1 vs race
-6.8 gap
MC3.0%
fair 30-1
ConfNORMAL
σα 0.44
Faced82.8
-0.6 vs today
Pace EP78.1
best 87.7
Pace LP88.7
best 99.5
Energy0.54
Connections
JockCarlos Perezκ 0.04was Jose Rodriguez · +0.1
TrnJuan Sanchezκ 0.16
J×T6 · 0% win · 50% ITM
Angles
Juan Sanchez: first-time turf
12%
+6%
First-time turf
10%
-26%
Class riser (purse +40%)
9%
-30%
Dirt-to-turf
9%
-26%
Record
| Sts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Win% | Fig |
| Life |
20 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25% | 89.5 |
| 2026 |
9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11% | 89.2 |
| 2025 |
7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 29% | 89.5 |
| EVD |
11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18% | 89.5 |
| Turf |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 72.4 |
| Sprint |
20 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25% | 89.5 |
| Wet |
5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20% | 88.9 |
WORKS
07-18
EVD
4 Furlongs :54.60 B G
18
03-31
EVD
4 Furlongs :53.40 B G
26
03-05
FG
3 Furlongs :37.20 B G
41
SIREHalf Ours
80
37%ile
| DATE | TRK |
DIST | SURF |
COND |
TYPE |
STR |
POS |
FLD | BL |
PC |
EP |
MP |
LP |
GIBBS |
PAR |
CLS |
ODDS |
JOCKEY |
| 2026-06-25 14d |
EVD |
6.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
82 |
5 |
9 |
4.5 |
F |
68 |
91 |
94 |
88 |
91 |
81 |
11.5 |
Jose Rodriguez |
| 2026-06-11 27d |
EVD |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Str Alw |
85 |
6 |
7 |
20.0 |
F |
80 |
83 |
90 |
81 |
77 |
82 |
9.3 |
Isaac Castillo |
| 2026-05-15 14d |
EVD |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
80 |
1 |
10 |
0.0 |
F |
88 |
nan |
100 |
88 |
92 |
82 |
3.6 |
Isaac Castillo |
| 2026-05-01 21d |
EVD |
5.0f |
dirt |
Sloppy (Sealed) |
Clm |
81 |
6 |
9 |
3.2 |
|
69 |
88 |
97 |
85 |
81 |
82 |
8.9 |
Javier Hernandez |
| 2026-04-10 29d |
EVD |
6.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
86 |
8 |
8 |
14.8 |
F |
80 |
nan |
89 |
84 |
88 |
84 |
34.3 |
Harry Hernandez |
| 2026-03-12 21d |
FG |
6.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
86 |
5 |
8 |
6.0 |
|
48 |
84 |
92 |
84 |
84 |
84 |
3.6 |
Isaac Castillo |
| 2026-02-19 21d |
FG |
5.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
86 |
3 |
8 |
1.0 |
F |
92 |
82 |
84 |
89 |
93 |
83 |
8.6 |
Edwin Gonzalez |
| 2026-01-29 18d |
FG |
6.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Clm |
86 |
5 |
6 |
8.2 |
|
90 |
92 |
61 |
84 |
83 |
84 |
25.7 |
Jamison Mudd |
| 2026-01-11 149d·7.1× |
FG |
5.0f |
turf |
Good |
Clm |
84 |
8 |
8 |
12.2 |
F |
90 |
90 |
98 |
72 |
74 |
85 |
29.4 |
C.J. McMahon |
| 2025-08-15 |
EVD |
6.5f |
dirt |
Sloppy (Sealed) |
AOC |
87 |
7 |
7 |
19.5 |
F |
93 |
90 |
87 |
81 |
74 |
87 |
4.5 |
Jansen Melancon |
Form
Proj Fig80
-9 vs par
Needs
+7~4% run that
Class84.6
+3.3 vs race
-4.1 gap
MC15.2%
fair 6-1
ConfNORMAL
σα 0.32
Faced84.5
+1.1 vs today
Pace EP86.0
best 101.0
Pace LP85.6
best 107.3
Energy0.54
Connections
JockColby Hernandezκ 0.02
TrnSamuel Breauxκ 0.07
J×T77 · 17% win · 52% ITM
Angles
Class dropper (purse −30%)
17%
-23%
Samuel Breaux: first-time turf
15%
-13%
Colby Hernandez / Samuel Breaux
12%
-41%
First-time turf
10%
-26%
Dirt-to-turf
9%
-26%
Record
| Sts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Win% | Fig |
| Life |
27 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11% | 86.4 |
| 2026 |
6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 86.4 |
| 2025 |
11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9% | 84.3 |
| EVD |
15 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7% | 85.1 |
| Turf |
5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 84.3 |
| Sprint |
13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15% | 86.3 |
| Wet |
7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14% | 83.8 |
WORKS
06-26
EVD
4 Furlongs :49.40 B
63
03-21
EVD
4 Furlongs :53.40 B
33
SIREDaaher
83
79%ile
| DATE | TRK |
DIST | SURF |
COND |
TYPE |
STR |
POS |
FLD | BL |
PC |
EP |
MP |
LP |
GIBBS |
PAR |
CLS |
ODDS |
JOCKEY |
| 2026-07-04 30d |
EVD |
8.0f |
dirt |
Sloppy (Sealed) |
Alw |
85 |
7 |
7 |
20.2 |
S |
92 |
81 |
81 |
81 |
82 |
87 |
3.7 |
Colby Hernandez |
| 2026-06-04 28d |
EVD |
8.0f |
dirt |
Sloppy (Sealed) |
Alw |
83 |
2 |
9 |
0.1 |
|
78 |
86 |
98 |
84 |
90 |
86 |
1.6 |
Colby Hernandez |
| 2026-05-07 26d |
EVD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
85 |
3 |
10 |
2.5 |
|
86 |
88 |
88 |
81 |
72 |
85 |
27.1 |
Colby Hernandez |
| 2026-04-11 37d |
EVD |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
84 |
3 |
9 |
5.8 |
S |
92 |
93 |
107 |
85 |
87 |
85 |
2.2 |
Colby Hernandez |
| 2026-03-05 34d |
FG |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
85 |
2 |
8 |
9.0 |
F |
101 |
nan |
70 |
86 |
96 |
85 |
21.8 |
Colby Hernandez |
| 2026-01-30 39d |
DED |
7.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
85 |
5 |
7 |
5.5 |
|
92 |
nan |
90 |
86 |
91 |
85 |
2.2 |
Vicente Del-Cid |
| 2025-12-22 39d |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Wet Fast |
Alw |
83 |
3 |
9 |
2.5 |
|
89 |
88 |
51 |
82 |
87 |
85 |
3.2 |
Vicente Del-Cid |
| 2025-11-13 34d |
DED |
7.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
83 |
6 |
9 |
6.5 |
|
95 |
89 |
100 |
79 |
75 |
85 |
5.6 |
Elio Barrera |
| 2025-10-10 48d |
DED |
7.5f |
dirt |
Fast |
Alw |
82 |
2 |
10 |
0.5 |
|
86 |
91 |
86 |
84 |
89 |
84 |
5.2 |
Elio Barrera |
| 2025-08-23 |
EVD |
7.5f |
turf |
Firm |
Clm |
85 |
8 |
10 |
7.8 |
|
80 |
86 |
87 |
84 |
92 |
84 |
17.8 |
Joel Dominguez |
Form
Proj Fig76
-13 vs par
Needs
+17~<1% run that
Class82.2
+0.9 vs race
-6.0 gap
MC5.1%
fair 20-1
ConfTIGHT
σα 0.27
Faced85.3
+1.9 vs today
Pace EP83.8
best 90.9
Pace LP88.8
best 106.7
Energy0.53
Connections
JockEdward Santiagoκ -0.05
TrnRussell Richardκ -0.19
J×T19 · 5% win · 32% ITM
Angles
Class dropper (purse −30%)
17%
-23%
Record
| Sts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Win% | Fig |
| Life |
31 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 13% | 89.0 |
| 2026 |
6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 81.7 |
| 2025 |
12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17% | 87.0 |
| EVD |
16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12% | 85.9 |
| Turf |
11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27% | 89.0 |
| Sprint |
14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14% | 89.0 |
| Wet |
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20% | 83.8 |
WORKS
03-28
EVD
4 Furlongs :50.80 B
56
SIREEl Deal
81
47%ile
| DATE | TRK |
DIST | SURF |
COND |
TYPE |
STR |
POS |
FLD | BL |
PC |
EP |
MP |
LP |
GIBBS |
PAR |
CLS |
ODDS |
JOCKEY |
| 2026-07-03 14d |
EVD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
86 |
11 |
11 |
22.8 |
S |
91 |
94 |
100 |
68 |
57 |
83 |
38.1 |
Edward Santiago |
| 2026-06-19 43d·2.0× |
EVD |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
AOC |
85 |
9 |
9 |
33.5 |
S |
78 |
nan |
91 |
73 |
69 |
85 |
27.6 |
Edward Santiago |
| 2026-05-07 21d |
EVD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
85 |
8 |
10 |
10.8 |
|
85 |
95 |
93 |
76 |
64 |
85 |
2.7 |
Edward Santiago |
| 2026-04-16 77d·3.7× |
EVD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
84 |
2 |
12 |
0.1 |
|
86 |
94 |
107 |
82 |
90 |
84 |
6.5 |
Edward Santiago |
| 2026-01-29 13d |
FG |
8.0f |
turf |
Good |
AOC |
86 |
8 |
10 |
7.2 |
S |
91 |
86 |
79 |
78 |
80 |
83 |
18.7 |
Devin Magnon |
| 2026-01-16 34d |
DED |
8.0f |
dirt |
Fast |
Str Alw |
85 |
5 |
5 |
17.8 |
|
94 |
nan |
84 |
76 |
79 |
84 |
15.2 |
Jansen Melancon |
| 2025-12-13 21d |
FG |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
86 |
7 |
8 |
10.2 |
F |
99 |
nan |
83 |
85 |
95 |
84 |
23.1 |
Emanuel Nieves |
| 2025-11-22 61d·2.9× |
FG |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
85 |
10 |
12 |
13.5 |
F |
85 |
92 |
92 |
79 |
92 |
84 |
11.7 |
Emanuel Nieves |
| 2025-09-22 21d |
LAD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
AOC |
84 |
1 |
8 |
0.0 |
|
97 |
102 |
105 |
87 |
94 |
82 |
2.2 |
Emanuel Nieves |
| 2025-09-01 |
EVD |
8.0f |
turf |
Firm |
Clm |
81 |
1 |
7 |
0.0 |
|
91 |
85 |
86 |
86 |
90 |
81 |
1.7 |
Jose Rodriguez |