TRACKS · 2026-08-01 ALL CARDS ↗
▸ How to read a horse block
MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σα. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.
R1 D R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 D
R5 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
EVD 2026-08-01 About Five Furlongs TURF
85
strength
+1.5 salty
90
win par
fig to beat
SPEED DUEL (3+)
shape
closers favored
FAST
early pace
1st¼ 21.6s / par 22.1
TOP-HEAVY
field
figs 78.0–88.6
Purse $21,000. About Five Furlongs. (Turf) (Rail at 20 Feet) (Includes $9,800 – Other Sources) (Plus $5,000 – ALBSS-Accredited LA Bred Slot Supplement). For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $7,500 Or Less In 2025 - 2026 Or Claiming Price $15,000. Three Year Olds, 121 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since July 1, 2026 Allowed 2 Lbs. .
TODAY'S CONTENDERS WIN% · FAIR / ML QIK% STY P1C CLASS PROJ COND LAST SUS J×T
1 One Whirlwind Ride 20% 4-1 / 4/1 17.4% P 2nd/1w 89 +5.6 825-8 893 892 755 L1T-1.6J-1.4 8% ⚠-1.53∠
2 Briterdayzahead 4% 25-1 / 7/2 12.2% EP 4th/1w 85 +1.5 872-3 941 876 824 J+1.1D→T 23% ✓+1.64∠
3 Sassi D 5% 20-1 / 9/2 10.8% S 7th/1w 89 +5.4 863-4 893 885 852 L1J-0.5▼cls 19% 4∠
4 Saturday's Gold 4% 20-1 / 15/1 4.8% P 3rd/1w 82 -1.3 796-11 836 837 L2T-1.5▲cls 0% ⚠-1.53∠
5 Gavel 6% 15-1 / 8/1 7.5% P 6th/2w 84 +0.7 787-12 807 892 852 J+0.7D→T 20% ✓+1.74∠
6 Loudermilk 18% 9-2 / 10/1 11.5% EP 1st/4w 81 -2.2 834-7 875 892 746 T-3.4D→T▲cls ⚠-5.23∠
7 Margot's Boy 43% 6-5 / 8/5 35.7% EP 5th/4w 90 +6.9 891-1 912 911 891 L2 36% ✓+3.4★PRIME3∠
Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 21.6s par 22.1 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 6 VULN »»» 98/102 Loudermilk 1 96/101 One Whirlwind Ride 4 93/105 Saturday's Gold 2 LP 96/113 Briterdayzahead 7 »»» 98/99 Margot's Boy 5 » 90/106 Gavel 3 88/97 Sassi D
On the lead: 6, 1, 4, 2, 7 · race sets up for closers
7 Margot's Boy ★ PRIME
9G 122 lbs L EP
43.2%
MODEL %
6-5
MODEL FAIR
+4.7
EDGE vs ML
8/5
M/L
Form
Proj Fig89 -1 vs par
Needs fits levelbase 90 vs par 90
Class90.3 +6.9 vs race -1.7 gap
MC28.1% fair 5-2
ConfNORMAL σα 0.32
Faced88.2 +3.3 vs today
Pace EP84.5 best 97.6
Pace LP82.5 best 98.7
Energy0.51
Connections
JockIsaac Castilloκ 0.13
TrnJonathan Wongκ 0.32
J×T151 · 36% win · 60% ITM
Angles
Isaac Castillo / Jonathan Wong 38% -1% Jonathan Wong: 2nd off layoff 22% -13% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 3387424%96.0
2026 1100100%90.9
2025 411025%91.0
EVD 0000
Turf 2684231%96.0
Sprint 721029%90.9
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-22 LAD 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 46 07-15 LAD 5 Furlongs 1:01.30 B 76 07-08 LAD 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 B 68 06-30 LAD 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 63 06-01 LAD 5 Furlongs 1:04.40 B 32 05-25 LAD 5 Furlongs 1:01.10 B 69
SIREClubhouse Ride 84 82%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-09 213d·6.1× LAD 5.0f turf Firm AOC 84 1 10 0.0 F 93 90 85 91 96 91 3.6 Isaac Castillo
2025-11-08 27d DMR 5.0f turf Firm Clm 89 2 10 0.5 S 83 82 99 89 85 91 2.7 Kazushi Kimura
2025-10-12 49d SA 6.0f turf Firm Clm 88 1 10 0.0 98 nan 83 90 91 91 3.8 Kazushi Kimura
2025-08-24 35d DMR 8.0f turf Firm Clm 90 6 10 2.8 F 90 94 69 90 85 92 3.3 Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-07-20 331d·9.5× DMR 8.5f turf Firm Clm 90 7 12 3.2 72 83 84 91 89 92 2.9 Abel Cedillo
2024-08-23 19d DMR 8.0f turf Firm Clm 92 1 7 0.0 F 77 79 80 94 92 92 2.2 Abel Cedillo
2024-08-04 216d·6.2× DMR 8.0f turf Firm Clm 89 1 11 0.0 76 91 84 94 92 92 1.3 Kazushi Kimura
2024-01-01 30d SA 8.0f turf Firm Clm 86 1 7 0.0 F 80 nan 65 96 99 92 1.2 Kazushi Kimura
2023-12-02 34d DMR 8.0f turf Firm AOC 88 2 7 2.0 89 84 87 87 89 92 4.1 Mario Gutierrez
2023-10-29 SA 8.0f turf Firm Str Alw 91 3 6 1.5 94 82 78 90 96 92 21.4 Mario Gutierrez
1 One Whirlwind Ride
8G 122 lbs L P
19.6%
MODEL %
4-1
MODEL FAIR
-0.4
EDGE vs ML
4/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig82 -8 vs par
Needs +2~30% run that
Class89.0 +5.6 vs race -6.5 gap
MC7.0% fair 12-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.17
Faced86.8 +1.9 vs today
Pace EP84.2 best 96.0
Pace LP85.3 best 100.6
Energy0.52
Connections
JockCarlos Perezκ 0.04was Jean Briceno · -1.4
TrnJuan Canoκ 0.12was Bruno Tessore · -1.6
J×T36 · 8% win · 36% ITM
Angles
Juan Cano: off layoff (60d+) 20% +17% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Carlos Perez / Juan Cano 7% -76%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 70817711%95.1
2026 0000
2025 1432221%91.8
EVD 0000
Turf 1432121%90.5
Sprint 69817712%95.1
Wet 60100%88.2
WORKS 07-16 EVD Five Furlongs 1:03.00 b 66 07-04 EVD 4 Furlongs :48.20 B G 74 06-04 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.40 B G 57 05-26 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B G 62
SIRETwirling Candy 84 86%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2025-11-22 22d LRL 5.5f turf Good Str Alw 86 1 10 0.0 68 nan 83 89 83 88 6.5 Jean Briceno
2025-10-31 28d LRL 5.5f dirt Fast Str Alw 87 4 11 3.0 F 96 87 101 88 84 88 6.1 Jean Briceno
2025-10-03 26d LRL 5.5f turf Firm Str Alw 87 1 10 0.0 S 89 91 85 89 86 88 11.7 Jean Briceno
2025-09-07 9d LRL 5.5f turf Good Str Alw 87 4 8 1.8 86 88 93 85 77 87 5.3 Jean Briceno
2025-08-29 22d CNL 5.5f turf Firm Clm 87 6 9 4.5 96 77 80 86 90 88 50.0 Ubardo Casique
2025-08-07 26d CNL 5.5f dirt Fast Clm 87 3 3 9.8 S 78 89 76 82 72 89 1.8 Jean Briceno
2025-07-12 28d MTH 5.5f turf Firm Clm 86 6 8 8.0 S 92 81 53 84 73 91 8.2 Jorge Gonzalez
2025-06-14 28d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast AOC 92 5 5 4.8 F 91 nan 81 87 88 91 7.9 Rajiv Maragh
2025-05-17 13d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Str Alw 90 3 5 4.0 F 105 86 91 90 91 91 4.9 Rajiv Maragh
2025-05-04 GP 5.5f synthetic Fast AOC 91 2 7 0.2 F 89 76 81 87 94 91 13.4 Rajiv Maragh
6 Loudermilk
5G 117 lbs L EP
17.9%
MODEL %
9-2
MODEL FAIR
+8.8
EDGE vs ML
10/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig83 -7 vs par
Needs +6~6% run that
Class81.2 -2.2 vs race +1.8 gap
MC9.8% fair 9-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.32
Faced82.8 -2.1 vs today
Pace EP83.1 best 97.9
Pace LP79.3 best 102.3
Energy0.56
Connections
JockJavier Hernandezκ 0.04
TrnJohn Bernardκ -0.25was David Barnes · -3.4
Angles
First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 2850618%92.0
2026 510020%89.0
2025 1030230%92.0
EVD 1240233%92.0
Turf 420150%87.4
Sprint 2850618%92.0
Wet 810212%92.0
SIREBernardini 84 87%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-26 27d EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Clm 82 1 7 0.0 F 98 82 51 89 94 81 3.6 Javier Hernandez
2026-05-30 29d EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Clm 80 4 9 1.8 89 nan 86 86 86 80 17.9 Javier Hernandez
2026-05-01 28d EVD 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Clm 81 9 9 17.0 62 123 102 76 61 82 18.7 Jose Rodriguez
2026-04-03 12d EVD 5.0f dirt Fast AOC 85 9 9 21.5 F 93 75 80 77 64 84 18.8 Juan Vargas
2026-03-22 95d·3.4× FG 5.5f dirt Fast Str Alw 85 6 6 9.5 F nan nan 75 85 92 84 22.5 Jose Rodriguez
2025-12-17 11d DED 5.0f dirt Muddy (Sealed) Alw 84 5 7 3.8 F 79 83 80 87 88 84 7.4 Vicente Del-Cid
2025-12-06 36d FG 5.5f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Alw 87 4 4 14.0 F 96 91 80 83 76 84 6.6 Jose Rodriguez
2025-10-31 21d DED 5.0f dirt Fast Alw 83 5 7 11.5 F 96 92 79 85 82 85 1.1 Jose Rodriguez
2025-10-10 42d DED 4.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 83 3 8 2.2 F nan nan 85 87 94 84 9.1 Jose Rodriguez
2025-08-29 EVD 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Clm 85 1 8 0.0 F 91 90 82 92 102 84 11.7 Jose Rodriguez
5 Gavel
5G 122 lbs L P
5.5%
MODEL %
15-1
MODEL FAIR
-5.6
EDGE vs ML
8/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig78 -12 vs par
Needs fits levelbase 91 vs par 90
Class84.1 +0.7 vs race -6.1 gap
MC2.7% fair 30-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.31
Faced85.4 +0.5 vs today
Pace EP79.6 best 90.5
Pace LP84.1 best 106.4
Energy0.53
Connections
JockHarry Hernandezκ 0.1was Jose Rodriguez · +0.7
TrnCesar Goveaκ 0.03
J×T5 · 20% win · 20% ITM
Angles
Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% First-time turf 10% -26% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Cesar Govea: first-time turf 4% -23%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 2157124%93.5
2026 512020%93.5
2025 721129%91.5
EVD 311033%93.5
Turf 20000%79.6
Sprint 2157124%93.5
Wet 210050%93.5
WORKS 06-10 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 63 04-11 EVD 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 74 04-03 EVD 4 Furlongs :53.00 B 32
SIREInto Mischief 87 96%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-10 13d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 86 6 8 6.5 64 88 106 89 91 84 13.6 Jose Rodriguez
2026-06-27 49d·2.2× LS 6.0f dirt Fast Clm 86 2 5 1.0 F 83 116 86 91 99 83 5.3 Santos Rivera
2026-05-09 15d EVD 5.5f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Clm 85 1 6 0.0 F 71 89 91 94 105 82 7.0 Carlos Perez
2026-04-24 112d·5.1× EVD 7.0f dirt Fast AOC 86 2 10 11.5 90 79 84 90 97 82 44.3 Carlos Perez
2026-01-02 66d·3.0× FG 6.0f dirt Fast Clm 84 7 7 13.8 89 88 66 86 83 83 6.0 Jareth Loveberry
2025-10-28 7d FP 6.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Clm 85 5 9 3.2 91 105 107 86 87 85 4.2 Julio Felix
2025-10-21 22d FP 6.0f dirt Fast Clm 81 1 9 0.0 S 84 94 116 90 86 85 1.2 Julio Felix
2025-09-29 155d·7.0× PID 6.0f synthetic Fast Clm 86 7 7 10.2 93 82 84 79 73 87 3.0 Antonio Gallardo
2025-04-27 21d HAW 6.0f dirt Fast Clm 87 2 4 0.2 F 92 91 65 92 92 87 1.4 Alexis Centeno
2025-04-06 HAW 5.0f dirt Fast Clm 85 1 5 0.0 94 92 85 91 86 86 1.7 David Cohen
3 Sassi D
6G 119 lbs L S
5.3%
MODEL %
20-1
MODEL FAIR
-12.9
EDGE vs ML
9/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig86 -4 vs par
Needs +2~30% run that
Class88.8 +5.4 vs race -2.8 gap
MC19.6% fair 4-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.22
Faced88.5 +3.6 vs today
Pace EP81.0 best 87.5
Pace LP84.8 best 96.8
Energy0.52
Connections
JockJose Rodriguezκ 0.04was James Graham · -0.5
TrnLee Thomasκ 0.02
J×T69 · 19% win · 39% ITM
Angles
Jose Rodriguez / Lee Thomas 18% +7% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Lee Thomas: off layoff (60d+) 14% -25% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 232459%89.3
2026 40010%88.6
2025 70210%86.9
EVD 521140%89.3
Turf 1222217%89.3
Sprint 222459%89.3
Wet 30020%86.9
WORKS 07-18 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.40 B 44 05-29 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.00 B 44 03-14 FG 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 50
SIRESassicaia 80 31%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-03-21 28d FG 5.5f turf Firm Stk 90 7 12 4.0 F 79 97 90 88 99 88 74.5 James Graham
2026-02-21 23d FG 5.5f turf Firm AOC 90 3 7 3.5 F 88 96 97 88 104 87 24.7 Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2026-01-29 28d FG 5.5f turf Good Alw 88 6 8 6.5 84 83 89 89 93 87 35.9 Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2026-01-01 49d FG 5.5f turf Firm Alw 88 4 9 2.0 F 70 nan 81 88 97 86 40.7 Jose Rodriguez
2025-11-13 20d DED 5.0f dirt Fast AOC 86 7 10 5.8 F 87 88 81 85 87 86 100.3 Jose Rodriguez
2025-10-24 63d·2.2× DED 5.0f dirt Fast Alw 86 8 9 5.5 F 88 85 96 84 84 86 24.4 Jose Rodriguez
2025-08-22 126d·4.5× EVD 5.0f turf Firm AOC 87 2 6 1.5 75 86 96 86 87 85 2.4 Jose Rodriguez
2025-04-18 35d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Alw 87 7 7 15.5 96 nan 65 80 74 87 15.7 Carlos Lozada
2025-03-14 15d FG 5.5f turf Firm Alw 86 2 8 0.1 77 101 104 87 83 86 23.8 Jose Rodriguez
2025-02-27 FG 5.5f turf Good AOC 88 7 9 6.5 90 91 88 84 81 85 16.8 Jose Riquelme
4 Saturday's Gold
9G 119 lbs L P
4.5%
MODEL %
20-1
MODEL FAIR
-1.8
EDGE vs ML
15/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig79 -11 vs par
Needs +8~2% run that
Class82.1 -1.3 vs race -2.7 gap
MC4.2% fair 25-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.2
Faced83.7 -1.2 vs today
Pace EP82.6 best 93.3
Pace LP81.5 best 105.2
Energy0.56
Connections
JockKevin Romanκ 0.01was Javier Hernandez · +0.0
TrnCesar Goveaκ 0.03was Rosa Ramirez · -1.5
J×T3 · 0% win · 33% ITM
Angles
2nd off layoff 13% -27% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Cesar Govea: 2nd off layoff 7% -36%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 3474221%93.6
2026 40000%82.8
2025 810012%86.5
EVD 210050%82.8
Turf 2974224%93.6
Sprint 3474221%93.6
Wet 30000%79.3
WORKS 07-03 EVD 3 Furlongs :38.20 B 30 05-08 EVD 3 Furlongs :38.40 B 30
SIREGoldencents 82 63%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-20 66d LAD 5.0f turf Firm Clm 83 6 8 4.8 S 83 76 83 26.0 Javier Hernandez
2026-05-15 78d EVD 5.0f turf Firm AOC 83 9 10 6.2 F 93 99 94 83 78 82 79.5 Jose Rodriguez
2026-02-26 25d FG 5.5f turf Firm Clm 84 8 8 10.5 F 92 88 77 79 86 82 72.3 Jamison Mudd
2026-02-01 43d FG 5.0f turf Firm Clm 84 7 7 11.2 F 74 89 105 80 88 83 58.8 Jamison Mudd
2025-12-20 10d DED 5.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 84 6 6 8.2 F 84 70 70 81 80 82 49.5 Javier Hernandez
2025-12-10 113d·2.0× DED 5.0f dirt Fast Clm 80 5 9 7.0 F 78 79 66 82 78 83 30.4 Javier Hernandez
2025-08-19 56d LAD 5.0f turf Firm AOC 84 4 5 4.8 S 98 90 84 81 74 83 6.2 Emanuel Nieves
2025-06-24 88d LAD 5.0f turf Firm AOC 83 7 7 6.5 92 88 nan 82 74 83 5.5 Julio Ramirez, Jr.
2025-03-28 40d HOU 5.0f dirt Muddy (Sealed) Str Alw 85 7 7 16.0 F 87 nan 80 78 80 84 16.2 Mario Fuentes
2025-02-16 HOU 5.0f turf Firm Str Alw 83 1 11 0.0 96 88 83 86 83 83 25.6 Mario Fuentes
2 Briterdayzahead
6G 122 lbs L EP
4.0%
MODEL %
25-1
MODEL FAIR
-18.2
EDGE vs ML
7/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig87 -3 vs par
Needs +2~31% run that
Class84.9 +1.5 vs race +1.9 gap
MC28.7% fair 5-2
ConfNORMAL σα 0.46
Faced84.6 -0.3 vs today
Pace EP74.8 best 95.8
Pace LP91.0 best 112.6
Energy0.53
Connections
JockDevin Magnonκ 0.05was Jamison Mudd · +1.1
TrnJonah Fuselierκ -0.03
J×T13 · 23% win · 38% ITM
Angles
First-time turf 10% -26% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Devin Magnon / Jonah Fuselier 9% -62% Jonah Fuselier: first-time turf 3% -65%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 3082727%96.1
2026 710214%92.7
2025 1021420%95.2
EVD 30020%89.4
Turf 210050%93.7
Sprint 2982728%96.1
Wet 20010%90.9
SIREGirvin 85 91%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-04 22d EVD 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Str Alw 84 3 6 4.0 F 66 80 98 87 89 85 1.4 Jamison Mudd
2026-06-12 28d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 86 3 6 0.1 48 98 113 89 91 84 8.7 Jamison Mudd
2026-05-15 54d·2.5× EVD 5.0f turf Firm AOC 83 5 10 3.5 F nan nan 111 87 82 82 3.5 Carlos Perez
2026-03-22 21d FG 5.5f dirt Fast Str Alw 85 5 6 3.5 F nan nan 81 92 100 85 8.0 Sofia Vives
2026-03-01 31d FG 5.5f dirt Fast Str Alw 85 4 8 5.8 F 96 92 85 90 96 85 6.8 Sofia Vives
2026-01-29 13d FG 6.0f dirt Fast Clm 88 6 6 26.2 F 72 nan 79 78 64 87 17.8 Sofia Vives
2026-01-16 19d FG 6.0f dirt Fast Clm 82 1 9 0.0 F 80 94 104 93 90 87 1.3 Sofia Vives
2025-12-28 22d FG 5.5f dirt Fast Str Alw 85 1 8 0.0 84 77 70 94 97 86 16.1 Sofia Vives
2025-12-06 103d·4.7× DED 5.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 83 3 8 6.5 F 69 86 101 91 91 86 4.8 Alexander Castillo
2025-08-25 LAD 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 87 3 4 10.2 90 94 123 87 87 88 1.1 Jonuelle Pena