EVD 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 D R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 D

Purse $15,000. Six Furlongs. (Includes $6,400 – Other Sources) (Includes $2,500 – LAVPF - Louisiana Video Poker Fund). (includes Up To $1,100 Ltbasbf) For Accredited La Bred Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 121 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Righteous Freedom	12% 8-1 / 3/1	16.2%	P	5th/1w	81 +0.9	78²-3	82¹	76²	72⁵	L1	12%	3∠
2	Parole Drama	10% 9-1 / 9/2	12.3%	P	6th/1w	79 -1.2	77³-4	78⁴	76²	93²	rte→spr	20%	1∠
3	Roll On Luke ✓	8% 10-1 / 12/1	6.9%	EP	2nd/1w	76 -3.9	71⁸-10	78⁴	71⁶	98¹	J-1.1	14%	⚠-2.01∠
4	Wicked Punches ✓	4% 25-1 / 6/1	8.1%	S	8th/1w	78 -1.5	72⁷-9	77⁶	71⁶	—		11%	1∠
5	Analitico ✓	11% 8-1 / 8/1	9.6%	P	3rd/1w	77 -3.0	76⁴-5	80²	75⁴	—	rte→spr	5%	⚠-1.61∠
6	Closing Agent ✓	1% 99-1 / 12/1	3.9%	EP	1st/3w	76 -3.9	75⁵-6	74⁸	63⁹	—		27%
7	Gold Thief	51% EVEN / 9/5	36.9%	EP	4th/3w	80 +0.5	79¹-2	80²	80¹	88⁴	L3★gold	22%	✓+1.6⚓ANCHOR★PRIME2∠
8	Puppeteer ✓	1% 99-1 / 20/1	2.5%	C	9th/3w	77 -3.3	69⁹-12	75⁷	64⁸	—	L3	—	1∠
9	About the Business	3% 30-1 / 20/1	3.6%	P	7th/3w	77 -2.6	73⁶-8	73⁹	73⁵	89³		—

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 6 »» 93/98 Closing Agent 3 LP ⚡ 94/124 Roll On Luke 5 99/93 Analitico 7 »» 96/97 Gold Thief 1 90/117 Righteous Freedom 2 110/95 Parole Drama 9 »» 105/101 About the Business 4 102/97 Wicked Punches 8 »» 99/106 Puppeteer

On the lead: 6, 3, 5, 7 · race sets up for closers

7 Gold Thief ★ PRIME

4C 124 lbs L EP

50.8%

MODEL %

EVEN

MODEL FAIR

+15.1

EDGE vs ML

9/5

M/L

Form

Proj Fig79 -2 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class80.5 +0.5 vs race -1.6 gap

MC18.8% fair 9-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced79.4 +2.0 vs today

Pace EP85.6 best 96.0

Pace LP85.1 best 97.0

Energy0.55

Connections

JockThomas Pompellκ 0.12

TrnLee Thomasκ 0.02

J×T59 · 22% win · 54% ITM

Angles

Thomas Pompell / Lee Thomas 19% +9% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	16	1	2	1	6%	83.6
2026	4	0	1	1	0%	80.3
2025	8	1	1	0	12%	83.6
EVD	6	0	1	1	0%	82.1
Dirt	15	1	2	1	7%	83.6
Sprint	14	1	2	1	7%	83.6
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	80.8

WORKS 05-21 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.80 B 38 04-17 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.20 B 47

SIREGoldencents 82 63%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 35d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	2	9	1.0		78	90	97	80	81	79	3.6	Thomas Pompell
2026-05-29 121d·3.2×	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	3	10	6.0		83	84	78	79	72	79	4.4	Thomas Pompell
2026-01-28 13d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	5	8	13.5		96	84	85	76	72	80	3.2	Thomas Pompell
2026-01-15 33d	DED	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	5	8	6.8		92	87	87	80	84	80	8.8	Thomas Pompell
2025-12-13 38d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	8	9	25.5	F	96	nan	93	70	58	82	12.6	Colby Hernandez
2025-11-05 76d·2.0×	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	2	8	6.0		68	99	121	78	81	82	5.9	Thomas Pompell
2025-08-21 12d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	7	8	9.8	S	77	nan	87	77	77	82	18.8	Jose Rodriguez
2025-08-09 85d·2.2×	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	7	8	14.2	F	74	82	101	77	79	84	20.0	Timothy Thornton
2025-05-16 57d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	5	7	5.2	F	72	91	97	82	81	83	15.1	Carlos Lozada
2025-03-20	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	87	6	8	10.2		66	70	70	79	75	82	58.7	Aubrie Green

1 Righteous Freedom

6G 119 lbs L P

11.5%

MODEL %

8-1

MODEL FAIR

-13.5

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig78 -3 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class80.9 +0.9 vs race -2.4 gap

MC29.3% fair 5-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced79.1 +1.7 vs today

Pace EP76.9 best 89.5

Pace LP88.0 best 116.6

Energy0.54

Connections

JockJamison Muddκ -0.04

TrnDane Noelκ 0.11

J×T43 · 12% win · 37% ITM

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Jamison Mudd / Dane Noel 11% -33% Dane Noel: off layoff (60d+) 10% -47%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	25	1	4	4	4%	82.4
2026	7	0	1	3	0%	82.4
2025	5	0	1	1	0%	80.7
EVD	3	0	1	0	0%	82.4
Dirt	15	0	3	4	0%	82.4
Sprint	19	1	3	4	5%	82.4
Wet	1	0	1	0	0%	82.4

WORKS 07-25 EVD 4 Furlongs :51.80 B 39

SIREAmerican Freedom 81 55%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-29 36d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	5	10	11.0		77	82	68	76	66	82	9.1	Jamison Mudd
2026-04-23 19d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	4	9	8.8		69	85	95	79	71	83	3.2	Jamison Mudd
2026-04-04 21d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	80	2	11	0.8		85	97	86	82	81	82	8.4	Jamison Mudd
2026-03-14 16d	FG	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	3	10	5.0	F	55	60	117	78	82	82	7.2	Jamison Mudd
2026-02-26 25d	FG	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	3	10	3.5		90	96	99	82	84	81	3.0	Jamison Mudd
2026-02-01 21d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	5	6	8.5		89	91	107	80	79	82	13.6	Jamison Mudd
2026-01-11 21d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	3	7	6.2		98	nan	76	79	78	82	5.8	Jamison Mudd
2025-12-21 29d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	4	10	2.8	F	86	70	54	78	72	81	7.0	Jamison Mudd
2025-11-22 31d	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	7	10	8.0		89	77	63	77	73	82	8.1	Jamison Mudd
2025-10-22	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	2	10	5.2	S	80	93	75	80	73	82	14.6	Jamison Mudd

5 Analitico

6G 119 lbs L P

11.1%

MODEL %

8-1

MODEL FAIR

-0.0

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig76 -5 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class77.0 -3.0 vs race -0.6 gap

MC18.2% fair 9-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced77.7 +0.3 vs today

Pace EP87.3 best 99.1

Pace LP77.5 best 93.4

Energy0.54

Connections

JockKelvin Aranaκ -0.0

TrnPhillip Disonκ -0.3

J×T41 · 5% win · 17% ITM

Angles

Kelvin Arana / Phillip Dison 5% -70%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	20	1	2	2	5%	80.1
2026	8	1	0	0	12%	80.1
2025	12	0	2	2	0%	78.3
EVD	13	1	2	2	8%	80.1
Dirt	20	1	2	2	5%	80.1
Sprint	18	1	2	2	6%	80.1
Wet	3	0	1	1	0%	74.9

WORKS 04-09 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 61 03-24 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 56

SIREZong 78 16%ile turf 5%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17 27d	EVD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	5	10	8.0	S	—	—	—	75	69	76	64.0	Kelvin Arana
2026-06-20 22d	EVD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	7	9	21.5	S	90	86	76	72	62	77	8.6	Casey Fusilier
2026-05-29 27d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	6	10	11.0		87	62	76	76	66	77	8.8	Casey Fusilier
2026-05-02 15d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	1	9	0.0		99	89	93	80	79	76	2.8	Casey Fusilier
2026-04-17 56d·2.4×	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	6	12	12.2	F	93	nan	54	76	72	77	67.1	Jarred Journet
2026-02-20 23d	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	81	5	10	8.5		89	79	80	78	77	76	50.8	Johan Rengifo
2026-01-28 11d	DED	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	74	4	10	7.2		98	81	88	75	70	75	11.3	Kelvin Arana
2026-01-17 18d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	75	7	10	7.0	S	98	87	123	74	61	75	18.7	Kelvin Arana
2025-12-30 32d	DED	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	74	4	10	2.8		78	92	116	73	70	74	18.2	Kelvin Arana
2025-11-28	DED	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	9	10	14.8	S	76	73	46	74	67	74	124.1	Thomas Pompell

2 Parole Drama

3G 116 lbs L P

9.6%

MODEL %

9-1

MODEL FAIR

-8.6

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig77 -4 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class78.8 -1.2 vs race -2.1 gap

MC8.5% fair 10-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.17

Faced78.6 +1.2 vs today

Pace EP84.0 best 110.4

Pace LP81.6 best 95.2

Energy0.53

Connections

JockJavier Hernandezκ 0.04

TrnChasey Pomierκ 0.06

J×T25 · 20% win · 24% ITM

Angles

Javier Hernandez / Chasey Pomier 18% +30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	16	1	1	1	6%	84.4
2026	9	1	1	0	11%	78.4
2025	7	0	0	1	0%	84.4
EVD	6	0	0	1	0%	78.1
Dirt	14	1	1	1	7%	78.4
Sprint	15	1	1	1	7%	84.4
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.40 B 37 05-23 EVD 3 Furlongs :36.80 B 48 ★04-09 EVD 4 Furlongs :47.20 B 85 ★04-03 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.00 B 48 03-28 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.40 B 45 03-22 FG 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 45

SIRENo Parole 87 95%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 28d	EVD	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	77	5	10	9.5	S	91	nan	95	76	74	79	22.9	Javier Hernandez
2026-06-05 32d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	5	10	8.8	F	84	89	69	78	74	79	3.7	Isaac Castillo
2026-05-04 18d	LAD	7.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	78	8	8	11.8		76	80	81	78	71	80	5.9	Javier Hernandez
2026-04-16 41d·2.3×	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	6	10	6.0		110	96	88	77	72	80	16.4	Javier Hernandez
2026-03-06 13d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	81	5	8	8.2	F	71	92	81	76	78	79	33.0	Micah Meeks
2026-02-21 16d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	74	1	10	0.0	S	108	85	96	74	60	78	1.2	Micah Meeks
2026-02-05 18d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	2	7	1.0	S	86	91	85	76	76	78	6.8	Micah Meeks
2026-01-18 15d	FG	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	5	9	7.2		89	94	97	78	75	78	30.5	Micah Meeks
2026-01-03 15d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	81	6	8	17.5		75	83	89	72	55	78	67.8	Declan Cannon
2025-12-19	FG	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	82	5	9	10.2		83	nan	88	84	87	77	107.3	C.J. McMahon

3 Roll On Luke

4G 124 lbs L EP

8.4%

MODEL %

10-1

MODEL FAIR

+0.7

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig71 -10 vs par

Needs +11~<1% run that

Class76.1 -3.9 vs race -5.5 gap

MC3.4% fair 30-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced78.2 +0.8 vs today

Pace EP82.7 best 93.6

Pace LP86.2 best 123.6

Energy0.56

Connections

JockC.J. McMahonκ 0.02was Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. · -1.1

TrnRicky Courvilleκ -0.02

J×T14 · 14% win · 43% ITM

Angles

C.J. McMahon / Ricky Courville 17% -39%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	1	12%	81.6
2026	5	1	0	20%	78.5
2025	2	0	0	0%	72.9
EVD	6	1	0	17%	78.5
Dirt	8	1	1	12%	81.6
Sprint	8	1	1	12%	81.6
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 EVD 4 Furlongs :51.20 B 43 05-07 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.20 B 44 04-08 EVD 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 47 03-28 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 44

SIREInstagrand 83 80%ile turf 9%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 22d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	7	9	11.0		73	98	124	71	68	76	12.9	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2026-06-11 28d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	5	7	11.5	F	94	86	79	70	68	76	8.3	C.J. McMahon
2026-05-14 29d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	9	9	12.8	F	81	86	84	69	61	75	13.5	Jose Riquelme
2026-04-15 39d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	1	8	0.0		87	nan	84	78	81	73	3.3	Jose Riquelme
2026-03-07 252d·8.4×	FG	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	9	11	18.2	F	88	88	79	70	69	74	63.2	Carlos Perez
2025-06-28 30d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	8	8	21.5		94	89	102	62	46	78	4.7	Carlos Perez
2025-05-29 159d·5.3×	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	81	7	10	12.0	F	nan	nan	107	73	63	78	46.0	Carlos Perez
2024-12-21	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	2	5	0.2		79	87	90	82	69	78	7.2	Carlos Perez

4 Wicked Punches

5G 124 lbs L S

3.7%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-10.6

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig72 -9 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class78.5 -1.5 vs race -6.7 gap

MC6.1% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced77.9 +0.5 vs today

Pace EP87.8 best 101.7

Pace LP81.5 best 96.8

Energy0.53

Connections

JockCarlos Perezκ 0.04

TrnSamuel Breauxκ 0.07

J×T76 · 11% win · 37% ITM

Angles

Carlos Perez / Samuel Breaux 10% -61%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	21	1	1	5	5%	79.0
2026	5	0	0	2	0%	76.0
2025	12	1	1	1	8%	77.4
EVD	9	1	0	1	11%	76.0
Dirt	21	1	1	5	5%	79.0
Sprint	15	0	1	4	0%	79.0
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	70.1

WORKS ★07-10 EVD 3 Furlongs :36.00 B 57 05-23 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.80 B 31 05-20 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 64 04-21 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 68 04-08 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 66 03-25 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.80 B 28

SIREWicked Strong 81 45%ile turf 14%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-16 41d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	6	11	8.0	F	—	—	—	71	68	78	17.1	Carlos Perez
2026-06-05 36d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	3	10	6.0	F	82	83	78	76	77	77	22.0	Carlos Perez
2026-04-30 85d·3.0×	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	78	4	6	13.2		102	nan	97	70	66	78	2.6	Carlos Perez
2026-02-04 28d	DED	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	3	9	6.8		102	87	71	74	72	77	12.8	Carlos Perez
2026-01-07 18d	DED	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	8	9	11.2		82	94	80	72	73	78	8.9	Carlos Perez
2025-12-20 25d	DED	7.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	76	2	7	2.2	S	95	88	86	77	82	76	2.7	Carlos Perez
2025-11-25 17d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	7	9	10.0	S	86	nan	91	71	64	76	35.8	Carlos Perez
2025-11-08 21d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	76	4	9	8.2		87	75	76	74	77	75	31.6	Carlos Perez
2025-10-18 56d·2.0×	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	77	3	10	12.0		97	nan	78	74	72	75	17.2	Carlos Perez
2025-08-23	EVD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	77	5	8	7.0	F	83	81	106	75	76	74	12.0	Jose Rodriguez

9 About the Business

4G 124 lbs L P

3.4%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.4

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig73 -8 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class77.4 -2.6 vs race -4.8 gap

MC4.3% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.17

Faced79.0 +1.6 vs today

Pace EP88.4 best 104.8

Pace LP80.2 best 101.1

Energy0.55

Connections

JockKevin Romanκ 0.01was Devin Magnon · -0.3

TrnCharles Zenonκ -0.22

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	23	1	2	6	4%	78.7
2026	8	0	0	1	0%	75.1
2025	14	1	2	5	7%	78.7
EVD	15	0	1	4	0%	78.3
Dirt	22	1	2	6	5%	78.7
Sprint	23	1	2	6	4%	78.7
Wet	5	0	0	2	0%	77.6

WORKS 03-21 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:02.80 B 76

SIREBobby'S Wicked One 82 72%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26 21d	EVD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	9	11	19.8	F	90	nan	88	73	68	79	216.7	Devin Magnon
2026-06-05 22d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	7	10	12.8	F	94	69	33	73	70	80	24.8	Edward Santiago
2026-05-14 14d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	7	9	10.8	F	89	93	98	71	64	80	81.5	Edward Santiago
2026-04-30 14d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	78	3	6	5.2		89	96	101	73	74	80	3.5	Jose Riquelme
2026-04-16 12d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	8	10	10.0		105	94	81	72	68	80	67.6	Theodrick Ledet
2026-04-04 44d·2.1×	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	80	6	11	6.2		91	102	95	75	74	80	47.3	Theodrick Ledet
2026-02-19 27d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	4	10	3.0	S	48	nan	61	74	70	79	5.0	Jansen Melancon
2026-01-23 35d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	76	6	10	4.8		87	61	71	75	72	78	3.6	Jansen Melancon
2025-12-19 20d	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	1	7	0.0		86	nan	88	78	78	77	4.0	Jansen Melancon
2025-11-29	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	75	2	7	1.8	S	94	nan	91	79	77	77	2.6	Jansen Melancon

6 Closing Agent

4G 124 lbs L EP

0.8%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.9

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig75 -6 vs par

Needs +11~<1% run that

Class76.1 -3.9 vs race -1.2 gap

MC9.0% fair 10-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.18

Faced76.0 -1.4 vs today

Pace EP84.3 best 93.4

Pace LP82.6 best 97.7

Energy0.56

Connections

JockJulio Ramirez, Jr.κ -0.12

TrnChadwick Moutonκ 0.16

J×T15 · 27% win · 47% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	18	1	3	6%	79.6
2026	10	1	2	10%	76.7
2025	8	0	1	0%	79.6
EVD	10	1	1	10%	79.4
Dirt	18	1	3	6%	79.6
Sprint	17	1	3	6%	79.6
Wet	2	0	1	0%	78.3

WORKS 06-17 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.00 B 45

SIRECustom For Carlos 79 24%ile turf 12%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-16 19d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	10	11	31.0	F	—	—	—	63	46	77	66.2	Julio Ramirez, Jr.
2026-06-27 30d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	73	1	8	0.0	S	88	nan	78	74	66	76	5.8	Julio Ramirez, Jr.
2026-05-28 14d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	78	3	8	9.0	F	93	nan	84	73	70	76	26.0	Julio Ramirez, Jr.
2026-05-14 29d	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	74	10	12	11.2		91	81	98	69	59	77	15.2	Julio Ramirez, Jr.
2026-04-15 24d	EVD	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	6	8	8.8		79	nan	85	74	68	77	3.4	Julio Ramirez, Jr.
2026-03-22 15d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	74	5	8	5.5		82	81	77	72	68	76	2.4	C.J. McMahon
2026-03-07 15d	FG	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	3	11	10.2	F	78	88	92	76	79	77	19.7	C.J. McMahon
2026-02-20 21d	FG	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	5	10	3.5	F	74	100	116	77	72	76	8.9	C.J. McMahon
2026-01-30 28d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	4	8	6.2	F	90	97	98	74	72	76	2.1	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2026-01-02	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	81	4	5	19.8	S	81	nan	100	77	73	78	9.7	Paco Lopez

8 Puppeteer

5G 124 lbs L C

0.7%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.1

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig69 -12 vs par

Needs +14~<1% run that

Class76.7 -3.3 vs race -7.8 gap

MC2.4% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced78.6 +1.2 vs today

Pace EP80.7 best 99.4

Pace LP87.6 best 105.8

Energy0.53

Connections

JockEdward Santiagoκ -0.05

TrnRickey Castilleκ -0.29

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	22	1	1	1	5%	79.1
2026	5	0	0	0	0%	74.6
2025	3	0	0	0	0%	79.1
EVD	10	1	0	1	10%	78.5
Dirt	22	1	1	1	5%	79.1
Sprint	22	1	1	1	5%	79.1
Wet	6	0	1	1	0%	78.2

WORKS 07-10 EVD 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 46 05-30 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.40 B 42

SIREOne Liner 79 26%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-16 24d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	9	11	21.0	F	—	—	—	64	56	78	66.0	Edward Santiago
2026-06-22 61d	LAD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	5	8	9.5	F	99	103	101	71	71	78	33.9	Edward Santiago
2026-04-22 18d	EVD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	7	9	25.2	F	66	82	79	67	62	79	48.6	Kelvin Arana
2026-04-04 71d	EVD	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	80	5	11	5.0		80	105	106	75	75	78	69.8	Kelvin Arana
2026-01-23 41d	DED	6.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Clm	78	7	9	17.2		77	71	94	66	62	79	26.1	Kelvin Arana
2025-12-13 322d·7.9×	DED	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	79	9	10	7.0		83	94	82	74	70	79	41.8	Juan Vargas
2025-01-25 21d	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	6	7	6.8	S	82	88	92	77	68	79	26.6	Mitchell Murrill
2025-01-04 28d	FG	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	4	6	7.0	S	82	nan	113	79	76	78	3.2	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2024-12-07 119d·2.9×	DED	6.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	78	2	8	1.2		86	100	96	78	78	77	18.6	Timothy Thornton
2024-08-10	EVD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	77	4	8	7.0	S	80	79	74	74	62	76	6.6	Timothy Thornton