TRACKS · 2026-08-01 ALL CARDS ↗
▸ How to read a horse block
MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σα. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.
R1 D R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 D
R4 MAIDEN CLAIMING
EVD 2026-08-01 Five Furlongs DIRT
73
strength
-2.6 soft
81
win par
fig to beat
SPEED DUEL (3+)
shape
closers favored
FAST
early pace
1st¼ 22.1s / par 22.6
TOP-HEAVY
field
figs 69.0–87.5
Purse $14,000. Five Furlongs. (Includes $5,400 – Other Sources) (Includes $2,500 – LAVPF - Louisiana Video Poker Fund). (includes Up To $1,100 Ltbasbf) For Accredited La Bred Maidens, Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 121 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Claiming Price $5,000.
TODAY'S CONTENDERS WIN% · FAIR / ML QIK% STY P1C CLASS PROJ COND LAST SUS J×T
1 The Petitioner 30% 5-2 / 5/2 23.6% P 3rd/1w 79 +3.5 872+6 861 831 888 L3J+0.8▼cls 0% ✓+5.6⚓ANCHOR1∠
2 Greatizlove 2% 50-1 / 20/1 2.8% S 11th/1w 73 -2.2 6914-12 729 699 943 L2T→D▼cls 3∠
3 King Jules 1% 99-1 / 8/1 4.9% C 12th/1w 71 -4.6 804-1 793 717 952 T+1.2J-1.0 0% ⚠-1.1
4 One Sure Hit 14% 6-1 / 3/1 16.0% P 5th/1w 76 +1.1 881+7 822 773 8210 T+3.5▲cls 23% ✓+3.3
5 Silent Accord 6% 15-1 / 20/1 4.2% 7th/1w 72 -3.7 796-2 757 755 8011 L12S◈freshJ-0.8▼cls ⚠-1.4LS3∠
6 Mr Payroll 7% 12-1 / 12/1 6.0% P 2nd/1w 72 -2.9 7410-7 729 726 879 L3J+1.5▲cls 14% 1∠
7 Phchampagnejourney 1% 99-1 / 10/1 4.0% P 6th/1w 71 -4.0 769-5 766 6511 896 ▼cls 8%
8 Mr Digits 1% 50-1 / 20/1 2.5% P 4th/1w 74 -1.5 7410-7 738 717 904 L3★goldJ-1.8▼cls ⚠-2.12∠
9 Man of the Hill 1% 99-1 / 15/1 2.9% C 13th/1w 72 -3.4 7312-8 6911 699 7912 L2J+0.9 22% 3∠
10 Lonesome Knight 0% 99-1 / 20/1 2.0% 10th/2w 66 -8.9 7312-8 5212 904 rte→spr 0% 2∠
11 Gallabye 8% 12-1 / 9/2 10.7% C 14th/2w 75 -0.7 804-1 784 782 981 ★gold▼cls 0% 1∠
12 Krugerrand Kip 29% 5-2 / 15/1 14.1% EP 1st/4w 73 -2.3 796-2 775 773 896 L1▼cls 16% ⚠-2.9★VALUE3∠
13 Uncle Eugene 0% 99-1 / 10/1 3.8% 9th/3w 788-3 0% 3∠
14 Heath's Soldier 0% 99-1 / 15/1 2.6% 8th/3w 833+2 2∠
Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 22.1s par 22.6 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 12 »»» 90/94 Krugerrand Kip 6 104/95 Mr Payroll 1 97/100 The Petitioner 8 91/106 Mr Digits 4 91/101 One Sure Hit 7 96/98 Phchampagnejourney 5 96/65 Silent Accord 14 »» Heath's Soldier 13 »» Uncle Eugene 10 » 88/91 Lonesome Knight 2 89/102 Greatizlove 3 96/103 King Jules 9 LP 87/109 Man of the Hill 11 LP » 99/111 Gallabye
On the lead: 12, 6, 1 · race sets up for closers
1 The Petitioner
5G 124 lbs L P
29.7%
MODEL %
5-2
MODEL FAIR
+1.1
EDGE vs ML
5/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig87 +6 vs par
Needs fits levelbase 82 vs par 81
Class78.8 +3.5 vs race +7.8 gap
MC42.3% fair 7-5
ConfTIGHT σα 0.21
Faced75.3 +2.6 vs today
Pace EP83.6 best 97.1
Pace LP81.3 best 99.8
Energy0.55
Connections
JockC.J. McMahonκ 0.02was Edward Santiago · +0.8
TrnHenry West, Jr.κ -0.27
J×T7 · 0% win · 43% ITM
Angles
3rd off layoff 14% -22%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 110520%85.8
2026 50310%85.8
2025 20000%81.3
EVD 60320%83.3
Dirt 110520%85.8
Sprint 110520%85.8
Wet 10000%81.3
WORKS 05-30 DED 5 Furlongs 1:04.60 B 49
SIREAwesome Bet 79 21%ile turf 18%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-09 26d EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 2 8 3.2 S 94 nan 82 83 76 79 20.2 Edward Santiago
2026-06-13 71d·2.1× EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 73 3 8 2.5 S 97 83 79 81 70 78 3.1 C.J. McMahon
2026-04-03 56d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 5 11 5.5 81 85 80 81 71 79 11.2 Edward Santiago
2026-02-06 23d DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 2 8 0.8 70 86 100 86 78 78 1.6 Paulina Ramirez
2026-01-14 33d DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 2 6 2.2 F 87 81 69 86 77 78 5.8 Paulina Ramirez
2025-12-12 41d DED 5.0f dirt Wet Fast Mdn Clm 74 4 10 3.0 93 91 82 81 75 78 6.7 Paulina Ramirez
2025-11-01 498d·14.6× DED 6.5f dirt Fast (Sealed) Mdn Clm 76 7 10 8.5 97 93 85 78 71 79 9.9 C.J. McMahon
2024-06-21 34d EVD 7.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 74 2 10 1.5 F 83 83 88 83 78 78 2.8 Jose Rodriguez
2024-05-18 23d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 2 6 4.8 S 96 92 83 83 78 79 3.8 Juan Vargas
2024-04-25 EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 77 3 8 3.0 95 84 75 83 73 78 22.8 Joel Dominguez
12 Krugerrand Kip ★ VALUE THIN DATA
3C 121 lbs L EP
29.0%
MODEL %
5-2
MODEL FAIR
+22.8
EDGE vs ML
15/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig79 -2 vs par
Needs +6~11% run that
Class73.0 -2.3 vs race +6.1 gap
MC2.4% fair 50-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.33
Faced77.6 +4.9 vs today
Pace EP81.7 best 90.1
Pace LP84.3 best 94.0
Energy0.55
Connections
JockJulio Ramirez, Jr.κ -0.12
TrnBenard Chattersκ 0.09
J×T51 · 16% win · 51% ITM
Angles
Julio Ramirez, Jr. / Benard Chatters 16% -30% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Benard Chatters: off layoff (60d+) 12% -44%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 20000%76.9
2026 0000
2025 20000%76.9
EVD 0000
Dirt 20000%76.9
Sprint 20000%76.9
Wet 10000%76.9
WORKS 07-18 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.80 B G 63 05-13 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 58
SIREImperial Hint 82 69%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2025-12-12 41d DED 5.0f dirt Wet Fast Mdn Clm 76 5 6 10.2 S 90 nan 87 77 63 72 1.2 Julio Ramirez, Jr.
2025-11-01 DED 6.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 80 9 10 21.5 78 87 94 74 60 80 6.8 Julio Ramirez, Jr.
4 One Sure Hit
3G 121 lbs L P
14.4%
MODEL %
6-1
MODEL FAIR
-10.6
EDGE vs ML
3/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig88 +7 vs par
Needs +1~40% run that
Class76.4 +1.1 vs race +11.1 gap
MC22.8% fair 7-2
ConfTIGHT σα 0.23
Faced76.1 +3.4 vs today
Pace EP84.1 best 91.4
Pace LP86.0 best 101.4
Energy0.55
Connections
JockIsaac Castilloκ 0.13
TrnChadwick Moutonκ 0.16was Sarah Martinez · +3.5
J×T13 · 23% win · 62% ITM
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 50030%82.3
2026 50030%82.3
2025 0000
EVD 30010%81.8
Dirt 50030%82.3
Sprint 50030%82.3
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-23 EVD 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 66 07-11 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 49 06-19 EVD 4 Furlongs :51.20 B G 43 06-12 EVD 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 80 06-06 EVD 3 Furlongs :36.60 B 53 05-22 EVD 4 Furlongs :47.00 B 84
SIREEl Deal 81 47%ile turf 14%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-27 56d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 71 6 9 6.2 80 70 84 77 66 76 1.3 Isaac Castillo
2026-05-02 9d LAD 5.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 75 3 5 7.8 S 82 93 101 80 74 77 0.7 Alexander Castillo
2026-04-23 13d EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 3 10 4.5 89 80 77 82 70 76 4.5 Elio Barrera
2026-04-10 64d EVD 5.5f dirt Fast MSW 82 7 9 17.8 S 91 88 88 80 74 80 36.4 Elio Barrera
2026-02-05 DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 77 3 7 3.5 91 nan 97 82 75 77 2.6 Paulina Ramirez
11 Gallabye
3G 121 lbs L C
8.1%
MODEL %
12-1
MODEL FAIR
-10.1
EDGE vs ML
9/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig80 -1 vs par
Needs +6~6% run that
Class74.6 -0.7 vs race +5.2 gap
MC2.9% fair 30-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.27
Faced74.9 +2.2 vs today
Pace EP83.1 best 98.5
Pace LP89.8 best 111.1
Energy0.53
Connections
JockJuan Vargasκ 0.14
TrnRoland Patt, Jr.κ -0.06
J×T7 · 0% win · 29% ITM
Angles
Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 60100%78.3
2026 60100%78.3
2025 0000
EVD 20100%78.3
Dirt 50100%78.3
Sprint 60100%78.3
Wet 0000
WORKS 04-17 EVD 4 Furlongs :53.80 B 25 04-03 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 62 03-13 FG 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 58
SIREClearly Now 79 24%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-11 14d EVD 7.0f dirt Fast MSW 78 5 7 10.8 F 98 94 97 78 79 73 25.4 Juan Vargas
2026-06-27 40d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 71 2 9 1.0 80 89 111 78 72 70 31.9 Juan Vargas
2026-05-18 87d·4.1× LAD 7.5f turf Firm Mdn Clm 74 6 8 13.5 67 80 89 69 66 70 10.0 Isaac Castillo
2026-02-20 21d FG 5.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 77 9 10 18.8 F 89 nan 96 70 52 71 71.5 Filemon Rodriguez
2026-01-30 12d FG 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 7 8 13.2 F 91 103 85 74 63 69 23.2 Isaac Castillo
2026-01-18 FG 5.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 8 9 16.8 85 nan 52 77 63 77 12.4 Isaac Castillo
6 Mr Payroll
5G 124 lbs L P
7.0%
MODEL %
12-1
MODEL FAIR
-0.7
EDGE vs ML
12/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig74 -7 vs par
Needs +11~<1% run that
Class72.4 -2.9 vs race +1.3 gap
MC2.1% fair 50-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.32
Faced76.2 +3.5 vs today
Pace EP85.9 best 104.0
Pace LP81.3 best 94.6
Energy0.58
Connections
JockHarry Hernandezκ 0.1was Alexis Batista · +1.5
TrnJoe Duhonκ 0.04
J×T7 · 14% win · 43% ITM
Angles
3rd off layoff 14% -22%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 50000%72.4
2026 20000%72.4
2025 20000%69.7
EVD 30000%72.4
Dirt 50000%72.4
Sprint 50000%72.4
Wet 10000%68.2
WORKS 05-06 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:03.00 B G 67 04-21 CCT 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 04-07 CCT 3 Furlongs :38.46 B
SIRERace Day 82 62%ile turf 8%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-27 30d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 71 4 9 5.8 80 85 95 72 66 71 13.0 Alexis Batista
2026-05-28 378d·3.8× EVD 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Mdn Clm 78 8 8 21.5 F 100 95 68 68 53 71 20.1 Elio Barrera
2025-05-15 90d EVD 5.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 73 9 11 22.2 104 nan 78 70 56 72 5.0 Jose Rodriguez
2025-02-14 99d DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 78 7 7 20.0 72 85 90 69 58 73 4.8 Carlos Perez
2024-11-07 DED 5.0f dirt Fast MSW 81 5 6 20.2 S 91 87 80 72 60 81 4.9 Juan Vargas
5 Silent Accord LONGSHOT THIN DATA
4G 124 lbs L
5.6%
MODEL %
15-1
MODEL FAIR
+0.8
EDGE vs ML
20/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig79 -2 vs par
Needs +6~11% run that
Class71.6 -3.7 vs race +7.4 gap
MC5.8% fair 15-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.39
Faced78.4 +5.7 vs today
Pace EP84.0 best 96.2
Pace LP76.1 best 64.6
Energy0.51
Connections
JockJunior Inirioκ 0.05was Juan Vargas · -0.8
TrnDonald Rubinκ -0.01
Angles
Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 2nd career start 13% -28% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 10000%75.4
2026 0000
2025 0000
EVD 0000
Dirt 10000%75.4
Sprint 10000%75.4
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-15 EVD 4 Furlongs :51.60 B 43 06-13 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 38 05-30 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.20 B G 39 05-23 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.40 B 35 05-16 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.20 B 38 04-25 EVD 3 Furlongs :38.40 B 31
SIREImperial Hint 82 69%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2024-10-26 DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 78 9 10 15.5 96 81 65 75 63 78 50.8 Juan Vargas
2 Greatizlove
4G 124 lbs L S
2.0%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-2.8
EDGE vs ML
20/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig69 -12 vs par
Needs +20~<1% run that
Class73.1 -2.2 vs race -4.1 gap
MC0.3% fair 99-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.32
Faced77.0 +4.3 vs today
Pace EP81.2 best 89.1
Pace LP85.5 best 101.7
Energy0.58
Connections
JockJose Rodriguezκ 0.04
TrnJerry Tillisκ -0.16
Angles
Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Turf-to-dirt 14% -27% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 120000%81.2
2026 50000%68.8
2025 20000%72.4
EVD 30000%76.1
Dirt 110000%81.2
Sprint 110000%81.2
Wet 40000%81.2
WORKS 06-13 DED 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 60 06-06 DED 4 Furlongs :51.80 B 47
SIREGemologist 83 74%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-25 95d·5.3× EVD 5.0f turf Firm Mdn Clm 75 7 8 10.2 86 90 102 69 58 72 54.7 Jose Rodriguez
2026-03-22 14d FG 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 74 8 8 30.5 78 82 78 56 39 73 47.1 Oriel Chavez
2026-03-08 16d FG 8.318181818181818f dirt Muddy (Sealed) Mdn Clm 78 7 7 50.2 S 89 88 93 58 46 74 74.4 Oriel Chavez
2026-02-20 14d DED 5.0f dirt Fast MSW 81 10 10 18.0 79 82 87 67 64 74 92.0 Edward Santiago
2026-02-06 372d·20.7× DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 7 8 16.5 78 nan 85 66 56 76 31.4 Javier Hernandez
2025-01-30 22d DED 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Mdn Clm 76 6 7 13.0 79 nan 79 72 60 77 7.9 Carlos Perez
2025-01-08 18d DED 7.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 75 4 7 11.0 82 77 72 68 55 79 5.6 Jose Rodriguez
2024-12-21 14d DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 78 5 5 4.8 74 77 94 79 63 78 2.8 Jose Rodriguez
2024-12-07 36d·2.0× DED 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) MSW 81 5 8 6.8 98 85 82 81 73 77 63.6 Jose Rodriguez
2024-11-01 DED 6.5f dirt Muddy (Sealed) MSW 80 5 6 8.8 S 86 76 98 78 69 78 45.2 Carlos Perez
8 Mr Digits
3G 121 lbs L P
1.4%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-3.4
EDGE vs ML
20/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig74 -7 vs par
Needs +10~1% run that
Class73.8 -1.5 vs race +0.2 gap
MC0.4% fair 99-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.23
Faced75.4 +2.7 vs today
Pace EP79.9 best 90.8
Pace LP90.1 best 106.3
Energy0.55
Connections
JockTheodrick Ledetκ -0.15was Jose Rodriguez · -1.8
TrnRickey Castilleκ -0.29
Angles
3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 80000%73.4
2026 40000%72.8
2025 40000%73.4
EVD 40000%70.8
Dirt 80000%73.4
Sprint 80000%73.4
Wet 0000
WORKS 06-06 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.20 B 39
SIREOne Liner 79 26%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-18 56d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 75 10 12 11.2 75 92 106 71 65 74 75.2 Jose Rodriguez
2026-04-23 84d·2.0× EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 74 5 9 11.0 72 97 89 69 50 74 8.1 Kelvin Arana
2026-01-29 26d DED 6.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 78 6 8 15.0 S 91 90 96 72 63 75 30.1 Kelvin Arana
2026-01-03 31d DED 6.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 75 5 7 8.5 S 82 80 95 73 65 74 15.1 Kelvin Arana
2025-12-03 32d DED 6.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 75 7 8 14.2 79 92 94 70 57 74 30.0 Juan Vargas
2025-11-01 77d DED 6.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 80 4 10 14.0 83 87 79 73 68 74 41.8 Juan Vargas
2025-08-16 42d EVD 5.0f dirt Fast MSW 79 8 9 17.0 85 84 96 70 50 76 34.7 Joel Dominguez
2025-07-05 EVD 4.5f dirt Fast MSW 80 7 7 12.2 S 100 84 101 68 52 80 15.4 Timothy Thornton
3 King Jules THIN DATA
3G 121 lbs L C
1.0%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-10.1
EDGE vs ML
8/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig80 -1 vs par
Needs +5~15% run that
Class70.7 -4.6 vs race +9.8 gap
MC5.1% fair 20-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.33
Faced75.2 +2.5 vs today
Pace EP86.3 best 95.9
Pace LP80.4 best 102.5
Energy0.54
Connections
JockKevin Romanκ 0.01was Elio Barrera · -1.0
TrnJuan Canoκ 0.12was Edith Mojica · +1.2
J×T4 · 0% win · 0% ITM
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 30000%78.6
2026 30000%78.6
2025 0000
EVD 30000%78.6
Dirt 30000%78.6
Sprint 30000%78.6
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-11 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.80 B 49 06-20 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 72 04-15 EVD 3 Furlongs :36.00 B 57 04-02 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:05.00 B G 46 03-25 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:04.20 B G 51
SIREOcean Knight 77 11%ile turf 4%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-05 20d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 74 9 10 24.0 S 88 93 102 71 51 74 38.1 Elio Barrera
2026-05-16 23d EVD 6.5f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 10 12 11.5 F 94 90 86 79 69 74 10.6 Elio Barrera
2026-04-23 EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 5 10 9.5 96 84 54 78 63 76 7.8 Edward Santiago
9 Man of the Hill THIN DATA
3G 121 lbs L C
0.8%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-5.5
EDGE vs ML
15/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig73 -8 vs par
Needs +14~1% run that
Class71.9 -3.4 vs race +1.4 gap
MC0.5% fair 99-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.38
Faced75.7 +3.0 vs today
Pace EP78.8 best 86.5
Pace LP84.1 best 108.7
Energy0.55
Connections
JockThomas Pompellκ 0.12was Jose Rodriguez · +0.9
TrnLee Thomasκ 0.02
J×T59 · 22% win · 54% ITM
Angles
Thomas Pompell / Lee Thomas 19% +9% Lee Thomas: 2nd off layoff 15% -18% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 20000%68.8
2026 20000%68.8
2025 0000
EVD 10000%68.8
Dirt 20000%68.8
Sprint 20000%68.8
Wet 0000
WORKS 06-20 EVD 3 Furlongs :38.80 B 28
SIRECatalina Red 81 57%ile turf 17%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-27 148d EVD 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 73 7 8 10.2 S 86 nan 72 69 54 70 9.9 Jose Rodriguez
2026-01-30 DED 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 78 8 8 27.0 67 92 109 64 46 78 5.1 Carlos Perez
7 Phchampagnejourney THIN DATA
4G 119 lbs L P
0.7%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-8.4
EDGE vs ML
10/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig76 -5 vs par
Needs +12~2% run that
Class71.3 -4.0 vs race +5.1 gap
MC4.8% fair 20-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.47
Faced76.4 +3.7 vs today
Pace EP85.3 best 95.8
Pace LP83.2 best 98.3
Energy0.57
Connections
JockJavier Hernandezκ 0.04
TrnShelton Zenon, Sr.κ -0.09
J×T12 · 8% win · 17% ITM
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 30000%76.1
2026 30000%76.1
2025 0000
EVD 30000%76.1
Dirt 20000%76.1
Sprint 30000%76.1
Wet 10000%76.1
WORKS 05-22 EVD 3 Furlongs :36.60 B G 50 04-14 EVD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 65 03-28 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.80 B 36 03-21 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.60 B G 46
SIREPhoneforchampagne 80 33%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-09 14d EVD 5.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 76 7 8 27.0 S 96 nan 83 65 43 74 84.9 Javier Hernandez
2026-06-25 28d EVD 5.0f turf Firm Mdn Clm 75 8 8 14.8 91 97 98 66 52 75 13.8 Javier Hernandez
2026-05-28 EVD 5.0f dirt Sloppy (Sealed) Mdn Clm 78 4 8 10.8 F 85 nan 78 76 68 78 24.1 Javier Hernandez
14 Heath's Soldier
3G 116 lbs L 1
0.1%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-6.2
EDGE vs ML
15/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig83 +2 vs par
MC6.8% fair 15-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285
⚠ No history — ML-anchored
Connections
JockJuan Hernandezκ 0.24
TrnJuan Larrosaκ 0.06
Angles
Juan Larrosa: debut 16% +70% Debut 11% -25%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 0000
2026 0000
2025 0000
EVD 0000
Dirt 0000
Sprint 0000
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-28 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 63 07-18 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.80 B 53 07-08 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:06.60 B G 29 06-27 EVD 4 Furlongs :52.20 B G 36 06-13 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 57 06-02 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.40 B 42
SIRESadie'S Soldier 77 7%ile 1st-out 0% (8) turf 5%
No prior races in database
13 Uncle Eugene
3C 116 lbs L 1
0.1%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-9.0
EDGE vs ML
10/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig78 -3 vs par
MC2.4% fair 50-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285
⚠ No history — ML-anchored
Connections
JockKelvin Aranaκ -0.0
TrnRonnie Averettκ -0.25
J×T26 · 0% win · 23% ITM
Angles
Debut 11% -25% Ronnie Averett: debut 3% -67% Kelvin Arana / Ronnie Averett 0% -100%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 0000
2026 0000
2025 0000
EVD 0000
Dirt 0000
Sprint 0000
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-22 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:03.20 B 62 07-11 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.40 B G 54 07-02 EVD 3 Furlongs :38.60 B G 26 05-16 EVD 3 Furlongs :37.80 B 37 05-06 EVD 3 Furlongs :38.20 B 32
SIREOcean Knight 77 11%ile 1st-out 3% (37) turf 4%
No prior races in database
10 Lonesome Knight THIN DATA
3C 116 lbs L
0.1%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-4.7
EDGE vs ML
20/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig73 -8 vs par
Needs +30~<1% run that
Class66.4 -8.9 vs race +6.3 gap
MC1.5% fair 50-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.63
Faced73.5 +0.8 vs today
Pace EP82.0 best 87.8
Pace LP82.9 best 91.4
Energy0.55
Connections
JockKelvin Aranaκ -0.0was Jose Nava-Marin · +0.1
TrnRonnie Averettκ -0.25
J×T26 · 0% win · 23% ITM
Angles
2nd career start 13% -28% Kelvin Arana / Ronnie Averett 0% -100%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 10000%51.5
2026 10000%51.5
2025 0000
EVD 10000%51.5
Dirt 10000%51.5
Sprint 0000
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-14 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:02.60 B 73 07-03 EVD 4 Furlongs :54.00 B G 17 05-30 EVD 5 Furlongs 1:02.80 B 70 05-02 EVD 4 Furlongs :50.60 B G 51 04-18 EVD 4 Furlongs :53.20 B G 31 04-03 EVD 4 Furlongs :53.20 B 30
SIREOcean Knight 77 11%ile turf 4%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-11 EVD 8.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 74 8 8 76.8 S 88 87 91 52 41 74 24.1 Jose Nava-Marin