DMR 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 T R10 D R11 T

DMR 2026-08-01 One And One Sixteenth Miles DIRT

strength

+0.8 fair

101

win par

fig to beat

SPEED DUEL

shape

closers favored

FAST

early pace

1st¼ 23.7s / par 24.1

TOP-HEAVY

field

figs 85.6–107.8

Purse $400,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. For Fillies And Mares, Three-Year-Olds And Upward.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Chasten	58% 3-5 / 4/1	32.6%	S	6th/1w	95 +2.2	102²+1	105²	103²	74⁸	★goldJ-1.3▲cls	26%	✓+4.1★PRIME2∠
2	Hey Jessie ✓	0% 99-1 / 20/1	2.3%	C	9th/1w	94 +1.1	90⁸-11	88⁸	81⁸	93²	J+0.6T→D	0%	2∠
3	Om N Joy ✓	2% 50-1 / 6/1	7.5%	S	8th/1w	93 +0.8	101⁴+0	100⁶	100³	93²	L1	37%	4∠
4	Bank Shot	1% 99-1 / 20/1	2.7%	S	4th/1w	89 -3.5	96⁷-5	97⁷	93⁷	87⁶	L2▲cls	23%	4∠
5	Majestic Oops	12% 7-1 / 9/2	13.3%	P	5th/1w	97 +4.2	108¹+7	105²	104¹	92⁴	L1	8%	✓+2.43∠
6	Simply Joking	7% 12-1 / 5/1	10.7%	EP	2nd/3w	93 +0.3	100⁵-1	104⁴	98⁴	89⁵	L1	17%	4∠
7	A Thousand Miles	0% 99-1 / 30/1	1.5%	P	7th/2w	91 -1.9	86⁹-15	88⁸	81⁸	—	T+0.1J-0.8spr→rte	—	⚠-2.01∠
8	Seismic Beauty ✓	19% 9-2 / 5/2	20.9%	EP	1st/4w	94 +1.1	100⁵-1	109¹	97⁶	79⁷	L1	40%	4∠
9	Eunomia	1% 50-1 / 5/1	8.4%	P	3rd/3w	93 +0.3	102²+1	103⁵	98⁴	99¹	L1	26%	4∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 8 ⚡ »»» 118/101 Seismic Beauty 6 ⚡ »» 94/100 Simply Joking 9 LP »» 94/105 Eunomia 4 89/89 Bank Shot 5 114/80 Majestic Oops 1 89/102 Chasten 7 » 95/94 A Thousand Miles 3 106/95 Om N Joy 2 102/101 Hey Jessie

On the lead: 8, 6 · race sets up for closers

1 Chasten ★ PRIME

4F 121 lbs S

57.9%

MODEL %

3-5

MODEL FAIR

+37.9

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig102 +1 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 102 vs par 101

Class94.8 +2.2 vs race +7.7 gap

MC16.0% fair 5-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced91.6 -1.8 vs today

Pace EP80.2 best 89.1

Pace LP81.8 best 101.7

Energy0.51

Connections

JockFlorent Gerouxκ 0.14was Irad Ortiz, Jr. · -1.3

TrnBrad Coxκ 0.69

J×T338 · 26% win · 52% ITM

Angles

Florent Geroux / Brad Cox 26% -16% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	4	1	50%	105.1
2026	4	3	0	75%	105.1
2025	3	0	1	0%	99.8
DMR	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	8	4	1	50%	105.1
Route	7	3	1	43%	105.1
Wet	2	0	0	0%	99.8

WORKS 07-25 CD 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 B 71 ◆Commandment·102 07-18 CD 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 B 68 07-12 CD Four Furlongs 49.20 b 43 07-04 CD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 55 06-28 CD 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 51 06-06 CD 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 B 44

SIREInto Mischief 87 96%ile turf 15%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-13 43d	DEL	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	1	7	0.0	F	87	72	61	103	109	94	0.5	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-05-01 48d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G1	94	5	10	6.5		66	85	102	99	103	93	12.86	Florent Geroux
2026-03-14 63d	CNL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	1	5	0.0		79	98	76	105	113	92	3.5	Cristian Torres
2026-01-10 198d·3.6×	FG	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Good	Alw	90	1	6	0.0	S	89	85	92	98	99	93	2.2	Florent Geroux
2025-06-26 55d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	AOC	90	7	7	7.5		81	86	83	96	96	93	1.9	Florent Geroux
2025-05-02 104d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	2	7	7.0		94	87	92	99	105	93	2.7	Florent Geroux
2025-01-18 49d	FG	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Stk	91	4	6	5.8		90	69	68	100	97	93	2.1	Florent Geroux
2024-11-30	CD	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	1	7	0.0	F	85	92	86	93	89	88	3.1	Florent Geroux

8 Seismic Beauty

5M 123 lbs EP

18.6%

MODEL %

9-2

MODEL FAIR

-10.0

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig100 -1 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class93.7 +1.1 vs race +6.8 gap

MC10.3% fair 9-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.37

Faced93.3 -0.1 vs today

Pace EP83.6 best 118.0

Pace LP86.1 best 100.9

Energy0.55

Connections

JockJuan Hernandezκ 0.24

TrnBob Baffertκ 1.02

J×T321 · 40% win · 75% ITM

Angles

Juan Hernandez / Bob Baffert 37% -9% Bob Baffert: off layoff (60d+) 28% -20% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	9	4	2	2	44%	109.3
2026	1	0	0	1	0%	96.8
2025	6	3	1	1	50%	109.3
DMR	4	2	1	0	50%	104.0
Dirt	9	4	2	2	44%	109.3
Route	5	3	0	1	60%	109.3
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-27 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 52 ★07-20 DMR 6 Furlongs 1:11.60 H 74 07-13 SA Four Furlongs 48.20 h 55 07-06 SA Six Furlongs 1:11.20 hg 79 06-22 SA 4 Furlongs :48.20 H 58 06-14 SA 4 Furlongs :47.40 H 69

SIREUncle Mo 86 93%ile turf 18%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-30 210d·3.0×	SA	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	92	3	3	9.8	F	66	88	92	97	96	95	0.4	Juan Hernandez
2025-11-01 91d	DMR	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	98	11	11	39.0	F	118	78	73	90	83	95	1.2	Juan Hernandez
2025-08-02 69d	DMR	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G1	95	1	6	0.0	F	82	90	92	104	111	94	1.1	Juan Hernandez
2025-05-25 37d	SA	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	93	1	5	0.0	F	77	nan	91	109	114	93	1.7	Antonio Fresu
2025-04-18 35d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	1	5	0.0	F	86	99	101	103	104	92	1.1	Juan Hernandez
2025-03-14 34d	SA	6.5f	dirt	Good	AOC	92	3	5	3.2	F	80	87	90	100	100	92	0.4	Juan Hernandez
2025-02-08 162d·2.3×	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	2	7	1.2		96	nan	78	99	96	90	0.3	Juan Hernandez
2024-08-30 27d	DMR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	1	8	0.0	F	95	nan	74	102	104	90	0.2	Juan Hernandez
2024-08-03	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	2	9	0.2	F	85	90	83	103	98	86	2.7	Juan Hernandez

5 Majestic Oops

6M 123 lbs P

11.9%

MODEL %

7-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.3

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig108 +7 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 104 vs par 101

Class96.8 +4.2 vs race +11.0 gap

MC41.4% fair 7-5

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced95.5 +2.1 vs today

Pace EP87.3 best 114.4

Pace LP78.0 best 80.0

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJoel Rosarioκ 0.28was Francisco Arrieta · +0.3

TrnPhilip D'Amatoκ 0.57

J×T13 · 8% win · 38% ITM

Angles

Philip D'Amato: off layoff (60d+) 18% -14% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Joel Rosario / Philip D'Amato 10% -42%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	27	6	6	4	22%	104.9
2026	4	2	0	2	50%	104.9
2025	11	3	3	1	27%	102.5
DMR	1	0	0	0	0%	97.0
Dirt	18	5	4	3	28%	104.9
Route	15	4	3	2	27%	104.9
Wet	3	2	0	0	67%	104.9

WORKS 07-26 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 70 07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs :59.20 H 86 07-13 SA Five Furlongs 1:00.40 h 69 07-06 SA Four Furlongs 48.20 h 54 05-22 CD 5 Furlongs 1:01.20 B 53 05-16 CD 5 Furlongs 1:02.60 B 32

SIREMajestic Harbor 82 72%ile turf 4%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-30 49d	CD	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G2	95	3	7	3.2	F	107	85	78	104	110	97	3.63	Francisco Arrieta
2026-04-11 35d	OP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G1	94	3	9	8.2	F	89	85	80	103	111	96	7.0	Francisco Arrieta
2026-03-07 22d	OP	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	G2	96	1	7	0.0		57	81	74	105	108	95	9.3	Francisco Arrieta
2026-02-13 104d·3.0×	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	94	1	6	0.0	F	91	96	77	103	105	94	2.0	Francisco Arrieta
2025-11-01 34d	DMR	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	98	9	11	16.5	F	114	81	75	97	101	94	101.0	Umberto Rispoli
2025-09-28 36d	DEL	9.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	G3	93	4	5	11.5	F	99	94	89	95	100	95	2.1	Sonny Leon
2025-08-23 35d	SAR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	95	3	6	6.0	F	68	86	90	100	103	95	13.3	Kendrick Carmouche
2025-07-19 35d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	95	2	6	3.0		93	76	78	101	113	93	6.0	Isaac Castillo
2025-06-14 49d	MTH	8.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Stk	93	1	5	0.0		69	93	98	102	108	93	2.3	Isaac Castillo
2025-04-26	OP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	94	1	7	0.0		93	97	111	100	106	92	9.8	Abel Cedillo

6 Simply Joking

4F 121 lbs EP

7.2%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-9.5

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig100 -1 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class92.9 +0.3 vs race +7.4 gap

MC9.1% fair 10-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced92.5 -0.9 vs today

Pace EP85.9 best 94.1

Pace LP87.5 best 100.5

Energy0.54

Connections

JockEmisael Jaramilloκ 0.14

TrnMichael McCarthyκ 0.56

J×T46 · 17% win · 46% ITM

Angles

Emisael Jaramillo / Michael McCarthy 16% +23% Michael McCarthy: off layoff (60d+) 15% -12% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	10	3	3	1	30%	103.9
2026	3	1	1	0	33%	103.9
2025	6	1	2	1	17%	101.5
DMR	1	0	1	0	0%	96.0
Dirt	10	3	3	1	30%	103.9
Route	7	2	3	0	29%	103.9
Wet	2	1	0	0	50%	100.6

WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:02.60 H 40 07-17 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 H 50 07-10 SA Five Furlongs 1:02.00 h 49 06-20 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 53 06-13 SA 4 Furlongs :48.00 H 56 05-22 SA 5 Furlongs 1:02.40 H 40

SIREPractical Joke 86 92%ile turf 11%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-30 41d	SA	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	92	2	3	3.8	F	82	nan	97	98	101	92	1.9	Emisael Jaramillo
2026-04-19 43d	SA	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	90	1	4	0.0	F	91	88	81	104	115	92	0.8	Emisael Jaramillo
2026-03-07 69d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	95	4	5	14.5		94	97	100	96	107	93	11.6	Emisael Jaramillo
2025-12-28 28d	SA	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	93	3	10	5.5	F	94	93	81	96	106	93	16.9	Kazushi Kimura
2025-11-30 43d	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	92	2	8	6.5	F	86	93	100	96	97	94	4.8	Flavien Prat
2025-10-18 169d·3.9×	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	94	9	10	20.8	F	92	nan	72	91	86	97	7.09	Lanfranco Dettori
2025-05-02 34d	CD	9.0f	dirt	Wet Fast (Sealed)	G1	95	13	13	23.2	F	88	88	92	88	83	99	8.57	Florent Geroux
2025-03-29 70d	OP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G2	92	2	9	0.8		92	92	103	102	104	96	3.0	Jaime Torres
2025-01-18 28d	FG	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Stk	91	1	6	0.0		87	78	84	101	102	95	1.7	Jaime Torres
2024-12-21	FG	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	87	1	6	0.0		77	nan	89	99	100	90	2.8	Jaime Torres

3 Om N Joy

4F 123 lbs S

1.9%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-12.4

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig101 0 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class93.4 +0.8 vs race +7.4 gap

MC10.4% fair 9-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced93.9 +0.5 vs today

Pace EP85.9 best 106.2

Pace LP76.2 best 95.0

Energy0.52

Connections

JockKent Desormeauxκ 0.18

TrnAggie Ordonezκ 0.16

J×T30 · 37% win · 63% ITM

Angles

Kent Desormeaux / Aggie Ordonez 29% +48% Aggie Ordonez: off layoff (60d+) 15% +4% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	17	6	5	35%	99.7
2026	4	1	1	25%	99.7
2025	7	5	1	71%	99.0
DMR	5	2	2	40%	98.1
Dirt	12	6	3	50%	99.7
Route	8	3	1	38%	99.7
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :51.20 H 25 ★07-19 DMR 4 Furlongs :46.20 H 83 07-11 SA Four Furlongs 47.00 h 76 06-21 SA 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 53 05-16 SA 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 44 05-08 SA 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 46

SIREOm 81 55%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-30 7d	SA	9.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	92	1	3	0.0	F	92	nan	95	100	104	92	8.6	Kent Desormeaux
2026-05-23 42d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	93	7	7	11.8	S	97	84	77	79	72	94	3.5	Kent Desormeaux
2026-04-11 35d	OP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G1	94	5	9	11.5	F	54	85	54	100	108	93	23.2	Kent Desormeaux
2026-03-07 140d·3.3×	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G1	95	3	5	12.8		106	98	63	98	109	95	8.3	Kent Desormeaux
2025-10-18 49d	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	94	4	10	2.0	F	99	nan	81	99	105	93	12.04	Kent Desormeaux
2025-08-30 36d	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	90	1	7	0.0	F	82	94	81	98	99	92	4.0	Kent Desormeaux
2025-07-25 62d	DMR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	1	10	0.0	F	nan	nan	107	97	98	91	2.8	Kent Desormeaux
2025-05-24 49d	SA	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	1	6	0.0	F	78	93	101	97	90	90	2.0	Kent Desormeaux
2025-04-05 22d	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	90	1	7	0.0	F	78	78	83	98	88	88	2.1	Kent Desormeaux
2025-03-14	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	87	1	7	0.0	F	74	90	98	98	97	87	3.5	Tiago Pereira

9 Eunomia

4F 121 lbs P

1.3%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-15.4

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig102 +1 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 101 vs par 101

Class92.9 +0.3 vs race +8.8 gap

MC10.7% fair 8-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced92.6 -0.8 vs today

Pace EP81.7 best 93.5

Pace LP86.0 best 105.3

Energy0.53

Connections

JockMicah Husbandsκ 0.16was Sahin Civaci · +0.0

TrnSaffie Joseph, Jr.κ 0.47

J×T356 · 26% win · 56% ITM

Angles

Micah Husbands / Saffie Joseph, Jr. 27% -7% Saffie Joseph, Jr.: off layoff (60d+) 23% -16% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	14	4	1	2	29%	103.4
2026	4	1	1	1	25%	103.4
2025	6	2	0	0	33%	101.8
DMR	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	10	4	1	2	40%	103.4
Route	12	4	1	1	33%	103.4
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	89.5

WORKS 07-26 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.33 B 50 07-20 SAR 4 Furlongs 50.77 B 32 07-13 SAR 4 Furlongs 49.34 B 55 07-05 SAR 3 Furlongs :39.00 B 25 06-28 SAR 4 Furlongs :49.59 B 40 06-21 SAR 3 Furlongs :36.98 B 44

SIRETiz The Law 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-09 22d	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Good	G2	94	6	7	11.5	F	94	82	105	98	97	94	2.14	Sahin Civaci
2026-04-17 34d	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G2	94	2	8	0.2	F	85	nan	84	102	111	93	1.95	Flavien Prat
2026-03-14 28d	CNL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	1	7	0.0		78	77	83	103	107	93	0.8	Flavien Prat
2026-02-14 63d	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	94	3	7	5.2		84	nan	93	99	96	92	7.0	Edwin Gonzalez
2025-12-13 56d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	1	7	0.0	S	73	95	83	98	102	91	0.1	Daniel Centeno
2025-10-18 15d	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	90	1	9	0.0		89	89	101	102	110	90	9.04	John Velazquez
2025-10-03 106d·3.1×	KEE	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	88	4	12	0.8	F	99	92	82	89	91	88	9.03	Lanfranco Dettori
2025-06-19 33d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	92	9	10	8.0	F	92	92	102	86	92	92	5.96	Luis Saez
2025-05-17 35d	CD	9.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	6	10	2.2	F	79	nan	70	87	92	91	6.47	Edgar Morales
2025-04-12	KEE	8.5f	turf	Good	Alw	89	6	11	5.2	F	63	95	88	87	80	91	18.15	John Velazquez

4 Bank Shot

3F 117 lbs S

1.1%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.7

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig96 -5 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class89.1 -3.5 vs race +6.6 gap

MC1.5% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced89.9 -3.5 vs today

Pace EP81.8 best 88.8

Pace LP78.3 best 89.1

Energy0.54

Connections

JockAdrian Escobedoκ -0.04

TrnRyan Hansonκ 0.22

J×T183 · 23% win · 49% ITM

Angles

2nd off layoff 13% -27% Adrian Escobedo / Ryan Hanson 13% -32% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Ryan Hanson: 2nd off layoff 7% -80%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	2	4	12%	97.0
2026	5	1	1	3	20%	97.0
2025	3	0	1	1	0%	93.3
DMR	2	0	1	0	0%	93.3
Dirt	8	1	2	4	12%	97.0
Route	7	1	2	4	14%	97.0
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-20 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 H 74 07-10 SA Five Furlongs 59.80 h 82 ★06-06 SA 5 Furlongs :58.40 H 97 05-29 SA 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 50 05-22 SA 3 Furlongs :37.00 H 36 03-26 SA 5 Furlongs :59.40 H 84

SIREGame Winner 84 82%ile turf 6%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-13 70d	SA	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	89	3	6	6.5	F	89	88	86	93	97	89	7.5	Adrian Escobedo
2026-04-04 27d	SA	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G2	90	3	6	15.8	F	78	76	89	88	84	90	17.2	Edwin Maldonado
2026-03-08 28d	SA	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	90	2	7	1.8	F	84	72	39	95	94	88	22.9	Adrian Escobedo
2026-02-08 37d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	96	3	4	4.5	F	75	95	89	94	93	87	28.0	Adrian Escobedo
2026-01-02 49d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	1	7	0.0	F	88	nan	84	97	99	84	8.2	Adrian Escobedo
2025-11-14 34d	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	2	9	0.5	F	90	nan	90	91	89	82	35.5	Adrian Escobedo
2025-10-11 63d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	3	7	13.0		52	86	102	90	86	83	29.5	Adrian Escobedo
2025-08-09	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	87	4	7	12.0	F	87	nan	85	93	82	87	32.9	Adrian Escobedo

2 Hey Jessie

4F 121 lbs C

0.1%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.7

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -11 vs par

Needs +19~<1% run that

Class93.7 +1.1 vs race -4.0 gap

MC0.5% fair 99-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.41

Faced92.1 -1.3 vs today

Pace EP83.9 best 102.1

Pace LP85.4 best 100.7

Energy0.49

Connections

JockAntonio Fresuκ 0.2was Emisael Jaramillo · +0.6

TrnSean McCarthyκ 0.35

J×T4 · 0% win · 25% ITM

Angles

Turf-to-dirt 14% -27% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	13	4	1	31%	90.1
2026	4	1	1	25%	90.1
2025	6	1	0	17%	88.8
DMR	4	1	0	25%	88.8
Dirt	1	1	0	100%	87.9
Route	13	4	1	31%	90.1
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs :59.60 H 83 ★07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs :58.80 H 91 07-10 SA Five Furlongs 1:00.80 h 67 06-06 SA 4 Furlongs :48.20 H 58 05-29 SA 4 Furlongs :48.00 H 61 05-23 SA 4 Furlongs :48.00 H 60

SIREGrazen 85 88%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-12 40d	SADH	10.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	5	9	4.0		86	88	101	81	81	94	3.9	Emisael Jaramillo
2026-05-03 49d	SADH	12.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	90	1	5	0.0		70	92	76	83	79	94	2.5	Emisael Jaramillo
2026-03-15 57d	SADH	10.0f	turf	Firm	G3	94	6	10	2.8	S	88	91	92	83	73	94	11.4	Mike Smith
2026-01-17 55d	SA	9.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	2	8	0.5		85	80	92	90	91	93	6.4	Mike Smith
2025-11-23 35d	DMR	11.0f	turf	Good	G3	93	8	9	4.5	S	102	nan	82	89	84	94	15.3	Mike Smith
2025-10-19 21d	SADH	10.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	1	7	0.0	S	84	92	75	86	84	93	4.9	Mike Smith
2025-09-28 27d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	7	11	3.2	F	81	88	78	85	86	94	13.0	Mike Smith
2025-09-01 23d	DMR	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	92	7	9	2.5		62	84	89	85	79	94	6.0	Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-08-09 203d·5.1×	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	4	8	0.5	F	77	85	84	89	90	93	7.9	Kyle Frey
2025-01-18	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	90	7	12	2.2	F	100	86	90	83	72	92	4.6	Kyle Frey

7 A Thousand Miles

4F 121 lbs P

0.1%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.1

EDGE vs ML

30/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -15 vs par

Needs +16~<1% run that

Class90.7 -1.9 vs race -5.1 gap

MC0.1% fair 99-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced92.5 -0.9 vs today

Pace EP85.1 best 94.9

Pace LP84.1 best 93.9

Energy0.50

Connections

JockEdgar Payerasκ 0.06was Emisael Jaramillo · -0.8

TrnV Belvoirκ 0.27was Vann Belvoir · +0.1

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	20	5	3	2	25%	90.8
2026	5	0	0	0	0%	88.3
2025	10	3	2	0	30%	90.8
DMR	1	0	0	0	0%	85.8
Dirt	13	5	1	2	38%	90.5
Route	12	3	2	0	25%	90.5
Wet	1	0	1	0	0%	87.3

WORKS ★07-25 LA 6 Furlongs 1:15.60 H 47 ★07-18 LA 6 Furlongs 1:13.80 H 57 ★06-27 LA 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 70 ★06-20 LA 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 H 76 ★06-13 LA 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 H 60 ★05-16 LA 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 72

SIREThousand Words 82 64%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 40d	LRC	6.5f	dirt	Fast	G2	93	6	7	28.0	F	94	85	nan	81	74	92	41.0	Emisael Jaramillo
2026-05-25 30d	SA	9.0f	turf	Firm	G1	94	8	8	7.5		95	85	74	87	89	92	48.0	Mike Smith
2026-04-25 41d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	92	5	9	1.8		93	93	89	88	85	92	28.8	Mike Smith
2026-03-15 28d	SADH	10.0f	turf	Firm	G3	94	8	10	3.2	S	87	nan	94	83	73	91	37.9	Diego Herrera
2026-02-15 49d	SUN	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	90	4	7	5.2		72	86	91	88	95	92	4.9	Glenn Corbett
2025-12-28 33d	SADH	10.0f	turf	Good	G1	93	7	11	3.0		84	89	86	83	79	90	28.3	Mike Smith
2025-11-25 30d	ZIA	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	90	1	6	0.0	F	75	nan	64	83	76	88	6.1	Diego Herrera
2025-10-26 29d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	92	2	9	1.8	F	90	88	62	85	91	87	95.8	Diego Herrera
2025-09-27 28d	SADH	6.5f	turf	Firm	G3	92	11	12	10.8	F	92	nan	79	83	75	87	116.5	Assael Espinoza
2025-08-30	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	90	7	7	13.2	F	100	92	90	86	87	87	52.7	Kazushi Kimura