TRACKS · 2026-08-01 ALL CARDS ↗
▸ How to read a horse block
MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σα. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.
R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 T R10 D R11 T
R5 California Dreamin' S.
DMR 2026-08-01 One And One Sixteenth Miles TURF
92
strength
+3.8 salty
96
win par
fig to beat
HONEST PACE
shape
HONEST
early pace
1st¼ 23.7s / par 23.7
TOP-HEAVY
field
figs 78.2–95.4
Purse $150,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. (Turf) (Rail at 12 Feet) For Golden State Series Eligible California Bred Or California Sired Three-Year-Olds And Upward. By subscription of $150 each, which shall accompany the nomination Closed Thursday July 23,2026 with 14 nominations or by supplementary nomination of $1,500 each (non-Golden State Series eligible horses, $25,000 to supplement -- which will make that horse eligible to all future Golden State Series Stakes) by closing time of entries. All horses to pay $2,250 additional to start, with $150,000 Guaranteed, of which $85,500 to first, 28,500 to second, $18,000 to third, $9,000 to fourth, $6,000 to fifth and $3,000 to sixth. Three-year-olds 120 Lbs.; Older 125 Lbs. Non-winners of a sweepstakes of $50,000 in 2026 allowed 2 Lbs.; Non-winners of $30,000 since November 1, 2025 allowed 4 Lbs. (Maiden and claiming races not considered.) High weights preferred. Grade I winners in 2025 or 2026 to carry 127 Lbs. Grade II winners in 2025 or 2026 to carry 125 Lbs. (Adjusted for age) (regardless of allowances). Total earnings in non-claiming races in 2026 will be used in determining the preference of horses with equal weights. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. .
TODAY'S CONTENDERS WIN% · FAIR / ML QIK% STY P1C CLASS PROJ COND LAST SUS J×T
1 Santa Barbarian 7% 12-1 / 12/1 6.6% P 5th/1w 89 +0.2 914-5 925 925 807 L1J+0.7 0% 3∠
2 None Above the Law 12% 8-1 / 6/1 11.6% S 2nd/1w 92 +3.8 905-6 933 934 864 ⚠-1.62∠
3 Prince Dolce 2% 50-1 / 4/1 10.5% C 6th/1w 93 +4.6 866-10 933 867 902 21% 2∠
4 Bull Shoals 7% 12-1 / 15/1 5.8% P 3rd/1w 91 +2.8 951-1 906 906 902 ▲cls 9% LS1∠
5 Old Pal 9% 10-1 / 5/2 17.5% C 7th/2w 95 +6.2 951-1 962 962 864 L1J+1.2 11% ✓+1.63∠
6 Mr. Disrespectful 17% 5-1 / 3/1 18.9% EP 1st/4w 91 +2.8 787-18 887 953 961 D→Tspr→rte▲cls 16% 5∠
7 On the Whim 46% 6-5 / 7/2 29.1% P 4th/3w 93 +4.6 943-2 971 971 836 L1 30% ★PRIME4∠
Pace Projector HONEST PACE 1st¼ 23.7s par 23.7 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 6 HOLDS »»» 95/98 Mr. Disrespectful 2 86/104 None Above the Law 4 LP 98/110 Bull Shoals 7 »» 105/91 On the Whim 1 LP 104/107 Santa Barbarian 3 89/96 Prince Dolce 5 » 104/101 Old Pal
7 On the Whim ★ PRIME
6G 121 lbs P
45.9%
MODEL %
6-5
MODEL FAIR
+23.7
EDGE vs ML
7/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig94 -2 vs par
Needs +2~30% run that
Class93.0 +4.6 vs race +0.9 gap
MC24.8% fair 3-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.26
Faced92.4 +0.2 vs today
Pace EP86.0 best 105.4
Pace LP82.4 best 90.8
Energy0.50
Connections
JockTiago Pereiraκ 0.17
TrnDean Pedersonκ 0.41
J×T44 · 30% win · 61% ITM
Angles
Dean Pederson: off layoff (60d+) 27% +40% Tiago Pereira / Dean Pederson 22% -8% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1642325%103.6
2026 40210%98.4
2025 20010%103.6
DMR 310133%93.7
Turf 1442329%103.6
Route 821325%96.8
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 51 07-19 DMR 6 Furlongs 1:13.40 H 55 07-12 SA Six Furlongs 1:14.20 h 56 07-06 SA Five Furlongs 1:01.20 h 55 06-21 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 59 06-15 SA 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 47
SIREAcclamation 82 62%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-05-23 28d SA 8.0f turf Firm Stk 92 2 7 1.0 F 82 84 84 97 101 93 3.6 Tiago Pereira
2026-04-25 34d SADH 6.5f turf Firm Alw 92 5 7 4.2 F 102 90 83 88 79 94 3.8 Tiago Pereira
2026-03-22 35d SADH 6.5f turf Firm Stk 93 2 5 3.2 F 91 86 91 98 97 94 5.0 Tiago Pereira
2026-02-15 322d·8.9× SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 91 3 10 0.5 F 105 90 85 94 97 94 4.8 Tiago Pereira
2025-03-30 71d·2.0× SADH 6.5f turf Firm Stk 93 4 7 1.2 F 68 82 76 104 106 94 10.8 Tiago Pereira
2025-01-18 49d SA 9.0f turf Firm Stk 93 3 11 1.2 83 93 92 94 88 92 3.7 Tiago Pereira
2024-11-30 48d DMR 8.0f turf Firm AOC 91 8 12 3.8 F 95 79 87 88 88 93 2.1 Tiago Pereira
2024-10-13 36d SADH 6.5f turf Firm Stk 93 1 8 0.0 F 75 90 105 95 103 92 3.0 Tiago Pereira
2024-09-07 35d DMR 8.0f turf Firm AOC 92 3 12 2.8 F 84 87 78 90 93 92 3.0 Tiago Pereira
2024-08-03 DMR 8.5f turf Firm Stk 92 1 11 0.0 89 87 84 94 92 90 10.0 Abel Cedillo
6 Mr. Disrespectful
6G 123 lbs EP
16.9%
MODEL %
5-1
MODEL FAIR
-8.1
EDGE vs ML
3/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig78 -18 vs par
Needs +4~14% run that
Class91.2 +2.8 vs race -13.0 gap
MC0.5% fair 99-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.51
Faced89.9 -2.3 vs today
Pace EP82.5 best 95.2
Pace LP85.2 best 97.6
Energy0.54
Connections
JockArmando Ayusoκ 0.14was Kazushi Kimura · +0.0
TrnCraig Dollaseκ 0.3
J×T57 · 16% win · 47% ITM
Angles
Armando Ayuso / Craig Dollase 18% -11% Craig Dollase: first-time turf 12% -57% First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 2074335%96.3
2026 420050%95.2
2025 1144136%96.3
DMR 421050%95.1
Turf 420050%87.8
Route 1143136%96.3
Wet 10000%79.7
WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 69 07-19 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.60 H 51 06-14 SA 5 Furlongs 1:02.20 H 46 05-28 SA 6 Furlongs 1:10.80 H 87 05-21 SA 5 Furlongs :58.80 H 87 05-15 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.20 H 58
SIRESmiling Tiger 82 69%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-05 16d LRC 7.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 89 1 6 0.0 F 95 97 97 95 109 91 4.3 Kazushi Kimura
2026-06-19 14d LRC 6.5f dirt Fast AOC 89 1 7 0.0 F 69 80 95 95 98 90 4.0 Armando Ayuso
2026-06-05 139d·5.0× SA 8.0f dirt Fast AOC 89 7 7 23.8 83 81 56 88 85 92 5.1 Armando Ayuso
2026-01-17 19d SA 9.0f turf Firm Stk 92 8 8 31.5 85 82 98 72 66 94 3.0 Hector Berrios
2025-12-29 29d SA 8.0f dirt Fast AOC 90 1 10 0.0 F 88 96 96 94 105 93 2.5 Hector Berrios
2025-11-30 71d·2.5× DMR 8.5f turf Firm AOC 90 1 9 0.0 S 78 77 91 85 83 93 1.3 Hector Berrios
2025-09-20 28d LRC 8.0f dirt Fast AOC 89 2 8 1.8 F 99 81 94 92 100 93 0.4 Kazushi Kimura
2025-08-23 21d DMR 8.0f dirt Fast AOC 89 2 10 0.0 F 105 68 76 95 106 92 0.6 Hector Berrios
2025-08-02 42d DMR 8.5f turf Firm Stk 91 5 10 3.2 nan nan 85 88 90 92 7.2 Hector Berrios
2025-06-21 LRC 8.0f dirt Fast Stk 91 2 7 1.2 85 77 67 96 97 91 4.1 Hector Berrios
2 None Above the Law
8G 123 lbs S
11.7%
MODEL %
8-1
MODEL FAIR
-2.6
EDGE vs ML
6/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig90 -6 vs par
Needs +6~6% run that
Class92.2 +3.8 vs race -1.9 gap
MC10.5% fair 9-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.16
Faced91.1 -1.1 vs today
Pace EP82.1 best 86.1
Pace LP84.1 best 104.4
Energy0.50
Connections
JockJoe Bravoκ 0.21was Juan Hernandez · -0.3
TrnPeter Millerκ 0.44
Angles
Joe Bravo / Peter Miller 11% -34% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 4984616%99.8
2026 611117%93.1
2025 40000%93.2
DMR 1720312%99.8
Turf 2833511%95.2
Route 3563317%97.8
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-26 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:02.80 H 62 07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 H 75 07-11 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 62 07-04 SLR 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 55 06-26 SLR 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 59 06-06 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 48
SIREKarakontie (Jpn) 84 82%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-13 22d SA 9.0f turf Firm AOC 90 1 7 0.0 S 86 90 87 93 89 92 5.4 Juan Hernandez
2026-05-22 50d SADH 10.0f turf Firm AOC 91 7 7 7.5 F 80 96 99 86 77 92 3.9 Joel Rosario
2026-04-02 18d SA 8.0f turf Firm Clm 91 3 6 1.5 80 76 79 91 87 92 3.0 Florent Geroux
2026-03-15 28d SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 92 2 8 1.0 F 86 88 64 92 89 92 10.3 Florent Geroux
2026-02-15 29d SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 91 4 10 1.0 F 86 83 104 93 97 92 12.5 Antonio Fresu
2026-01-17 259d·8.9× SA 9.0f turf Firm Stk 92 6 8 2.8 100 97 116 93 89 90 15.5 Umberto Rispoli
2025-05-03 36d TUP 11.0f turf Firm Stk 87 6 10 5.8 S 91 78 64 90 94 91 5.0 Harry Hernandez
2025-03-28 20d SADH 10.0f turf Firm AOC 89 7 9 3.0 78 85 85 86 75 91 9.6 Kazushi Kimura
2025-03-08 49d SA 8.0f dirt Fast AOC 90 6 7 16.8 F 73 78 69 90 96 93 6.8 Tiago Pereira
2025-01-18 SA 9.0f turf Firm Stk 93 7 11 3.0 99 83 62 93 86 93 9.6 Mike Smith
5 Old Pal
6G 121 lbs C
9.2%
MODEL %
10-1
MODEL FAIR
-19.4
EDGE vs ML
5/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig95 -1 vs par
Needs +1~40% run that
Class94.6 +6.2 vs race +0.8 gap
MC29.1% fair 5-2
ConfTIGHT σα 0.21
Faced92.4 +0.2 vs today
Pace EP84.0 best 103.7
Pace LP85.9 best 100.5
Energy0.49
Connections
JockJuan Hernandezκ 0.24was Abel Lezcano · +1.2
TrnMark Glattκ 0.61
J×T18 · 11% win · 56% ITM
Angles
Mark Glatt: off layoff (60d+) 21% -3% Juan Hernandez / Mark Glatt 20% -24% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1342431%96.2
2026 0000
2025 310033%96.2
DMR 40020%96.2
Turf 1342431%96.2
Route 1241433%96.2
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:01.20 H 59 07-18 DMR 6 Furlongs 1:14.60 H 44 ◆Santarena·104 07-11 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 H 50 07-04 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 H 66 06-27 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.80 H 43 06-20 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 55
SIREGrazen 85 88%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2025-11-29 49d DMR 8.5f turf Firm G2 94 4 8 0.8 F 95 nan 78 96 98 94 31.8 Abel Lezcano
2025-10-11 266d·5.2× SA 9.0f turf Firm AOC 90 4 10 1.0 F 71 85 100 94 96 94 2.4 Kazushi Kimura
2025-01-18 62d SA 9.0f turf Firm Stk 93 1 11 0.0 73 75 82 95 89 93 1.8 Antonio Fresu
2024-11-17 36d DMR 8.0f turf Firm AOC 92 3 9 1.2 F 90 83 91 94 99 94 2.9 Antonio Fresu
2024-10-12 51d SA 9.0f turf Firm AOC 93 2 5 0.1 104 91 96 95 102 94 2.3 Mike Smith
2024-08-22 19d DMR 11.0f turf Firm AOC 94 3 7 3.5 S 100 89 88 93 96 94 4.6 Mike Smith
2024-08-03 70d DMR 8.5f turf Firm Stk 92 6 11 2.2 85 nan 89 94 90 93 2.6 Mike Smith
2024-05-25 20d SA 8.0f turf Firm Stk 93 3 9 3.2 86 80 92 90 84 93 5.7 Mike Smith
2024-05-05 343d·6.7× SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 90 1 9 0.0 F 86 80 91 93 89 93 3.6 Mike Smith
2023-05-28 SA 9.0f turf Firm Stk 90 1 7 0.0 S 95 88 80 88 81 91 2.7 Juan Hernandez
4 Bull Shoals LONGSHOT
3C 116 lbs P
7.1%
MODEL %
12-1
MODEL FAIR
+0.8
EDGE vs ML
15/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig95 -1 vs par
Needs +7~4% run that
Class91.2 +2.8 vs race +3.6 gap
MC18.1% fair 9-2
ConfTIGHT σα 0.22
Faced87.8 -4.4 vs today
Pace EP85.9 best 98.0
Pace LP90.6 best 109.9
Energy0.50
Connections
JockJose Morelosκ 0.17
TrnJena Antonucciκ 0.18
J×T160 · 9% win · 33% ITM
Angles
Jose Morelos / Jena Antonucci 12% -5%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 40300%94.5
2026 40300%94.5
2025 0000
DMR 0000
Turf 40300%94.5
Route 30200%90.3
Wet 0000
WORKS 06-26 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:00.05 B 85 ◆Goodbye To Romance·88 05-30 SAR 4 Furlongs 48.06 B 71 ◆Party Animal·95 05-23 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:00.81 B 65 ◆New Rose·88 04-10 GP 5 Furlongs :59.87 B 76 03-22 GP 3 Furlongs :37.26 B G 35 03-13 GP 4 Furlongs :47.59 B 65
SIREMo Forza 84 86%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-09 34d SAR 8.5f turf Firm MSW 88 2 10 0.5 88 97 92 90 90 91 9.33 Jose Morelos
2026-06-05 44d SAR 8.0f turf Firm MSW 88 2 12 0.5 91 97 100 90 92 90 18.36 Jose Morelos
2026-04-22 59d KEE 9.0f turf Firm MSW 88 10 12 5.5 F 98 93 110 86 77 91 12.43 Adam Beschizza
2026-02-22 GP 7.5f turf Firm MSW 87 2 10 0.8 F 85 90 92 94 96 87 67.4 Jose Morelos
1 Santa Barbarian
4G 121 lbs P
7.1%
MODEL %
12-1
MODEL FAIR
-0.6
EDGE vs ML
12/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig91 -5 vs par
Needs +5~10% run that
Class88.6 +0.2 vs race +2.8 gap
MC13.7% fair 6-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.25
Faced88.9 -3.3 vs today
Pace EP86.7 best 103.7
Pace LP83.2 best 107.4
Energy0.50
Connections
JockUmberto Rispoliκ 0.21was Armando Ayuso · +0.7
TrnRyan Hansonκ 0.22
J×T5 · 0% win · 20% ITM
Angles
1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Ryan Hanson: off layoff (60d+) 4% -76%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 820125%92.4
2026 20010%92.4
2025 620033%88.5
DMR 0000
Turf 620133%92.4
Route 720129%92.4
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.12 H 64 07-18 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.60 H 29 07-11 SA Five Furlongs 1:00.20 h 77 06-15 SA 5 Furlongs 1:02.60 H 41 06-06 SA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 50 05-15 SA 5 Furlongs 1:02.80 H 37
SIREBodexpress 81 53%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-05-23 27d SA 8.0f turf Firm Stk 92 4 7 4.8 F 80 90 80 92 98 88 15.7 Armando Ayuso
2026-04-26 315d·10.5× SA 8.0f turf Firm Str Alw 89 3 9 2.5 F 92 92 107 92 93 86 13.5 Armando Ayuso
2025-06-15 22d SADH 14.0f turf Firm G3 90 5 5 31.8 97 90 90 88 88 88 10.6 Kazushi Kimura
2025-05-24 15d SA 9.0f turf Firm Stk 91 1 7 0.0 82 80 76 86 81 84 43.6 Kazushi Kimura
2025-05-09 47d SA 8.0f turf Firm MSW 83 1 5 0.0 S 104 80 72 86 78 82 13.9 Armando Ayuso
2025-03-23 34d SA 8.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 81 5 9 5.8 F 74 nan 88 85 83 82 10.0 Armando Ayuso
2025-02-17 30d SA 8.0f turf Firm MSW 84 5 11 8.8 F 83 83 65 80 74 79 42.6 Adrian Escobedo
2025-01-18 SA 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 82 6 12 9.2 F 63 83 88 88 80 81 4.3 Flavien Prat
3 Prince Dolce
4G 123 lbs C
2.0%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-18.0
EDGE vs ML
4/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig86 -10 vs par
Needs +6~6% run that
Class93.0 +4.6 vs race -6.8 gap
MC3.3% fair 30-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.21
Faced90.4 -1.8 vs today
Pace EP79.7 best 88.7
Pace LP85.0 best 95.5
Energy0.49
Connections
JockRicardo Gonzalezκ 0.15
TrnSteve Knappκ 0.32
J×T14 · 21% win · 50% ITM
Angles
Ricardo Gonzalez / Steve Knapp 14% -33% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1641325%93.3
2026 731243%93.3
2025 40010%86.7
DMR 70010%86.7
Turf 1441329%93.3
Route 1231325%93.3
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 DMR 3 Furlongs :36.40 H G 46 07-18 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 52 07-11 SA Four Furlongs 48.40 h 58 05-16 SA 4 Furlongs :50.40 H G 33 05-09 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 74 04-18 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 H 54
SIRESir Prancealot (Ire) 82 64%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-06 14d SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 90 1 8 0.0 F 84 nan 96 86 89 92 1.4 Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-05-23 27d SA 8.0f turf Firm Stk 92 3 7 1.2 F 89 82 80 93 101 92 5.3 Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-04-26 22d SA 8.0f turf Firm Str Alw 89 1 9 0.0 F 69 93 95 92 95 92 14.5 Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-04-04 28d SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 90 3 11 0.8 F 88 83 76 86 90 91 5.9 Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-03-07 29d SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 90 2 10 0.2 69 83 93 85 87 91 13.1 Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-02-06 27d SA 9.0f turf Firm Clm 87 1 7 0.0 S 72 82 88 86 81 91 1.3 Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-01-10 48d SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 90 5 11 4.8 F 97 84 69 86 84 91 18.4 Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-11-23 36d DMR 8.5f turf Good Str Alw 90 3 10 3.0 S 84 75 59 85 73 91 49.5 Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-10-18 49d SA 8.0f turf Firm Str Alw 91 4 7 2.5 F 89 93 86 84 84 91 41.2 Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-08-30 DMR 8.0f turf Firm AOC 90 8 12 5.5 F 84 92 111 84 82 90 21.8 Umberto Rispoli