DMR 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 T R10 D R11 T

DMR 2026-08-01 One Mile DIRT

strength

-0.8 fair

win par

fig to beat

SPEED DUEL (3+)

shape

closers favored

FAST

early pace

1st¼ 23.7s / par 24.1

TOP-HEAVY

field

figs 79.4–92.7

FIG CLUSTER

low edge

consider passing

Purse $28,000. One Mile. For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won Two Races. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Claiming Price $12,500.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Typhoon Tommy	4% 25-1 / 12/1	5.1%	EP	3rd/1w	85 +1.8	82⁵-5	85⁴	82⁶	—	L2spr→rte	9%	3∠
2	Audible Silence	2% 30-1 / 15/1	4.0%	S	7th/1w	82 -1.3	81⁸-6	84⁵	83³	—	T+0.0spr→rte	—
3	Sunset Ride	12% 7-1 / 6/1	11.6%	EP	1st/1w	79 -4.0	82⁵-5	83⁷	83³	67⁶		15%	⚠-2.22∠
4	D Day Sky	40% 3-2 / 3/1	28.2%	P	6th/1w	86 +2.7	93¹+6	94¹	86²	88³	L2J+0.7T→D	21%	✓+4.5★PRIME4∠
5	Big Reflections	15% 6-1 / 4/1	15.5%	S	5th/1w	82 -1.1	86²-1	87²	87¹	—	▼cls	9%	1∠
6	Forza Azzurri	2% 50-1 / 6/1	7.8%	C	9th/1w	84 +0.9	86²-1	—	75⁹	90²	J+2.5T→D▼cls	9%	✓+2.22∠
7	Trojan Mafia	13% 7-1 / 6/1	12.1%	S	4th/2w	83 -0.8	85⁴-2	83⁷	83³	85⁴	L1▲cls	20%	4∠
8	Millbo Baggins	8% 10-1 / 5/1	11.4%	P	2nd/3w	84 +0.6	82⁵-5	84⁵	81⁷	81⁵		0%
9	Noble Minded	3% 30-1 / 15/1	4.3%	S	8th/3w	80 -3.7	79⁹-8	86³	79⁸	91¹	L2J-1.1KEYspr→rte▲cls	12%	1∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 3 VULN 91/97 Sunset Ride 8 »» 96/96 Millbo Baggins 1 ⚡ 97/98 Typhoon Tommy 7 » 91/93 Trojan Mafia 5 87/100 Big Reflections 4 97/100 D Day Sky 2 C★ 104/110 Audible Silence 9 »» 96/93 Noble Minded 6 87/100 Forza Azzurri

On the lead: 3, 8, 1 · race sets up for closers

4 D Day Sky ★ PRIME

5G 125 lbs L P

40.3%

MODEL %

3-2

MODEL FAIR

+15.3

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig93 +6 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 89 vs par 87

Class86.1 +2.7 vs race +6.6 gap

MC50.8% fair EVEN

ConfNORMAL σα 0.36

Faced84.2 +1.6 vs today

Pace EP85.2 best 96.9

Pace LP85.7 best 99.9

Energy0.53

Connections

JockAntonio Fresuκ 0.2was Marcelino Pedroza, Jr. · +0.7

TrnPeter Eurtonκ 0.57

J×T72 · 21% win · 51% ITM

Angles

Antonio Fresu / Peter Eurton 25% +40% Peter Eurton: 2nd off layoff 18% -5% Turf-to-dirt 14% -27% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	18	1	2	5	6%	93.7
2026	3	0	0	1	0%	93.5
2025	4	0	1	1	0%	88.0
DMR	0	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	15	1	2	5	7%	93.7
Route	14	1	1	5	7%	93.7
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	87.3

WORKS 07-24 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.80 H 31 07-02 TTC 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 50 06-26 TTC 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 65 06-19 TTC 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 75 06-11 TTC 4 Furlongs :50.80 B 37 06-04 TTC 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 68

SIREOmaha Beach 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-08 110d·2.5×	IND	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	4	7	3.2	F	91	nan	86	86	97	86	2.6	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2026-03-20 48d	FG	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	83	4	7	1.5	F	93	91	96	88	94	86	7.0	James Graham
2026-01-31 260d·5.9×	FG	8.318181818181818f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	3	6	3.8	S	84	78	100	94	97	86	5.9	Marcelino Pedroza, Jr.
2025-05-16 62d	BAQ	8.0f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	Clm	85	2	6	3.0	F	77	94	92	88	102	85	5.0	Christopher Elliott
2025-03-15 44d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	4	7	9.0		97	83	72	88	88	86	4.1	Manuel Franco
2025-01-30 19d	AQU	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	87	4	5	13.5	S	98	90	74	85	83	87	1.95	Sahin Civaci
2025-01-11 28d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	3	7	4.0		90	81	79	87	90	86	1.35	Francisco Martinez
2024-12-14 23d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	3	9	2.2		85	82	83	92	102	85	8.6	Christopher Elliott
2024-11-21 38d	AQU	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Clm	86	5	7	14.8		89	86	89	87	84	87	4.2	Kendrick Carmouche
2024-10-14	PRX	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	6	6	11.8	F	85	nan	85	89	80	88	1.8	Jorge Vargas, Jr.

5 Big Reflections THIN DATA

4G 125 lbs L S

14.6%

MODEL %

6-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.4

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -1 vs par

Needs +2~31% run that

Class82.3 -1.1 vs race +3.8 gap

MC15.0% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced80.6 -2.0 vs today

Pace EP78.9 best 86.5

Pace LP85.3 best 100.2

Energy0.51

Connections

JockTyler Bazeκ 0.13

TrnSean McCarthyκ 0.35

J×T64 · 9% win · 41% ITM

Angles

Tyler Baze / Sean McCarthy 11% -16%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	3	1	33%	87.2
2026	3	1	33%	87.2
2025	0	0	—	—
DMR	1	0	0%	87.2
Dirt	3	1	33%	87.2
Route	2	1	50%	87.2
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-11 SA Five Furlongs 1:00.60 h 70 06-12 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 67 05-18 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 H 62 05-09 SA 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 56 05-02 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H G 67 04-25 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 66

SIREMr. Big 83 80%ile turf 10%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17 27d	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	5	9	10.5	F	—	—	—	87	93	82	16.9	Tyler Baze
2026-06-20 22d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	74	1	5	0.0		86	93	86	86	84	80	1.1	Julien Leparoux
2026-05-29	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	83	4	8	9.5	F	68	73	100	83	80	82	17.0	Tyler Baze

7 Trojan Mafia THIN DATA

3G 120 lbs L S

13.1%

MODEL %

7-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.2

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -2 vs par

Needs +3~25% run that

Class82.6 -0.8 vs race +2.4 gap

MC5.2% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced82.6 0.0 vs today

Pace EP83.2 best 91.3

Pace LP82.9 best 92.9

Energy0.54

Connections

JockTiago Pereiraκ 0.17

TrnJeff Mullinsκ 0.5

J×T25 · 20% win · 64% ITM

Angles

Tiago Pereira / Jeff Mullins 17% -31% Jeff Mullins: off layoff (60d+) 16% -29% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	3	1	33%	86.4
2026	3	1	33%	86.4
2025	0	0	—	—
DMR	0	0	—	—
Dirt	3	1	33%	86.4
Route	1	1	100%	83.1
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-20 DMR 4 Furlongs :49.80 H 39 07-09 SA Four Furlongs 49.80 h 39 06-19 SA 3 Furlongs :37.80 H 28 06-07 SA 3 Furlongs :36.80 H 42 04-23 SA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 50 04-16 SA 5 Furlongs 1:04.80 H 13

SIRESmiling Tiger 82 69%ile turf 12%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-23 23d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	1	6	0.0	F	91	nan	79	83	82	82	1.9	Tiago Pereira
2026-04-30 82d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	5	8	10.2		84	nan	85	82	77	87	1.9	Tiago Pereira
2026-02-07	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	4	7	5.5		84	80	93	86	81	86	11.3	Tiago Pereira

3 Sunset Ride

3G 120 lbs L EP

11.8%

MODEL %

7-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.5

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig82 -5 vs par

Needs +16~<1% run that

Class79.4 -4.0 vs race +3.1 gap

MC3.7% fair 25-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.29

Faced83.9 +1.3 vs today

Pace EP82.0 best 91.5

Pace LP79.4 best 97.2

Energy0.55

Connections

JockRicardo Gonzalezκ 0.15

TrnPhilip D'Amatoκ 0.57

J×T75 · 15% win · 43% ITM

Angles

Ricardo Gonzalez / Philip D'Amato 15% -27% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	20%	83.6
2026	4	1	25%	83.6
2025	1	0	0%	80.3
DMR	0	0	—	—
Dirt	4	1	25%	83.6
Route	1	1	100%	83.2
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 57 07-19 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 52 06-20 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 73 ◆Maury Wills·93 06-13 SA 4 Furlongs :46.60 H 74 05-24 SA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 52 05-18 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 H 75

SIREClubhouse Ride 84 82%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 35d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	81	1	10	0.0		73	76	60	83	81	78	2.4	Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-05-29 33d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	83	8	8	15.8	F	79	83	97	77	72	79	11.7	Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-04-26 24d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	10	10	45.0	S	92	84	71	52	38	81	9.6	Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-04-02 291d·8.3×	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	4	7	9.5		85	nan	83	84	85	77	17.2	Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-06-15	SA	5.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	7	10	17.5	F	87	84	84	80	67	85	12.1	Ricardo Gonzalez

8 Millbo Baggins

4G 125 lbs L P

8.5%

MODEL %

10-1

MODEL FAIR

-8.2

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig82 -5 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class84.0 +0.6 vs race -2.2 gap

MC4.1% fair 25-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced83.9 +1.3 vs today

Pace EP85.5 best 95.8

Pace LP86.0 best 95.8

Energy0.53

Connections

JockArmando Ayusoκ 0.14

TrnAggie Ordonezκ 0.16

J×T5 · 0% win · 40% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	9	1	2	11%	84.6
2026	6	1	2	17%	84.6
2025	3	0	0	0%	80.1
DMR	0	0	0	—	—
Dirt	5	1	2	20%	84.4
Route	5	0	1	0%	84.6
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 57 07-18 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.20 H G 33 06-20 SA 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 50 06-07 SA 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 51 05-30 SA 4 Furlongs :47.00 H 71 04-24 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 64

SIRESir Prancealot (Ire) 82 64%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 41d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	4	6	7.0	S	80	89	83	81	81	84	5.1	Armando Ayuso
2026-05-17 16d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	2	7	0.5		86	86	96	84	87	83	3.1	Armando Ayuso
2026-05-01 26d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	6	7	19.8	F	93	92	92	81	82	85	4.8	Kent Desormeaux
2026-04-05 36d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	87	6	9	1.5	F	89	85	94	85	85	84	14.9	Armando Ayuso
2026-02-28 44d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	83	1	5	0.0	S	96	87	83	81	79	83	0.9	Kent Desormeaux
2026-01-15 263d·6.1×	SA	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	2	8	0.1		98	82	83	84	83	82	5.7	Kent Desormeaux
2025-04-27 43d	SA	8.0f	turf	Good	MSW	86	7	11	12.5	F	73	82	102	80	70	83	75.1	Drayden Van Dyke
2025-03-15 56d	SA	6.0f	turf	Good	MSW	85	8	9	10.5		95	95	103	79	71	84	61.7	William Antongeorgi III
2025-01-18	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	7	8	8.0		88	nan	79	79	72	85	25.0	Diego Herrera

1 Typhoon Tommy

4G 125 lbs L EP

3.5%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.2

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig82 -5 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class85.2 +1.8 vs race -3.6 gap

MC5.8% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced83.8 +1.2 vs today

Pace EP85.8 best 97.2

Pace LP78.5 best 97.8

Energy0.53

Connections

JockEdgar Payerasκ 0.06

TrnEdwin Alvarezκ 0.0

J×T22 · 9% win · 41% ITM

Angles

2nd off layoff 13% -27% Edgar Payeras / Edwin Alvarez 4% +5% Edwin Alvarez: 2nd off layoff 4% +101%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	19	1	2	5	5%	84.8
2026	8	0	1	2	0%	83.8
2025	6	0	1	2	0%	84.8
DMR	3	0	0	0	0%	82.1
Dirt	12	1	2	3	8%	84.8
Route	12	0	2	4	0%	84.8
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-06 SA Five Furlongs 1:01.00 hg 59 06-19 SA 4 Furlongs :50.20 H 34

SIRESir Prancealot (Ire) 82 64%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-19 63d·2.2×	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	6	11	5.8	F	—	—	—	82	82	85	20.4	Edgar Payeras
2026-05-17 29d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	3	7	3.2		97	93	98	83	85	85	2.6	Edgar Payeras
2026-04-18 13d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	8	3.8		93	95	91	83	85	85	11.6	Edgar Payeras
2026-04-05 28d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	87	7	9	2.2	F	84	92	90	83	84	84	30.9	Edgar Payeras
2026-03-08 23d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	5	10	8.8		89	62	32	81	78	85	12.7	Edgar Payeras
2026-02-13 28d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	3	5	4.8	S	83	79	77	84	88	85	11.6	Armando Ayuso
2026-01-16 7d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	5	6	9.8		84	74	70	82	90	86	2.3	Armando Ayuso
2026-01-09 28d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	86	6	8	5.0	S	nan	nan	71	83	76	86	13.0	Armando Ayuso
2025-12-12 103d·3.7×	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	2	6	2.0	F	105	82	52	85	85	86	4.5	Armando Ayuso
2025-08-31	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	89	5	6	2.2		84	83	108	80	78	84	24.9	Armando Ayuso

9 Noble Minded

4C 125 lbs L S

3.2%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.0

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig79 -8 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class79.7 -3.7 vs race -0.3 gap

MC2.6% fair 30-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.43

Faced81.4 -1.2 vs today

Pace EP84.1 best 96.2

Pace LP81.8 best 93.2

Energy0.54

Connections

JockAdrian Escobedoκ -0.04was Alfredo Bautista · -1.1

TrnRuben Gomezκ -0.03

J×T16 · 12% win · 25% ITM

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	25%	86.1
2026	1	0	0%	78.8
2025	0	0	—	—
DMR	1	0	0%	85.7
Dirt	4	1	25%	86.1
Route	1	1	100%	86.1
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-26 DMR 5 Furlongs :58.80 H 92 07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs :59.60 H 80 07-12 SA Five Furlongs 1:01.40 h 55 07-06 SA Four Furlongs 48.00 h 60 06-07 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 H 49 05-31 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 73

SIRENoble Bird 82 64%ile turf 8%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20 560d·16.5×	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	4	6	13.8	F	96	81	86	79	75	80	17.7	Alfredo Bautista
2024-12-07 14d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	1	5	0.0		78	77	75	86	82	77	7.3	Abel Lezcano
2024-11-23 34d	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	5	6	15.8	F	79	87	93	86	87	77	26.4	Serafin Carmona
2024-10-20	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn	82	7	9	13.8	F	95	90	79	82	71	82	39.2	Armando Aguilar

2 Audible Silence

5G 120 lbs S

2.5%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.8

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig81 -6 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class82.1 -1.3 vs race -0.7 gap

MC4.5% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced81.7 -0.9 vs today

Pace EP89.2 best 104.1

Pace LP85.3 best 110.5

Energy0.54

Connections

JockAlfredo Bautistaκ 0.08

TrnV Brinkerhoffκ 0.24was Val Brinkerhoff · +0.0

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	19	1	2	3	5%	84.7
2026	7	1	0	1	14%	84.5
2025	5	0	1	0	0%	81.3
DMR	1	0	0	0	0%	83.0
Dirt	18	1	2	3	6%	84.7
Route	11	1	2	1	9%	84.5
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 06-22 SA 4 Furlongs :50.00 H 38 06-14 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.20 H 76 06-06 SA 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 50 05-31 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 64 05-10 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 73 05-02 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 61

SIREAudible 85 90%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-19 22d	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	4	11	4.5	F	—	—	—	83	83	81	45.9	Alfredo Bautista
2026-06-27 41d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	5	6	7.0	S	104	83	78	81	81	80	18.6	Alfredo Bautista
2026-05-17 29d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	82	4	7	3.8		88	90	110	83	84	79	8.1	Alfredo Bautista
2026-04-18 15d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	5	8	10.0		95	91	93	81	79	78	23.5	Alfredo Bautista
2026-04-03 13d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	77	1	6	0.0		92	83	84	84	87	77	4.4	Alfredo Bautista
2026-03-21 35d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	3	5	9.0		95	89	77	82	82	77	29.2	Alfredo Bautista
2026-02-14 273d·9.4×	SA	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	5	10	6.8		78	81	74	82	74	76	57.4	Alfredo Bautista
2025-05-17 44d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	75	2	7	0.5		94	84	95	80	73	75	2.3	Alfredo Bautista
2025-04-03 10d	TUP	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	10	11	13.5	F	90	77	51	75	75	77	1.9	Harry Hernandez
2025-03-24	TUP	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	5	10	4.2	F	80	nan	81	79	74	76	1.8	Harry Hernandez

6 Forza Azzurri

3G 120 lbs L C

2.4%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-11.9

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -1 vs par

Needs +5~15% run that

Class84.3 +0.9 vs race +2.0 gap

MC8.3% fair 10-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced84.9 +2.3 vs today

Pace EP80.5 best 87.1

Pace LP86.1 best 100.2

Energy0.51

≠ Cross-surface α

Connections

JockJoel Rosarioκ 0.28was Cesar Belmont · +2.5

TrnPeter Millerκ 0.44

J×T11 · 9% win · 27% ITM

Angles

Joel Rosario / Peter Miller 16% -19% Turf-to-dirt 14% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	20%	88.0
2026	4	1	25%	88.0
2025	1	0	0%	84.6
DMR	0	0	—	—
Dirt	0	0	—	—
Route	5	1	20%	88.0
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 H 52 07-18 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 64 07-11 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 69 07-04 SLR 5 Furlongs :59.20 H G 88 06-27 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 52 06-20 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 H 54

SIREMo Forza 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-07 59d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	86	9	9	19.8	F	85	75	94	75	69	86	24.6	Cesar Belmont
2026-04-09 34d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	87	4	5	11.2		76	78	73	88	86	87	3.6	Samy Camacho
2026-03-06 43d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	85	7	9	3.5	S	84	88	100	82	78	84	6.2	Mario Gutierrez
2026-01-22 60d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	1	9	0.0		87	nan	86	86	82	80	2.9	Mario Gutierrez
2025-11-23	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	86	7	9	15.0		72	94	95	85	72	86	7.6	Edwin Gonzalez