TRACKS · 2026-08-01
CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO
ALL CARDS ↗
▸ How to read a horse block
MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σα. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.
R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 T R10 D R11 T
R3 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
DMR 2026-08-01 Five Furlongs TURF
90
strength
+7.7 salty
94
win par
fig to beat
HONEST PACE
shape
HONEST
early pace
1st¼ 22.1s / par 22.1
TOP-HEAVY
field
figs 84.0–97.7
Purse $80,000. Five Furlongs. (Turf) (Rail at 12 Feet) (Plus $24,000 – CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). For Maidens, Two Years Old. Weight, 122 Lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). .
TODAY'S CONTENDERS WIN% · FAIR / ML QIK% STY P1C CLASS PROJ COND LAST SUS J×T
1 Cosmic Charlie 2% 50-1 / 6/1 7.6% 4th/1w — 863-8 — — — — 2∠
2 Ocean Club 90% 1-9 / 6/1 42.7% EP 1st/1w 94 +11.4 981+4 961 961 941 L1T-0.2J+0.9▼cls — ✓+4.5★PRIME4∠
3 Brockster 1% 50-1 / 5/2 14.4% 7th/1w — 847-10 — — — 15% 3∠
4 Off in the Corner 2% 50-1 / 6/1 7.6% 3rd/1w — 872-7 — — — 9% 3∠
5 Bliksem 2% 50-1 / 5/1 8.7% 5th/2w — 863-8 — — — 27% 3∠
6 Champagne Nova 2% 50-1 / 8/1 6.0% 6th/2w — 863-8 — — — 15% 3∠
7 High Ambition 2% 50-1 / 3/1 13.0% 2nd/3w 86 +4.0 856-9 822 822 862 J-0.5▲cls 19% ⚠-2.02∠
Pace Projector HONEST PACE 1st¼ 22.1s par 22.1 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 2 C★ 94/97 Ocean Club 7 »» 93/80 High Ambition 4 Off in the Corner 1 Cosmic Charlie 5 » Bliksem 6 » Champagne Nova 3 Brockster
2 Ocean Club ★ PRIME
2C 122 lbs EP
89.6%
MODEL %
1-9
MODEL FAIR
+75.3
EDGE vs ML
6/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig98 +4 vs par
Needs fits levelbase 94 vs par 94
Class93.7 +11.4 vs race +4.0 gap
MC62.5% fair 3-5
ConfTIGHT σα 0.2
Faced93.9 +3.9 vs today
Pace EP86.2 best 94.2
Pace LP82.7 best 96.8
Energy0.51
Connections
JockJoe Bravoκ 0.21was Brian Hernandez, Jr. · +0.9
TrnGeorge Papaprodromouκ 0.41was Thomas Proctor · -0.2
Angles
Joe Bravo / George Papaprodromou 20% +14% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% George Papaprodromou: off layoff (60d+) 12% -22%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1440329%100.6
2026 0000——
2025 610117%100.6
DMR 0000——
Turf 1230325%100.6
Sprint 20010%95.5
Wet 0000——
WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs :59.60 H 83 07-19 DMR 3 Furlongs :36.60 H G 44 07-11 SA Five Furlongs 1:02.40 h 45
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2025-08-30 22d KD 6.5f turf Firm G2 95 6 12 4.2 F 92 79 97 96 96 92 59.6 Brian Hernandez, Jr.
2025-08-08 41d SAR 8.5f turf Firm G2 95 7 7 20.2 F 92 84 91 86 87 94 7.0 Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-06-28 42d WO 8.0f turf Good G2 92 1 11 0.0 94 nan 78 101 104 94 12.9 Sofia Vives
2025-05-17 49d PIM 8.5f turf Good G3 94 3 7 5.8 S 87 78 74 95 79 95 5.7 John Velazquez
2025-03-29 56d GP 8.5f turf Firm Stk 94 4 10 4.2 F 85 nan 82 96 108 95 7.5 Edwin Gonzalez
2025-02-01 42d TAM 8.5f turf Firm G3 94 6 9 3.5 F 84 75 75 94 98 95 8.5 Pablo Morales
2024-12-21 91d·2.2× GP 8.0f turf Firm G3 94 3 10 1.2 85 112 61 92 96 94 4.2 Edwin Gonzalez
2024-09-21 21d BAQ 8.0f turf Firm G3 94 1 7 0.0 90 83 102 93 94 94 2.4 Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2024-08-31 42d KD 6.5f turf Firm G2 96 3 12 7.2 F 110 84 82 94 91 93 14.55 Jose Ortiz
2024-07-20 WO 8.5f synthetic Fast G3 90 4 7 1.0 93 99 98 92 95 93 6.0 Sofia Vives
7 High Ambition THIN DATA
2R 122 lbs
2.4%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-22.6
EDGE vs ML
3/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig85 -9 vs par
Needs +12~2% run that
Class86.3 +4.0 vs race -1.4 gap
MC1.0% fair 99-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.38
Faced85.6 -4.4 vs today
Pace EP83.2 best 92.8
Pace LP80.1 best 80.2
Energy0.52
Connections
JockEmisael Jaramilloκ 0.14was Leonel Reyes · -0.5
TrnJose D'Angeloκ 0.31
J×T122 · 19% win · 50% ITM
Angles
Emisael Jaramillo / Jose D'Angelo 21% -20% 2nd career start 13% -28%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 10010%82.3
2026 10010%82.3
2025 0000——
DMR 0000——
Turf 10010%82.3
Sprint 10010%82.3
Wet 0000——
WORKS 07-25 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 53 ★07-04 PMM 3 Furlongs :35.40 B G 55 06-27 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.30 B 52 06-20 PMM 3 Furlongs :37.00 B 43 06-13 PMM 3 Furlongs :37.70 B 40
SIREHighly Motivated 98 99%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-13 GP 5.0f turf Firm MSW 86 3 6 6.8 93 89 80 82 71 86 7.3 Leonel Reyes
4 Off in the Corner
2C 122 lbs
1.8%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-12.5
EDGE vs ML
6/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig87 -7 vs par
MC9.0% fair 10-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285
⚠ No history — ML-anchored
Connections
JockJoel Rosarioκ 0.28
TrnPeter Millerκ 0.44
J×T11 · 9% win · 27% ITM
Angles
Joel Rosario / Peter Miller 16% -19% Debut 11% -25% Peter Miller: debut 10% -49%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 0000——
2026 0000——
2025 0000——
DMR 0000——
Turf 0000——
Sprint 0000——
Wet 0000——
WORKS 07-24 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H G 73 07-18 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 58 07-11 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H G 63 07-04 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:02.40 H 43 06-27 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.80 H 44 06-06 SLR 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 52
SIREKarakontie (Jpn) 84 82%ile 1st-out 22% (137) turf 19%
No prior races in database
1 Cosmic Charlie
2C 122 lbs
1.7%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-12.6
EDGE vs ML
6/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig86 -8 vs par
MC8.4% fair 10-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285
⚠ No history — ML-anchored
Connections
JockJulien Leparouxκ 0.14
TrnJeff Mullinsκ 0.5
Angles
Jeff Mullins: debut 11% -14% Debut 11% -25%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 0000——
2026 0000——
2025 0000——
DMR 0000——
Turf 0000——
Sprint 0000——
Wet 0000——
WORKS 07-25 DMR 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 49 07-18 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.40 H G 55 07-11 SA Four Furlongs 48.80 h 54 06-21 SA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 50 06-14 SA 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 47 06-07 SA 3 Furlongs :37.20 H 35
SIREBolt D'Oro 85 89%ile 1st-out 20% (258) turf 14%
No prior races in database
5 Bliksem
2C 122 lbs
1.6%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-15.1
EDGE vs ML
5/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig86 -8 vs par
MC7.6% fair 12-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285
⚠ No history — ML-anchored
Connections
JockKyle Freyκ 0.12
TrnJeff Mullinsκ 0.5
J×T33 · 27% win · 64% ITM
Angles
Kyle Frey / Jeff Mullins 21% +23% Jeff Mullins: debut 11% -14% Debut 11% -25%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 0000——
2026 0000——
2025 0000——
DMR 0000——
Turf 0000——
Sprint 0000——
Wet 0000——
WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 H 57 07-17 DMR 4 Furlongs :47.40 H G 69 07-06 SA Four Furlongs 48.80 h 48 06-22 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 H 56 06-15 SA 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 48 06-08 SA 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 45
SIREBasin 87 95%ile 1st-out 26% (19) turf 27%
No prior races in database
6 Champagne Nova
2C 122 lbs
1.5%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-9.6
EDGE vs ML
8/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig86 -8 vs par
MC6.5% fair 15-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285
⚠ No history — ML-anchored
Connections
JockKazushi Kimuraκ 0.14
TrnPeter Millerκ 0.44
J×T39 · 15% win · 46% ITM
Angles
Kazushi Kimura / Peter Miller 13% -51% Debut 11% -25% Peter Miller: debut 10% -49%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 0000——
2026 0000——
2025 0000——
DMR 0000——
Turf 0000——
Sprint 0000——
Wet 0000——
WORKS 07-24 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.60 H G 58 07-18 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 H 46 07-04 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 47 06-13 SLR 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 55 06-06 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 48 05-30 SLR 3 Furlongs :36.20 H 47
SIREJack Christopher 99 99%ile 1st-out 12% (8)
No prior races in database
3 Brockster
2C 122 lbs
1.4%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-27.2
EDGE vs ML
5/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig84 -10 vs par
MC4.9% fair 20-1
ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285
⚠ No history — ML-anchored
Connections
JockEdwin Maldonadoκ 0.13
TrnLuis Mendezκ 0.27
J×T66 · 15% win · 36% ITM
Angles
Edwin Maldonado / Luis Mendez 18% +0% Luis Mendez: debut 14% -31% Debut 11% -25%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 0000——
2026 0000——
2025 0000——
DMR 0000——
Turf 0000——
Sprint 0000——
Wet 0000——
WORKS 07-13 SA Four Furlongs 46.20 h 80 05-31 SA 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 54 ★05-16 SA 3 Furlongs :35.40 H 56
SIREInto Mischief 87 96%ile 1st-out 24% (852) turf 15%
No prior races in database