TRACKS · 2026-08-01 ALL CARDS ↗
▸ How to read a horse block
MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σα. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.
R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 T R10 D R11 T
R8 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
DMR 2026-08-01 Six And One Half Furlongs DIRT
90
strength
-0.9 fair
98
win par
fig to beat
SPEED DUEL (3+)
shape
closers favored
FAST
early pace
1st¼ 22.2s / par 22.6
TOP-HEAVY
field
figs 87.6–98.4
Purse $81,000. Six And One Half Furlongs. (Plus $24,300 – CBOIF - California Bred Owner Fund). For Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won $21,000 Once Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price $50,000. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $50,000 (HORSES THAT ARE ENTERED FOR CLAIMING PRICE ARE RUNNING FOR A PURSE OF $65,000) (Plus $19,500 to Cal-Breds) (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In The Last 2 Starts Preferred).
TODAY'S CONTENDERS WIN% · FAIR / ML QIK% STY P1C CLASS PROJ COND LAST SUS J×T
1 San Saba 31% 2-1 / 5/1 20.4% E 3rd/1w 89 -2.2 981+0 974 974 934 L1J+1.1▲cls 40% 3∠
2 Duke Silver 41% 7-5 / 8/1 21.7% EP 5th/1w 89 -1.8 981+0 1012 1011 837 L2J+0.5▲cls 26% ✓+4.5★PRIME3∠
3 General Graham 1% 99-1 / 20/1 2.7% EP 4th/1w 92 +0.6 919-7 967 878 837 L2T→D 3% 4∠
4 Uncle Chilly 0% 99-1 / 4/1 9.8% S 9th/1w 92 +0.8 935-5 958 926 L1J-1.3▼cls 60% 2∠
5 Septembersixtyfour 0% 99-1 / 12/1 3.9% P 6th/1w 93 +1.9 8810-10 869 934 L1T→D 15% 4∠
6 Ahrens 3% 30-1 / 10/1 5.6% E 1st/2w 86 -5.0 927-6 889 7810 926 L12S◈freshJ+1.1T→Drte→spr▲cls 30% 4∠
7 See Through It 6% 15-1 / 8/1 7.7% S 7th/2w 90 -0.6 927-6 1003 982 819 CLMT-3.0J-1.0 7% ⚠-4.21∠
8 Decisive Win 2% 50-1 / 8/1 6.0% E 2nd/3w 90 -1.1 935-5 974 887 983 L3★goldrte→spr 18% 3∠
9 Ghost of Midnight 7% 12-1 / 7/2 13.5% S 10th/3w 94 +3.5 954-3 974 974 992 L1 20% 2∠
10 Santarena 8% 10-1 / 8/1 8.7% P 8th/3w 90 -1.4 981+0 1041 982 1111 L2J-1.3 2∠
Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 6 » 99/95 Ahrens 8 »» 83/112 Decisive Win 1 104/103 San Saba 3 94/102 General Graham 2 100/87 Duke Silver 5 107/103 Septembersixtyfour 7 » 97/105 See Through It 10 C★ »» 101/122 Santarena 4 101/107 Uncle Chilly 9 »» 100/102 Ghost of Midnight
On the lead: 6, 8, 1, 3 · race sets up for closers
2 Duke Silver ★ PRIME THIN DATA
3C 118 lbs L EP
40.9%
MODEL %
7-5
MODEL FAIR
+29.8
EDGE vs ML
8/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig98 0 vs par
Needs fits levelbase 99 vs par 98
Class89.1 -1.8 vs race +9.3 gap
MC19.6% fair 4-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.35
Faced85.5 -4.5 vs today
Pace EP83.9 best 99.5
Pace LP81.5 best 86.5
Energy0.53
Connections
JockMike Smithκ 0.25was Antonio Fresu · +0.5
TrnMark Glattκ 0.61
J×T43 · 26% win · 60% ITM
Angles
Mike Smith / Mark Glatt 27% +51% Mark Glatt: 2nd off layoff 19% -18% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 310133%100.9
2026 310133%100.9
2025 0000
DMR 0000
Dirt 310133%100.9
Sprint 310133%100.9
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :47.80 H 65 07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs :59.00 H 88 07-12 SA Five Furlongs 1:00.20 h 73 05-31 SA 5 Furlongs :59.60 H 84 05-24 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 72 05-09 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 73
SIRESilver State 85 88%ile turf 12%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-07 64d SA 6.5f dirt Fast MSW 85 1 9 0.0 F 79 93 86 101 104 88 1.7 Antonio Fresu
2026-04-04 28d SA 6.0f dirt Fast MSW 86 4 7 1.0 F 100 84 86 96 93 87 1.7 Kazushi Kimura
2026-03-07 SA 6.5f dirt Fast MSW 86 3 9 5.8 F 85 nan 76 101 107 86 10.3 Kazushi Kimura
1 San Saba THIN DATA
4C 122 lbs L E
30.9%
MODEL %
2-1
MODEL FAIR
+14.2
EDGE vs ML
5/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig98 0 vs par
Needs +1~40% run that
Class88.7 -2.2 vs race +8.9 gap
MC18.9% fair 9-2
ConfNORMAL σα 0.42
Faced84.9 -5.1 vs today
Pace EP85.4 best 103.6
Pace LP87.4 best 103.4
Energy0.54
Connections
JockJuan Hernandezκ 0.24was Edwin Maldonado · +1.1
TrnBob Baffertκ 1.02
J×T321 · 40% win · 75% ITM
Angles
Juan Hernandez / Bob Baffert 37% -9% Bob Baffert: off layoff (60d+) 28% -20% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 210150%97.3
2026 0000
2025 1100100%97.3
DMR 0000
Dirt 210150%97.3
Sprint 210150%97.3
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-26 DMR 5 Furlongs :59.40 H 85 07-20 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.20 H 70 07-13 SA Six Furlongs 1:12.40 h 70 07-06 SA Five Furlongs 59.80 h 75 06-22 SA 4 Furlongs :46.00 H G 90 ◆Nooni·98 06-13 SA 5 Furlongs :58.00 H G 98
SIREJustify 88 96%ile turf 18%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2025-01-25 30d SA 6.5f dirt Fast MSW 85 1 7 0.0 F 83 94 103 97 94 87 1.2 Edwin Maldonado
2024-12-26 SA 6.0f dirt Fast MSW 85 3 7 4.0 F 104 98 93 97 95 85 1.2 John Velazquez
10 Santarena
5G 122 lbs L P
8.5%
MODEL %
10-1
MODEL FAIR
-2.6
EDGE vs ML
8/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig98 0 vs par
Needs fits levelbase 99 vs par 98
Class89.5 -1.4 vs race +8.3 gap
MC24.5% fair 3-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.29
Faced88.6 -1.4 vs today
Pace EP84.9 best 101.0
Pace LP86.2 best 121.8
Energy0.53
Connections
JockJulien Leparouxκ 0.14was Joel Rosario · -1.3
TrnMark Glattκ 0.61
Angles
Mark Glatt: 2nd off layoff 19% -18% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 131618%103.9
2026 20100%99.3
2025 211050%103.9
DMR 20010%96.0
Dirt 1016110%103.9
Sprint 121518%103.9
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 DMR 4 Furlongs :49.80 H 41 07-18 DMR 6 Furlongs 1:14.60 H 44 ◆Old Pal·96 07-11 SA Five Furlongs 1:01.00 h 65 06-20 SA 4 Furlongs :47.60 H 64 05-31 SA 3 Furlongs :36.00 H 52 05-24 SA 6 Furlongs 1:14.60 H 54
SIREOmaha Beach 86 94%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-06 63d SA 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 91 2 6 0.8 F 101 99 122 98 101 88 3.4 Joel Rosario
2026-04-04 392d·9.3× SA 6.5f dirt Fast AOC 90 4 6 10.5 F 76 83 79 99 106 89 5.8 Antonio Fresu
2025-03-08 42d SA 8.0f dirt Fast AOC 90 2 7 4.5 F 80 82 76 99 107 88 1.7 Antonio Fresu
2025-01-25 29d SA 6.5f dirt Fast MSW 85 1 7 0.0 F 94 96 84 104 118 87 1.6 Diego Herrera
2024-12-27 61d SA 6.0f dirt Fast MSW 86 2 5 2.2 F 88 81 89 99 103 86 1.4 Flavien Prat
2024-10-27 28d SA 6.5f turf Firm MSW 85 9 11 9.0 S 88 82 89 84 78 88 13.8 Antonio Fresu
2024-09-29 37d SA 6.0f turf Firm MSW 86 6 10 3.8 F 77 94 94 83 80 88 3.1 Antonio Fresu
2024-08-23 34d DMR 5.0f turf Firm MSW 87 4 9 0.8 S 95 91 92 84 77 87 1.9 Antonio Fresu
2024-07-20 54d DMR 6.0f dirt Fast MSW 86 3 9 7.0 F 82 93 97 96 90 88 2.0 Antonio Fresu
2024-05-27 SA 6.0f dirt Fast MSW 84 2 9 2.8 F 67 96 79 98 95 88 2.1 Antonio Fresu
9 Ghost of Midnight
8G 124 lbs L S
7.2%
MODEL %
12-1
MODEL FAIR
-15.0
EDGE vs ML
7/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig95 -3 vs par
Needs +2~30% run that
Class94.4 +3.5 vs race +0.2 gap
MC9.0% fair 10-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.24
Faced91.7 +1.7 vs today
Pace EP83.5 best 100.2
Pace LP79.2 best 102.3
Energy0.52
Connections
JockRicardo Gonzalezκ 0.15was Geovanni Franco · +0.3
TrnSean Williamsκ 0.37
J×T5 · 20% win · 40% ITM
Angles
Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1463043%102.5
2026 40100%97.0
2025 310033%97.4
DMR 420050%96.2
Dirt 1463043%102.5
Sprint 1243033%102.5
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 DMR 4 Furlongs :49.60 H 44 07-17 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 58 07-10 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 H 58 ◆Come Out Fighting·93 07-04 SLR 4 Furlongs :50.00 H 40 06-27 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:03.20 H 34 06-20 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.80 H 48
SIREGhostzapper 86 92%ile turf 15%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-05-01 47d OP 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 91 2 7 0.8 F 100 101 98 97 103 94 2.0 Geovanni Franco
2026-03-15 36d OP 6.0f dirt Fast Clm 92 4 8 3.0 F 75 97 102 97 102 94 4.5 Ramon Vazquez
2026-02-07 36d OP 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 92 9 10 7.0 F 96 90 60 94 94 94 23.1 Ramon Vazquez
2026-01-02 62d OP 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 92 4 5 5.5 nan nan 46 96 94 94 5.0 Ramon Vazquez
2025-11-01 35d DMR 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 91 5 13 3.2 F 73 96 87 95 98 93 5.8 Diego Herrera
2025-09-27 34d SA 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 90 1 6 0.0 96 nan 60 97 107 93 1.2 Abel Lezcano
2025-08-24 526d·14.6× DMR 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 92 5 8 5.2 F 93 93 95 96 102 93 2.7 Antonio Fresu
2024-03-16 50d SA 7.0f dirt Fast G3 93 2 6 1.0 F 95 88 83 102 120 93 3.9 Antonio Fresu
2024-01-26 26d SA 8.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 89 1 6 0.0 49 87 90 98 99 93 0.3 Diego Herrera
2023-12-31 SA 8.0f dirt Fast AOC 91 1 5 0.0 S 88 84 82 96 101 92 0.9 Antonio Fresu
7 See Through It
9G 124 lbs L S
5.8%
MODEL %
15-1
MODEL FAIR
-5.3
EDGE vs ML
8/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig92 -6 vs par
Needs +3~22% run that
Class90.3 -0.6 vs race +1.5 gap
MC5.2% fair 20-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.21
Faced88.2 -1.8 vs today
Pace EP85.8 best 97.5
Pace LP79.2 best 105.2
Energy0.52
Connections
JockCesar Belmontκ 0.02was Kyle Frey · -1.0
TrnGenaro Vallejoκ 0.12CLAIMEDwas Librado Barocio · -3.0
J×T14 · 7% win · 36% ITM
Angles
Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 52159829%103.3
2026 721029%99.8
2025 931133%103.3
DMR 1031230%101.0
Dirt 33114633%103.3
Sprint 50159830%103.3
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-19 LA 4 Furlongs :51.60 H 24 05-19 SLR 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 56 05-11 SLR 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 53 05-05 SLR 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 50 04-08 OP 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 62 03-14 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 H 70
SIRECurlin To Mischief 83 78%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-05 14d LRC 6.5f dirt Fast AOC 88 1 12 0.0 F 85 79 77 98 96 89 1.5 Kyle Frey
2026-06-21 7d LRC 5.5f dirt Fast Str Alw 84 1 5 0.0 F 95 100 88 100 101 89 0.5 Joel Rosario
2026-06-14 57d·2.0× SA 6.0f turf Firm AOC 90 8 12 6.5 98 73 42 87 81 89 22.5 Tiago Pereira
2026-04-18 28d OP 6.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 91 5 7 9.0 F 85 nan 81 91 84 91 4.5 Ramon Vazquez
2026-03-21 49d TUP 6.0f dirt Fast Stk 88 7 9 4.2 F 84 96 105 96 101 92 1.4 Vicente Del-Cid
2026-01-31 29d SA 6.5f dirt Fast AOC 91 4 7 8.2 F 95 nan 83 97 103 93 8.0 Ricardo Gonzalez
2026-01-02 33d SA 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 90 2 9 2.0 F 59 76 93 96 102 92 5.1 Tiago Pereira
2025-11-30 133d·4.6× DMR 6.5f dirt Fast AOC 93 3 6 4.0 F 85 nan 80 100 107 93 8.0 Tiago Pereira
2025-07-20 14d DMR 6.5f dirt Fast AOC 92 1 7 0.0 F 88 91 95 101 105 92 5.6 Antonio Fresu
2025-07-06 LRC 6.5f dirt Fast AOC 91 1 6 0.0 F 89 84 91 100 102 91 0.8 Tiago Pereira
6 Ahrens
3C 118 lbs L E
3.1%
MODEL %
30-1
MODEL FAIR
-6.0
EDGE vs ML
10/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig92 -6 vs par
Needs +17~<1% run that
Class85.9 -5.0 vs race +5.6 gap
MC3.3% fair 30-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.42
Faced84.0 -6.0 vs today
Pace EP83.9 best 99.0
Pace LP85.0 best 95.4
Energy0.53
Connections
JockJoel Rosarioκ 0.28was Tiago Pereira · +1.1
TrnJohn Sadlerκ 0.55
J×T37 · 30% win · 57% ITM
Angles
Joel Rosario / John Sadler 25% -9% John Sadler: off layoff (60d+) 18% -15% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 310033%88.5
2026 310033%88.5
2025 0000
DMR 0000
Dirt 1100100%88.5
Sprint 210050%88.5
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-26 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 H 64 07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs :59.80 H 78 07-12 SA Four Furlongs 48.60 h 53 07-06 SA Four Furlongs 48.00 h 58 06-21 SA 4 Furlongs :47.60 H 68 06-14 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 69
SIREModernist 84 86%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-03-29 37d SA 8.0f turf Firm Str Alw 86 7 7 14.2 F 99 91 85 78 78 85 6.6 Tiago Pereira
2026-02-20 33d SA 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn Clm 80 1 7 0.0 74 nan 95 88 90 84 1.5 Tiago Pereira
2026-01-18 SA 6.0f turf Firm MSW 86 9 11 9.0 F 91 nan 89 78 77 86 40.3 Tiago Pereira
8 Decisive Win THIN DATA
3C 118 lbs L E
1.6%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-9.5
EDGE vs ML
8/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig93 -5 vs par
Needs +4~19% run that
Class89.8 -1.1 vs race +2.9 gap
MC4.3% fair 20-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.35
Faced87.1 -2.9 vs today
Pace EP79.0 best 83.2
Pace LP87.1 best 112.1
Energy0.54
Connections
JockAntonio Fresuκ 0.2
TrnDoug O'Neillκ 0.42
J×T256 · 18% win · 49% ITM
Angles
Antonio Fresu / Doug O'Neill 18% -1% 3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 310033%97.3
2026 310033%97.3
2025 0000
DMR 0000
Dirt 310033%97.3
Sprint 10000%97.3
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.80 H G 53 07-12 SA Four Furlongs 52.40 h 10 05-13 SA 6 Furlongs 1:16.20 H 47 04-29 SA 5 Furlongs :59.60 H 92 04-22 SA 5 Furlongs :59.40 H 87 04-03 SA 6 Furlongs 1:11.20 H G 81
SIRENyquist 86 93%ile turf 16%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-15 24d SA 8.5f dirt Fast Stk 92 4 7 4.5 F 83 93 112 88 84 88 2.1 Antonio Fresu
2026-05-22 76d SA 8.0f dirt Fast MSW 84 1 6 0.0 69 71 78 95 108 86 0.5 Antonio Fresu
2026-03-07 SA 6.5f dirt Fast MSW 86 4 9 7.0 F 82 nan 93 97 106 86 3.3 Antonio Fresu
3 General Graham
3C 118 lbs L EP
1.1%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-3.7
EDGE vs ML
20/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig91 -7 vs par
Needs +6~11% run that
Class91.5 +0.6 vs race -0.1 gap
MC3.1% fair 30-1
ConfNORMAL σα 0.34
Faced85.6 -4.4 vs today
Pace EP82.3 best 93.8
Pace LP82.2 best 101.5
Energy0.52
Connections
JockKyle Freyκ 0.12
TrnTim McCannaκ 0.29
J×T37 · 3% win · 24% ITM
Angles
Tim McCanna: 2nd off layoff 18% -11% Turf-to-dirt 14% -27% 2nd off layoff 13% -27% Kyle Frey / Tim McCanna 6% -45%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 320067%95.6
2026 320067%95.6
2025 0000
DMR 0000
Dirt 2200100%95.6
Sprint 320067%95.6
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-26 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.20 H 73 07-11 SA Five Furlongs 1:00.80 h 67 06-06 SA 5 Furlongs :59.00 H 94 ◆Zeus' War·98 05-31 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 H 67 05-24 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 H 67 05-17 SA 4 Furlongs :50.00 H 39
SIREOmaha Beach 86 94%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-06-14 67d SA 6.0f turf Firm AOC 90 7 12 5.0 88 79 78 87 83 92 11.6 Kyle Frey
2026-04-08 23d KEE 7.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 86 1 8 0.0 F 73 84 74 95 102 86 1.74 Jose Ortiz
2026-03-16 FG 6.0f dirt Fast Mdn 81 1 9 0.0 F 94 89 102 96 98 81 1.7 Jose Ortiz
4 Uncle Chilly
5G 124 lbs L S
0.5%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-19.5
EDGE vs ML
4/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig93 -5 vs par
Needs +4~14% run that
Class91.7 +0.8 vs race +1.7 gap
MC10.2% fair 9-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.23
Faced89.8 -0.2 vs today
Pace EP84.6 best 100.8
Pace LP86.9 best 106.5
Energy0.52
Connections
JockArmando Ayusoκ 0.14was Joel Rosario · -1.3
TrnJeff Mullinsκ 0.5
J×T5 · 60% win · 60% ITM
Angles
Jeff Mullins: off layoff (60d+) 16% -29% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1945121%95.4
2026 430075%95.4
2025 913011%94.8
DMR 30100%94.0
Dirt 1444129%95.4
Sprint 1735118%95.4
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.20 H 62 07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 H 54 07-12 SA Four Furlongs 49.40 h 44 07-06 SA Four Furlongs 48.80 h 48 06-22 SA 4 Furlongs :47.20 H 73 06-15 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.20 H 61
SIRESmiling Tiger 82 69%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-05-23 28d SA 6.0f dirt Fast Stk 93 5 6 9.8 101 92 nan 92 91 93 5.9 Joel Rosario
2026-04-25 36d SA 8.0f dirt Fast AOC 89 1 8 0.0 83 92 80 95 101 92 1.2 Armando Ayuso
2026-03-20 42d SA 5.5f dirt Fast AOC 90 1 10 0.0 80 81 nan 95 102 91 1.5 Armando Ayuso
2026-02-06 39d SA 6.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 89 1 5 0.0 84 88 106 94 91 91 0.5 Armando Ayuso
2025-12-29 66d SA 6.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 89 2 7 0.5 F 88 93 94 92 97 91 5.8 Armando Ayuso
2025-10-24 48d SA 6.0f dirt Fast AOC 91 5 11 4.5 S 90 80 74 92 89 91 9.6 Kazushi Kimura
2025-09-06 35d DMR 6.5f dirt Fast AOC 90 2 10 1.8 F 89 nan 61 94 100 90 16.6 Kazushi Kimura
2025-08-02 56d DMR 8.0f turf Firm AOC 89 10 12 8.8 F 93 87 92 82 83 90 9.8 Kazushi Kimura
2025-06-07 27d SADH 6.5f turf Firm Alw 88 5 11 4.0 F 42 76 96 82 83 90 13.3 Kazushi Kimura
2025-05-11 SA 6.0f turf Firm AOC 90 5 8 5.2 94 87 84 83 84 90 3.6 Kazushi Kimura
5 Septembersixtyfour
4G 122 lbs L P
0.4%
MODEL %
99-1
MODEL FAIR
-7.3
EDGE vs ML
12/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig88 -10 vs par
Needs +12~<1% run that
Class92.8 +1.9 vs race -5.2 gap
MC2.0% fair 50-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.3
Faced91.4 +1.4 vs today
Pace EP89.9 best 106.8
Pace LP88.4 best 102.6
Energy0.50
≠ Cross-surface α
Connections
JockKazushi Kimuraκ 0.14
TrnMike Puypeκ 0.33
J×T88 · 15% win · 41% ITM
Angles
Kazushi Kimura / Mike Puype 15% -38% Turf-to-dirt 14% -27% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Mike Puype: off layoff (60d+) 12% -43%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 611117%88.6
2026 20110%86.0
2025 410025%88.6
DMR 210050%88.6
Dirt 0000
Sprint 411125%88.6
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 67 07-19 DMR 4 Furlongs :47.20 H 72 07-11 SA Four Furlongs 47.80 h 66 06-20 SA 4 Furlongs :47.80 H 61 06-13 SA 3 Furlongs :36.60 H 42 ◆The G M·94 05-16 SA 4 Furlongs :47.20 H 72
SIREOmaha Beach 86 94%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-05-25 30d SA 6.0f turf Firm AOC 91 3 7 1.5 107 87 80 86 88 92 1.8 Kazushi Kimura
2026-04-25 182d·6.1× SADH 6.5f turf Firm Alw 92 2 7 0.5 F 106 98 93 86 84 93 5.4 Kazushi Kimura
2025-10-25 22d SA 9.0f turf Firm G2 97 4 5 3.2 90 91 103 88 89 91 11.0 Kazushi Kimura
2025-10-03 50d SA 8.0f turf Firm AOC 90 5 9 2.8 F 93 92 100 86 88 90 2.2 Kazushi Kimura
2025-08-14 26d DMR 5.0f turf Firm MSW 86 1 6 0.0 84 nan 91 89 84 89 1.5 Kazushi Kimura
2025-07-19 DMR 5.0f turf Firm MSW 85 5 9 3.5 100 86 81 86 81 86 5.4 Kazushi Kimura