DMR 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 T R10 D R11 T

Purse $40,000. One And One Sixteenth Miles. (Turf) (Rail at 12 Feet) For Maidens, Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Claiming Price $50,000. .

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Fausto	14% 6-1 / 5/1	12.9%	S	7th/1w	84 +2.2	92³+3	92¹	88³	80⁹		21%	1∠
2	Lorenzo Bernini	53% 4-5 / 4/1	29.5%	EP	1st/1w	84 +2.7	94¹+5	92¹	91¹	91⁴	L3★gold	15%	✓+5.2★PRIME2∠
3	Black Pearl	0% 99-1 / 20/1	2.1%	C	10th/1w	72 -9.5	76¹²-13	—	65¹¹	81⁸	L12S◈freshspr→rte▲cls	0%	3∠
5	Perfectionachieved	1% 99-1 / 20/1	2.5%	C	11th/1w	78 -3.4	86⁸-3	79⁷	84⁷	92³	L12S◈freshT+0.9J+0.6D→T▲cls	—	7∠
6	Heavenly Match	2% 50-1 / 12/1	4.1%	C	9th/1w	80 -1.8	89⁶+0	84⁶	84⁷	96¹	L3★goldT+0.5J+0.9	—	✓+1.02∠
7	Like and Subscribe	3% 30-1 / 8/1	6.0%	S	8th/1w	84 +3.0	85¹⁰-4	—	84⁷	84⁷	L1J+0.5D→Tspr→rte	—	✓+1.65∠
8	Pyrokinetic	0% 99-1 / 12/1	3.3%		5th/1w	—	86⁸-3	—	—	—		—	2∠
9	Plettenberg Bay	2% 50-1 / 8/1	5.3%		4th/1w	85 +3.8	88⁷-1	—	82¹⁰	94²	L12S◈freshJ+1.0spr→rte	30%	5∠
10	Timayyyy	7% 12-1 / 7/2	12.2%	S	6th/2w	88 +6.5	92³+3	91³	86⁵	89⁵	★goldT+3.2J+1.1	—	✓+3.21∠
11	Born to Rock	5% 20-1 / 5/1	9.2%	P	3rd/2w	87 +5.2	91⁵+2	86⁵	86⁵	89⁵	L1J+0.7▼cls	27%	4∠
12	War Artist	5% 20-1 / 20/1	4.1%	C	12th/3w	81 -0.6	83¹¹-6	—	88³	—	KEYD→Tspr→rte▲cls	0%	LS3∠
13	Mighty Toro	7% 12-1 / 6/1	8.9%	P	2nd/3w	87 +5.2	94¹+5	89⁴	89²	—	L2▼cls	24%	3∠

Pace Projector LONE SPEED front favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 23.7 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 2 LS★ HOLDS LP 103/115 Lorenzo Bernini 13 »» 85/93 Mighty Toro 11 » 103/99 Born to Rock 9 94/93 Plettenberg Bay 8 Pyrokinetic 10 » 94/95 Timayyyy 1 92/87 Fausto 7 98/91 Like and Subscribe 6 92/101 Heavenly Match 3 87/95 Black Pearl 5 88/97 Perfectionachieved 12 »» 87/104 War Artist

On the lead: 2 · race sets up for front

2 Lorenzo Bernini ★ PRIME

4G 125 lbs L EP

52.6%

MODEL %

4-5

MODEL FAIR

+32.6

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 +5 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 94 vs par 89

Class84.1 +2.7 vs race +10.0 gap

MC27.1% fair 5-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced82.1 -2.0 vs today

Pace EP84.7 best 103.3

Pace LP90.8 best 115.0

Energy0.52

Connections

JockAntonio Fresuκ 0.2

TrnGeorge Papaprodromouκ 0.41

J×T33 · 15% win · 45% ITM

Angles

Antonio Fresu / George Papaprodromou 17% +3% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	9	1	4	0%	97.7
2026	5	1	3	0%	97.7
2025	4	0	1	0%	93.1
DMR	2	0	0	0%	92.8
Turf	5	0	3	0%	91.5
Route	8	1	4	0%	97.7
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.40 H 34 07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.20 H 73 07-11 SA Five Furlongs 59.60 h 85 ◆Running Spartan·95 07-06 SA Five Furlongs 1:03.40 h 23 06-06 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 H 54 05-17 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 67

SIREAuthentic 85 89%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-13 20d	SA	9.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	83	3	7	1.5		86	87	96	91	90	84	4.2	Antonio Fresu
2026-05-24 64d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	3	6	0.5	F	83	97	115	98	97	84	0.8	Kyle Frey
2026-03-21 36d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	2	5	2.2		75	91	100	94	88	84	0.7	Kyle Frey
2026-02-13 36d	SA	9.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	84	3	6	5.0	F	103	80	77	89	87	85	2.1	Florent Geroux
2026-01-08 82d·2.0×	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	84	5	9	2.8	F	90	92	98	92	82	84	4.4	Umberto Rispoli
2025-10-18 55d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	83	3	9	2.5		90	85	87	88	82	84	2.1	Umberto Rispoli
2025-08-24 29d	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	5	6	7.8	F	89	74	59	93	97	83	14.4	Umberto Rispoli
2025-07-26 42d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	4	7	7.0		56	93	79	90	82	78	5.2	Umberto Rispoli
2025-06-14	SA	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	4	8	15.5	F	94	82	74	93	86	85	50.6	Umberto Rispoli

1 Fausto

5G 125 lbs L S

14.5%

MODEL %

6-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.2

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 +3 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class83.6 +2.2 vs race +8.0 gap

MC21.1% fair 7-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced84.3 +0.2 vs today

Pace EP84.3 best 91.8

Pace LP80.0 best 87.3

Energy0.52

Connections

JockArmando Ayusoκ 0.14

TrnRobert Hess, Jr.κ 0.29

J×T28 · 21% win · 46% ITM

Angles

Armando Ayuso / Robert Hess, Jr. 19% +9%

Record

	Sts	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	10	2	3	0%	100.3
2026	5	2	2	0%	94.2
2025	3	0	1	0%	100.3
DMR	2	0	0	0%	94.2
Turf	5	2	0	0%	92.2
Route	9	2	3	0%	100.3
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 61 07-14 SA Five Furlongs 1:03.60 h 34 06-04 SA 4 Furlongs :51.20 H 19 05-27 SA 4 Furlongs :50.60 H 33 05-15 SA 4 Furlongs :49.60 H 42 03-25 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 56

SIREMastery 82 68%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-13 55d	SA	9.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	83	2	7	1.2		88	nan	71	88	90	83	4.0	Armando Ayuso
2026-04-19 16d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn	84	3	5	9.5	F	90	83	86	93	87	84	4.4	Armando Ayuso
2026-04-03 35d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	82	2	6	1.8		92	87	85	84	80	83	2.0	Armando Ayuso
2026-02-27 49d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	3	6	17.5	F	74	nan	87	94	98	85	17.6	Armando Ayuso
2026-01-09 132d·2.7×	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	4	6	8.2		90	86	71	92	90	86	9.8	Hector Berrios
2025-08-30 41d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	4	10	5.2	F	68	nan	65	87	84	84	12.7	Hector Berrios
2025-07-20 92d	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	4	7	13.2	F	74	86	81	94	93	86	5.6	Hector Berrios
2025-04-19 322d·6.6×	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	3	6	3.0	F	77	79	92	100	101	84	5.8	Tiago Pereira
2024-06-01 36d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	6	9	7.0	F	nan	nan	82	84	80	84	12.3	Joseph Talamo
2024-04-26	SA	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	5	11	8.0		93	nan	79	98	91	84	46.0	Mike Smith

13 Mighty Toro THIN DATA

3G 120 lbs L P

7.1%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.2

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 +5 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class86.6 +5.2 vs race +7.0 gap

MC12.9% fair 7-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced85.9 +1.8 vs today

Pace EP77.5 best 84.9

Pace LP81.3 best 93.1

Energy0.51

Connections

JockEmisael Jaramilloκ 0.14

TrnJohn Sadlerκ 0.55

J×T21 · 24% win · 43% ITM

Angles

John Sadler: 2nd off layoff 18% -27% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	Win%	Fig
Life	3	0%	89.3
2026	1	0%	89.3
2025	2	0%	88.0
DMR	2	0%	89.3
Turf	3	0%	89.3
Route	2	0%	89.3
Wet	0	—	—

WORKS 07-12 SA Four Furlongs 47.80 h 64 07-06 SA Five Furlongs 59.20 h 84 06-21 SA 4 Furlongs :48.20 H 60 06-14 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 H 79 06-08 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 H 66 06-01 SA 5 Furlongs 1:02.60 H 40

SIRERaging Bull (Fr) 84 83%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-18 261d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	6	11	4.5	F	—	—	—	89	91	86	37.9	Emisael Jaramillo
2025-10-30 18d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	7	8	7.5	F	85	78	73	88	78	87	13.2	Joel Rosario
2025-10-12	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	6	11	4.5	S	63	nan	93	88	71	85	6.4	Juan Hernandez

10 Timayyyy

4G 125 lbs L S

7.0%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-15.2

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 +3 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class87.9 +6.5 vs race +4.3 gap

MC16.2% fair 5-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced87.0 +2.9 vs today

Pace EP85.2 best 94.2

Pace LP80.1 best 94.7

Energy0.50

Connections

JockJuan Hernandezκ 0.24was Luan Machado · +1.1

TrnBrian Lynchκ 0.58was Anna Navarrete · +3.2

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	0%	91.3
2026	3	0	0%	85.9
2025	5	1	0%	91.3
DMR	0	0	—	—
Turf	8	1	0%	91.3
Route	7	1	0%	91.3
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.80 H 30 07-19 DMR 4 Furlongs :47.00 H 74

SIREWar Front 87 95%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-20 26d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	86	4	11	2.2	F	94	95	83	86	94	88	4.59	Luan Machado
2026-05-25 24d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	6	11	7.5	F	84	91	83	81	85	88	52.05	Alexander Crispin
2026-05-01 246d·6.8×	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	11	12	11.5		86	87	58	81	83	89	21.64	Edgar Morales
2025-08-28 46d	KD	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	4	12	8.2	F	85	nan	82	88	92	90	5.2	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-07-13 28d	ELP	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	2	7	0.5	S	93	90	95	91	89	90	3.62	Edgar Morales
2025-06-15 77d·2.1×	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	5	12	6.0		97	nan	72	86	84	90	6.45	Jose Ortiz
2025-03-30 36d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	5	7	4.8	S	105	89	78	89	87	91	3.1	Joel Rosario
2025-02-22	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	6	10	2.8		92	94	87	89	89	88	9.1	Edwin Gonzalez

11 Born to Rock

3C 120 lbs L P

5.3%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-11.4

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig91 +2 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class86.6 +5.2 vs race +4.4 gap

MC8.2% fair 12-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.31

Faced87.2 +3.1 vs today

Pace EP84.5 best 102.5

Pace LP80.7 best 98.8

Energy0.51

Connections

JockUmberto Rispoliκ 0.21was Emisael Jaramillo · +0.7

TrnMichael McCarthyκ 0.56

J×T140 · 27% win · 57% ITM

Angles

Umberto Rispoli / Michael McCarthy 25% -5% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Michael McCarthy: off layoff (60d+) 15% -12% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	2	0%	86.5
2026	1	0	0%	86.5
2025	4	2	0%	84.0
DMR	4	2	0%	84.0
Turf	5	2	0%	86.5
Route	5	2	0%	86.5
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:02.40 H 43 07-17 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:04.00 H 23 ◆Yautown·94 07-10 SA Four Furlongs 50.40 h 34 06-20 SA 4 Furlongs :49.80 H 38 06-13 SA 4 Furlongs :50.60 H 30 ◆Tribalism·90 05-23 SA 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 H 49

SIRERock Your World 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-30 212d·4.0×	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	5	9	6.2		80	88	99	86	79	87	41.6	Emisael Jaramillo
2025-10-30 53d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	8	8	7.8	F	81	nan	83	83	73	88	7.6	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-09-07 21d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	89	11	13	12.5	F	88	75	60	84	79	90	47.9	Kazushi Kimura
2025-08-17 21d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	2	7	1.5	F	102	nan	77	83	69	90	3.6	Kazushi Kimura
2025-07-27	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	2	8	1.2		86	82	86	82	66	86	4.2	Umberto Rispoli

12 War Artist LONGSHOT THIN DATA

3C 120 lbs L C

5.2%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

+0.4

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig83 -6 vs par

Needs +6~11% run that

Class80.8 -0.6 vs race +2.0 gap

MC0.9% fair 99-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.38

Faced82.5 -1.6 vs today

Pace EP81.1 best 87.0

Pace LP84.8 best 103.7

Energy0.51

Connections

JockFrancisco Monroyκ 0.02

TrnJose Hernandez, Jr.κ 0.04

J×T11 · 0% win · 45% ITM

Angles

First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26%

Record

	Sts	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	3	1	0%	87.9
2026	3	1	0%	87.9
2025	0	0	—	—
DMR	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	0	0%	84.8
Route	0	0	—	—
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 LA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H G 49 07-18 LA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 52 ◆Persian Princess·78 07-11 LA 4 Furlongs :49.60 H 44 06-20 LA 4 Furlongs :50.20 H 37 05-09 LA 4 Furlongs :48.00 H G 68 05-02 LA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H G 56

SIREMunnings 84 87%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26 26d	LRC	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	81	3	6	7.0	F	nan	nan	78	88	82	81	29.1	Francisco Monroy
2026-05-31 15d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	81	6	9	8.2		79	85	87	77	71	81	52.2	Francisco Monroy
2026-05-16	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	5	7	12.2		87	95	104	85	71	85	51.4	Francisco Monroy

7 Like and Subscribe THIN DATA

3G 120 lbs L S

3.3%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.8

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -4 vs par

Needs +4~19% run that

Class84.4 +3.0 vs race +0.7 gap

MC1.4% fair 50-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.4

Faced85.5 +1.4 vs today

Pace EP84.7 best 98.1

Pace LP83.0 best 91.2

Energy0.52

≠ Cross-surface α

Connections

JockKazushi Kimuraκ 0.14was Abel Cedillo · +0.5

TrnAdam Kitchingmanκ 0.22

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% First-time turf 10% -26% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Adam Kitchingman: off layoff (60d+) 9% -50% Adam Kitchingman: first-time turf 6% -42%

Record

	Sts	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	2	1	0%	86.2
2026	1	1	0%	84.3
2025	1	0	0%	86.2
DMR	0	0	—	—
Turf	0	0	—	—
Route	0	0	—	—
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-22 DMR 4 Furlongs :46.60 H G 75 ★07-11 SLR 1 Mile 1:40.60 H ★07-04 SLR 7 Furlongs 1:27.00 H 71 ◆Khonsu·86 06-27 SLR 6 Furlongs 1:13.40 H 74 ◆Khonsu·86 06-20 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 78 06-13 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:03.40 H 34 ◆Khonsu·86

SIREBolt D'Oro 85 89%ile turf 14%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-01-04 22d	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	83	3	9	6.8	F	86	93	84	84	72	85	3.5	Abel Cedillo
2025-12-13	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	8	11	11.0	F	98	88	91	86	74	88	26.8	Serafin Carmona

6 Heavenly Match

3G 120 lbs L C

2.0%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-5.7

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig89 0 vs par

Needs +7~8% run that

Class79.6 -1.8 vs race +9.4 gap

MC5.3% fair 20-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.4

Faced78.8 -5.3 vs today

Pace EP83.7 best 91.8

Pace LP88.0 best 100.9

Energy0.53

Connections

JockHector Berriosκ 0.18was Francisco Orduna-Rojas · +0.9

TrnGloria Haleyκ -0.03was Martin Valenzuela III · +0.5

Angles

3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	Win%	Fig
Life	4	0%	84.2
2026	2	0%	84.2
2025	2	0%	81.0
DMR	0	—	—
Turf	1	0%	84.2
Route	2	0%	84.2
Wet	1	0%	81.0

WORKS ★07-24 LA 5 Furlongs :59.40 H 80 07-17 LA 4 Furlongs :49.20 H 37 ★07-08 LA 5 Furlongs 1:00.80 H 70 06-28 LA 4 Furlongs :48.00 H 73 06-05 LA 4 Furlongs :47.40 H 64 05-29 LA 4 Furlongs :47.40 H G 64

SIRECairo Prince 84 83%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-13 29d	SA	9.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	83	5	7	6.8		92	89	101	84	86	78	42.0	Francisco Orduna-Rojas
2026-05-15 148d·5.1×	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	6	7	6.8		86	88	99	83	68	78	15.1	Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-12-18 29d	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	76	7	11	9.8	F	87	76	83	78	69	77	19.06	Danny Sheehy
2025-11-19	CD	6.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	79	6	8	14.2	S	81	100	93	81	61	83	12.82	Danny Sheehy

9 Plettenberg Bay THIN DATA

3G 120 lbs L

1.5%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-9.6

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig88 -1 vs par

Needs +7~8% run that

Class85.2 +3.8 vs race +2.7 gap

MC2.8% fair 30-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.37

Faced85.6 +1.5 vs today

Pace EP83.6 best 94.3

Pace LP83.2 best 92.9

Energy0.50

Connections

JockJoel Rosarioκ 0.28was Hector Berrios · +1.0

TrnJohn Sadlerκ 0.55

J×T37 · 30% win · 57% ITM

Angles

Joel Rosario / John Sadler 25% -9% John Sadler: off layoff (60d+) 18% -15% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 2nd career start 13% -28% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	Win%	Fig
Life	1	0%	82.4
2026	1	0%	82.4
2025	0	—	—
DMR	0	—	—
Turf	1	0%	82.4
Route	0	—	—
Wet	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 62 07-19 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 H 45 07-08 SA Five Furlongs 1:01.20 hg 59 06-17 SA 4 Furlongs :47.60 H 65 06-10 SA 3 Furlongs :36.60 H 39 ★05-27 SA 3 Furlongs :35.80 H 56

SIREBlame 85 88%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-01-18	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	7	11	7.5	F	94	102	93	82	78	86	6.6	Hector Berrios

5 Perfectionachieved THIN DATA

3G 120 lbs L 1 C

1.2%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.6

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -3 vs par

Needs +5~15% run that

Class78.0 -3.4 vs race +8.1 gap

MC1.7% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced81.5 -2.6 vs today

Pace EP83.1 best 88.1

Pace LP85.6 best 96.5

Energy0.51

Connections

JockJulien Leparouxκ 0.14was Jose Gutierrez · +0.6

TrnO. Jaureguiκ 0.21was Rey Hernandez · +0.9

Angles

O. Jauregui: off layoff (60d+) 17% -12% O. Jauregui: first-time turf 16% -37% O. Jauregui: first-time Lasix 14% -43% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% First-time Lasix 12% -25% First-time turf 10% -26%

Record

	Sts	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	3	1	0%	89.1
2026	0	0	—	—
2025	3	1	0%	89.1
DMR	0	0	—	—
Turf	1	0	0%	79.4
Route	3	1	0%	89.1
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-20 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 69 07-06 SA Five Furlongs 1:00.60 h 64 06-15 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 H 64 06-08 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 H 58 06-01 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 H 55 05-25 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 53

SIREHonor A. P. 84 85%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-10-02 23d	IND	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	81	6	8	16.5		88	92	95	84	72	81	4.7	Jose Gutierrez
2025-09-09 13d	IND	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	82	3	8	2.5	S	87	84	96	89	82	76	62.6	Jose Gutierrez
2025-08-27	IND	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	81	11	12	13.5	F	83	89	82	79	75	81	69.6	Javier Padron-Barcenas

8 Pyrokinetic

3G 120 lbs L 1

0.2%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-7.5

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -3 vs par

MC2.2% fair 50-1

ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285

⚠ No history — ML-anchored

Connections

JockKyle Freyκ 0.12

TrnNeil Drysdaleκ 0.51

Angles

Debut 11% -25% Neil Drysdale: debut 6% -39%

Record

	Win%	Fig
Life	—	—
2026	—	—
2025	—	—
DMR	—	—
Turf	—	—
Route	—	—
Wet	—	—

WORKS 07-28 DMR 4 Furlongs :49.80 H 48 07-22 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.20 H 58 07-10 SA Four Furlongs 49.20 h 51 06-22 SA 3 Furlongs :36.40 H 43 ★06-17 SA 3 Furlongs :37.20 H 41

SIREHit It A Bomb 81 55%ile 1st-out 12% (48) turf 11%

No prior races in database

3 Black Pearl THIN DATA

3C 120 lbs L 1 C

0.2%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.6

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig76 -13 vs par

Needs +24~<1% run that

Class71.9 -9.5 vs race +3.7 gap

MC0.2% fair 99-1

ConfWIDE σα 0.52

Faced78.5 -5.6 vs today

Pace EP80.6 best 87.0

Pace LP83.8 best 94.9

Energy0.52

Connections

JockAbel Lezcanoκ 0.13was Harry Hernandez · +0.3

TrnNeil Drysdaleκ 0.51

J×T7 · 0% win · 29% ITM

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Neil Drysdale: off layoff (60d+) 11% -29% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	Win%	Fig
Life	1	0%	65.0
2026	0	—	—
2025	1	0%	65.0
DMR	0	—	—
Turf	1	0%	65.0
Route	0	—	—
Wet	0	—	—

WORKS 07-28 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.00 H 46 07-22 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.20 H 58 07-08 SA Five Furlongs 1:02.20 h 43 06-17 SA 4 Furlongs :49.20 H G 47 06-10 SA 4 Furlongs :49.20 H G 44 ★06-03 SA 5 Furlongs 1:04.40 H 18

SIREIrish Surf 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-12-16	TUP	7.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn	78	8	9	27.0	F	76	75	85	65	47	72	4.5	Harry Hernandez