DMR 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 D R5 T R6 D R7 T R8 D R9 T R10 D R11 T

Purse $81,000. Five Furlongs. (Turf) (Rail at 12 Feet) For California Bred Or California Sired Three Year Olds And Upward Which Have Never Won $21,000 Once Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price $20,000. Three Year Olds, 120 Lbs.; Older, 124 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $16,000 Or Less In The Last 2 Starts Preferred)(HORSES THAT ARE ENTERED FOR CLAIMING PRICE ARE RUNNING FOR A PURSE OF $46,000). .

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Wiki Kane ✓	10% 9-1 / 6/1	9.1%	P	12th/1w	92 +1.2	92¹-2	90³	90⁵	86⁴	L1J+1.6	—	4∠
2	Owl	7% 12-1 / 15/1	5.0%	EP	7th/1w	90 -1.2	91²-3	92¹	91⁴	78⁹	▲cls	8%	LS1∠
3	Ballyvaughan Gig	14% 6-1 / 3/1	14.3%	E	4th/1w	88 -3.0	87³-7	91²	89⁶	—		25%	⚠-1.6
4	Jaguar Jon ✓	23% 7-2 / 8/1	13.0%	EP	10th/1w	91 +0.4	80¹³-14	82¹³	95¹	86⁴	D→T▲cls	17%	✓+4.54∠
5	Scene by Me	7% 12-1 / 4/1	9.7%	EP	5th/1w	90 -0.4	87³-7	89⁵	89⁶	90²	L1	31%	3∠
6	Naftis	1% 99-1 / 20/1	2.0%	EP	3rd/1w	87 -4.1	81¹²-13	83¹²	82¹¹	—	J+1.2rte→spr	—
7	Kerry Gold ✓	3% 30-1 / 15/1	3.2%	S	13th/1w	90 -1.3	84⁹-10	85¹¹	88⁸	—	L2J-0.6D→T	—	⚠-1.44∠
8	Grey's Boy	3% 30-1 / 5/1	6.8%	EP	8th/2w	88 -2.6	83¹¹-11	86⁹	80¹⁴	76¹⁰	L1T-0.2	—	2∠
9	Instinct D' Oro	5% 20-1 / 12/1	4.7%	EP	1st/3w	84 -6.4	85⁷-9	87⁸	92²	88³	L3D→T▲cls	30%	5∠
10	Miles Finch	2% 50-1 / 8/1	4.5%	EP	6th/3w	91 0.0	86⁵-8	89⁵	82¹¹	84⁷	L1J+1.4	30%	3∠
11	Chase N Ryan ✓	1% 99-1 / 30/1	1.5%	P	14th/2w	87 -3.7	79¹⁴-15	80¹⁴	86⁹	97¹	★goldJ+0.8D→T▲cls	18%	5∠
12	Jetovator ✓	8% 10-1 / 5/2	13.1%	EP	9th/4w	90 -0.6	85⁷-9	90³	83¹⁰	83⁸	L1J+0.8	21%	3∠
13	I'm a Bad Boy ✓	2% 50-1 / 20/1	2.6%	EP	11th/4w	88 -2.6	84⁹-10	86⁹	82¹¹	86⁴	L3★goldJ-0.9D→T▲cls	0%	⚠-2.15∠
14	Its a Cinch	12% 7-1 / 5/1	10.6%	EP	2nd/4w	89 -1.6	86⁵-8	88⁷	92²	—	L2D→T	—	⚠-1.65∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 21.6s par 22.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 9 VULN ⚡ »» 105/102 Instinct D' Oro 14 LP »»» 96/116 Its a Cinch 6 93/98 Naftis 3 LP ⚡ 92/119 Ballyvaughan Gig 5 ⚡ 101/100 Scene by Me 10 »» 102/89 Miles Finch 2 82/110 Owl 8 » 94/103 Grey's Boy 12 »»» 93/93 Jetovator 4 98/94 Jaguar Jon 13 »»» 87/106 I'm a Bad Boy 1 86/112 Wiki Kane 7 110/81 Kerry Gold 11 » 98/102 Chase N Ryan

On the lead: 9, 14, 6, 3, 5, 10 · race sets up for closers

4 Jaguar Jon

4G 124 lbs L EP

23.0%

MODEL %

7-2

MODEL FAIR

+11.9

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig80 -14 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 94 vs par 94

Class91.3 +0.4 vs race -11.2 gap

MC1.4% fair 50-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.34

Faced88.2 -1.2 vs today

Pace EP85.9 best 98.2

Pace LP79.9 best 94.1

Energy0.52

Connections

JockCesar Belmontκ 0.02

TrnAndy Mathisκ 0.26

J×T23 · 17% win · 39% ITM

Angles

Andy Mathis: first-time turf 17% -18% First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	16	5	4	3	31%	95.4
2026	5	2	2	0	40%	95.4
2025	11	3	2	3	27%	94.3
DMR	4	1	0	1	25%	94.3
Turf	3	0	0	0	0%	82.3
Sprint	16	5	4	3	31%	95.4
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.60 H 32 07-20 DMR 4 Furlongs :49.60 H 43 07-11 SA Four Furlongs 49.20 h 51 06-13 SA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 46 06-06 SA 4 Furlongs :52.40 H 10 05-27 SA 4 Furlongs :47.20 H 79 ◆Courtside Action·95

SIREOm 81 55%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-21 58d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	2	5	3.2	F	98	78	73	95	96	92	1.5	Cesar Belmont
2026-04-24 35d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	1	7	0.0	F	80	81	77	93	89	92	2.0	Cesar Belmont
2026-03-20 33d	SA	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	2	10	2.2		92	nan	88	94	99	91	6.3	Cesar Belmont
2026-02-15 31d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	87	1	9	0.0		94	nan	94	94	94	91	13.0	Cesar Belmont
2026-01-15 40d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	5	6	3.5	S	84	nan	66	80	78	90	6.6	Cesar Belmont
2025-12-06 29d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	2	9	1.0	F	82	82	82	93	99	90	2.3	Tyler Baze
2025-11-07 21d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	4	8	3.0	S	81	94	101	82	83	89	6.8	Tyler Baze
2025-10-17 27d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	88	1	6	0.0	F	68	83	108	93	94	88	0.9	Tyler Baze
2025-09-20 21d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	2	8	0.1	F	112	77	nan	93	98	88	4.9	Tyler Baze
2025-08-30	DMR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	1	9	0.0	F	83	nan	78	94	98	88	1.0	Umberto Rispoli

3 Ballyvaughan Gig

6G 122 lbs L E

14.4%

MODEL %

6-1

MODEL FAIR

-10.6

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 -7 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class87.9 -3.0 vs race -0.7 gap

MC13.7% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced90.6 +1.2 vs today

Pace EP78.4 best 92.4

Pace LP87.3 best 118.5

Energy0.53

Connections

JockEdwin Maldonadoκ 0.13was Armando Ayuso · -0.1

TrnIsidro Tamayoκ 0.23

J×T4 · 25% win · 50% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	15	3	4	2	20%	94.1
2026	4	1	0	1	25%	90.8
2025	7	1	2	1	14%	93.5
DMR	3	0	1	0	0%	90.5
Turf	6	1	1	1	17%	90.8
Sprint	15	3	4	2	20%	94.1
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-19 DMR 3 Furlongs :37.40 H 34 07-10 SA Four Furlongs 50.00 h 38 06-08 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 H 78 05-09 SA 4 Furlongs :48.00 H 65

SIREGig Harbor 80 41%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-15 57d	SADH	6.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	3	10	3.0	F	—	—	—	89	97	87	2.9	Armando Ayuso
2026-04-19 22d	SA	5.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	88	1	9	0.0	F	77	93	118	91	100	86	5.1	Armando Ayuso
2026-03-28 35d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	5	8	5.8	F	78	94	95	87	91	85	5.3	Juan Hernandez
2026-02-21 83d·2.5×	SADH	6.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	7	12	3.5	F	92	nan	61	88	87	87	9.0	Geovanni Franco
2025-11-30 28d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	94	10	10	4.0	F	62	86	105	90	94	88	41.6	Edwin Maldonado
2025-11-02 36d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	2	7	1.0		nan	nan	79	90	90	86	24.7	Edwin Maldonado
2025-09-27 29d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	87	7	8	17.2	F	89	86	90	82	81	88	7.6	Geovanni Franco
2025-08-29 33d	DMR	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	88	7	10	6.0	F	99	nan	82	88	95	88	2.9	Ruben Silvera
2025-07-27 30d	EMD	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	2	7	0.1	F	93	77	56	90	89	86	2.18	Silvio Amador
2025-06-27	EMD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	1	8	0.0	F	86	91	86	94	100	86	1.39	Silvio Amador

14 Its a Cinch

4G 124 lbs L EP

12.3%

MODEL %

7-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.4

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -8 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class89.3 -1.6 vs race -2.8 gap

MC5.0% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced90.0 +0.6 vs today

Pace EP85.8 best 95.7

Pace LP86.3 best 116.0

Energy0.53

Connections

JockJulien Leparouxκ 0.14was Edwin Maldonado · +0.1

TrnLuis Mendezκ 0.27

Angles

2nd off layoff 13% -27% First-time turf 10% -26% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Luis Mendez: 2nd off layoff 9% -37% Luis Mendez: first-time turf 8% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	14	3	1	3	21%	92.5
2026	5	0	1	1	0%	91.5
2025	6	2	0	1	33%	92.5
DMR	5	0	0	2	0%	91.5
Turf	8	2	1	1	25%	89.9
Sprint	14	3	1	3	21%	92.5
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-12 SA Three Furlongs 36.20 h 47 06-03 SA 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 H G 51 04-24 SA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 48 03-08 SA 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 45

SIREOm 81 55%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17 77d	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	3	8	7.5	F	—	—	—	92	100	89	7.2	Edwin Maldonado
2026-05-01 27d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	89	9	10	5.5		94	98	97	84	82	89	5.2	Alfredo Bautista
2026-04-04 21d	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	6	6	19.5	F	86	78	66	90	96	91	16.8	Kyle Frey
2026-03-14 58d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	2	11	0.5	F	84	93	116	87	87	90	1.9	Juan Hernandez
2026-01-15 40d	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	91	4	7	3.0		96	nan	83	88	86	90	9.6	Edwin Maldonado
2025-12-06 13d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	1	9	0.0	F	85	91	87	92	100	89	9.3	Edwin Maldonado
2025-11-23 77d	DMR	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	89	3	5	4.5	F	88	88	89	89	99	89	8.4	Edwin Maldonado
2025-09-07 29d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	9	11	2.2	F	88	85	94	87	90	88	52.3	Edwin Maldonado
2025-08-09 43d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	5	7	6.8		95	nan	72	82	75	87	2.1	Edwin Maldonado
2025-06-27	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	86	9	10	11.5	F	88	86	105	86	82	87	4.7	Edwin Maldonado

1 Wiki Kane THIN DATA

3G 118 lbs L 1 P

10.5%

MODEL %

9-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.8

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -2 vs par

Needs +4~19% run that

Class92.1 +1.2 vs race -0.3 gap

MC14.7% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced87.8 -1.6 vs today

Pace EP80.6 best 86.0

Pace LP87.6 best 112.0

Energy0.50

Connections

JockJuan Hernandezκ 0.24was Serafin Carmona · +1.6

TrnAdam Kitchingmanκ 0.22

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% First-time Lasix 12% -25% Adam Kitchingman: first-time Lasix 9% -36% Adam Kitchingman: off layoff (60d+) 9% -50%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	2	1	1	50%	90.3
2026	0	0	0	—	—
2025	2	1	1	50%	90.3
DMR	2	1	1	50%	90.3
Turf	2	1	1	50%	90.3
Sprint	2	1	1	50%	90.3
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 DMR 4 Furlongs :47.40 H G 76 ◆Sensational Dream·83 07-18 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.20 H 70 07-11 SLR 5 Furlongs 1:02.20 H 45 07-04 SLR 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 58 06-27 SLR 4 Furlongs :51.80 H 21 ★06-22 SLR 3 Furlongs :36.00 H 47

SIREBodexpress 81 53%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-11-23 83d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Good	AOC	89	3	7	2.5	S	86	86	86	90	73	91	5.4	Serafin Carmona
2025-09-01	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	1	10	0.0	S	77	92	112	90	77	86	6.9	Serafin Carmona

12 Jetovator

10G 124 lbs L EP

8.5%

MODEL %

10-1

MODEL FAIR

-20.1

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -9 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class90.3 -0.6 vs race -5.3 gap

MC4.3% fair 20-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.36

Faced88.8 -0.6 vs today

Pace EP83.3 best 93.2

Pace LP83.4 best 93.3

Energy0.51

Connections

JockAntonio Fresuκ 0.2was Mirco Demuro · +0.8

TrnPeter Eurtonκ 0.57

J×T72 · 21% win · 51% ITM

Angles

Antonio Fresu / Peter Eurton 25% +40% Peter Eurton: off layoff (60d+) 15% -26% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	39	7	10	7	18%	96.9
2026	1	0	0	0	0%	82.9
2025	5	1	1	2	20%	91.0
DMR	6	1	0	2	17%	90.0
Turf	33	7	7	6	21%	96.9
Sprint	33	7	10	4	21%	96.9
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-27 DMR 3 Furlongs :36.00 H 48 07-20 DMR 4 Furlongs :47.40 H 69 07-13 SA Three Furlongs 37.60 h 30 07-06 SA Five Furlongs 1:01.00 h 57 06-22 SA 4 Furlongs :48.00 H 63 06-15 SA 4 Furlongs :50.00 H 37

SIREGrazen 85 88%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-01-15 48d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	6	6	4.2	S	90	83	76	83	77	90	2.5	Mirco Demuro
2025-11-28 49d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	1	9	0.0		90	80	nan	90	88	89	3.2	Antonio Fresu
2025-10-10 126d·2.0×	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	88	2	7	0.2		72	89	93	87	88	88	2.2	Antonio Fresu
2025-06-06 35d	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	88	4	8	1.5	F	82	90	82	90	87	88	1.9	Armando Ayuso
2025-05-02 118d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	88	3	7	3.5		93	88	92	90	92	88	3.1	Armando Ayuso
2025-01-04 69d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	3	11	1.0	F	83	82	94	91	93	90	3.3	Edwin Maldonado
2024-10-27 28d	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	90	2	7	0.1		72	nan	96	93	96	91	4.3	Edwin Maldonado
2024-09-29 63d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	91	2	11	0.1	F	86	77	74	91	91	91	14.2	Edwin Maldonado
2024-07-28 100d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	91	8	10	4.0		71	86	90	87	81	91	8.1	Edwin Maldonado
2024-04-19	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	90	1	6	0.0		106	83	77	93	94	92	2.3	Edwin Maldonado

2 Owl LONGSHOT THIN DATA

4G 122 lbs L EP

7.3%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

+1.0

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig91 -3 vs par

Needs +2~31% run that

Class89.7 -1.2 vs race +1.6 gap

MC27.1% fair 5-2

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced85.6 -3.8 vs today

Pace EP73.9 best 81.9

Pace LP85.8 best 109.6

Energy0.50

Connections

JockArmando Ayusoκ 0.14

TrnNeil Drysdaleκ 0.51

J×T50 · 8% win · 28% ITM

Angles

Armando Ayuso / Neil Drysdale 8% -48%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	2	1	50%	92.1
2026	2	1	50%	92.1
2025	0	0	—	—
DMR	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	1	50%	92.1
Sprint	2	1	50%	92.1
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-27 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 70 07-21 DMR 4 Furlongs :50.00 H 34 07-15 SA 3 Furlongs :39.80 H 10 06-19 SA 3 Furlongs :36.80 H 43 06-07 SA 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 55 05-31 SA 3 Furlongs :37.40 H 37

SIRESir Prancealot (Ire) 82 64%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-12 18d	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	1	9	0.0	F	47	nan	110	91	86	89	1.1	Armando Ayuso
2026-05-25	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	4	11	2.2		82	87	79	92	85	85	40.3	Armando Ayuso

5 Scene by Me

4G 122 lbs L EP

7.2%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-12.8

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 -7 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class90.5 -0.4 vs race -3.5 gap

MC9.6% fair 9-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced88.4 -1.0 vs today

Pace EP85.7 best 101.1

Pace LP83.3 best 99.9

Energy0.51

Connections

JockEmisael Jaramilloκ 0.14

TrnMark Glattκ 0.61

J×T16 · 31% win · 69% ITM

Angles

Mark Glatt: off layoff (60d+) 21% -3% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	1	1	25%	88.6
2026	3	1	0	1	33%	88.6
2025	1	0	1	0	0%	84.0
DMR	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	4	1	1	1	25%	88.6
Sprint	4	1	1	1	25%	88.6
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 68 07-18 DMR 3 Furlongs :35.60 H 50 07-11 SA Four Furlongs 48.00 h 63 06-20 SA 3 Furlongs :36.80 H 38 05-16 SA 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 54 05-09 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 H 58

SIRESir Prancealot (Ire) 82 64%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-30 43d	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	90	3	7	4.0		89	82	91	89	87	91	3.8	Emisael Jaramillo
2026-04-17 48d	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	6	7	4.0		101	nan	100	88	90	90	1.8	Emisael Jaramillo
2026-02-28 266d·5.5×	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	1	9	0.0	F	90	60	55	86	91	89	2.5	Emisael Jaramillo
2025-06-07	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	2	10	1.0		80	83	97	84	77	85	6.6	Abel Lezcano

9 Instinct D' Oro

5G 124 lbs L EP

5.1%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.6

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -9 vs par

Needs +3~25% run that

Class84.5 -6.4 vs race +0.7 gap

MC5.6% fair 15-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.31

Faced83.2 -6.2 vs today

Pace EP86.1 best 104.7

Pace LP83.5 best 102.2

Energy0.53

Connections

JockEdgar Payerasκ 0.06was Pedro Flores · +0.1

TrnSergio Morfinκ 0.11

J×T204 · 30% win · 63% ITM

Angles

Edgar Payeras / Sergio Morfin 19% -11% First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Sergio Morfin: first-time turf 4% -72%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	14	4	1	2	29%	94.8
2026	2	0	1	1	0%	94.6
2025	3	0	0	1	0%	91.7
DMR	4	0	0	0	0%	91.7
Turf	2	0	0	0	0%	86.9
Sprint	14	4	1	2	29%	94.8
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-21 LA 3 Furlongs :38.00 H 32 07-12 LA 3 Furlongs :38.40 H 36 06-18 LA 3 Furlongs :39.40 H 19 05-19 LA 3 Furlongs :37.20 H 36 04-03 LA 5 Furlongs 1:00.60 H 63 ★03-11 LA 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 H 54

SIREGato Del Oro 80 40%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26 32d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	3	10	2.8	F	105	nan	72	92	89	82	3.7	Pedro Flores
2026-05-25 254d·7.1×	SA	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	2	9	0.1	F	90	91	98	95	99	81	15.1	Pedro Flores
2025-09-13 16d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	6	10	5.5	F	88	76	66	86	86	80	1.7	Edgar Payeras
2025-08-28 62d	DMR	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	4	11	6.5	F	97	91	89	92	99	78	4.5	Alfredo Bautista
2025-06-27 201d·5.6×	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	3	7	0.8	F	69	86	102	91	93	78	1.4	Edgar Payeras
2024-12-08 28d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	1	6	0.0	F	72	87	94	93	100	84	0.5	Edgar Payeras
2024-11-10 37d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	88	7	10	4.2	S	84	81	100	87	84	83	48.0	Serafin Carmona
2024-10-04 20d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	90	7	7	9.2		96	83	60	84	83	87	32.8	Edgar Payeras
2024-09-14 36d	LRC	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	1	9	0.0	F	82	88	87	88	85	85	2.7	Edgar Payeras
2024-08-09	DMR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	8	9	13.5	F	86	78	nan	87	83	85	16.6	Tiago Pereira

7 Kerry Gold

7G 124 lbs L S

2.7%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.5

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -10 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class89.6 -1.3 vs race -5.3 gap

MC3.2% fair 30-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.21

Faced90.2 +0.8 vs today

Pace EP87.7 best 109.5

Pace LP75.5 best 81.0

Energy0.53

Connections

JockKyle Freyκ 0.12was Kent Desormeaux · -0.6

TrnDaniel Azcarateκ 0.24

Angles

2nd off layoff 13% -27% First-time turf 10% -26% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Daniel Azcarate: first-time turf 7% -34%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	41	4	7	9	10%	91.3
2026	1	0	0	0	0%	88.3
2025	15	0	2	5	0%	91.3
DMR	10	1	1	0	10%	91.3
Turf	18	4	2	1	22%	89.5
Sprint	16	0	5	4	0%	88.9
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-06 SA Five Furlongs 1:00.60 h 65 06-15 SA 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 45 06-08 SA 4 Furlongs :48.20 H 61 06-01 SA 4 Furlongs :48.00 H 64 05-25 SA 3 Furlongs :38.00 H 24 05-11 SA 3 Furlongs :39.40 H 13

SIREGig Harbor 80 41%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-17 243d·11.6×	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	8	8	13.2	F	—	—	—	88	94	91	19.0	Kent Desormeaux
2025-11-16 21d	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	91	2	6	7.8	F	89	86	81	85	87	91	18.8	Armando Aguilar
2025-10-26 16d	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	3	7	4.8	S	81	76	64	89	92	91	9.7	Armando Aguilar
2025-10-10 34d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	3	9	1.5	F	83	89	66	87	95	91	17.3	Armando Aguilar
2025-09-06 14d	DMR	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	7	10	6.2	F	99	85	75	89	95	90	28.0	Armando Ayuso
2025-08-23 8d	DMR	8.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	89	4	10	4.5	F	110	88	78	91	102	90	9.7	Juan Hernandez
2025-08-15 26d	DMR	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	89	4	9	1.2		69	80	102	86	82	90	14.1	Armando Ayuso
2025-07-20 35d	DMR	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	90	5	12	2.8		71	96	99	87	90	90	35.3	Armando Ayuso
2025-06-15 15d	SADH	6.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	9	10	8.2	F	91	86	80	85	83	90	100.4	Tiago Pereira
2025-05-31	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	89	5	6	4.2	S	84	nan	82	83	80	90	18.9	Welfin Orantes

8 Grey's Boy THIN DATA

4G 122 lbs L EP

2.7%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-14.0

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig83 -11 vs par

Needs +11~3% run that

Class88.3 -2.6 vs race -5.2 gap

MC3.1% fair 30-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.34

Faced85.7 -3.7 vs today

Pace EP81.2 best 93.9

Pace LP84.4 best 102.6

Energy0.52

Connections

JockKazushi Kimuraκ 0.14was Armando Ayuso · +0.0

TrnV Cerinκ 0.48was Vladimir Cerin · -0.2

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	2	1	50%	85.9
2026	2	1	50%	85.9
2025	0	0	—	—
DMR	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	1	50%	85.9
Sprint	2	1	50%	85.9
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 DMR 5 Furlongs 1:03.40 H 29 07-17 DMR 4 Furlongs :47.00 H 78 ◆Kennyten·98 07-06 SA Four Furlongs 48.80 h 48 06-13 SA 4 Furlongs :49.00 H 44 05-23 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.00 H 81 ◆Romantic Ride·92 05-17 SA 4 Furlongs :47.00 H 76

SIREHe Be Fire N Ice 81 57%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-04-30 39d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	89	4	6	4.2		72	88	79	80	76	86	1.9	Armando Ayuso
2026-03-22	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	83	1	10	0.0	F	94	75	103	86	87	82	10.8	Armando Ayuso

13 I'm a Bad Boy

4G 119 lbs L EP

2.4%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.4

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -10 vs par

Needs +11~3% run that

Class88.3 -2.6 vs race -4.2 gap

MC3.3% fair 30-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced89.6 +0.2 vs today

Pace EP80.5 best 87.4

Pace LP90.3 best 106.2

Energy0.54

Connections

JockAlfredo Bautistaκ 0.08was Tiago Pereira · -0.9

TrnLuis Mendezκ 0.27

J×T7 · 0% win · 29% ITM

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22% First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Luis Mendez: first-time turf 8% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	13	3	2	3	23%	97.0
2026	2	0	0	0	0%	81.6
2025	3	1	0	0	33%	89.3
DMR	5	1	1	2	20%	94.7
Turf	2	1	0	1	50%	85.8
Sprint	10	2	1	3	20%	97.0
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-12 SA Four Furlongs 50.60 h 30 05-31 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H G 60 05-13 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.20 H 84 05-01 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 H 52 04-23 SA 4 Furlongs :47.60 H 67 04-16 SA 4 Furlongs :51.60 H 21

SIREStay Thirsty 81 57%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26 20d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	10	10	11.2	F	65	93	106	82	78	89	10.6	Tiago Pereira
2026-06-06 427d·12.6×	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	91	6	6	21.5	F	86	95	90	78	75	91	17.0	Edwin Maldonado
2025-04-05 36d	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	4	7	12.2	F	87	84	99	89	84	92	2.7	Edwin Maldonado
2025-02-28 41d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	86	1	5	0.0		78	91	94	84	77	91	1.0	Edwin Maldonado
2025-01-18 34d	SA	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	7	8	15.8	F	87	84	93	85	74	93	4.7	Ricardo Gonzalez
2024-12-15 14d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	89	2	9	0.1		nan	nan	88	93	86	93	5.8	Ricardo Gonzalez
2024-12-01 30d	DMR	5.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	87	3	7	0.8		93	82	69	86	81	92	2.7	Ricardo Gonzalez
2024-11-01 26d	DMR	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	89	5	8	3.8	F	99	84	80	94	96	92	3.8	Ricardo Gonzalez
2024-10-06 36d	SA	6.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	1	8	0.0	F	89	87	99	97	94	90	1.4	Ricardo Gonzalez
2024-08-31	DMR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	1	9	0.0	F	90	94	92	94	91	90	0.7	Ricardo Gonzalez

10 Miles Finch

4C 122 lbs L EP

1.8%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-9.3

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -8 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class90.9 0.0 vs race -4.7 gap

MC6.0% fair 15-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced88.1 -1.3 vs today

Pace EP80.3 best 101.6

Pace LP81.9 best 88.9

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJoel Rosarioκ 0.28was Kazushi Kimura · +1.4

TrnJohn Sadlerκ 0.55

J×T37 · 30% win · 57% ITM

Angles

Joel Rosario / John Sadler 25% -9% John Sadler: off layoff (60d+) 18% -15% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	8	1	1	3	12%	88.9
2026	2	0	0	0	0%	88.9
2025	4	1	0	2	25%	84.6
DMR	2	0	0	1	0%	85.3
Turf	8	1	1	3	12%	88.9
Sprint	5	1	1	1	20%	88.9
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.00 H 64 07-18 DMR 4 Furlongs :47.60 H 64 07-11 SA Five Furlongs 59.80 h 77 06-20 SA 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 H 59 06-13 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 54 06-06 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 60

SIREVronsky 83 77%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-16 29d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	6	7	3.0	F	79	83	89	82	80	90	4.4	Kazushi Kimura
2026-04-17 258d·5.2×	SA	6.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	4	8	2.8		85	98	75	89	92	89	8.3	Kazushi Kimura
2025-08-02 56d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	9	12	7.8	F	102	92	82	84	84	89	7.1	Juan Hernandez
2025-06-07 105d·2.1×	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	1	10	0.0		64	80	85	84	79	89	1.5	Juan Hernandez
2025-02-22 35d	SA	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	3	9	2.5	F	73	84	84	83	78	89	4.0	Juan Hernandez
2025-01-18 50d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	3	9	1.8		84	88	86	85	84	88	1.0	Flavien Prat
2024-11-29 35d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	83	3	11	2.0	F	48	107	107	85	78	88	3.5	Flavien Prat
2024-10-25	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	2	9	1.2	S	83	95	106	86	70	84	1.2	Juan Hernandez

11 Chase N Ryan

3G 118 lbs L P

1.1%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.1

EDGE vs ML

30/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig79 -15 vs par

Needs +15~<1% run that

Class87.2 -3.7 vs race -8.6 gap

MC0.2% fair 99-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.26

Faced88.9 -0.5 vs today

Pace EP85.6 best 98.3

Pace LP86.8 best 101.6

Energy0.52

Connections

JockTiago Pereiraκ 0.17was Armando Aguilar · +0.8

TrnSteve Knappκ 0.32

J×T223 · 18% win · 47% ITM

Angles

Tiago Pereira / Steve Knapp 17% +7% First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26% Steve Knapp: first-time turf 6% -54%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	13	2	2	1	15%	89.4
2026	5	0	1	0	0%	85.9
2025	8	2	1	1	25%	89.4
DMR	3	1	0	0	33%	88.1
Turf	4	0	1	0	0%	79.5
Sprint	13	2	2	1	15%	89.4
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.20 H 63 07-18 DMR 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 56 07-10 SA Five Furlongs 1:01.60 h 57 06-06 SA 4 Furlongs :47.60 H 66 05-16 SA 4 Furlongs :48.40 H 59 05-09 SA 5 Furlongs 1:01.60 H 57

SIREStay Thirsty 81 57%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-26 11d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	87	7	10	7.2	F	98	nan	96	86	83	87	46.8	Armando Aguilar
2026-06-15 22d	SADH	6.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	90	10	10	19.8	F	—	—	—	75	76	89	41.6	Kazushi Kimura
2026-05-24 84d·3.2×	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	4	6	7.5	S	73	88	102	76	67	88	8.2	Kazushi Kimura
2026-03-01 41d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	2	5	1.8		91	88	100	80	80	87	8.8	Kazushi Kimura
2026-01-19 38d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	4	5	3.2	S	85	75	75	78	73	85	7.4	Kazushi Kimura
2025-12-12 26d	LRC	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	3	5	6.8	F	98	89	82	87	83	83	7.0	Kazushi Kimura
2025-11-16 23d	DMR	5.5f	dirt	Good	Clm	83	1	7	0.0	F	88	100	111	88	89	81	5.5	Kazushi Kimura
2025-10-24 34d	SA	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	1	11	0.0		74	96	105	89	84	80	3.6	Kazushi Kimura
2025-09-20 20d	LRC	5.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	2	10	1.8	F	100	88	94	88	84	78	14.6	Assael Espinoza
2025-08-31	DMR	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	5	9	10.8	F	87	nan	60	84	77	78	62.1	Assael Espinoza

6 Naftis

5G 122 lbs L EP

1.0%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.8

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig81 -13 vs par

Needs +8~2% run that

Class86.8 -4.1 vs race -5.5 gap

MC3.0% fair 30-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced86.8 -2.6 vs today

Pace EP83.6 best 93.0

Pace LP87.8 best 98.2

Energy0.54

Connections

JockJoe Bravoκ 0.21was Armando Aguilar · +1.2

TrnGenaro Vallejoκ 0.12

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	22	2	5	4	9%	91.1
2026	6	1	2	0	17%	89.2
2025	7	0	1	1	0%	84.9
DMR	1	0	0	0	0%	82.2
Turf	6	0	0	0	0%	83.4
Sprint	15	1	1	4	7%	91.1
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-19 LA 4 Furlongs :47.80 H 70 05-31 LA 4 Furlongs :49.40 H 48 05-09 LA 4 Furlongs :49.60 H 48 04-18 LA 4 Furlongs :50.20 H 45 ◆Thriving Autism·56 03-28 LA 4 Furlongs :48.60 H 61 03-08 LA 4 Furlongs :48.80 H 54

SIRESir Prancealot (Ire) 82 64%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-25 21d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	6	8	7.0	F	—	—	—	82	87	86	28.0	Armando Aguilar
2026-07-04 15d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	2	8	0.5	F	80	80	93	89	97	84	19.5	Cesar Belmont
2026-06-19 12d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	6	1.5	F	87	83	84	85	86	82	6.4	Cesar Belmont
2026-06-07 22d	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	89	4	6	2.8	F	93	93	95	81	83	81	44.6	Cesar Belmont
2026-05-16 41d·2.0×	SA	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	1	6	0.0		80	nan	98	87	90	79	12.7	Armando Aguilar
2026-04-05 281d·13.4×	SA	6.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	87	7	10	5.2		89	84	91	80	80	80	60.8	Francisco Orduna-Rojas
2025-06-28 7d	LRC	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	78	2	6	2.0		nan	nan	83	85	90	84	1.4	Edgar Payeras
2025-06-21 21d	LRC	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	5	10	3.0	F	71	92	98	82	77	84	5.4	Edgar Payeras
2025-05-31 28d	SA	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	80	3	5	4.2		80	nan	84	82	77	85	0.5	Welfin Orantes
2025-05-03	SA	5.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	86	5	5	12.2		81	86	98	82	84	86	4.9	Welfin Orantes