GP 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

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▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 S R2 T R3 S R4 T R5 S R6 S R7 T R8 D R9 T

Purse $27,500. One Mile And Seventy Yards. (All Weather Track) (Includes $4,800 – FBIF - Florida Bred Incentive Fund) (Includes $1,700 – FOA - Florida Owners Awards). For Fillies Three Years Old Or Fillies And Mares Four Years Old And Upward Which Have Never Won Three Races. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 2 Lbs.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Pocket Pair ✓	41% 3-2 / 5/1	28.1%	S	3rd/1w	87 +2.3	81⁵-7	85³	81²	86²	J-4.1	—	⚠-4.9★PRIME
4	Imperia Blue ✓	12% 7-1 / 7/2	20.6%	S	1st/1w	87 +2.1	86²-2	88¹	79³	81⁴	J+0.9▲slo-close	15%	1∠
5	Slewty Princess ✓	14% 6-1 / 5/2	26.0%	S	2nd/1w	88 +2.6	89¹+1	88¹	79³	91¹	J+2.1T→S	25%	1∠
6	Smart Style ✓	4% 20-1 / 8/1	9.6%	C	5th/1w	83 -2.1	84³-4	82⁴	79³	86²	L1J+0.6D→S▲cls	17%	2∠
7	Mamuka ✓	28% 5-2 / 15/1	15.7%	C	4th/1w	86 +1.0	83⁴-5	81⁵	87¹	81⁴	D→S	0%	★VALUE

Pace Projector HONEST PACE 1st¼ 24.4s par 24.4 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 4 HOLDS 103/96 Imperia Blue 5 94/94 Slewty Princess 1 101/94 Pocket Pair 7 99/100 Mamuka 6 C★ 93/113 Smart Style

1 Pocket Pair ★ PRIME

4F 116 lbs L S

40.8%

MODEL %

3-2

MODEL FAIR

+24.1

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig81 -7 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class87.2 +2.3 vs race -6.2 gap

MC13.1% fair 7-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.14

Faced84.4 -2.6 vs today

Pace EP82.5 best 100.8

Pace LP76.4 best 94.0

Energy0.51

Connections

JockPedro Penaκ -0.25was Miguel Vasquez · -4.1

TrnCarlos Davidκ 0.38

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	23	2	4	6	9%	90.6
2026	7	1	2	2	14%	84.7
2025	12	0	2	2	0%	84.4
GP	20	1	4	5	5%	90.6
Synthetic	16	1	4	5	6%	90.6
Route	20	2	4	5	10%	90.6
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 PMM 3 Furlongs :38.95 B 23 07-12 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.35 B G 54 05-30 PMM 3 Furlongs :38.50 B 33 03-20 PMM 3 Furlongs :37.90 B 36 03-06 PMM 4 Furlongs :52.00 B 22

SIRECatalina Cruiser 82 71%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-19 12d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	3	8	4.0	S	92	92	79	81	78	87	4.5	Miguel Vasquez
2026-06-07 29d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	85	4	6	6.0	S	70	74	59	81	74	88	2.5	Miguel Vasquez
2026-05-09 22d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	1	10	0.0		68	nan	74	85	79	87	2.2	Miguel Vasquez
2026-04-17 21d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	83	2	6	4.5		89	76	94	80	74	87	2.3	Miguel Vasquez
2026-03-27 15d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	3	11	2.5		101	81	64	82	80	87	4.8	Dylan Davis
2026-03-12 49d·2.2×	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	4	7	3.5	S	80	93	113	82	72	86	5.9	Miguel Vasquez
2026-01-22 41d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	82	2	7	6.5	F	98	85	79	82	75	87	4.7	Miguel Vasquez
2025-12-12 19d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	2	6	0.5		89	85	74	83	82	87	2.3	Miguel Vasquez
2025-11-23 29d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	85	3	12	2.5		88	97	90	84	82	86	6.8	Miguel Vasquez
2025-10-25	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	84	6	9	7.0	F	89	82	92	81	83	87	16.6	Miguel Vasquez

7 Mamuka ★ VALUE

4F 125 lbs L C

28.2%

MODEL %

5-2

MODEL FAIR

+21.9

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig83 -5 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class85.9 +1.0 vs race -3.3 gap

MC14.7% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.21

Faced84.4 -2.6 vs today

Pace EP86.8 best 99.1

Pace LP83.5 best 100.2

Energy0.52

Connections

JockLeonel Reyesκ 0.2

TrnReyel Brathwaiteκ 0.09

J×T4 · 0% win · 50% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	19	2	3	2	11%	87.3
2026	8	0	2	1	0%	87.3
2025	11	2	1	1	18%	85.7
GP	19	2	3	2	11%	87.3
Synthetic	11	1	1	1	9%	82.9
Route	17	1	2	2	6%	87.0
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-05 GP 4 Furlongs :47.77 B 72 06-28 GP 4 Furlongs :49.92 B 46 05-15 GP 4 Furlongs :48.97 B ★05-08 GP 3 Furlongs :35.39 B 52 05-02 GP 4 Furlongs :51.20 B 41 04-08 GP 4 Furlongs :52.02 B 29

SIREHonor A. P. 84 85%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-13 37d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	85	3	6	3.0	S	93	87	70	87	84	85	5.3	Leonel Reyes
2026-06-06 15d	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	2	7	3.2		99	96	89	87	87	85	7.7	Leonel Reyes
2026-05-22 33d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	5	8	5.0		82	89	92	80	78	84	9.2	Rajiv Maragh
2026-04-19 45d·2.1×	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	83	2	6	6.0	S	82	92	100	86	88	84	11.2	Jose Gomez
2026-03-05 13d	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	86	6	8	14.2	S	99	80	77	74	71	85	61.8	Romero Maragh
2026-02-20 22d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	7	9	8.5	S	78	83	99	79	75	86	33.0	Rajiv Maragh
2026-01-29 20d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	5	7	2.8		70	77	63	79	77	85	10.2	Miguel Vasquez
2026-01-09 21d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	7	7	5.2	S	86	82	79	77	68	85	8.0	Miguel Vasquez
2025-12-19 20d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	3	8	2.8	F	96	nan	82	81	83	84	14.0	Miguel Vasquez
2025-11-29	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	85	8	10	8.5	S	91	nan	86	78	80	84	17.3	Christian Maragh

5 Slewty Princess

3F 122 lbs L S

14.3%

MODEL %

6-1

MODEL FAIR

-14.3

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig89 +1 vs par

Needs +5~10% run that

Class87.5 +2.6 vs race +1.2 gap

MC34.3% fair 2-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.18

Faced87.0 0.0 vs today

Pace EP84.1 best 94.3

Pace LP83.0 best 93.8

Energy0.51

Connections

JockDiego Herreraκ 0.12was Wladimir Rengifo · +2.1

TrnLuis Ramirezκ 0.26

J×T4 · 25% win · 25% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	11	2	3	18%	88.4
2026	6	1	2	17%	88.4
2025	5	1	1	20%	87.9
GP	11	2	3	18%	88.4
Synthetic	7	2	3	29%	88.4
Route	8	2	3	25%	88.4
Wet	1	0	0	0%	76.9

WORKS 05-07 GP 4 Furlongs :48.81 B 60 ★04-03 GP 4 Furlongs :45.91 B 81 03-07 GP 4 Furlongs :46.86 B 63

SIREAwesome Slew 83 79%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-12 30d	GP	8.0f	turf	Good	Alw	88	8	9	7.8		89	85	94	79	74	88	74.1	Wladimir Rengifo
2026-06-12 20d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Alw	88	6	7	13.0	S	76	nan	90	82	79	89	6.6	Diego Herrera
2026-05-23 35d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	2	7	6.2		92	84	nan	88	93	89	0.8	Yolber Torres
2026-04-18 29d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	86	1	6	0.0	S	82	80	90	86	83	88	0.7	Leonel Reyes
2026-03-20 26d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	87	2	8	0.8	F	94	95	67	86	88	87	4.0	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-02-22 127d·4.2×	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	85	4	6	1.2		72	82	90	88	82	85	1.2	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-10-18 29d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	80	1	9	0.0		92	91	102	88	82	85	0.9	Miguel Vasquez
2025-09-19 35d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	81	2	9	0.2	F	81	84	104	85	80	84	2.6	Edwin Gonzalez
2025-08-15 41d	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	82	4	10	4.2	F	83	87	82	83	82	84	12.2	Yolber Torres
2025-07-05	GP	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy	MSW	85	6	8	9.5	F	99	84	79	77	66	85	11.4	Edwin Gonzalez

4 Imperia Blue

3F 122 lbs L S

12.3%

MODEL %

7-1

MODEL FAIR

-9.9

EDGE vs ML

7/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -2 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class87.0 +2.1 vs race -1.3 gap

MC20.8% fair 4-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.23

Faced84.9 -2.1 vs today

Pace EP87.0 best 103.3

Pace LP85.5 best 96.2

Energy0.52

Connections

JockSamy Camachoκ 0.16was Jesus Rios · +0.9

TrnAntonio Sanoκ 0.13

J×T66 · 15% win · 42% ITM

Angles

Samy Camacho / Antonio Sano 13% -47%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	13	2	1	3	15%	89.6
2026	9	1	1	1	11%	87.7
2025	4	1	0	2	25%	89.6
GP	13	2	1	3	15%	89.6
Synthetic	8	2	1	2	25%	89.6
Route	13	2	1	3	15%	89.6
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-18 GP 5 Furlongs 1:00.13 B 90 06-06 GP 5 Furlongs :59.86 B 90 05-09 GP 4 Furlongs :54.62 B 5 ★05-02 GP 5 Furlongs 1:01.23 B 80

SIREAudible 85 90%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 21d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	85	4	6	11.0	S	71	91	90	79	69	88	1.6	Jesus Rios
2026-06-12 26d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	85	1	6	0.0		96	nan	85	88	93	88	1.7	Jesus Rios
2026-05-17 29d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	84	5	9	7.8	S	94	92	96	81	75	88	2.5	Samy Camacho
2026-04-18 13d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	86	2	6	1.2	S	103	90	90	84	82	87	5.7	Samy Camacho
2026-04-05 16d	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	Clm	85	3	7	6.5	F	92	93	83	79	71	88	4.8	Samy Camacho
2026-03-20 15d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	87	5	8	10.8	F	74	85	35	80	79	88	4.8	Edgard Zayas
2026-03-05 28d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	85	5	8	6.8	S	68	85	104	82	80	88	5.1	Javier Castellano
2026-02-05 28d	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	86	6	7	8.0	F	81	77	81	83	82	89	9.5	Edgard Zayas
2026-01-08 46d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Str Alw	84	5	9	3.5		93	86	95	80	77	87	9.0	Edgard Zayas
2025-11-23	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Str Alw	84	3	6	7.0		86	81	63	89	82	87	0.8	Edgard Zayas

6 Smart Style

4F 123 lbs L C

4.4%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.7

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -4 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class82.8 -2.1 vs race +1.1 gap

MC16.9% fair 5-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced85.3 -1.7 vs today

Pace EP83.6 best 92.8

Pace LP86.3 best 113.1

Energy0.52

Connections

JockJonathan Ocasioκ 0.11was Angel Morales · +0.6

TrnRoger Laurinκ 0.34

J×T18 · 17% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Roger Laurin: off layoff (60d+) 15% -26% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	12	1	2	8%	81.8
2026	3	0	1	0%	81.4
2025	9	1	1	11%	81.8
GP	8	1	1	12%	81.8
Synthetic	4	1	1	25%	81.8
Route	11	1	2	9%	81.8
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 OHC 4 Furlongs :52.20 B 41 07-18 OHC 3 Furlongs :40.60 B 29 07-11 OHC 3 Furlongs :40.40 B 30 ★06-20 OHC 3 Furlongs :40.40 B 33 06-13 OHC 3 Furlongs :41.00 B 23 ★05-30 OHC 3 Furlongs :40.40 B 30

SIREAwesome Slew 83 79%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-04-04 41d	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	4	8	12.5		93	89	79	79	78	84	9.2	Angel Morales
2026-02-22 23d	TAM	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Clm	84	3	6	3.0	S	85	96	89	81	76	83	29.6	Angel Morales
2026-01-30 82d·3.6×	TAM	8.181818181818182f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	7	8	14.2	S	92	93	90	78	72	84	59.5	Angel Morales
2025-11-09 28d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	7	9	11.8		87	96	113	81	82	84	27.7	Jonathan Ocasio
2025-10-12 49d·2.1×	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	8	8	11.8		72	83	79	78	80	85	6.9	Jonathan Ocasio
2025-08-24 22d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Clm	86	3	7	2.5		96	84	74	82	81	82	13.7	Jonathan Ocasio
2025-08-02 14d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Clm	83	8	8	5.5	S	92	77	65	80	81	80	20.5	Jonathan Ocasio
2025-07-19 15d	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Mdn Clm	79	1	9	0.0	F	81	93	95	80	80	78	8.0	Jonathan Ocasio
2025-07-04 20d	GP	6.5f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	78	5	11	18.8	F	74	97	107	78	79	80	7.0	Yolber Torres
2025-06-14	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	82	6	10	6.0	F	89	84	95	80	83	80	35.8	Jonathan Ocasio