TRACKS · 2026-08-01 ALL CARDS ↗
▸ How to read a horse block
MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σα. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.
R1 S R2 T R3 S R4 T R5 S R6 S R7 T R8 D R9 T
R6 CLAIMING
GP 2026-08-01 Five And One Half Furlongs ALL WEATHER TRACK
88
strength
+2.7 salty
92
win par
fig to beat
SPEED DUEL
shape
closers favored
FAST
early pace
1st¼ 22.2s / par 22.6
TOP-HEAVY
field
figs 74.4–91.2
Purse $29,000. Five And One Half Furlongs. (All Weather Track) (Includes $6,200 – FBIF - Florida Bred Incentive Fund) (Includes $1,800 – FOA - Florida Owners Awards). For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward. Three Year Olds, 122 Lbs.; Older, 125 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since May 1 Allowed 2 Lbs. Claiming Price $10,000 (Races Where Entered For $8,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
TODAY'S CONTENDERS WIN% · FAIR / ML QIK% STY P1C CLASS PROJ COND LAST SUS J×T
1 Judge Judith 1% 50-1 / 20/1 2.8% P 6th/1w 82 -2.7 747-18 797 806 J-1.1T→Srte→spr ⚠-2.0
2 Misprint 16% 5-1 / 5/2 19.8% P 5th/1w 88 +3.2 911-1 922 912 853 T+1.5J-0.5 33%
3 I Love Venezuela 2% 50-1 / 12/1 4.3% EP 4th/1w 85 -0.5 835-9 875 747 796 L1CLMT-1.0J-1.7rte→spr▲slo-close ⚠-3.22∠
4 Chloe's Toy 55% 4-5 / 9/5 39.0% EP 1st/2w 89 +3.7 911-1 941 941 872 L3CLMT-0.2 30% ✓+3.4⚓ANCHOR★PRIME1∠
5 Blond Jak 13% 7-1 / 6/1 11.8% S 7th/2w 88 +3.4 911-1 903 903 881 J-0.7 15%
6 Sara's Rose 5% 20-1 / 8/1 7.1% P 2nd/2w 88 +2.7 796-13 866 855 815 CLMT-4.3J-3.8D→S▲cls ⚠-5.8
7 Any Moment 9% 10-1 / 3/1 15.3% P 3rd/3w 88 +2.5 904-2 903 903 824 23% 1∠
Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 22.2s par 22.6 EP/LP
ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 4 HOLDS » 96/95 Chloe's Toy 6 » 107/95 Sara's Rose 7 »» 92/103 Any Moment 3 C★ 91/110 I Love Venezuela 2 99/101 Misprint 1 100/101 Judge Judith 5 » 90/100 Blond Jak
On the lead: 4, 6 · race sets up for closers
4 Chloe's Toy ★ PRIME
6M 125 lbs L EP
55.3%
MODEL %
4-5
MODEL FAIR
+19.6
EDGE vs ML
9/5
M/L
Form
Proj Fig91 -1 vs par
Needs fits levelbase 92 vs par 92
Class88.8 +3.7 vs race +2.2 gap
MC24.8% fair 3-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.22
Faced87.6 -0.2 vs today
Pace EP84.6 best 96.0
Pace LP86.6 best 94.7
Energy0.51
Connections
JockMiguel Vasquezκ 0.16
TrnSebastian Pulgarinκ 0.16CLAIMEDwas Daniel Hurtak · -0.2
J×T10 · 30% win · 40% ITM
Angles
3rd off layoff 14% -22%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 3596726%93.7
2026 430175%93.7
2025 1123118%86.9
GP 3596726%93.7
Synthetic 3396627%93.7
Sprint 3596726%93.7
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.95 B 45 06-01 GP 4 Furlongs :47.54 B 78 05-17 GP 4 Furlongs :47.58 B G 71 05-06 GP 3 Furlongs :36.91 B 39
SIREJimmy Creed 83 77%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-11 20d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 1 5 0.0 F 79 88 94 94 90 88 1.3 Miguel Vasquez
2026-06-21 150d·7.1× GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 87 1 7 0.0 80 86 89 91 90 88 3.3 Miguel Vasquez
2026-01-22 21d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 1 8 0.0 F 96 98 95 92 83 88 1.6 Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-01-01 54d·2.6× GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 87 3 7 5.5 89 94 84 89 86 88 4.1 Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-11-08 20d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 88 4 8 5.8 F 92 83 91 87 91 88 1.5 Samy Camacho
2025-10-19 21d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 2 11 1.5 F 97 80 107 86 83 88 4.6 Samy Camacho
2025-09-28 23d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 87 2 10 1.2 F 92 86 83 87 84 88 4.2 Jose Morelos
2025-09-05 19d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 2 6 0.8 F 99 87 82 85 87 88 4.4 Jose Morelos
2025-08-17 85d·4.0× GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 86 4 8 2.0 F 91 84 88 85 80 88 7.7 Jose Morelos
2025-05-24 GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 88 6 8 5.5 F 100 91 94 82 79 89 3.4 Edgard Zayas
2 Misprint
5M 125 lbs L P
15.7%
MODEL %
5-1
MODEL FAIR
-12.9
EDGE vs ML
5/2
M/L
Form
Proj Fig91 -1 vs par
Needs +2~30% run that
Class88.3 +3.2 vs race +2.9 gap
MC29.0% fair 5-2
ConfTIGHT σα 0.17
Faced87.4 -0.4 vs today
Pace EP84.4 best 99.4
Pace LP82.5 best 100.5
Energy0.51
Connections
JockDiego Herreraκ 0.12was Jose Morelos · -0.5
TrnDavid Fawkesκ 0.3was Armando De La Cerda · +1.5
J×T6 · 33% win · 50% ITM
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 39117528%92.4
2026 821225%92.4
2025 1655031%90.6
GP 34107429%92.4
Synthetic 33107430%92.4
Sprint 29103534%92.4
Wet 0000
WORKS 03-29 GP 3 Furlongs :36.50 B 46
SIRETake Charge Indy 83 81%ile turf 11%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-11 20d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 3 5 2.8 F 72 96 98 91 86 88 6.0 Jose Morelos
2026-06-21 21d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 87 4 7 4.8 95 82 69 86 84 89 2.1 Yolber Torres
2026-05-31 38d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 1 5 0.0 76 69 73 92 88 88 2.3 Edwin Gonzalez
2026-04-23 20d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 87 1 7 0.0 99 100 79 92 91 88 3.4 Paco Lopez
2026-04-03 27d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 86 3 6 3.2 F 93 78 100 90 89 88 6.7 Rajiv Maragh
2026-03-07 23d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 7 7 6.5 F 106 85 91 83 76 88 2.8 Rajiv Maragh
2026-02-12 42d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Str Alw 88 6 8 6.8 98 91 70 88 80 88 10.2 Javier Castellano
2026-01-01 21d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 87 2 7 5.0 92 84 83 88 87 88 3.8 Rajiv Maragh
2025-12-11 32d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 88 1 6 0.0 95 86 87 89 88 88 2.4 Rajiv Maragh
2025-11-09 GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 89 5 7 5.8 77 90 95 84 81 88 2.1 Rajiv Maragh
5 Blond Jak
4F 123 lbs L S
12.7%
MODEL %
7-1
MODEL FAIR
-1.6
EDGE vs ML
6/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig91 -1 vs par
Needs +3~22% run that
Class88.5 +3.4 vs race +2.1 gap
MC22.2% fair 7-2
ConfTIGHT σα 0.2
Faced87.7 -0.1 vs today
Pace EP81.9 best 90.4
Pace LP86.1 best 99.5
Energy0.53
Connections
JockRajiv Maraghκ 0.12was Leonel Reyes · -0.7
TrnDaniel Hurtakκ 0.17
J×T20 · 15% win · 40% ITM
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1834317%90.2
2026 411125%90.2
2025 111319%89.8
GP 1834317%90.2
Synthetic 1734318%90.2
Sprint 1834317%90.2
Wet 0000
WORKS 04-26 GP 3 Furlongs :37.89 B G 32 04-12 GP 3 Furlongs :35.27 B 53 03-29 GP 3 Furlongs :37.21 B 38
SIREThousand Words 82 64%ile turf 12%
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-11 21d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 4 5 3.2 F 86 76 90 90 86 89 5.6 Leonel Reyes
2026-06-20 29d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 88 3 6 2.0 69 nan 82 90 84 88 4.4 Diego Herrera
2026-05-22 22d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 1 5 0.0 F 89 96 100 88 84 88 2.2 Marcos Meneses
2026-04-30 138d·5.1× GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 2 7 0.8 F 81 74 86 88 80 88 7.3 Marcos Meneses
2025-12-13 27d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 4 5 5.8 F 90 91 91 84 81 88 9.1 Horacio Karamanos
2025-11-16 21d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 85 4 6 7.5 F 87 78 64 82 81 89 2.9 Emisael Jaramillo
2025-10-26 35d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 89 4 7 1.8 F 70 97 107 86 88 89 5.5 Rajiv Maragh
2025-09-21 15d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 85 1 7 0.0 F 90 96 106 86 88 88 5.3 Rajiv Maragh
2025-09-06 29d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 5 7 4.2 F 97 nan 67 84 86 88 21.0 Marcos Meneses
2025-08-08 GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 86 4 7 4.5 F 87 82 75 84 81 88 11.3 Yolber Torres
7 Any Moment
4F 123 lbs L P
8.7%
MODEL %
10-1
MODEL FAIR
-16.3
EDGE vs ML
3/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig90 -2 vs par
Needs +4~14% run that
Class87.6 +2.5 vs race +2.3 gap
MC17.7% fair 9-2
ConfTIGHT σα 0.18
Faced87.0 -0.8 vs today
Pace EP79.8 best 91.9
Pace LP87.2 best 102.7
Energy0.51
Connections
JockSamy Camachoκ 0.16was Diego Herrera · +0.3
TrnCarlos Davidκ 0.38
J×T61 · 23% win · 56% ITM
Angles
Samy Camacho / Carlos David 23% -7%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1945121%89.6
2026 70310%89.6
2025 1042040%87.7
GP 1945121%89.6
Synthetic 1645125%89.6
Sprint 1945121%89.6
Wet 0000
WORKS 05-01 PMM 3 Furlongs :37.75 B 33 03-22 PMM 3 Furlongs :35.00 B 62
SIREWin Win Win 86 92%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-11 20d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 2 5 2.5 F 70 88 93 90 87 87 1.9 Diego Herrera
2026-06-21 21d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 87 2 7 0.2 68 80 83 89 90 87 3.4 Samy Camacho
2026-05-31 21d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 4 5 5.0 91 96 102 87 80 87 3.4 Samy Camacho
2026-05-10 37d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 86 3 6 5.2 78 101 103 84 79 87 1.7 Samy Camacho
2026-04-03 27d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 86 2 6 2.8 F 92 94 76 88 90 87 5.4 Samy Camacho
2026-03-07 22d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 4 7 3.8 F 103 81 87 84 80 86 6.1 Edgard Zayas
2026-02-13 97d·3.6× GP 5.0f turf Firm AOC 88 8 8 7.5 F 108 97 94 80 76 86 36.3 Edgar Perez
2025-11-08 34d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 88 2 8 4.0 F 93 82 79 87 93 85 13.7 Edgard Zayas
2025-10-05 63d·2.3× GP 5.0f synthetic Fast AOC 87 7 7 14.5 F 97 89 91 78 77 86 25.4 Miguel Vasquez
2025-08-03 GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 88 7 8 8.8 F 87 88 66 80 73 87 1.9 Miguel Vasquez
6 Sara's Rose
4F 116 lbs L P
4.6%
MODEL %
20-1
MODEL FAIR
-6.5
EDGE vs ML
8/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig79 -13 vs par
Needs +8~2% run that
Class87.8 +2.7 vs race -8.7 gap
MC1.2% fair 99-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.2
Faced86.1 -1.7 vs today
Pace EP83.5 best 107.4
Pace LP83.3 best 95.0
Energy0.54
Connections
JockPedro Penaκ -0.25was Diego Herrera · -3.8
TrnAngel Rodriguezκ -0.06CLAIMEDwas Nicholas Tomlinson · -4.3
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 1432321%87.9
2026 612217%86.1
2025 720129%85.3
GP 1122218%87.9
Synthetic 712214%86.1
Sprint 1432321%87.9
Wet 1100100%81.3
WORKS 06-25 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.75 B 66 ◆The Package·87 04-22 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.35 B 56 04-09 PMM 3 Furlongs :37.55 B 39 04-03 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.25 B 56 03-25 PMM 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 44 03-13 PMM 4 Furlongs :45.75 B 70
SIREOmaha Beach 86 94%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-12 9d GP 5.5f dirt Fast Clm 85 1 5 0.0 77 nan 85 85 82 87 2.4 Diego Herrera
2026-07-03 42d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 3 7 5.5 F 72 93 95 80 68 88 1.0 Diego Herrera
2026-05-22 22d GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 2 5 0.2 F 107 76 59 86 83 87 3.8 Diego Herrera
2026-04-30 84d·2.0× GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 87 3 7 2.0 F 81 80 93 86 78 87 7.5 Diego Herrera
2026-02-05 28d GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 85 2 8 2.2 S 91 90 94 86 78 86 7.8 Jorge Ruiz
2026-01-08 92d·2.2× GP 5.0f synthetic Fast Clm 86 4 6 2.5 F 79 nan 87 84 83 86 4.2 Jorge Ruiz
2025-10-08 53d DEL 5.0f turf Good Clm 85 5 8 4.0 S 107 84 78 77 68 86 7.7 Jose Batista
2025-08-16 23d MTH 5.5f turf Firm Clm 82 3 8 5.2 S 83 88 82 82 74 87 2.9 Samy Camacho
2025-07-24 60d PEN 5.0f turf Yielding Str Alw 83 1 7 0.0 S 91 85 105 81 61 86 2.8 Inoel Beato
2025-05-25 GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 88 6 6 8.5 97 95 76 84 82 87 6.0 Jonathan Ocasio
3 I Love Venezuela
5M 123 lbs L EP
1.6%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-6.1
EDGE vs ML
12/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig83 -9 vs par
Needs +14~<1% run that
Class84.6 -0.5 vs race -1.2 gap
MC5.0% fair 20-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.2
Faced87.9 +0.1 vs today
Pace EP80.6 best 90.7
Pace LP82.9 best 110.0
Energy0.52
Connections
JockAnthony Thomasκ 0.02was Leonel Reyes · -1.7
TrnJose Castroκ 0.24CLAIMEDwas Ronald Coy · -1.0
Angles
Jose Castro: off layoff (60d+) 19% +11% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 2955117%90.6
2026 50010%87.3
2025 1244033%90.6
GP 2144119%90.6
Synthetic 1844122%90.6
Sprint 181406%86.6
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-25 GP 3 Furlongs :39.35 B 24 07-12 GP 3 Furlongs :36.71 B 44 06-27 GP 3 Furlongs :37.91 B 34 04-30 GP 4 Furlongs :51.06 B 42 04-03 GP 4 Furlongs :46.29 B 78 03-11 GP 4 Furlongs :52.09 B 28
SIRENeolithic 83 76%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-05-23 8d GP 8.318181818181818f synthetic Fast Clm 86 6 7 21.2 S 63 80 95 74 67 86 4.9 Leonel Reyes
2026-05-15 56d·2.0× GP 7.5f turf Good Str Alw 88 9 9 13.8 S 76 81 87 78 71 87 25.7 Leonel Reyes
2026-03-20 22d GP 8.318181818181818f synthetic Fast AOC 89 5 5 15.8 86 90 77 83 82 89 3.8 Edwin Gonzalez
2026-02-26 28d GP 8.318181818181818f synthetic Fast Str Alw 88 3 7 3.2 S 90 97 110 87 84 88 12.8 Edwin Gonzalez
2026-01-29 75d·2.7× GP 8.5f synthetic Fast Str Alw 89 7 8 9.0 F 91 72 54 84 89 89 11.2 Edwin Gonzalez
2025-11-15 28d GP 8.318181818181818f synthetic Fast Str Alw 88 1 5 0.0 S 88 90 88 91 99 88 3.6 Edwin Gonzalez
2025-10-18 28d GP 8.0f turf Firm Str Alw 88 4 9 5.2 S 95 nan 86 83 88 87 6.4 Leonel Reyes
2025-09-20 34d GP 8.5f synthetic Fast Clm 86 1 11 0.0 F 90 86 104 86 88 87 3.2 Cipriano Gil
2025-08-17 8d GP 8.5f synthetic Fast Clm 86 1 8 0.0 S 100 91 95 85 80 86 3.7 Leonel Reyes
2025-08-09 GP 8.5f synthetic Fast Clm 83 1 9 0.0 72 93 99 85 86 85 1.2 Leonel Reyes
1 Judge Judith
7M 113 lbs P
1.4%
MODEL %
50-1
MODEL FAIR
-3.4
EDGE vs ML
20/1
M/L
Form
Proj Fig74 -18 vs par
Needs +21~<1% run that
Class82.4 -2.7 vs race -8.0 gap
MC0.1% fair 99-1
ConfTIGHT σα 0.22
Faced86.0 -1.8 vs today
Pace EP85.8 best 99.9
Pace LP84.5 best 100.6
Energy0.55
Connections
JockJ Santosκ 0.0was Jonathan Ocasio · -1.1
TrnAmzadali Jehaludiκ -0.07
Record
Sts1st2nd3rdWin%Fig
Life 3741711%93.2
2026 80000%81.4
2025 0000
GP 281044%91.6
Synthetic 120000%89.6
Sprint 70010%90.7
Wet 0000
WORKS 07-11 GP 3 Furlongs :35.63 B G 53 06-28 GP 4 Furlongs :49.14 B 54 05-16 GP 3 Furlongs :37.94 B G 35 04-03 GP 4 Furlongs :48.25 B 57
SIREUncle Vinny 80 38%ile
DATETRK DISTSURF COND TYPE STR POS FLDBL PC EP MP LP GIBBS PAR CLS ODDS JOCKEY
2026-07-19 15d GP 8.0f turf Firm Clm 87 6 6 10.0 S 80 76 82 50.9 Jonathan Ocasio
2026-07-04 27d GP 8.318181818181818f synthetic Fast Clm 85 7 7 27.2 S 92 91 97 70 56 83 51.6 Jonathan Ocasio
2026-06-07 16d GP 8.0f dirt Fast Str Alw 87 6 6 44.5 S 86 81 59 64 60 84 42.9 Luis Perez
2026-05-22 26d GP 8.318181818181818f synthetic Fast Clm 84 6 8 6.5 82 94 98 78 77 84 6.6 Diego Herrera
2026-04-26 15d GP 8.0f turf Firm Clm 87 7 8 9.8 F 100 90 101 81 81 84 53.7 Jose Morelos
2026-04-11 27d GP 8.318181818181818f synthetic Fast Clm 86 8 8 21.2 S 87 86 82 73 69 86 23.8 Jose Morelos
2026-03-15 56d·2.2× GP 8.5f synthetic Fast Clm 89 5 7 12.0 85 98 82 76 76 86 42.4 Jose Morelos
2026-01-18 395d·15.2× GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 89 8 8 16.5 86 88 93 69 62 88 49.6 Jose Morelos
2024-12-19 14d GP 8.5f turf Firm Clm 89 5 8 4.2 F 84 85 66 85 91 89 14.8 Jonathan Ocasio
2024-12-05 GP 5.5f synthetic Fast Clm 90 5 5 5.2 S 84 nan 91 78 76 89 22.0 Jose Morelos