GP 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 S R2 T R3 S R4 T R5 S R6 S R7 T R8 D R9 T

Purse $70,000. One Mile. Three Year Olds And Upward. Purse $70,000 (Includes $25,000 from FBIF). Free nomination by Monday, July 20. Weights: Friday, July 24. No fee to enter. Starters to be named by usual time of closing. Supplemental nominations will be weighted at time of entry. Preference will be given to highweights. Equal weight preference will be determined by total earnings in 2025-26.

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	Rolando ✓	17% 5-1 / 9/2	17.8%	EP	2nd/1w	92	95³-2	103¹	94⁴	88³	spr→rte	—
3	Viking ✓	41% 7-5 / 8/5	39.9%	EP	1st/1w	93	96²-1	96³	99²	96²	L2spr→rte	—	★PRIME2∠
4	Divin Propos	4% 20-1 / 5/1	12.0%	S	4th/1w	93	90⁵-7	—	95³	77⁴	L1J-2.8T→D	27%	⚠-1.45∠
5	Steal Sunshine ✓	35% 9-5 / 4/1	26.2%	C	5th/1w	92	100¹+3	102²	100¹	76⁵	L3	—	✓+3.41∠
6	Fiveeyesonskystars ✓	3% 30-1 / 20/1	4.2%	P	3rd/1w	89	92⁴-5	93⁴	93⁵	99¹	L3CLMspr→rte▲cls	22%	3∠

Pace Projector LONE SPEED front favored 1st¼ 24.1s par 24.1 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS 3 LS★ HOLDS 101/102 Viking 1 100/97 Rolando 6 C★ 93/112 Fiveeyesonskystars 4 90/102 Divin Propos 5 114/101 Steal Sunshine

On the lead: 3 · race sets up for front

3 Viking ★ PRIME

5G 123 lbs L EP

40.9%

MODEL %

7-5

MODEL FAIR

+2.4

EDGE vs ML

8/5

M/L

Form

Proj Fig96 -1 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class93.3 +2.4 gap

MC30.7% fair 5-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced90.4 -1.7 vs today

Pace EP87.1 best 100.7

Pace LP80.6 best 102.2

Energy0.54

Connections

JockLeonel Reyesκ 0.2was Edwin Gonzalez · -0.0

TrnDavid Fawkesκ 0.3

Angles

David Fawkes: 2nd off layoff 19% +0% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	10	3	1	30%	98.7
2026	3	1	1	33%	98.7
2025	5	2	0	40%	96.1
GP	1	1	0	100%	98.7
Dirt	10	3	1	30%	98.7
Route	2	0	1	0%	96.3
Wet	1	1	0	100%	91.2

WORKS 07-25 GP 4 Furlongs :49.13 B 57 06-27 GP 5 Furlongs 1:00.07 B 83 06-20 GP 5 Furlongs 1:01.15 B 76 06-13 GP 4 Furlongs :49.15 B 53 05-10 GP 4 Furlongs :50.78 B 39 ★03-21 OP 4 Furlongs :47.40 B 77

SIRECity Of Light 86 93%ile turf 15%

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 98d·2.3×	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	1	7	0.0	F	89	85	102	99	108	93	7.4	Edwin Gonzalez
2026-03-28 40d	OP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Alw	91	8	9	6.8		92	96	85	93	94	93	4.6	Rafael Bejarano
2026-02-16 65d	OP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	89	2	9	0.1	F	81	74	80	96	102	92	3.1	Rafael Bejarano
2025-12-13 42d	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	88	5	12	3.0	F	101	82	65	91	93	92	4.9	Ricardo Santana, Jr.
2025-11-01 25d	CD	7.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	4	6	1.8	F	94	82	72	96	113	90	14.09	Evin Roman
2025-10-07 85d·2.0×	IND	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Alw	86	1	8	0.0	F	81	nan	95	91	93	90	4.3	Evin Roman
2025-07-14 171d·4.1×	ELP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Alw	90	6	8	6.0	F	95	94	89	89	94	90	5.63	Corey Lanerie
2025-01-24 34d	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	1	8	0.0	F	98	91	81	94	93	87	7.4	Rafael Bejarano
2024-12-21 29d	OP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	89	4	6	2.2	F	85	87	88	91	100	80	18.7	Rafael Bejarano
2024-11-22	CD	6.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	88	8	8	24.5	F	97	83	52	81	70	88	12.25	Martin Garcia

5 Steal Sunshine

7H 122 lbs L C

34.9%

MODEL %

9-5

MODEL FAIR

+14.9

EDGE vs ML

4/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig100 +3 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 99 vs par 97

Class92.1 +7.6 gap

MC30.1% fair 5-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced92.2 +0.1 vs today

Pace EP85.3 best 114.4

Pace LP80.6 best 100.5

Energy0.51

Connections

JockSamuel Camacho, Jr.κ 0.12was Diego Herrera · -0.1

TrnBobby Dibonaκ 0.39

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	38	8	6	8	21%	104.7
2026	5	0	2	1	0%	102.1
2025	8	1	2	0	12%	104.4
GP	31	7	6	7	23%	104.7
Dirt	33	8	5	8	24%	104.7
Route	34	7	6	6	21%	104.7
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	100.4

WORKS 07-25 GP 4 Furlongs :48.13 B 69 07-18 GP 4 Furlongs :49.02 B 62 06-27 GP 4 Furlongs :48.74 B 57 06-20 GP 4 Furlongs :48.78 B 63 ★05-23 GP 5 Furlongs 1:00.26 B 85 05-16 GP 4 Furlongs :48.91 B 61

SIREConstitution 86 93%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-03 33d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	3	7	3.5	S	75	84	77	100	100	92	4.7	Diego Herrera
2026-05-31 64d	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	2	5	0.5		114	91	66	100	105	92	2.3	Diego Herrera
2026-03-28 28d	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G3	92	6	7	12.5	S	86	81	nan	96	94	92	14.0	Joel Rosario
2026-02-28 35d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	93	2	5	11.2		72	102	100	102	108	93	11.4	Jose Morelos
2026-01-24 35d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	93	6	8	13.5		94	91	80	101	98	94	16.4	Edgard Zayas
2025-12-20 34d	GP	9.0f	turf	Firm	G3	94	7	8	4.5	F	88	nan	78	94	111	94	38.2	Edgard Zayas
2025-11-16 29d	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	1	7	0.0	F	97	94	94	99	103	94	1.2	Edgard Zayas
2025-10-18 14d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	5	8	3.2	S	62	90	112	100	105	94	1.4	Edwin Gonzalez
2025-10-04 28d	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	6	8	3.0		88	81	80	92	100	95	3.0	Jose Morelos
2025-09-06	KD	8.0f	turf	Good	G3	96	13	13	14.2	F	90	79	65	91	93	96	36.55	Luis Saez

1 Rolando

4C 123 lbs L EP

16.6%

MODEL %

5-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.6

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig95 -2 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class92.1 +3.0 gap

MC19.5% fair 4-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced91.6 -0.5 vs today

Pace EP84.0 best 99.7

Pace LP81.2 best 96.8

Energy0.54

Connections

JockDiego Herreraκ 0.12

TrnFausto Gutierrezκ 0.3

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	17	6	1	3	35%	102.8
2026	6	2	0	1	33%	98.3
2025	8	3	0	1	38%	102.8
GP	10	5	1	3	50%	100.3
Dirt	16	6	1	3	38%	102.8
Route	3	1	0	1	33%	102.8
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 05-31 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.50 B 60 05-17 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.25 B 68 03-20 PMM 4 Furlongs :50.10 B 45

SIREVekoma 87 95%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-04 28d	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	5	7	7.0	F	85	94	91	94	99	92	1.1	Diego Herrera
2026-06-06 42d	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	1	7	0.0	F	100	103	97	97	104	92	3.8	Diego Herrera
2026-04-25 20d	TAM	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	90	7	7	11.0	F	78	nan	70	92	92	94	1.6	Paco Lopez
2026-04-05 43d	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	92	1	6	0.0	F	79	92	90	98	106	93	1.1	Edgard Zayas
2026-02-21 14d	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	3	8	6.0	F	90	nan	61	94	90	93	6.1	John Velazquez
2026-02-07 75d·2.0×	TAM	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	93	4	8	4.8	F	72	82	94	96	98	93	4.2	Samuel Marin
2025-11-24 37d	MVR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	92	4	9	4.2	F	88	101	116	97	105	93	7.6	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-10-18 42d	KEE	7.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	94	4	5	15.5	F	89	94	88	93	94	94	13.41	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-09-06 28d	KD	8.0f	turf	Good	Stk	94	9	13	6.2	F	79	nan	82	92	93	94	15.68	John Velazquez
2025-08-09	CNL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	1	8	0.0	F	91	86	87	103	112	94	3.4	John Velazquez

4 Divin Propos

6G 120 lbs L S

4.5%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-12.2

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig90 -7 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class92.6 -2.4 gap

MC8.6% fair 10-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.35

Faced92.7 +0.6 vs today

Pace EP81.2 best 89.5

Pace LP84.7 best 101.5

Energy0.49

≠ Cross-surface α

Connections

JockRasheed Hughesκ 0.08was Oisin Murphy · -2.8

TrnSaffie Joseph, Jr.κ 0.47

J×T33 · 27% win · 58% ITM

Angles

Rasheed Hughes / Saffie Joseph, Jr. 26% -13% Saffie Joseph, Jr.: off layoff (60d+) 23% -16% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Turf-to-dirt 14% -27% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	12	2	1	1	17%	96.2
2026	1	0	0	0	0%	94.6
2025	6	0	1	1	0%	96.2
GP	3	0	0	1	0%	94.8
Dirt	0	0	0	0	—	—
Route	12	2	1	1	17%	96.2
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.25 B 67 ◆Luvumorgan·101 07-17 PMM 3 Furlongs :36.95 B 38 07-10 PMM 3 Furlongs :37.35 B 36 07-03 PMM 3 Furlongs :39.00 B 26 06-26 PMM 3 Furlongs :38.45 B 26 05-29 PMM 3 Furlongs :37.00 B 41

SIREGeorge Vancouver 85 89%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-01-24 35d	GP	12.0f	turf	Firm	G3	93	6	12	2.5	F	78	86	77	95	108	91	9.3	Oisin Murphy
2025-12-20 48d	GP	9.0f	turf	Firm	G3	94	4	8	3.2	F	90	nan	81	95	112	90	15.0	Tyler Gaffalione
2025-11-02 140d·2.9×	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	3	9	1.8		83	94	102	93	100	89	1.4	Micah Husbands
2025-06-15 29d	SADH	14.0f	turf	Firm	G3	90	4	5	22.2		85	93	92	94	93	95	0.7	Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-05-17 56d	PIM	9.0f	turf	Good	G3	96	4	9	3.0	S	75	78	86	96	74	95	4.6	Luis Saez
2025-03-22 42d	SADH	12.0f	turf	Firm	G3	93	2	8	2.0		96	91	83	92	96	95	8.0	Ricardo Gonzalez
2025-02-08 71d	SADH	10.0f	turf	Good	G3	94	4	7	5.8		101	96	68	88	84	96	6.6	Umberto Rispoli
2024-11-29 62d	DMR	12.0f	turf	Firm	G2	93	5	9	3.8	S	102	84	81	95	97	97	3.0	Umberto Rispoli
2024-09-28 37d	SADH	10.0f	turf	Firm	G2	95	6	11	3.5	S	80	91	110	83	75	95	2.0	Antonio Fresu
2024-08-22	DMR	11.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	94	1	7	0.0	S	101	nan	95	93	99	94	2.3	Antonio Fresu

6 Fiveeyesonskystars

5H 117 lbs L P

3.1%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.7

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -5 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class88.7 +3.8 gap

MC11.2% fair 8-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced88.8 -3.3 vs today

Pace EP82.7 best 93.2

Pace LP90.3 best 112.0

Energy0.53

Connections

JockMiguel Vasquezκ 0.16

TrnRoderick Rodriguezκ 0.31CLAIMED

J×T18 · 22% win · 39% ITM

Angles

Miguel Vasquez / Roderick Rodriguez 18% -16% 3rd off layoff 14% -22% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	17	3	3	1	18%	93.5
2026	2	1	1	0	50%	93.5
2025	8	2	0	1	25%	93.1
GP	17	3	3	1	18%	93.5
Dirt	16	3	3	1	19%	93.5
Route	8	2	0	0	25%	93.1
Wet	1	1	0	0	100%	93.1

WORKS ★06-24 GP 4 Furlongs :47.72 B 70 ★05-01 GP 3 Furlongs :36.31 B 52 04-18 GP 4 Furlongs :47.26 B 76 04-04 GP 4 Furlongs :48.71 B 59 03-18 GP 3 Furlongs :38.28 B 29

SIREOutwork 82 71%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-07 28d	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	87	1	6	0.0	F	93	83	104	93	104	88	1.4	Miguel Vasquez
2026-05-10 203d·6.8×	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Clm	88	2	6	3.5	F	74	96	112	94	106	88	4.5	Miguel Vasquez
2025-10-19 50d	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	AOC	88	5	7	7.5		80	71	91	91	96	87	9.1	Leonel Reyes
2025-08-30 36d	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	Stk	90	7	8	15.8	F	93	76	91	87	96	88	19.7	Leonel Reyes
2025-07-25 21d	GP	9.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	91	4	6	2.5	F	82	84	85	92	105	88	23.3	Leonel Reyes
2025-07-04 29d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	AOC	91	1	6	0.0	S	88	81	66	93	97	86	15.9	Leonel Reyes
2025-06-05 25d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	90	5	6	11.0	S	89	94	91	89	96	85	20.7	Edgar Perez
2025-05-11 30d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	AOC	91	5	6	13.8		96	nan	84	89	88	86	13.6	Leonel Reyes
2025-04-11 83d·2.8×	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	1	5	0.0	F	96	nan	82	91	100	84	4.4	Leonel Reyes
2025-01-18	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	3	6	11.2	F	91	81	80	86	84	86	12.0	Leonel Reyes