CNL 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 T R5 D R6 D R7 D R8 T R9 T R10 T R11 T R12 T

CNL 2026-08-01 One And Three Sixteenth Miles OUTER TURF

strength

+4.0 salty

win par

fig to beat

SPEED DUEL (3+)

shape

closers favored

FAST

early pace

1st¼ 23.7s / par 24.2

BALANCED

field

figs 91.1–97.6

Purse $500,000. One And Three Sixteenth Miles. (Outer turf) (Rail at 60 Feet) For Fillies And Mares, Three Years Old And Upward. No nominations fee. $1,250 to enter and $1,250 to start. Supplementary nomination of $5,000 (which includes entry and starting fees) may be made at the time of entry. $500,000; after payment of 1% to all owners of horses finishing sixth through last, 62% of the remaining purse shall be paid to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 5% to fourth and 3% to fifth. Three year old fillies 122 Lbs.; Older 126 Lbs. Non-winners of a grade I over a mile on the turf in 2026, allowed 2 Lbs. A grade II over a mile on the turf in 2026 allowed 4 Lbs. This event will be limited to fourteen (14) starters. Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. Nominations closed Wednesday, July 15, 2026 with 39 nominations. Trophy to the winning owner. (If this race is taken off the turf it will be downgraded one level for this running only in accordance with the American Graded Stakes Committee policy). .

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
3	Somethinabouther	7% 15-1 / 8/1	8.8%	P	4th/1w	96 +4.1	97²+0	96³	94³	68⁸	★goldD→T▲cls	20%	5∠
4	Haute Diva	4% 20-1 / 20/1	4.4%	S	9th/1w	92 +0.2	91⁹-6	90⁹	93⁵	84⁴	L2S→T▲cls	23%	6∠
5	Crevalle d'Oro	4% 25-1 / 12/1	5.8%	S	7th/1w	95 +2.9	92⁸-5	97²	89⁹	85³	L1	12%	4∠
6	Achieve	4% 25-1 / 8/1	7.8%	P	3rd/1w	89 -2.5	94⁶-3	92⁷	92⁶	82⁵	L1▲cls	16%	4∠
7	Pin Up Betty	22% 7-2 / 8/1	14.8%	S	6th/2w	98 +6.0	97²+0	96³	96¹	86²	J-1.1	25%	1∠
8	Stellify	42% 7-5 / 3/1	30.3%	EP	1st/4w	97 +5.6	97²+0	99¹	96¹	88¹	L1J+0.7▼cls	29%	✓+4.5★PRIME4∠
9	Gimme a Nother	8% 12-1 / 9/2	13.2%	P	2nd/3w	96 +4.0	95⁵-2	96³	92⁶	81⁷	L2	10%	4∠
11	Fast Market	3% 30-1 / 15/1	4.7%	P	8th/3w	91 -0.9	94⁶-3	92⁷	92⁶	82⁵	L2	0%	1∠
12	Way to Be Marie	6% 15-1 / 6/1	10.2%	P	5th/3w	97 +5.3	98¹+1	96³	94³	—	J+0.8	—	✓+1.61∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL (3+) closers favored 1st¼ 23.7s par 24.2 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 8 HOLDS »»» 90/92 Stellify 9 »» 94/105 Gimme a Nother 6 103/110 Achieve 3 99/103 Somethinabouther 12 »» 95/101 Way to Be Marie 7 C★ » 103/117 Pin Up Betty 5 95/100 Crevalle d'Oro 11 »» 101/106 Fast Market 4 90/104 Haute Diva

On the lead: 8, 9, 6 · race sets up for closers

8 Stellify ★ PRIME

5M 122 lbs EP

41.5%

MODEL %

7-5

MODEL FAIR

+16.5

EDGE vs ML

3/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig97 0 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 97 vs par 97

Class97.3 +5.6 vs race -0.3 gap

MC13.8% fair 6-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced92.5 -3.2 vs today

Pace EP83.1 best 89.6

Pace LP81.8 best 92.0

Energy0.49

Connections

JockManuel Francoκ 0.21was Florent Geroux · +0.7

TrnBrad Coxκ 0.69

J×T258 · 29% win · 62% ITM

Angles

Manuel Franco / Brad Cox 29% -2% Brad Cox: off layoff (60d+) 26% -22% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	7	4	1	1	57%	99.1
2026	0	0	0	0	—	—
2025	7	4	1	1	57%	99.1
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	7	4	1	1	57%	99.1
Route	7	4	1	1	57%	99.1
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 10-18 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 49.2 nan 09-26 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 49 nan 07-25 CD 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 55 07-18 CD 5 Furlongs 1:00.40 B 73 07-12 Churchill Downs 5f:~ 1:00.6 nan 07-12 CD Five Furlongs 1:00.60 b 61

SIREJustify 88 96%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2025-11-01 56d	DMR	11.0f	turf	Firm	G1	98	7	12	5.0	S	84	88	92	96	106	95	13.4	Florent Geroux
2025-09-06 9d	KD	10.5f	turf	Good	G3	94	1	11	0.0	S	90	85	78	99	101	93	2.11	Florent Geroux
2025-08-28 77d	KD	12.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	93	1	6	0.0	S	75	75	84	96	102	92	1.02	Florent Geroux
2025-06-12 42d	CD	11.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	91	1	6	0.0		89	nan	80	99	115	90	0.89	Florent Geroux
2025-05-01 39d	CD	9.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	1	9	0.0		87	nan	80	93	101	87	2.53	Florent Geroux
2025-03-23 29d	FG	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	2	10	3.5		71	82	95	90	93	87	1.3	Florent Geroux
2025-02-22	FG	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	3	9	3.0	S	96	86	66	90	83	84	2.6	Florent Geroux

7 Pin Up Betty

5M 122 lbs S

21.9%

MODEL %

7-2

MODEL FAIR

+10.8

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig97 0 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class97.7 +6.0 vs race -0.9 gap

MC16.7% fair 5-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.21

Faced94.8 -0.9 vs today

Pace EP82.0 best 103.1

Pace LP93.1 best 117.3

Energy0.49

Connections

JockMychel Sanchezκ 0.18was Flavien Prat · -1.1

TrnMichael Makerκ 0.4

J×T4 · 25% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	23	5	6	2	22%	99.0
2026	3	1	0	1	33%	96.2
2025	6	2	1	0	33%	99.0
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	17	5	3	1	29%	99.0
Route	20	5	5	1	25%	99.0
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	89.3

WORKS 07-27 CD 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 64 07-20 CD 4 Furlongs :48.40 B 67 ◆Foie Gras·103 06-20 CD 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 B 54 06-20 Churchill Downs 5f:~ 1:01.4 nan 06-13 CD 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 66 05-24 CD 4 Furlongs :51.40 B 25

SIREConstitution 86 93%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 28d	CD	9.0f	turf	Good	Stk	94	1	9	0.0	S	81	82	91	96	95	97	2.71	Flavien Prat
2026-05-30 28d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	G3	95	7	7	3.5		89	97	93	94	101	97	2.84	Flavien Prat
2026-05-02 156d·4.5×	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	G2	94	3	9	2.5	S	103	89	92	95	96	95	4.27	Juan Hernandez
2025-11-27 54d	CD	9.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	94	5	11	1.2	S	78	82	117	94	91	99	2.06	Luis Saez
2025-10-04 35d	KEE	8.0f	turf	Firm	G1	96	5	11	0.8	F	65	89	111	95	99	98	20.88	Edgar Morales
2025-08-30 62d	KD	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	96	6	10	5.8	F	82	96	100	99	103	98	5.79	Luis Saez
2025-06-29 28d	CD	9.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	94	1	7	0.0	F	75	97	96	97	98	98	0.89	Luis Saez
2025-06-01 29d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	G3	94	1	11	0.0		76	59	61	97	99	98	5.25	Luis Saez
2025-05-03 155d·4.4×	CD	8.0f	turf	Good	G2	96	2	8	0.2		79	94	109	94	96	96	11.86	Juan Hernandez
2024-11-29	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	G2	96	6	11	3.2	S	98	87	89	94	92	96	11.0	Brian Hernandez, Jr.

9 Gimme a Nother

6M 122 lbs P

8.0%

MODEL %

12-1

MODEL FAIR

-10.2

EDGE vs ML

9/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig95 -2 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class95.7 +4.0 vs race -0.5 gap

MC11.4% fair 8-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced94.6 -1.1 vs today

Pace EP85.5 best 93.6

Pace LP83.2 best 105.1

Energy0.48

Connections

JockJohn Velazquezκ 0.24was Jorge Ruiz · +0.3

TrnH. Motionκ 0.55

J×T71 · 10% win · 38% ITM

Angles

H. Motion: 2nd off layoff 15% -18% 2nd off layoff 13% -27% John Velazquez / H. Motion 13% +0% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	6	2	3	33%	96.4
2026	1	1	0	100%	92.2
2025	5	1	3	20%	96.4
CNL	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	6	2	3	33%	96.4
Route	6	2	3	33%	96.4
Wet	1	0	0	0%	85.4

WORKS 07-19 FAI Five Furlongs 1:02.20 b 63 ◆Test Score·97 07-11 FAI Four Furlongs 49.60 b 57 ◆Roja·101

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-13 280d·5.8×	MTH	8.5f	turf	Firm	G3	95	1	6	0.0	S	78	97	84	92	88	96	1.2	Jorge Ruiz
2025-09-06 48d	DMR	9.0f	turf	Firm	G2	94	1	9	0.0		92	88	89	96	94	94	2.4	Juan Hernandez
2025-07-20 44d	WO	9.0f	turf	Good	G2	93	2	6	0.1	S	90	nan	93	95	90	96	1.05	Ryan Munger
2025-06-06 35d	SAR	9.5f	turf	Yielding	G1	97	7	7	12.5	S	91	79	53	85	56	99	6.7	Jose Ortiz
2025-05-02 55d	CD	9.0f	turf	Firm	G3	95	2	6	2.2	F	94	98	105	96	109	97	3.08	Jose Ortiz
2025-03-08	TAM	9.0f	turf	Firm	G2	94	2	9	0.8		89	nan	88	94	100	93	3.0	Irad Ortiz, Jr.

3 Somethinabouther

4F 122 lbs P

6.9%

MODEL %

15-1

MODEL FAIR

-4.2

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig97 0 vs par

Needs +2~30% run that

Class95.8 +4.1 vs race +1.1 gap

MC17.2% fair 5-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced93.5 -2.2 vs today

Pace EP81.7 best 98.7

Pace LP82.0 best 102.7

Energy0.50

Connections

JockTyler Gaffalioneκ 0.19

TrnBrendan Walshκ 0.61

J×T402 · 20% win · 49% ITM

Angles

Tyler Gaffalione / Brendan Walsh 19% -4% Brendan Walsh: first-time turf 13% -23% First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	16	3	2	7	19%	95.7
2026	3	1	0	2	33%	95.1
2025	8	0	2	4	0%	95.7
CNL	1	0	0	1	0%	84.6
Turf	9	1	1	4	11%	95.7
Route	14	3	1	6	21%	95.7
Wet	2	1	0	1	50%	93.9

WORKS 07-24 TP 5 Furlongs 1:01.80 B 67 07-18 TP 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 58 07-10 Turfway Park 4f:~ 49.8 nan 07-10 TP Four Furlongs 49.80 b 50 04-03 TP 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 45 ◆Calamity·99 03-27 PMM 5 Furlongs 1:02.25 B 60

SIREMendelssohn 83 80%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25 48d	CD	9.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	AOC	93	1	8	0.0	F	70	75	65	94	98	95	3.04	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-05-08 28d	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	93	3	9	1.5		97	nan	79	95	103	95	3.79	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-04-10 133d·3.2×	KEE	8.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	93	3	12	0.2	F	82	88	103	95	101	94	6.42	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-11-28 35d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	G2	94	10	10	5.2		65	85	71	96	97	94	19.65	Axel Concepcion
2025-10-24 48d	KEE	8.0f	turf	Firm	G2	96	3	12	1.5	F	99	nan	98	91	94	92	35.27	Edgar Morales
2025-09-06 42d	CNL	9.0f	turf	Soft	Stk	91	3	8	1.0	S	103	82	81	85	79	91	4.5	Mychel Sanchez
2025-07-26 28d	WO	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	89	2	8	1.8		101	87	77	93	100	92	16.65	Rafael Hernandez
2025-06-28 42d	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	G3	88	3	8	5.0	S	91	nan	85	87	86	93	3.2	Pietro Moran
2025-05-17 56d	WO	7.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	89	2	8	0.1	F	84	88	89	92	92	94	2.0	Pietro Moran
2025-03-22	TP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	92	8	11	6.5		72	87	82	92	90	94	12.15	Declan Cannon

12 Way to Be Marie

5M 122 lbs P

6.0%

MODEL %

15-1

MODEL FAIR

-8.3

EDGE vs ML

6/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig98 +1 vs par

Needs +3~22% run that

Class97.0 +5.3 vs race +0.6 gap

MC17.4% fair 9-2

ConfTIGHT σα 0.2

Faced93.4 -2.3 vs today

Pace EP82.1 best 95.3

Pace LP88.7 best 101.2

Energy0.49

Connections

JockJavier Castellanoκ 0.25was Luis Saez · +0.8

TrnEddie Kenneallyκ 0.43

Angles

Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	19	4	6	4	21%	97.5
2026	4	1	1	2	25%	95.9
2025	6	1	1	1	17%	97.5
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	18	4	5	4	22%	97.5
Route	18	4	6	4	22%	97.5
Wet	2	0	2	0	0%	94.1

WORKS 10-18 Keeneland Race Course 5f:~ 1:04.6 nan 07-23 KEE 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 52 07-12 Keeneland Race Course 4f:~ 51.6 nan 07-12 KEE Four Furlongs 51.60 b 24 06-13 Keeneland Race Course 5f:~ 1:01.6 nan 04-09 Churchill Downs 4f:~ 48.4 nan

SIRENot This Time 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-27 35d	CD	9.0f	turf	Good	Stk	94	2	9	2.0	S	nan	nan	74	94	93	97	4.02	Luis Saez
2026-05-23 29d	CD	12.0f	turf	Good	Stk	95	3	7	3.0	S	64	79	98	95	97	96	4.66	Luis Saez
2026-04-24 34d	KEE	12.0f	turf	Firm	G3	94	3	7	4.5	S	90	95	97	93	98	96	4.14	Luis Saez
2026-03-21 133d·2.5×	FG	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	90	1	6	0.0	F	95	99	100	96	108	96	1.1	Luis Saez
2025-11-08 63d	AQU	11.0f	turf	Firm	G3	93	5	10	5.0	S	85	94	101	88	91	95	6.7	Manuel Franco
2025-09-06 58d	KD	10.5f	turf	Good	G3	94	2	11	2.8	S	74	92	88	98	99	94	19.56	Manuel Franco
2025-07-10 54d	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	94	5	7	1.0	S	88	99	112	89	83	94	9.1	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-05-17 56d	PIM	8.5f	turf	Good	G3	94	5	7	7.2	S	71	76	82	94	78	94	3.0	Junior Alvarado
2025-03-22 35d	FG	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	1	9	0.0		97	83	83	95	98	94	2.0	Florent Geroux
2025-02-15	FG	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	92	3	11	1.2		95	nan	81	92	94	94	5.1	Florent Geroux

4 Haute Diva

3F 118 lbs S

4.4%

MODEL %

20-1

MODEL FAIR

-0.4

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig91 -6 vs par

Needs +4~19% run that

Class91.9 +0.2 vs race -0.8 gap

MC1.7% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.24

Faced90.4 -5.3 vs today

Pace EP81.6 best 89.6

Pace LP88.2 best 104.3

Energy0.52

Connections

JockKeith Asmussenκ 0.06

TrnPatrick Bianconeκ 0.65

J×T22 · 23% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Keith Asmussen / Patrick Biancone 17% +27% Patrick Biancone: first-time turf 14% -35% 2nd off layoff 13% -27% Patrick Biancone: 2nd off layoff 13% +13% First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	10	3	4	30%	94.7
2026	4	2	0	50%	94.7
2025	6	1	4	17%	93.4
CNL	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	1	1	50%	90.0
Route	8	3	2	38%	94.7
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-25 PMM 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 38 ◆Layabout·94 07-16 PMM Five Furlongs 59.90 b 96 ◆Redland Rebels·94 07-12 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.95 B 44 ★07-04 PMM 4 Furlongs :47.45 B 76 06-28 PMM 4 Furlongs :51.40 B 36 ◆Layabout·94 ★05-29 PMM 4 Furlongs :47.45 B G 82 ◆Classic Of Course·100

SIREConstitution 86 93%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06 70d·2.5×	GP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	90	1	7	0.0	F	79	87	89	93	89	91	2.9	Keith Asmussen
2026-03-28 28d	GP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G2	92	7	7	14.5		90	nan	92	93	91	92	23.7	Joel Rosario
2026-02-28 58d·2.1×	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	G2	92	5	7	10.2		88	84	96	93	92	92	32.8	David Egan
2026-01-01 26d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Stk	90	1	6	0.0	S	76	86	104	95	88	90	14.8	David Egan
2025-12-06 64d·2.3×	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	87	2	7	0.2	S	80	86	85	90	88	89	1.4	David Egan
2025-10-03 6d	KEE	8.5f	dirt	Fast	G1	90	6	6	45.8	F	85	78	83	82	65	89	16.22	Luis Saez
2025-09-27 21d	GP	8.0f	turf	Good	MSW	86	1	10	0.0		86	78	88	88	86	88	0.8	Jonathan Ocasio
2025-09-06 22d	GP	8.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	2	5	4.0	S	103	87	75	93	96	88	1.3	Jonathan Ocasio
2025-08-15 34d	GP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	2	7	7.8	F	67	83	86	91	83	90	0.8	Jonathan Ocasio
2025-07-12	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	2	11	0.8	F	81	101	98	89	76	86	8.4	Jonathan Ocasio

6 Achieve

4F 122 lbs P

4.2%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.9

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 -3 vs par

Needs +6~11% run that

Class89.2 -2.5 vs race +5.0 gap

MC8.7% fair 10-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced85.8 -9.9 vs today

Pace EP86.9 best 102.8

Pace LP88.2 best 109.7

Energy0.51

Connections

JockSonny Leonκ 0.16was Samy Camacho · +0.1

TrnMark Casseκ 0.47

J×T55 · 16% win · 51% ITM

Angles

Sonny Leon / Mark Casse 19% -4% Mark Casse: off layoff (60d+) 15% -22% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	7	2	1	29%	92.9
2026	2	2	0	100%	92.3
2025	3	0	0	0%	89.4
CNL	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	3	2	0	67%	92.3
Route	4	1	0	25%	91.6
Wet	2	0	1	0%	92.9

WORKS 07-24 CNL 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 52 ★07-17 CNL 3 Furlongs :35.80 B 50 ★06-19 CNL 3 Furlongs :36.00 B 47 06-12 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.95 B 52 ★05-08 PMM 4 Furlongs :47.70 B 68 ★04-05 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.10 B 68 ◆You Mule·92

SIREJustify 88 96%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-16 28d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	89	1	7	0.0	S	80	78	83	92	94	87	1.3	Samy Camacho
2026-04-18 352d·6.6×	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	82	1	7	0.0		87	nan	78	92	94	86	0.5	Samy Camacho
2025-05-01 53d	CD	9.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	5	9	6.2		97	96	103	89	96	84	17.95	John Velazquez
2025-03-09 42d	OP	8.0f	dirt	Good	MSW	86	7	10	16.5		88	92	110	88	82	86	13.8	Ramon Vazquez
2025-01-26 42d	OP	8.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	86	5	9	11.5		103	84	91	89	84	87	6.2	Francisco Arrieta
2024-12-15 212d·4.0×	OP	6.0f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	MSW	88	5	8	12.0	F	99	88	90	89	76	90	2.7	Francisco Arrieta
2024-05-17	CD	5.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW	88	3	7	4.8	S	88	90	88	93	83	88	1.85	Jose Ortiz

5 Crevalle d'Oro

5M 122 lbs S

3.9%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.8

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -5 vs par

Needs +6~6% run that

Class94.6 +2.9 vs race -2.1 gap

MC6.2% fair 15-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.32

Faced93.3 -2.4 vs today

Pace EP82.7 best 95.2

Pace LP85.3 best 99.7

Energy0.49

Connections

JockPaco Lopezκ 0.23was Irad Ortiz, Jr. · -0.4

TrnJose D'Angeloκ 0.31

J×T26 · 12% win · 31% ITM

Angles

Jose D'Angelo: off layoff (60d+) 15% -37% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Paco Lopez / Jose D'Angelo 9% -69%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	20	5	4	2	25%	100.5
2026	1	0	0	0	0%	88.9
2025	8	3	0	0	38%	98.1
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	18	5	3	2	28%	100.5
Route	16	4	4	0	25%	100.5
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-17 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.00 B G 68 07-10 PMM 4 Furlongs :47.40 B 76 07-04 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.55 B 63 06-27 PMM 4 Furlongs :47.35 B 76 06-19 PMM 3 Furlongs :36.05 B 48

SIREConstitution 86 93%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-02-28 70d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	94	4	7	2.5		86	89	84	89	90	94	3.8	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-12-20 49d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	93	1	10	0.0	F	91	85	84	92	104	93	10.2	Jorge Ruiz
2025-11-01 55d	DMR	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	94	4	11	2.2	F	74	94	100	92	95	92	38.9	John Velazquez
2025-09-07 49d	KD	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	92	1	11	0.0		75	107	93	97	99	90	12.48	John Velazquez
2025-07-20 22d	WO	9.0f	turf	Good	G2	93	5	6	2.5	S	95	84	81	94	88	90	14.5	Patrick Husbands
2025-06-28 28d	WO	8.0f	turf	Good	G2	92	7	11	3.5		100	92	80	98	101	91	18.2	Patrick Husbands
2025-05-31 49d	WO	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	1	6	0.0	S	nan	nan	83	93	88	90	1.15	Patrick Husbands
2025-04-12 28d	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	90	5	8	2.2		88	87	99	91	90	90	4.5	Emisael Jaramillo
2025-03-15 154d·3.1×	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	92	6	11	6.5	S	96	91	69	88	81	89	8.0	Emisael Jaramillo
2024-10-12	WO	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	88	8	12	5.2		89	82	93	90	92	89	4.05	Kazushi Kimura

11 Fast Market

4F 122 lbs P

3.3%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.0

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig94 -3 vs par

Needs +7~4% run that

Class90.8 -0.9 vs race +3.0 gap

MC6.9% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.3

Faced91.0 -4.7 vs today

Pace EP81.6 best 100.7

Pace LP85.1 best 105.7

Energy0.49

Connections

JockSamuel Marinκ 0.22was Dylan Davis · +0.1

TrnJohn Terranova IIκ 0.38

J×T13 · 0% win · 38% ITM

Angles

3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	11	2	2	1	18%	93.7
2026	1	0	0	0	0%	91.7
2025	9	2	2	1	22%	93.7
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	8	2	2	0	25%	93.7
Route	7	2	1	0	29%	91.7
Wet	1	0	0	0	0%	84.6

WORKS ★07-25 BEL 5 Furlongs 1:01.00 B 79 07-18 BEL 5 Furlongs 1:02.00 B 66 07-11 BEL 4 Furlongs :48.52 B 68 07-05 BEL 4 Furlongs :50.63 B 41 05-30 BEL 4 Furlongs 49.00 B 59 05-23 BEL 4 Furlongs 49.63 B 54

SIREVolatile 85 91%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-06 195d·5.6×	SAR	8.0f	turf	Firm	G1	95	7	8	6.0		78	85	85	92	98	90	18.99	Dylan Davis
2025-11-23 36d	AQU	8.5f	turf	Firm	G3	94	1	7	0.0	S	101	92	85	91	89	90	1.54	Flavien Prat
2025-10-18 27d	BAQ	9.0f	turf	Firm	G2	92	2	8	0.2		76	77	89	87	87	88	7.74	Samuel Marin
2025-09-21 31d	BAQ	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	1	10	0.0		94	97	76	89	90	88	12.01	Dylan Davis
2025-08-21 32d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Good	MSW	87	6	11	8.0	F	63	90	106	88	87	88	3.6	Dylan Davis
2025-07-20 35d	SAR	5.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	87	2	8	2.2	F	87	nan	88	94	97	87	4.5	Joel Rosario
2025-06-15 68d	BAQ	6.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	MSW	87	7	9	8.2	F	88	99	110	85	83	87	5.0	Joel Rosario
2025-04-08 58d	KEE	8.0f	turf	Good	G2	92	6	7	10.8		80	105	96	91	82	84	79.88	Jaime Torres
2025-02-09 28d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	10	10	1.8	F	73	87	101	86	85	84	5.0	Joel Rosario
2025-01-12	GP	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	3	7	7.5		107	97	96	90	88	79	4.4	Joel Rosario