CNL 2026-08-01 · US Racing

TRACKS · 2026-08-01

CNL CT DMR ELP EMD EVD GP MTH SAR WO

▸ How to read a horse block

MODEL % (strip under the name) is the headline win probability; FAIR is its no-takeout price, EDGE compares it to the morning line. FORM column: Proj Fig (hover for the ability + jockey + trainer + class breakdown), Class + speed−class gap, MC % (pure-speed Monte-Carlo — a big gap vs MODEL % means the model sees something beyond raw speed), and Conf = TIGHT / NORMAL / WIDE / VERY WIDE from σ_α. CONNECTIONS: jockey / trainer with their κ skill effects and the J×T combo record. RECORD: DRF-style splits — Life, this year, last year, this track / today's surface / today's trip (cyan), Wet; green ✓ = has won in that context; Fig = best figure there. FORM also carries avg/best Brohamer pace (EP/LP) + Energy; angle chips live under CONNECTIONS. Below the band: the last 10 running lines.

R1 T R2 D R3 T R4 T R5 D R6 D R7 D R8 T R9 T R10 T R11 T R12 T

Purse $72,000. One Mile. (Inner turf) (plus Up To 50% Vbf) Inner Turf For Three Year Olds Which Have Never Won Two Races. Weight, 122 Lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since July 1 Allowed 2 Lbs. (Races Where Entered For $30,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).

TODAY'S CONTENDERS		WIN% · FAIR / ML	QIK%	STY	P1C	CLASS	PROJ	COND	LAST	SUS	J×T
1	General Bradley	11% 8-1 / 15/1	7.1%	E	1st/1w	92 +6.3	84⁹-9	—	85⁸	92³	J-0.5spr→rte▼cls	11%	⚠-2.7LS
2	No Temperance	0% 99-1 / 5/2	12.2%		8th/1w	—	86⁴-7	—	—	—		16%	3∠
3	Jutland	9% 10-1 / 15/1	6.1%	S	9th/1w	92 +5.7	86⁴-7	89³	91²	69¹⁰	L1J+1.3S→T	10%	✓+1.6LS4∠
4	Souper Debonair	2% 50-1 / 20/1	2.7%	EP	4th/1w	86 +0.1	82¹²-11	81¹⁰	81¹⁰	92³	L1J+1.3▲cls	24%	3∠
5	Honey Dutch	25% 3-1 / 8/5	26.1%	EP	3rd/1w	96 +9.6	93¹+0	95¹	95¹	81⁹	▼cls	20%	✓+4.52∠
6	Practical Joker	3% 30-1 / 20/1	3.2%	S	10th/1w	88 +2.1	85⁸-8	86⁶	86⁶	89⁵	L3★goldJ+1.3▲cls	29%	4∠
7	Lennox the Grey	2% 50-1 / 5/1	7.9%	P	6th/1w	88 +1.9	86⁴-7	86⁶	86⁶	85⁸	L2	—	2∠
8	Golf Cart Ryder	1% 99-1 / 20/1	2.5%	S	13th/1w	87 +0.9	83¹⁰-10	84⁹	84⁹	86⁷	L3★gold	9%	⚠-1.01∠
10	Knoty Knicks	4% 25-1 / 15/1	4.1%	S	12th/2w	94 +7.6	92²-1	93²	88⁴	98¹	L1S→T	—	6∠
11	Kiss the Ring ✓	12% 7-1 / 30/1	6.2%	S	11th/2w	86 -0.2	87³-6	88⁴	88⁴	—	L3★goldJ-0.6▲cls	—	⚠-2.3LS2∠
12	Greyline Station	1% 99-1 / 30/1	1.7%	S	7th/3w	86 +0.3	83¹⁰-10	81¹⁰	81¹⁰	87⁶	J+0.7	17%	1∠
13	Sound Bite	29% 5-2 / 8/1	16.5%	EP	2nd/4w	88 +2.2	78¹³-15	86⁶	91²	66¹¹	J+1.0D→T	—	⚠-2.1★VALUE4∠
14	East Village ✓	1% 99-1 / 12/1	3.8%	P	5th/3w	87 +0.6	86⁴-7	87⁵	75¹²	93²	L1S→T	18%	⚠-2.18∠

Pace Projector SPEED DUEL closers favored 1st¼ 23.2s par 23.7 EP/LP

ON PACE STALKERS MIDPACK CLOSERS ▾ rail 1 HOLDS 89/99 General Bradley 13 LP »»» 95/110 Sound Bite 5 118/91 Honey Dutch 4 LP 95/108 Souper Debonair 14 »» 99/100 East Village 7 104/83 Lennox the Grey 12 »» 91/91 Greyline Station 2 No Temperance 3 95/82 Jutland 6 LP 105/110 Practical Joker 11 » 92/93 Kiss the Ring 10 » 100/99 Knoty Knicks 8 95/93 Golf Cart Ryder

On the lead: 1, 13 · race sets up for closers

13 Sound Bite ★ VALUE

3G 120 lbs L EP

29.4%

MODEL %

5-2

MODEL FAIR

+18.3

EDGE vs ML

8/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig78 -15 vs par

Needs +10~3% run that

Class88.4 +2.2 vs race -10.1 gap

MC0.3% fair 99-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced85.8 -2.4 vs today

Pace EP81.3 best 94.7

Pace LP83.8 best 110.4

Energy0.52

Connections

JockSamuel Marinκ 0.22was Martin Chuan · +1.0

TrnKerri Ravenκ 0.08

Angles

Kerri Raven: first-time turf 13% -23% First-time turf 10% -26% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30% Dirt-to-turf 9% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	1	1	25%	90.6
2026	4	1	1	1	25%	90.6
2025	0	0	0	0	—	—
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	3	1	0	1	33%	85.9
Route	4	1	1	1	25%	90.6
Wet	1	0	1	0	0%	90.6

WORKS 07-24 DEL 5 Furlongs 1:03.60 B 44 07-04 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.20 B 50 06-04 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:03.95 B 33 05-27 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:01.88 B 65 05-18 SAR 5 Furlongs 1:02.67 B 50 ★04-15 PAY 5 Furlongs 1:02.80 B 63

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-10 27d	DEL	8.5f	dirt	Muddy (Sealed)	Alw	87	2	6	0.2		83	79	50	91	96	88	10.1	Martin Chuan
2026-06-13 48d	DEL	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	1	10	0.0	F	80	86	106	80	86	86	3.0	Jaime Rodriguez
2026-04-26 30d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	4	9	8.2	F	95	86	80	80	82	87	4.3	Samy Camacho
2026-03-27	TAM	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	3	10	4.2	F	72	94	110	86	83	85	2.2	Samuel Marin

5 Honey Dutch

3C 120 lbs L EP

24.7%

MODEL %

3-1

MODEL FAIR

-13.8

EDGE vs ML

8/5

M/L

Form

Proj Fig93 0 vs par

Needs fits levelbase 93 vs par 93

Class95.8 +9.6 vs race -2.7 gap

MC31.9% fair 2-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.19

Faced93.6 +5.4 vs today

Pace EP83.6 best 117.5

Pace LP74.9 best 90.6

Energy0.50

Connections

JockTyler Gaffalioneκ 0.19

TrnD. Whitworth Beckmanκ 0.53

J×T41 · 20% win · 54% ITM

Angles

Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Tyler Gaffalione / D. Whitworth Beckman 17% +31%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	9	1	4	3	11%	95.3
2026	6	0	4	2	0%	95.3
2025	3	1	0	1	33%	91.4
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	7	1	4	2	14%	95.3
Route	7	1	4	2	14%	95.3
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-19 CD 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 68 07-13 CD Four Furlongs 49.20 b 47 06-19 CD 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 58 05-22 CD 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 64 05-15 CD 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 67 04-24 CD 4 Furlongs :48.20 B 54

SIREKnicks Go 85 88%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-06-25 27d	CD	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	94	2	4	2.2		91	88	71	95	101	96	0.47	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-05-29 27d	PEN	8.0f	turf	Firm	G3	94	3	5	4.8		118	75	38	91	88	96	0.4	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-05-02 29d	CD	8.5f	turf	Firm	G1	95	3	13	3.8	F	87	nan	74	95	103	94	13.35	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-04-03 34d	KEE	8.5f	turf	Good	G3	93	2	11	0.5	F	71	94	86	93	88	91	13.15	Tyler Gaffalione
2026-02-28 58d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	93	2	7	0.2	F	63	87	91	91	95	88	2.5	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2026-01-01 119d·3.8×	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	2	9	1.5	F	92	94	106	95	104	84	1.8	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-09-04 31d	KD	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	1	12	0.0	F	100	94	91	91	93	84	10.54	Florent Geroux
2025-08-04 30d	ELP	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn	84	3	7	8.2		95	77	48	83	79	85	2.14	Joseph Ramos
2025-07-05	SAR	6.0f	dirt	Fast	G3	91	6	6	25.8		81	82	90	80	63	93	21.8	Manuel Franco

11 Kiss the Ring LONGSHOT

3G 122 lbs L S

12.0%

MODEL %

7-1

MODEL FAIR

+8.8

EDGE vs ML

30/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig87 -6 vs par

Needs +5~15% run that

Class86.0 -0.2 vs race +1.0 gap

MC6.5% fair 15-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.36

Faced83.5 -4.7 vs today

Pace EP83.9 best 91.6

Pace LP81.0 best 92.5

Energy0.51

Connections

JockDeclan Cannonκ 0.1was Daniel Centeno · -0.6

TrnJesus Cruzκ 0.19

Angles

3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	1	25%	90.9
2026	4	1	1	25%	90.9
2025	0	0	0	—	—
CNL	1	1	0	100%	88.5
Turf	1	1	0	100%	88.5
Route	1	1	0	100%	88.5
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-12 CNL 3 Furlongs :39.20 B 30 ◆Snowglobe·69 06-19 CNL 4 Furlongs :47.80 B 73 ◆Snowglobe·69 04-19 KEE 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 37 03-15 TTC 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 54

SIREStreet Boss 83 77%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-16 56d	CNL	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	1	9	0.0	F	—	—	—	88	99	85	6.7	Daniel Centeno
2026-05-21 62d	IND	6.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	81	2	11	1.0	F	89	nan	76	87	87	84	22.6	William Antongeorgi III
2026-03-20 21d	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	85	4	5	6.5		92	87	77	88	78	85	3.2	Kevin Gomez
2026-02-27	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	5	7	5.8		82	nan	92	91	84	84	10.9	Kevin Gomez

1 General Bradley LONGSHOT

3C 120 lbs L E

11.2%

MODEL %

8-1

MODEL FAIR

+4.9

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig84 -9 vs par

Needs +7~8% run that

Class92.5 +6.3 vs race -8.3 gap

MC4.8% fair 20-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.25

Faced89.3 +1.1 vs today

Pace EP80.2 best 89.0

Pace LP84.3 best 99.5

Energy0.52

Connections

JockNik Juarezκ 0.11was Micah Husbands · -0.5

TrnSaffie Joseph, Jr.κ 0.47

J×T9 · 11% win · 33% ITM

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	1	1	25%	89.6
2026	4	1	1	1	25%	89.6
2025	0	0	0	0	—	—
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	2	1	1	0	50%	85.2
Route	0	0	0	0	—	—
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 PMM 4 Furlongs :52.45 B 15 ★06-26 PMM 4 Furlongs :47.45 B 74 06-19 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.00 B G 68 06-12 PMM 3 Furlongs :38.40 B 33 05-08 PMM 3 Furlongs :36.40 B 44 04-03 PMM 4 Furlongs :51.40 B 33 ◆Prospector·88

SIREOmaha Beach 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-05 49d	GP	7.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	92	2	7	0.2	S	89	98	95	85	86	91	6.4	Micah Husbands
2026-05-17 35d	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	93	4	5	4.8	F	87	nan	69	90	86	91	8.9	Micah Husbands
2026-04-12 24d	GP	5.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	1	8	0.0		86	77	87	83	82	91	1.3	Micah Husbands
2026-03-19	GP	5.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	87	3	8	0.8	F	60	83	100	90	85	87	11.4	Micah Husbands

3 Jutland LONGSHOT

3C 120 lbs L S

8.7%

MODEL %

10-1

MODEL FAIR

+2.4

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -7 vs par

Needs +1~40% run that

Class91.9 +5.7 vs race -5.8 gap

MC5.5% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.22

Faced88.0 -0.2 vs today

Pace EP80.6 best 95.2

Pace LP78.8 best 82.1

Energy0.51

Connections

JockSamuel Marinκ 0.22was Adam Beschizza · +1.3

TrnKelsey Dannerκ 0.37

J×T10 · 10% win · 60% ITM

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% Kelsey Danner: off layoff (60d+) 12% +16% Kelsey Danner: first-time turf 11% +12% First-time turf 10% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	7	1	3	1	14%	91.9
2026	2	0	0	1	0%	91.9
2025	5	1	3	0	20%	91.6
CNL	1	0	1	0	0%	88.7
Turf	4	1	2	0	25%	88.7
Route	5	0	3	1	0%	91.9
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-21 TP 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 64 07-14 TP Four Furlongs 50.00 b 52 07-08 TP Four Furlongs 51.00 b 38

SIRERaging Bull (Fr) 84 83%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-03-05 47d	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	88	5	9	3.2		67	76	71	91	89	91	4.61	Adam Beschizza
2026-01-17 43d	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	91	3	8	3.0		82	94	79	92	88	90	18.55	Victor Carrasco
2025-12-05 69d	TP	8.0f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	86	2	10	1.8	F	95	93	82	92	96	88	3.0	Adam Beschizza
2025-09-27 21d	LRL	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	89	2	9	1.0	S	76	88	79	85	75	89	5.3	Axel Concepcion
2025-09-06 21d	CNL	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	86	2	6	2.8		84	84	78	89	85	86	1.3	Paco Lopez
2025-08-16 44d	WO	6.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	88	7	9	6.8		94	112	109	86	79	86	16.55	Sofia Vives
2025-07-03	IND	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	78	1	8	0.0		81	91	84	82	77	81	1.9	Adam Beschizza

10 Knoty Knicks

3C 120 lbs L S

3.7%

MODEL %

25-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.5

EDGE vs ML

15/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig92 -1 vs par

Needs +4~14% run that

Class93.8 +7.6 vs race -1.6 gap

MC19.6% fair 4-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.19

Faced91.3 +3.1 vs today

Pace EP79.4 best 100.0

Pace LP86.7 best 99.2

Energy0.51

Connections

JockSheldon Russellκ 0.2was Miguel Vasquez · +0.4

TrnJeff Englerκ 0.19

Angles

1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% First-time Lasix 12% -25% Jeff Engler: off layoff (60d+) 10% -45% First-time turf 10% -26% Jeff Engler: first-time Lasix 9% -10% Jeff Engler: first-time turf 6% -38%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	11	1	3	1	9%	93.2
2026	7	0	2	1	0%	93.2
2025	4	1	1	0	25%	90.5
CNL	0	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	8	0	2	1	0%	93.2
Route	10	1	3	1	10%	93.2
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS ★07-19 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.25 B 73 06-19 PMM 4 Furlongs :52.30 B 16 04-03 PMM 4 Furlongs :49.05 B 57

SIREKnicks Go 85 88%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-24 22d	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	AOC	89	2	8	3.8		100	94	95	88	89	94	2.8	Miguel Vasquez
2026-05-02 13d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	93	5	7	4.2	F	57	82	99	86	88	94	4.1	Miguel Vasquez
2026-04-19 43d	KEE	9.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	91	4	11	3.5	F	79	74	77	92	84	95	9.03	Corey Lanerie
2026-03-07 35d	TAM	8.0f	turf	Good	Stk	91	3	8	2.0		68	91	89	93	87	94	6.7	Junior Alvarado
2026-01-31 20d	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	Stk	93	4	7	2.5	F	91	93	93	93	96	94	20.7	Corey Lanerie
2026-01-11 10d	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	AOC	91	2	9	1.8		nan	nan	83	92	93	93	7.1	Corey Lanerie
2026-01-01 25d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	Stk	91	6	9	4.2	F	101	92	89	93	102	92	18.9	Jose Morelos
2025-12-07 45d	GP	8.0f	turf	Firm	AOC	88	2	7	0.2		85	86	69	90	89	91	5.9	Jose Morelos
2025-10-23 25d	KEE	8.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	89	5	10	6.2	F	86	91	93	88	85	90	21.82	Adam Beschizza
2025-09-28	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	86	1	11	0.0		76	78	78	89	88	90	7.7	Jose Morelos

6 Practical Joker

3C 120 lbs L S

2.9%

MODEL %

30-1

MODEL FAIR

-1.9

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig85 -8 vs par

Needs +9~2% run that

Class88.3 +2.1 vs race -3.1 gap

MC6.0% fair 15-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced84.7 -3.5 vs today

Pace EP85.1 best 104.8

Pace LP86.2 best 109.8

Energy0.50

Connections

JockPaco Lopezκ 0.23was Julio Hernandez · +1.3

TrnMichael Stidhamκ 0.37

J×T21 · 29% win · 62% ITM

Angles

Paco Lopez / Michael Stidham 29% -23% 3yo, 3rd off layoff 15% -21% 3rd off layoff 14% -22% Class riser (purse +40%) 9% -30%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	6	1	1	1	17%	86.1
2026	2	1	1	0	50%	86.0
2025	4	0	0	1	0%	86.1
CNL	1	0	0	1	0%	85.0
Turf	6	1	1	1	17%	86.1
Route	5	1	1	1	20%	86.1
Wet	0	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-24 DEL 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 35 06-06 DEL 4 Furlongs :50.40 B 45 05-30 DEL 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 43 ★05-20 DEL 5 Furlongs 1:03.00 B 60 05-13 DEL 5 Furlongs 1:03.20 B 59 05-06 DEL 5 Furlongs 1:02.60 B 60

SIREPractical Joke 86 92%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-01 18d	DEL	8.5f	turf	Good	MSW	84	1	7	0.0		98	91	80	86	86	88	3.4	Julio Hernandez
2026-06-13 198d·5.7×	DEL	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	85	2	10	1.8	F	69	93	110	80	84	88	4.5	Julio Hernandez
2025-11-27 33d	FG	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	86	7	12	5.5		105	92	76	86	96	89	5.1	Axel Concepcion
2025-10-25 43d	KEE	9.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	88	5	12	3.2		82	95	94	86	83	88	15.35	Axel Concepcion
2025-09-12 35d	CNL	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	81	3	8	1.8	F	87	81	90	85	81	87	5.0	Paco Lopez
2025-08-08	DEL	7.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	83	4	7	0.8	S	87	84	88	84	65	83	2.9	Carol Cedeno

7 Lennox the Grey

3C 120 lbs L P

2.1%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-14.6

EDGE vs ML

5/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -7 vs par

Needs +9~5% run that

Class88.1 +1.9 vs race -2.0 gap

MC7.7% fair 12-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.34

Faced84.4 -3.8 vs today

Pace EP86.2 best 104.2

Pace LP78.0 best 82.8

Energy0.49

Connections

JockJohn Velazquezκ 0.24was Samuel Marin · +0.2

TrnArnaud Delacourκ 0.54

Angles

Arnaud Delacour: 2nd off layoff 19% -20% 2nd off layoff 13% -27%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	3	1	1	33%	86.0
2026	1	0	1	0%	86.0
2025	2	1	0	50%	83.4
CNL	1	0	1	0%	86.0
Turf	3	1	1	33%	86.0
Route	2	1	1	50%	86.0
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-26 CNL 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 68 07-19 CNL 4 Furlongs :49.80 B 47

SIRELiam'S Map 85 91%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-06 295d	CNL	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	87	2	7	0.2	87	84	83	86	91	87	3.9	Samuel Marin
2025-09-14 29d	WO	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	1	8	0.0	86	81	75	82	72	86	6.85	Rafael Hernandez
2025-08-16	WO	7.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	82	5	8	3.0	104	92	70	83	80	82	18.05	Jose Campos

4 Souper Debonair

3G 120 lbs L EP

1.6%

MODEL %

50-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.2

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig82 -11 vs par

Needs +12~2% run that

Class86.3 +0.1 vs race -4.2 gap

MC2.1% fair 50-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.34

Faced83.0 -5.2 vs today

Pace EP82.1 best 95.3

Pace LP84.4 best 108.3

Energy0.51

Connections

JockJavier Castellanoκ 0.25was Martin Chuan · +1.3

TrnMark Casseκ 0.47

J×T122 · 24% win · 50% ITM

Angles

Javier Castellano / Mark Casse 19% +10% Mark Casse: off layoff (60d+) 15% -22% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	Win%	Fig
Life	5	1	3	20%	81.9
2026	2	1	1	50%	81.8
2025	3	0	2	0%	81.9
CNL	0	0	0	—	—
Turf	3	1	2	33%	81.0
Route	4	1	3	25%	81.8
Wet	0	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-19 CNL 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 38 07-10 CNL 4 Furlongs :50.60 B 34 07-02 CNL 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 52 ◆Win For The Money·98 06-25 CNL 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 51 ◆Tosen Wish·92 04-29 PMM 4 Furlongs :50.50 B 41 04-01 PMM 4 Furlongs :50.00 B 43

SIRENyquist 86 93%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-05-08 29d	GP	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	1	8	0.0	F	76	99	108	81	87	84	1.9	Martin Chuan
2026-04-09 207d·4.9×	GP	8.318181818181818f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	85	2	7	6.2	F	67	89	100	82	76	83	3.0	Martin Chuan
2025-09-14 21d	WO	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	2	8	1.5		88	76	73	79	71	81	4.8	Sahin Civaci
2025-08-24 42d	WO	8.5f	turf	Firm	MSW	80	2	6	3.8	F	95	86	63	80	69	77	1.15	Sahin Civaci
2025-07-13	WO	6.0f	synthetic	Fast	MSW	82	5	8	14.2	S	91	87	92	82	67	82	2.35	Patrick Husbands

14 East Village

3G 120 lbs L P

1.3%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-6.4

EDGE vs ML

12/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -7 vs par

Needs +15~<1% run that

Class86.8 +0.6 vs race -0.6 gap

MC3.4% fair 30-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.27

Faced88.3 +0.1 vs today

Pace EP86.0 best 98.7

Pace LP83.2 best 99.9

Energy0.55

Connections

JockEmmanuel Esquivelκ 0.1was Luan Machado · -0.3

TrnKenneth McPeekκ 0.62

J×T255 · 18% win · 49% ITM

Angles

Emmanuel Esquivel / Kenneth McPeek 18% -4% Class dropper (purse −30%) 17% -23% Kenneth McPeek: off layoff (60d+) 13% -8% Kenneth McPeek: first-time Lasix 13% -14% 1st off layoff (60d+) 13% -26% First-time Lasix 12% -25%

Record

	Sts	1st	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	25%	87.1
2026	1	0	0%	74.8
2025	3	1	33%	87.1
CNL	1	1	100%	86.9
Turf	2	1	50%	87.1
Route	4	1	25%	87.1
Wet	1	0	0%	72.4

WORKS 07-25 CNL 4 Furlongs :49.40 B 47 07-19 CNL 4 Furlongs :49.20 B 55 07-12 CNL 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 58 ★07-05 CNL 4 Furlongs :47.00 B 84 ◆Bella'S Bro·90 06-27 CNL 4 Furlongs :48.00 B 67 04-10 KEE 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 58

SIRETwirling Candy 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-03-21 120d·2.2×	TP	8.5f	synthetic	Fast	Stk	90	7	7	22.5	F	87	90	100	75	70	87	8.06	Luan Machado
2025-11-21 29d	CD	8.0f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Alw	90	7	7	48.5	F	90	86	82	72	47	90	6.3	Irad Ortiz, Jr.
2025-10-23 55d	KEE	8.5f	turf	Firm	Alw	89	4	10	5.8	F	99	nan	81	87	85	88	8.75	Jose Ortiz
2025-08-29	CNL	8.0f	turf	Firm	MSW	84	1	11	0.2		86	75	79	87	83	84	9.7	Horacio Karamanos

8 Golf Cart Ryder

3G 120 lbs L S

1.1%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-3.7

EDGE vs ML

20/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig83 -10 vs par

Needs +13~2% run that

Class87.1 +0.9 vs race -3.7 gap

MC2.4% fair 50-1

ConfTIGHT σα 0.28

Faced84.2 -4.0 vs today

Pace EP84.8 best 95.0

Pace LP79.8 best 92.5

Energy0.51

Connections

JockDaniel Centenoκ 0.16

TrnMichael Trombettaκ 0.3

J×T11 · 9% win · 64% ITM

Angles

Daniel Centeno / Michael Trombetta 17% -32%

Record

	Sts	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	4	1	0%	83.8
2026	2	1	0%	83.8
2025	2	0	0%	74.1
CNL	3	1	0%	83.8
Turf	2	1	0%	83.8
Route	1	1	0%	83.8
Wet	0	0	—	—

WORKS 07-21 FAI Four Furlongs 49.60 b 60 ◆Patrick'S Promise·90

SIREHard Spun 84 86%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-06 52d	CNL	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	87	3	7	0.8		88	86	85	84	91	86	8.4	Daniel Centeno
2026-05-15 281d·5.4×	LRL	5.5f	turf	Firm	Mdn Clm	83	4	12	3.0	F	80	92	63	82	78	80	4.5	Luis Saez
2025-08-07 20d	CNL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	6	8	10.0		91	92	92	74	64	80	5.4	Horacio Karamanos
2025-07-18	CNL	5.5f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	6	11	12.0		95	nan	78	73	56	84	5.7	Horacio Karamanos

12 Greyline Station

3G 120 lbs L S

0.9%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-2.3

EDGE vs ML

30/1

M/L

Form

Proj Fig83 -10 vs par

Needs +5~15% run that

Class86.5 +0.3 vs race -3.3 gap

MC2.2% fair 50-1

ConfNORMAL σα 0.34

Faced84.2 -4.0 vs today

Pace EP82.5 best 90.6

Pace LP81.6 best 90.6

Energy0.52

Connections

JockForest Boyceκ 0.19was Jeiron Barbosa · +0.7

TrnHamilton Smithκ 0.19

J×T18 · 17% win · 56% ITM

Angles

Forest Boyce / Hamilton Smith 10% -11%

Record

	Sts	1st	2nd	3rd	Win%	Fig
Life	9	1	3	2	11%	92.6
2026	6	1	2	2	17%	92.6
2025	3	0	1	0	0%	88.3
CNL	1	0	0	0	0%	81.4
Turf	1	0	0	0	0%	81.4
Route	4	0	3	0	0%	92.6
Wet	1	0	0	1	0%	90.8

WORKS 07-26 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 50 07-19 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.00 B 60 06-21 LRL 4 Furlongs :48.60 B 68 05-31 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:03.00 B 47 05-02 LRL 4 Furlongs :49.60 B 48 04-25 LRL 5 Furlongs 1:01.40 B 79

SIRELexitonian 86 94%ile

DATE	TRK	DIST	SURF	COND	TYPE	STR	POS	FLD	BL	PC	EP	MP	LP	GIBBS	PAR	CLS	ODDS	JOCKEY
2026-07-06 30d	CNL	8.0f	turf	Firm	Alw	87	4	7	5.0		91	87	84	81	87	86	28.3	Jeiron Barbosa
2026-06-06 27d	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	84	2	5	8.5		87	85	82	90	86	86	1.7	Jorge Ruiz
2026-05-10 56d	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Str Alw	86	2	6	1.2		71	85	89	93	91	84	1.6	Yedsit Hazlewood
2026-03-15 21d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	1	5	0.0		82	97	91	90	84	83	0.8	Mychel Sanchez
2026-02-22 43d	LRL	5.5f	dirt	Sloppy (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	81	3	8	2.8	S	89	80	67	91	80	82	3.6	Jorge Hernandez
2026-01-10 28d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Good (Sealed)	Mdn Clm	82	3	10	11.5	F	76	98	100	87	70	83	5.5	Jorge Hernandez
2025-12-13 14d	LRL	8.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	82	2	6	0.5	S	88	100	102	88	80	82	3.1	Jorge Hernandez
2025-11-29 41d	LRL	7.0f	dirt	Fast	MSW	84	5	9	9.0		82	nan	89	85	69	82	32.6	Jorge Hernandez
2025-10-19	LRL	6.0f	dirt	Fast	Mdn Clm	81	4	8	6.5	S	61	87	56	88	73	81	7.5	Yedsit Hazlewood

2 No Temperance

3C 120 lbs L

0.4%

MODEL %

99-1

MODEL FAIR

-28.2

EDGE vs ML

5/2

M/L

Form

Proj Fig86 -7 vs par

MC7.7% fair 12-1

ConfWIDE σα 0.5897402119680285

⚠ No history — ML-anchored

Connections

JockSonny Leonκ 0.16

TrnMark Casseκ 0.47

J×T55 · 16% win · 51% ITM

Angles

Sonny Leon / Mark Casse 19% -4% Mark Casse: debut 14% -28% Debut 11% -25%

Record

	Win%	Fig
Life	—	—
2026	—	—
2025	—	—
CNL	—	—
Turf	—	—
Route	—	—
Wet	—	—

WORKS 07-19 CNL 4 Furlongs :51.00 B 33 06-12 PMM 4 Furlongs :51.55 B 34 ★06-03 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.45 B 66 05-27 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.80 B 52 05-16 PMM 4 Furlongs :48.25 B 67 05-06 PMM 5 Furlongs 1:04.95 B 36

SIREConstitution 86 93%ile 1st-out 20% (465) turf 16%

No prior races in database